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[Mafia] NX Launch Night |OT| Back of the Line!

Ourobolus

Banned
To clarify - while Launch is in the same boat, he's at least been having some sort of argument about it. Batsnacks latched on immediately, super-excited to lynch Kark. That screams like a poor town move, lacking any sort of reasoning, and more like a scum move that is hoping to take out an easy target.
 

SalvaPot

Member
To clarify - while Launch is in the same boat, he's at least been having some sort of argument about it. Batsnacks latched on immediately, super-excited to lynch Kark. That screams like a poor town move, lacking any sort of reasoning, and more like a scum move that is hoping to take out an easy target.

Hmm, I actually agree with this. It is extremely suspicious.
 
To clarify - while Launch is in the same boat, he's at least been having some sort of argument about it. Batsnacks latched on immediately, super-excited to lynch Kark. That screams like a poor town move, lacking any sort of reasoning, and more like a scum move that is hoping to take out an easy target.

That's a fair point. I'd be open to discussing him, after he responds.
 

Sorian

Banned
Now that you mention it...

Latching onto that vote so badly lol

What part two? I assume he doesn't ACTUALLY want to get lynched - that'd be silly, unless he's like Hobo in the AC game. The gambit was just to put a target on himself and see who aimed at it.

Maybe he does want to get lynched.

To clarify - while Launch is in the same boat, he's at least been having some sort of argument about it. Batsnacks latched on immediately, super-excited to lynch Kark. That screams like a poor town move, lacking any sort of reasoning, and more like a scum move that is hoping to take out an easy target.

Here is the first solid reasoning I've seen anyone present all day. Yes, of the votes that were on Kark, Darryl was pure chance, Launch seemed to excited at the kill, and bat snuck his way into it, has thrown out insubstantial comments here and there, and has mostly stayed in the shadow with this vote. I'm still more interested in Kark today because at this point (early in the game) I think it's going to be more helpful if we push it along so his hand is revealed so then we can move on but yeah, batsnacks will be the more telling vote on Kark if/when he flips town.
 

batsnacks

Member
To clarify - while Launch is in the same boat, he's at least been having some sort of argument about it. Batsnacks latched on immediately, super-excited to lynch Kark. That screams like a poor town move, lacking any sort of reasoning, and more like a scum move that is hoping to take out an easy target.

Been kind of busy today. I thought my vote was really well reasoned though.
 

Sorian

Banned
Btw Tim, I know I spread my vote like the clap but your spread sheet isn't showing my current vote on Lone_Prodigy

Highlighted purposely Palmer to get Tim's attention :p
 

Ourobolus

Banned
Been kind of busy today. I thought my vote was really well reasoned though.

Eh.

Hey, at least we won't lose a PR! And I know Sorian will join me because he said he would go ham on people that claim. :)

VOTE: Karkador

Purposefully using someone else as cover for your decision.

If he's town it means a lot to mafia, I think it increases their chances of sniping a blue by a solid 10%. So that means town wouldn't do this, right?

Mafia has no idea if Kark is telling the truth about being Ordinary.
The bolded - trying to imply reason with a question.

I will 100% openly vote to lynch Kark and in fact already have!

If you are willing to take (from your alleged point of view) a 100% chance town kill in lieu of an approximate ~74% chance of town kill (on a random) then you are not town!

Town does not kill 100% town (self) in the stead of 74% town (random guy)!

Town does not role claim when doing so will only help mafia find our power roles!

I found mafia and Kark is mafia!

Super-excited. Kark's vote for himself was clearly a symbolic gesture - I highly doubt he actually wants to vote for himself. It got people talking, at least.
 
Here is the first solid reasoning I've seen anyone present all day.

wow, not even letting me down easy.

Here's the problem I'm seeing with batsnacks. batsnacks' vote and lack of substantial reasoning could be indicative of a mafia bandwagon, but it could also be lack of experience or it could be him trying to distance himself from Kark in the event Kark is lynched.

I'm willing to entertain the notion that batsnacks could be mafia, it's very possible, yet there are a lot of ways to spin this still. Meanwhile, Kark did something completely unnecessary with no provocation. My focus is still on him for this phase.
 

Sorian

Banned
Purposefully using someone else as cover for your decision.

He also tried semi-hard to convince me when I didn't go along with the vote right away like I was acting uncharacteristic or something. It could have been construed as just trying to explain to get more votes on board but the logic was weak.

wow, not even letting me down easy.

Here's the problem I'm seeing with batsnacks. batsnacks' vote and lack of substantial reasoning could be indicative of a mafia bandwagon, but it could also be lack of experience or it could be him trying to distance himself from Kark in the event Kark is lynched.

I'm willing to entertain the notion that batsnacks could be mafia, it's very possible, yet there are a lot of ways to spin this still. Meanwhile, Kark did something completely unnecessary with no provocation. My focus is still on him for this phase.

Sorry man, Kark is obviously baiting, it's so early that I'd rather just go for the bait so we can know and be done with it but we both know hunting scum isn't this easy. I bet there is some 4th dimension chess at play here but I don't think it leads where you want it to.
 
Kark's vote for himself was clearly a symbolic gesture - I highly doubt he actually wants to vote for himself. It got people talking, at least.

Hardly.

Mafia benefit from indecision. Karkador was advocating for a no-lynch day 1, then proposes lynching himself if we want to lynch someone... which must mean he's an ordinary townie who just wants everyone to live, right?

That's total malarkey and you know it.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
Hey guys its instant majority lynch... a quick wagon could be... DANGEROUS?

VOTE: Darryl

wow, not even letting me down easy.

Here's the problem I'm seeing with batsnacks. batsnacks' vote and lack of substantial reasoning could be indicative of a mafia bandwagon, but it could also be lack of experience or it could be him trying to distance himself from Kark in the event Kark is lynched.

I'm willing to entertain the notion that batsnacks could be mafia, it's very possible, yet there are a lot of ways to spin this still. Meanwhile, Kark did something completely unnecessary with no provocation. My focus is still on him for this phase.

He bandwagoned your Darryl vote too, after Sorian:

Been kind of busy today. I thought my vote was really well reasoned though.

He also makes plenty of references to "blue" roles, making me think he at least has some knowledge of mafia.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
Hardly.

Mafia benefit from indecision. Karkador was advocating for a no-lynch day 1, then proposes lynching himself if we want to lynch someone... which must mean he's an ordinary townie who just wants everyone to live, right?

That's total malarkey and you know it.

You really believe someone is going to suicide Day 1? And by your claim and his posts thereafter, he wants a no-lynch Day 1. So clearly he doesn't ACTUALLY want to get lynched.
 
Sorry man, Kark is obviously baiting, it's so early that I'd rather just go for the bait so we can know and be done with it but we both know hunting scum isn't this easy. I bet there is some 4th dimension chess at play here but I don't think it leads where you want it to.

You guys keep talking about baiting. Baiting for what purpose? You guys can't just say he's baiting, then not justify why he would be doing it because it's total nonsense; you bait with purpose, and so far Karkador has just been falling back on bullshit he built up.

If anyone is playing 4D chess here, it's obviously scum.

You really believe someone is going to suicide Day 1? And by your claim and his posts thereafter, he wants a no-lynch Day 1. So clearly he doesn't ACTUALLY want to get lynched.

He was expecting us to take it at face value, just like you are. "There's no way someone would just suicide day 1". Right.
 

batsnacks

Member
When I said I knew Sorian would join me in voting Kark my intention was to see if Sorian would actually go ham on someone who claimed, like he said he would twice early game. Sorian emphasized in his first post I think that if anyone even soft claimed that they would hear from him about it. So that's what that was about. Sorian more or less delivered even though I don't think he ever actually voted Kark, though he did say he was holding his vote because he didn't want to risk cutting the day short.

I don't think anyone can convince me that there is a chance of Kark being both town and a power role. I haven't played with anyone here before but in all 50ish games of forum mafia I've played elsewhere what Kark did would be unheard of from a power role. So from my point of view Kark can't be a power role, and I have to trust my instincts over what anyone else says since I don't know any of you.

I'm pretty sure Kark actually did hard claim and did vote himself too. He formatted the vote correctly and everything. I might have seemed excited but honestly I was annoyed. I don't like when people play against their win condition, which if Kark is town I believe he is doing, even if it's supposed to be some symbolic gesture.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
You guys keep talking about baiting. Baiting for what purpose? You guys can't just say he's baiting, then not justify why he would be doing it because it's total nonsense; you bait with purpose, and so far Karkador has just been falling back on bullshit he built up.

If anyone is playing 4D chess here, it's obviously scum.
I feel like you're purposefully ignoring what we're saying. Him putting a target on his back caused people to jump on a vote for him. Those that jumped without maybe thinking twice about the situation are pretty damn suspicious.


LaunchpadMcQ said:
He was expecting us to take it at face value, just like you are. "There's no way someone would just suicide day 1". Right.

Taking it at face value is that he's a poor town player that wants to die. Reading into it is what I'm doing. Not understanding the potential gambit is what you're doing.
 

batsnacks

Member
He bandwagoned your Darryl vote too, after Sorian:



He also makes plenty of references to "blue" roles, making me think he at least has some knowledge of mafia.

My Darryl vote was me just trying to stir things up early. I have a solid town lean on Darryl now.

And I made a lot of references to blues because we had a claim and a claim hurts our blues. There were also some open ended questions asked, one of them by Launch, that seemed to me like they could be blue fishing.
 
I feel like you're purposefully ignoring what we're saying. Him putting a target on his back caused people to jump on a vote for him. Those that jumped without maybe thinking twice about the situation are pretty damn suspicious.

Has it, in any way, looked like I jumped into this vote without thinking about it? I justified everything right from the get-go.

Taking it at face value is that he's a poor town player that wants to die. Reading into it is what I'm doing. Not understanding the potential gambit is what you're doing.

....

My point is, you're buying into what I think he's trying to pull.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
I don't think anyone can convince me that there is a chance of Kark being both town and a power role. I haven't played with anyone here before but in all 50ish games of forum mafia I've played elsewhere what Kark did would be unheard of from a power role. So from my point of view Kark can't be a power role, and I have to trust my instincts over what anyone else says since I don't know any of you.

I'm pretty sure Kark actually did hard claim and did vote himself too. He formatted the vote correctly and everything. I might have seemed excited but honestly I was annoyed. I don't like when people play against their win condition, which if Kark is town I believe he is doing, even if it's supposed to be some symbolic gesture.

I doubt he is a power role as well.

As for him putting down a vote and formatting it correctly (like it matters), yes, he did. That's not the point - I doubt he did it in order to actually get lynched. While I don't agree with him, he's been pretty adamant about no-lynching Day 1. And I don't think attempting to find bandwagoners and quick-to-voters is necessarily "against town's win condition."
 

Sorian

Banned
You guys keep talking about baiting. Baiting for what purpose? You guys can't just say he's baiting, then not justify why he would be doing it because it's total nonsense; you bait with purpose, and so far Karkador has just been falling back on bullshit he built up.

I don't think Ouro is on the same page as me anymore based on his more recent posts. Blarg might be on the same page as me? But I can't trust understanding what Blarg is talking about. I don't plan to justify my thought process on Kark until day 2 because I don't want to spoil his awesome (/sarcasm) strats if I'm right. As it stands now, I believe my time is better spent with a vote on Kark so if it's any consolation, you don't need to convince me.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
I don't think Ouro is on the same page as me anymore based on his more recent posts. Blarg might be on the same page as me? But I can't trust understanding what Blarg is talking about. I don't plan to justify my thought process on Kark until day 2 because I don't want to spoil his awesome (/sarcasm) strats if I'm right. As it stands now, I believe my time is better spent with a vote on Kark so if it's any consolation, you don't need to convince me.

Nah, that's fine. I'm not saying I'm 100% right, because I have no idea what Kark is actually thinking. It's just my read of the situation. Others clearly have their own interpretation.
 
Which is why my vote is on batsnacks and not you.

If this was a play to get reactions, why is he not going after batsnacks or why the delayed response in going after me?

Ok, let me reiterate what I believe the intent of the self-vote was. He doesn't want a lynch to happen, so he offers himself up if we're just going to choose at random. We're obviously not going to lynch this poor townie who just offered himself up, but he feels pretty strongly about the no-lynch; so, we'll spend time discussing it and discussing it, and ultimately, we may not end up doing what we would have done otherwise.

Does that sound like something he could have done?
 

Sorian

Banned
When I said I knew Sorian would join me in voting Kark my intention was to see if Sorian would actually go ham on someone who claimed, like he said he would twice early game. Sorian emphasized in his first post I think that if anyone even soft claimed that they would hear from him about it. So that's what that was about. Sorian more or less delivered even though I don't think he ever actually voted Kark, though he did say he was holding his vote because he didn't want to risk cutting the day short.

To be frank, I don't believe that his role claim was true, that's why I didn't get as upset as you were probably hoping. I guess lying about your role is a soft claim but saying you are ordinary town reads as so worthless to me that I wasn't too worried about it. Mafia is/was still going to have to discuss whether they actually believe Kark or not so it didn't actually make the pool smaller for them to hit a PR.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
If there's something I did that you don't understand I'm here for like, another 40ish minutes.

Not understand? No. I understand that you voted for Kark.

If this was a play to get reactions, why is he not going after batsnacks or why the delayed response in going after me?

Ok, let me reiterate what I believe the intent of the self-vote was. He doesn't want a lynch to happen, so he offers himself up if we're just going to choose at random. We're obviously not going to lynch this poor townie who just offered himself up, but he feels pretty strongly about the no-lynch; so, we'll spend time discussing it and discussing it, and ultimately, we may not end up doing what we would have done otherwise.

Does that sound like something he could have done?

Sure. I'm aware there are other options. I'm not totally against the possibility. I'm just saying I don't think it's the most likely. Survival of one ordinary town role is a much less important goal than survival of town as a whole.
 

Karkador

Banned
Dying, not necessarily, but killing yourself and putting our power roles in unnecessary danger does.

Honestly, I think claiming Ordinary at this point has a negligible effect on mafia finding PRs. If you guys were going to kill a random anyway, what difference does it make? PRs are in more danger from that nonsense than me claiming I'm Ordinary.
 

Sorian

Banned
If this was a play to get reactions, why is he not going after batsnacks or why the delayed response in going after me?

Ok, let me reiterate what I believe the intent of the self-vote was. He doesn't want a lynch to happen, so he offers himself up if we're just going to choose at random. We're obviously not going to lynch this poor townie who just offered himself up, but he feels pretty strongly about the no-lynch; so, we'll spend time discussing it and discussing it, and ultimately, we may not end up doing what we would have done otherwise.

Does that sound like something he could have done?

No to the bolded. I don't think Kark is dumb enough to think that this group won't go for blood.
 

batsnacks

Member
To be frank, I don't believe that his role claim was true, that's why I didn't get as upset as you were probably hoping. I guess lying about your role is a soft claim but saying you are ordinary town reads as so worthless to me that I wasn't too worried about it. Mafia is/was still going to have to discuss whether they actually believe Kark or not so it didn't actually make the pool smaller for them to hit a PR.

That makes sense to me. Some more background though: in a lot of the other mafia games I've played Kark no-lynch advocating and self voting are both usually instant policy lynches. I can see how those might not be the best policies in every situation but that's what I'm used to.
 

Ourobolus

Banned
That makes sense to me. Some more background though: in a lot of the other mafia games I've played Kark no-lynch advocating and self voting are both usually instant policy lynches. I can see how those might not be the best policies in every situation but that's what I'm used to.

All the more reason for you to want him gone?
 

Sorian

Banned
As far as I know, nobody voted on him just because he offered himself up and accepted that, at face value, as a good solution. I certainly didn't.

In lieu of no other information and it being day 1? I probably would have no problem and you kind of did the same, you just justified it with an extra step of logic where you thought it was a scum power play with some reverse psychology mixed in. He did it so early though that I wasn't willing to just chimp down right away, if this kind of thing had come in the final hours of a boring day 1 though? I wouldn't have went for it and not looked back.
 

batsnacks

Member
Honestly, I think claiming Ordinary at this point has a negligible effect on mafia finding PRs. If you guys were going to kill a random anyway, what difference does it make? PRs are in more danger from that nonsense than me claiming I'm Ordinary.

I don't think this is right. If you claim ordinary, and we kill a different ordinary today that's not you, that's already narrowing down the possible power role pool by 2. That's like a solid 20% chance increase in a blue snipe assuming just 1 blue and 4 mafia.
 
In lieu of no other information and it being day 1? I probably would have no problem and you kind of did the same, you just justified it with an extra step of logic where you thought it was a scum power play with some reverse psychology mixed in. He did it so early though that I wasn't willing to just chimp down right away, if this kind of thing had come in the final hours of a boring day 1 though? I wouldn't have went for it and not looked back.

The added levels of logic go against the original point of this... lol
 

Sorian

Banned
Kark, I wish you would tell me why

Do you want to build a snowman?

It doesn't have to be a snowman

Someone help me with the Frozen references he keeps doing? They're lost on me.

The added levels of logic go against the original point of this... lol

Not really, he didn't do anything to make you add on those levels of logic, you would have added those if anyone claimed ordinary and voted themselves to keep day 1 safe.
 
I don't know how long Kark is going to give me the cold shoulder for, but whatever excuse he's going to make up, I want to get out in front of it and say I'm open to whatever he has to say as long as it's not more slander.
 
I don't think this is right. If you claim ordinary, and we kill a different ordinary today that's not you, that's already narrowing down the possible power role pool by 2. That's like a solid 20% chance increase in a blue snipe assuming just 1 blue and 4 mafia.

I was going to respond with a nearly identical statement.
 

Sorian

Banned
You're missing the point... but I guess it doesn't really matter. Let's move on.

It was supposed to generate discussion that was going to make us change our mind of killing him which you see as him playing a mind game to hide in town as scum. Don't worry, I perfectly understand the place where your vote comes from.
 
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