It´s cute that you think that the US will jeopardize its own economic health and wealth because of Japan. Let me remind you that China is the largest holder of US debt.
The UN is designed to be toothless. That's the only way that the major powers would stay members. The League of Nations failed because it had too much power - it required nations to involve themselves somehow in military conflicts even if it meant going against their allies. This also kept some nations out - like the isolationist United States - and most of the more aggressive major powers, like Japan and Nazi Germany, simply left.
The UN is supposed to act as a forum where the nations of the world can gather peacefully to discuss current issues in a diplomatic setting. That's it. I must say that it does at least perform that task quite well and has probably helped in averting some conflicts, especially during the Cold War.
Care to guess what would happen if the UN was granted power to forcefully go after Russia over Ukraine? Russia would leave, followed by China and a pretty significant number of smaller states aligned with them. The only nations left would be NATO and other Western-aligned nations and the entire point of the UN would be undone. Let's not even begin to imagine what would have happened if those powers had been in place during the rather illegal US invasion of Iraq.
I wouldn't be so condescending when the depth of your analysis can basically be summed up as "we owe them a lot of money!".
The US has its status as the global hegemon to lose if it doesn't defend Japan. Failure to abide by our treaty obligations means the total collapse of US foreign policy, and that's not an exaggeration. We would lose all credibility. If the world sees that the US could not even work up the political will to defend its most important ally, no country is ever going to enter a military alliance with us, which means you can say goodbye to the global system of military bases that's allowed us to have such an overwhelming military and logistical edge over our contenders in the first place. The US obviously has much more to lose from NOT intervening on Japan's behalf.
And the global implications of the US losing its superpower status would be enormous. You would see a rise in militarism in countries that had until that point relied on US security guarantees; global hotspots that had been relatively stable because of the prospect of US military intervention would flare up (Saudi Arabia/Iran, Israel/Iran, Pakistan/India, Eastern Europe/Russia, South Korea/North Korea, etc). Expect arms races and more and more countries seeking their own nuclear deterrent.
You talk about the US economic health as the main deterrent to US intervention. Do you see the US economy doing well in such an uncertain state of affairs? I would go as far as to say that a limited conventional conflict with China would be preferable. Some people may see this as warmongering or jingoism. It's not; I'm just realistic about the fact that the US' superpower status is the single biggest stabilizing force that exists in the world today. A unipolar world is a more stable world, and I have the entirety of human history to back me up on that.
Please. US has lost largest portion of its credibility when Bush II decided to invade Iraq unilaterally. So far US has asked China to take on bigger responsibility in international affairs for a few times, but China has refused to do so on the ground of being a developing country. There is no more credibility US need to sell to other countries in the future. No other country is taking US's promise blindly, be it Egypt, Turkey, Pakistan, Latin America and African counties. There is no point for the US to maintain the credit line when its no need for any other countries. Pretty much every African country has closer relationship to China than the US.
US doesn't need to worry about the internal economy too much as long as the dollar is still the international currency standard. If and when the USD no longer the currency for oil then you can start worry. Why would China start a war with US which will disrupt that international order without anyone to replace the police role. I don't think a scenario of a limited war between US and China will happen at all. That require a miscalculation from both sides, and that doesn't happen in the informational age. There are plenty of things China can do and need to do before a confrontation with the US, cozy up Thailand to build a canal to diversity her energy transportation routes for starter.
This is a non-sequitur. Context makes it abundantly clear that I was referring to a different sort of credibility. That is, the credibility that we would come to an allied nation's aid if they were attacked by an external party. For better or worse, this is the sort of credibility that our whole foreign policy and global military presence is based on. Countries host US military bases on their soil because they're certain we'll defend them from external aggression. Seeing as how several East Asian and Pacific countries (Japan, the Philippines, Vietnam, Australia, etc) are taking the initiative to build closer ties with us and clamoring for increased American presence in the region, I would say the sort of credibility I was talking about is still alive and well.
I wasn't talking about a China vs Japan/US scenario as if it were an inevitability. I'm merely making a case for why I'm absolutely certain that the US would come to Japan's aid IF China were to ever attack them.
The poll, which was released right before the second anniversary of Japan's purchase of the Senkaku islands, showed that a record 93 percent of the Japanese have an "unfavorable impression" of the Chinese; 86.8 percent of Chinese feel the same way about the Japanese.
Yes, definitely. The majority. About 2,352 Chinese citizens who voted in a poll represent what the 1.4 billion living in China think.
Sensationalist post at its best.
http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2014-09/10/content_18571095.htm
over resentment...
Dear god North Korea, please do something really stupid really soon, this is why you exist!
LOL no, not going to happen, there's far too much for China to lose for basically zero gain.
I'm surprised China still only has a single aircraft carrier and it's an old Ukrainian one.
I mean the US has half of the worlds 23 carriers or whatever so it's not like anyone has that much but still.
Then again China doesn't seem that interested in military operations far from home so it makes sense.
Not to mention, China is actually quite a paper tiger. Encircled by countries not exactly friendly to them. No real global satellite system, no forward operating bases, and they still haven't been able to produce top notch military equipment like their own fighter jet engines, etc. They rely on Russia too much still.
Japan on the other hand has modern and top notch military hardware. It's much smaller, but has the advantage of a smaller population and more distributed around the island. Conventionally, the Japanese Navy with defensive posture would lay waste to any offensive Chinese ships and subs.
China has only one real advantage, it's nuclear weapons. But Japan is the world's foremost nuclear producer of uranium and as much as they hate nuclear weapons, they have the material, ability and knowhow to weaponize 1000 warheads within a year if China threatens them this way.
China is significantly overpaying their hand. They are an authoritarian and increasingly corrupt state barely able to hold onto Hong Kong and farther regions where anti-CPC sentiment is high. An attack on Japan would literally destroy their hard earned economy. Think about the world's top automakers, electronics companies, etc. Honda, Toyota, Sony, Nikon, Canon, Mazda, Mitsubishi, all the manufacturing that gets done in China because of Japan.
Who are the major Chinese allies? Pakistan, North Korea, Iran, Sudan, and countries in Africa like Zimbabwe. Who has China been antagonizing recently? Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, and even India.
This nationalism is only the creation of a declining Communist party that tries to shift it's own failings onto external sources. Just read Chinese news one day. It sounds like a belligerent elementary kid wrote it. Japan has done this, India has done this, USA has done this, Australia has done this, UK has done this etc.
Holy shit! I had no idea that there was such an overwhelming resentment for one another.
Not to mention, China is actually quite a paper tiger. Encircled by countries not exactly friendly to them. No real global satellite system, no forward operating bases, and they still haven't been able to produce top notch military equipment like their own fighter jet engines, etc. They rely on Russia too much still.
Japan on the other hand has modern and top notch military hardware. It's much smaller, but has the advantage of a smaller population and more distributed around the island. Conventionally, the Japanese Navy with defensive posture would lay waste to any offensive Chinese ships and subs.
China has only one real advantage, it's nuclear weapons. But Japan is the world's foremost nuclear producer of uranium and as much as they hate nuclear weapons, they have the material, ability and knowhow to weaponize 1000 warheads within a year if China threatens them this way.
China is significantly overpaying their hand. They are an authoritarian and increasingly corrupt state barely able to hold onto Hong Kong and farther regions where anti-CPC sentiment is high. An attack on Japan would literally destroy their hard earned economy. Think about the world's top automakers, electronics companies, etc. Honda, Toyota, Sony, Nikon, Canon, Mazda, Mitsubishi, all the manufacturing that gets done in China because of Japan.
Who are the major Chinese allies? Pakistan, North Korea, Iran, Sudan, and countries in Africa like Zimbabwe. Who has China been antagonizing recently? Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, and even India.
This nationalism is only the creation of a declining Communist party that tries to shift it's own failings onto external sources. Just read Chinese news one day. It sounds like a belligerent elementary kid wrote it. Japan has done this, India has done this, USA has done this, Australia has done this, UK has done this etc.
Kinda the point of statistics and polls are that you don't have to poll everyone. Everytime polls are brought up I swear...
didn't china made a new missile technology thing that was going to make the US carriers obsolete? i remember reading such an article not too long ago it seems
China doesn't need Japan. It's the opposite Japan needs China. Japan economy is stagnant and needs China to manufacture their goods at lower cost and they need the Chinese market in order to grow their economy.
China has already started launching rockets successfully. Anything tech related China will be caught up in thirty to forty years. They stole nuclear weapons technology fairly quickly I don't see why they can't do that in other tech fields.
I agree about growing their economy but Japan doesn't need China to manufacture their goods at lower cost. In fact China is becoming too expensive and recent Japanese investment in SE Asia is 3 times that of China. Less risk and cheaper. They also just announced a $34 billion deal with India with plans to double the number of Japanese firms. Japanese investment in China has plummeted the past couple of years.
Australia is close to buying up to 10 submarines from Japan for as much as 20 billion Australian dollars (US$18.7 billion) in a move that would turn the north Asian country into a weapons exporter for the first time since World War II
I'm surprised China still only has a single aircraft carrier and it's an old Ukrainian one.
I mean the US has half of the worlds 23 carriers or whatever so it's not like anyone has that much but still.
Then again China doesn't seem that interested in military operations far from home so it makes sense.
As a Chinese, from this tread, it is sad to see many gaffers misunderstood China. I think I should blame to western medias.
By any chance, please pay a visit to China and you will love my homeland.
About the OP, no. There will be no war against Japan. But I do admit that we don't like Japanese, same as they don't like us.
Who has hegemony in the Pacific right now?
And historically, which country would be deemed problematic if 'militarized.'
My opinion is that all China needs to do to disrupt the hegemony of the US in the Pacific is to force Japan to 'militarize.'
Given the naval capability of the JMSDF, China is no match for Japan in a conventional war without US assistance.
But Japan has already started to 'militarize.'
http://online.wsj.com/articles/aust...arines-410166854?mod=WSJ_hp_Asia_EditorsPicks
What were the reason China holds animosity toward Japan again? I'd say this is exactly what China wanted, in order to get US out of the Pacific.
As a Chinese, from this tread, it is sad to see many gaffers misunderstood China. I think I should blame to western medias.
By any chance, please pay a visit to China and you will love my homeland.
About the OP, no. There will be no war against Japan. But I do admit that we don't like Japanese, same as they don't like us.
Aye, some people seemed strangely excited. I'm pretty sure everyone in Asia doesn't want war. Why would they waste all advancements that has been gained in past decades over some rocks. There might be some oil, but not millions lives worth oil.
But of course everyone wary of war. It is si vis pacem, para bellum after all.
Because China is gaining power again and seems to have a weird superiority complex about proving themselves against their "enemy" Japan for some shit that happened 90 years ago. The grudge is seriously stupid at this point and their harping on it has gotten old, hence the lack of sympathy the world has for the story anymore. Teach the young about it, don't teach them to want to get revenge for grudges of another generation imo. Between all the political scapegoating of Japan by China and Korea about completely unrelated stuff, anti-Japanese sentiments in dramas, and more... its really just pathetic, love China to bits but I dunno, their rhetoric just annoys me.
All three have bigger problems to deal with and general I agree none want an actual war, but we all know politicians are morons who think like 5 year olds. All sides need actual adults to just squash the beef and move on.
Because China is gaining power again and seems to have a weird superiority complex about proving themselves against their "enemy" Japan for some shit that happened 90 years ago. The grudge is seriously stupid at this point and their harping on it has gotten old, hence the lack of sympathy the world has for the story anymore. Teach the young about it, don't teach them to want to get revenge for grudges of another generation imo. Between all the political scapegoating of Japan by China and Korea about completely unrelated stuff, anti-Japanese sentiments in dramas, and more... its really just pathetic, love China to bits but I dunno, their rhetoric just annoys me.
All three have bigger problems to deal with and general I agree none want an actual war, but we all know politicians are morons who think like 5 year olds. All sides need actual adults to just squash the beef and move on.
The JSDF is not going to want to sever its military ties to the United States. The US forces in the pacific are extremely potent and they collaborate very closely with the Japanese and South Koreans. You're going to need to explain why you believe an increased JSDF budget is going to drive America out of the pacific.
didn't china made a new missile technology thing that was going to make the US carriers obsolete? i remember reading such an article not too long ago it seems
No. They developed an anti ship ballistic missile, which is interesting, but does not render Carriers obsolete for the same reason that the existence of Surface to Air Missiles does not render aircraft obsolete, or rifles do not render infantry obsolete. Chinese media love to exaggerate their own military capabilities and western media love a good scare story.
I used to work with a lot of chinese people (chinese car importing) and they all think this(even if its not historically accurated, they all have the same mentality) :
-Japan used to belong to China
-Korea used to belong to China
-They hate japanese A LOT (they all remember the dates of the japanese invasion)
-China is getting a lot of weapons to invade china and korea soon, the same for taiwan
-They consider Taiwan a part of china
-They want to destroy the US
They also are nice people![]()