Rise will be a monster, in Japan alone I anticipate it will be the best selling
Monster Hunter game by the end of 2021 with over
6 million. The game is dropping at a perfect time when the audience on the Switch will be higher than the PSP audience in 2010,
Week 49, 2010
PSP Hardware: 327.905
PSP Hardware LTD: 15.813.245
Monster Hunter 3 Launch: 2.146.467
Monster Hunter 3 LTD: 4.840.930
By the time
Rise launches in the Spring, Switch hardware will be around
2-3 million higher than PSP hardware was when
MH3 launched.
In terms of World Wide sales, I expect the game to do respectively well in the West but will be a huge game everywhere in East Asia - with around 50% of the game's sales coming from the region. With the Switch being so popular in Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, China, Singapore and soon to launch officially in Thailand,
Capcom will have a huge potential audience that have similar tastes to Japan. If they manage to launch
Monster Hunter Rise in China in 2021, it would be huge win for them.
This is some of the reasons I think that
Rise will probably become their best selling game for
Capcom, especially after the PC version launches. When I see how other IPs are going to break records, I definitely see a similar future for
MHR.
Monster Hunter Rise
- [PS4/PC/X1] Monster Hunter World + Iceborne - 20M*
- [PSP/3DS/WII] Monster Hunter 3 - 9.4M
- [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 - 8.3M
Animal Crossing
- [NSW] Animal Crossing: New Horizons - 26M*
- [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf - 12.82M
- [DS] Animal Crossing: Wild World - 11.75M
Mario Kart
- [WII] Mario Kart Wii - 37.38M
- [NSW] Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 28.99M*
- [DS] Mario Kart DS - 23.6M
Smash
- [NSW] Smash Ultimate - 21.10M*
- [WII] Super Smash Bros. Brawl - 13.32M
- [3DS] Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS - 9.61M
Coupled with the other leaked games that haven't been announced and
Monster Hunter Stories 2... and
Capcom might sell over
40 million software World Wide in 2021. It will be an absolutely massive year for them for sure.