polyh3dron
Banned
No, you deflect.MechDX said:Calm down, I keed.
No, you deflect.MechDX said:Calm down, I keed.
Yes, because they release in both formats. Many of their catalog titles don't sell so well however and they inflate the numbers, this is where the slant comes from.VanMardigan said:WB is the single best selling HD studio. No slant needed, really.
Ignatz Mouse said:The simplest thing to look at is Box Office of the last year or two. No slant required, and WB makes it more like even.
December 31, 2007
In the DVD War Over High Definition, Most Buyers Are Sitting It Out
By ERIC A. TAUB
What if nobody wins the high-definition DVD format wars? That increasingly looks to be the situation for the next-generation DVD technology, which is available to consumers in two incompatible formats.
A little more than 18 months after their introduction, the two systems Blu-ray, developed by Sony, and HD DVD, from Toshiba have sold around one million stand-alone players combined. Both sides promote their technologies, their movie studio allies and the growing list of movies available in the new formats.
Yet neither has a clear advantage, either in terms of technology, number of movies or, increasingly, the price of the equipment. According to data from Adams Media Research, 578,000 HD DVD and 370,000 Blu-ray machines will be sold by the end of this year.
The winner of the format wars could be determined by which company has the most content, in the same way the VHS-Betamax VCR war was decided. But both formats offer about 400 movies. Studios allied with the Blu-ray camp include Columbia, Disney, Fox, Lionsgate, Miramax, New Line and Sony.
In the HD DVD camp are DreamWorks, Paramount, Universal, the Weinstein Company, and several smaller TV and motion picture companies. Warner Brothers releases movies for both systems.
In November, Howard Stringer, the Sony chairman, publicly acknowledged that the formats were in a stalemate, and predicted that neither side would fold.
High-definition DVDs of both formats provide superior picture and sound quality compared with standard DVDs.
They also offer advanced interactive features like multiple camera angles, games, picture-in-picture commentaries and, in the case of HD DVD, a connection to the Internet to download more content.
But the visual and audio differences depend on the size of the TV screen used to display them.
You start to enjoy the benefits of high-definition DVD at 40 inches and above, said Chris Fawcett, vice president for product marketing at Sony Electronics home video group.
Only high-definition sets can display high-definition DVD images. And only the highest-resolution displays, the so-called 1080p HDTVs, for progressive scan, can show the images at their best. As a result, the potential customer base is limited. With a lower-resolution 720p set, you are not as likely to see a dramatic a difference between standard and high-definition DVDs, according to Andy Parsons, chairman of the Blu-ray Disc Association.
The two camps are victims of their own earlier success with DVD. The standard DVDs offered a quantum leap in quality from the picture and sound of VHS videotape, and for many that was more than adequate.
In addition, DVD players that can convert images to near high-definition quality can be found for under $100, hundreds less than a true high-definition DVD player, further reducing the urgency to upgrade to one of the new formats.
Today, an HDTV owner hooks up a standard DVD and it looks good, said Ken Graffeo, executive vice president of HD Strategic Marketing at Universal, and co-president of the HD DVD Promotional Group. Unless they experience the new format, they wont understand it.
Not many consumers are interested in even taking a look. According to research by NPD Group, only 11 percent of HDTV set owners strongly intend to buy a Blu-ray or HD DVD player by next spring. Almost three-quarters of those HDTV owners surveyed said that standard DVD was good enough for them.
This may emerge as a premium, luxury item, not a successor to DVD, said Ross Rubin, director for industry analysis at NPD.
Blu-ray and HD DVD proponents are doing what they can to change that attitude. And the best technique to pique interest is dropping the price. As with most things electronic, prices for both players have fallen drastically since their introduction.
HD DVD players, the vast majority of which are made by Toshiba, still have the price advantage. The companys least-expensive model which displays images in the lower-quality 1080i format can be found for $200 or less in electronics store promotions or from online discounters.
Its least-expensive 1080p model is selling at Amazon for $250. But it is a tit-for-tat war. A Blu-ray 1080p unit from Samsung is just $30 more at Costco. Blu-ray units are also made by Panasonic, Philips, Sony and others.
Several holiday promotions had players in either version selling for as low as $200.
In an effort to finesse the format war, LG sells a combination unit that plays both formats; however, its $1,000 price has prompted only a few thousand consumers to buy.
As prices drop, high-definition DVD drives will find their way into other devices. Mr. Graffeo predicts that by the end of next year, 5 million notebook computers will be sold with HD DVD drives.
Sony says that 3.4 million Blu-ray disc drives are also in PlayStation 3 machines, giving it a numerical advantage. But the rival camp points out that gamers are not buying the PS3 to watch movies, and in any case, 300,000 HD DVD add-on drives will have been purchased to use with the Xbox 360 game console from Microsoft.
The 400 movies available in each format are a fraction of the 90,000 movies and TV programs that the video rental company Netflix offers. Increasingly, high-definition DVDs are being issued simultaneously with the standard definition DVD release.
Consumers are usually advised to wait until a clear winner emerges. But if there is a deciding factor, it might be which format has the more compelling movies. Good animation looks three-dimensional in high definition, so Sony is hoping to gain an advantage by providing Blu-ray formats of Ratatouille, the Disney/Pixar film about a cute French rat who cooks, and blockbusters like Spider-Man 3.
As an indication of their owners enthusiasm, Blu-ray users are buying twice as many discs as their HD DVD counterparts, according to Tom Adams, president of Adams Media Research.
Discs can be rented at the Blockbuster and Netflix online stores. Of Blockbusters 5,000 physical stores, 250 offer both high-definition DVD formats, while 1,450 rent only Blu-ray; the rest offer none. The company emphasizes Blu-ray because 70 percent of its rentals are for that format, said Karen Raskopf, a Blockbuster spokeswoman.
The HD DVD camp is playing up its new interactive features, believing that the next generation of viewers wants to combine TV viewing with video games.
In Universals just-released HD DVD of The Bourne Ultimatum, viewers can play a game that tests their memories, and then upload their results using a broadband connection to a Web site and compare their scores with others.
Viewers can also find character dossiers, watch Webisodes with the Volkswagen Touareg sport utility vehicle featured in the film, and create playlists of their favorite scenes and share them with friends.
Those features will do little to increase sales, said Richard Doherty, an analyst with the Envisioneering Group. The market consultants surveys show that just 3 percent of consumers want interactivity, he said.
As more consumers buy HDTVs, and the price of dual format players drop, an uneasy truce may descend. With the studios in the United States collectively making $16.5 billion in worldwide video sales, according to Mr. Adams, companies will be loath to miss an opportunity to make money by allying themselves with one high-definition DVD format over the other. And then, the once-unthinkable could happen.
When high-definition DVD reaches its tipping point, studios will have to release their movies in both HD DVD and Blu-ray, Mr. Adams said. No studio will be able to afford not to.
Ripclawe said:
polyh3dron said:Oh, Junior.
He wakes up and realizes that the whole movie was a dream ffs!
Horrbile horrible movie that had me cursing at the screen when he woke up and the whole thing was a dream.
Ripclawe said:http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/31/b...57200&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&pagewanted=print
Sony says that 3.4 million Blu-ray disc drives are also in PlayStation 3 machines, giving it a numerical advantage. But the rival camp points out that gamers are not buying the PS3 to watch movies, and in any case, 300,000 HD DVD add-on drives will have been purchased to use with the Xbox 360 game console from Microsoft.
Chiggs said:In response to the question on the previous page...
If Warner goes Blu, I will be happy and will continue to buy Blu-ray's every week.
If Warner goes HD-DVD, I will sell every Blu-ray I own and sit out of the whole thing. I will also tell friends and family to stay far, far away.
Honestly, Warner going HD-DVD exclusive is just so unfathomable to me, that if it happens, my meltdown in this thread will be pretty bad. It would probably be the worst thing to ever happen to HDM, though I know you Red guys probably don't see it that way.
DeathNote said:I advise anyone waiting to go A3+Netflix if you have no upconverting dvd player. Not a big loss if the format loses.
Chiggs said:If Warner goes Blu, I will be happy and will continue to buy Blu-ray's every week.
If Warner goes HD-DVD, I will sell every Blu-ray I own and sit out of the whole thing. I will also tell friends and family to stay far, far away.
Days like these... said:I don't understand this line of thinking. It reminds me of child saying If I can't have (insert item) I don't want anything. So you'd sit the whole thing out? You'd prefer no HDM to HD DVD winning? I never pegged you as one of those guys who eats, sleeps, breathes and lives Blu ray that spot is held exclusively by ookie.
As for me I own about 30 HD DVDs havent counted recently. So if WB goes Blu ray I'll buy a dual format player as soon as 2.0 is available. It seems to me like some people cant see the forest for the trees. Don't let the format war affect your enjoyment for hi def movies.
MechDX said:Question to the regulars in this thread:
If Warner Bros. sides with the opposite of your format of choice. What would you do?
Ive just been reading all the rumors and reports flying around today and have noticed some people at BD.com and HDD that said they would stop buying HD movies altogether.:lol
Just wondering what the GAF view is.
I am neutral so it doesnt bother me in the least.
djkimothy said:I pretty much tell my friends to stay out of HD media altogether since it's just a mess right now with all the uncertainty. The only reason I buy Blu-ray discs is cause I own a PS3. There really is no other reason to join in the fray. :/
polyh3dron said:Oh, Junior.
He wakes up and realizes that the whole movie was a dream ffs!
Horrbile horrible movie that had me cursing at the screen when he woke up and the whole thing was a dream.
VanMardigan said:If WB goes red, only a Sony moneyhat (a bigger one actually) will keep Fox/Disney exclusive to Blu Ray.
Shoho said:I heard that the movie was alot like A Wonderful Life.
polyh3dron said:It would take better copy protection that is not possible given HD DVD's already set in stone spec for Fox to go red and it would take region coding which is also not possible on HD DVD now for the same reason for Disney to go red.
It was broke for one or two titles that were the initial BD+ releases (Day After Tomorrow and Silver Surfer). They were celebrating their victory on that a little prematurely, because that crack only worked for those 2 titles.MechDX said:Yeah because we know BD's copyright protection is so awesome. BTW, it was broke within its first week.:lol
polyh3dron said:Frank Capra is cursing you from the grave. Cursing you. From the grave.
polyh3dron said:It would take better copy protection that is not possible given HD DVD's already set in stone spec for Fox to go red and it would take region coding which is also not possible on HD DVD now for the same reason for Disney to go red.
Ignatz Mouse said:Sorta like you believe everything Amir has said over the last year.
polyh3dron said:It was broke for one or two titles that were the initial BD+ releases (Day After Tomorrow and Silver Surfer). They were celebrating their victory on that a little prematurely, because that crack only worked for those 2 titles.
Ignatz Mouse said:Hey TheJesusFactor, who are you talking to re: loyalists? I see only one person in the whole string of responses who fits that description.
VanMardigan said:Your attack was too general, can you specify what I took Amir's word for that fell against the common perception?
TheJesusFactor said:5 years from now when Media servers start popping up, your going to hate not being able to transfer your DRM BR movies to the server. It might even root key your media server.
Ignatz Mouse said:OK, how about the fact that you are absoultely convinced that MS had nothing at all to do with the Paramount deal, even though all that was officially said was that no money changed hands between Paramount and MS. The "nothing at all" isn't a strawman, either, it's a paraphrase of your last few comments on the matter.
TheJesusFactor said:I don't understand why some of you have such loyalty
quest said:And what has blu done again to deserve to win? It is the 3 different specs? Is it the high priced standalone players? Is it the players that need mulitple firmware updates? Hd-dvd also has not done enough to deserve to win.
I still stand by wanting warner to stay neutral to force both sides to get off their asses and fix issues so we can have a real successor to DVD. I am sorry the average joe is not going to pay 20x the price for a player and 2x the cost of movies for PQ/SQ. When one format has 99 dollar bullet proof players and a max of 24.99 on new release movies then we can talk about one side winning.
And remember how gung ho he was about blaming MS for making the payment.On the HD-DVD front, Toshiba has successfully paid both DreamWorks Animation and Paramount to drop Blu-ray and release titles only on HD-DVD.
Yes, I am denying that too. We didn't pay them. We didn't pay anyone else to pay them. We didn't give them $50M worth of MS software either. Nor did we pave their parking lot for them for free. We didn't buy an apartment for their execs in Paris. Or pay to have a pool put in their house for free. Or send their kids to college. Or give them free employment at Microsoft. Anything else I missed?
Come on people. Don't you know that I anticipate folks being smart enough to ask me about every possibility before I made the first statement? I am confident of our stance and ethical conduct here or I would not risk my job under my real name to state such defentive answers.
For others coming to my defence, it is much appreciated.
The reasons are real, and definitely less incentive based than Paramount's move. I understand that, and that's also why I feel they would be more inclined to re-consider and go neutral. They're not as tied to BD as Paramount is to HD DVD, and a WB move is huge, you have to admit.Ignatz Mouse said:Not saying they aren't incentivized, but you act like their reasons aren't real.