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Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 ended in the Southern Indian Ocean

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Is it possible we'll never know what happened to this plane? This is starting to sound like another Emila Earhart. The search area is literally thousands of miles
 

Falk

that puzzling face
Yeah, I meant "possible" flight path.

014wvWC.png


here's a really shitty (so please don't quote it) mspaint showing the distinction. Any myriad possibilities could have taken place that results in the position of the plane being along the circular red line at exactly 8:11AM. It literally could have doubled back and been at the top of the southern line, in Indonesia, for example. So saying it's a 'flight path' is misleading as that would imply it's at the endpoint furthest away.
 

MIMIC

Banned
Not a path, the flight path could be anything that gets the plane to any one of those coordinates on that line at the time if the ping.

OK, I totally read that map incorrectly.

Because my next question was gonna be "why do they only think it took two specific paths, either north or south?"
 

Falk

that puzzling face
Well, the red lines are all an exact distance from the satellite that was corroborated to have received the last verifiable MH370 ping at 8:11. Based on the timing of that ping it is impossible for the plane to have been anywhere else except that exact distance away from the satellite, at exactly 8:11
 

2MF

Member
The US Gov't and DoD has had fears of nuclear weapon use for decade. Why wouldn't they, in good conscience, be watching those bases even if it's only for a little bit? They surely would relay information like that to Malaysia since the U.S. is involved.

Why would there be weapons (nuclear or otherwise) in abandoned bases?
 

PopeReal

Member
Cheers for the amendments gents.

12:41am - MH370 leaves Kuala Lumpur for Beijing.
01:07am - ACARS shut off: likely deliberate.
01:21am - Transponder shut off: likely deliberate.
01:22am - MH370 disappears from Subang Air Traffic Control.
***01:22am+ - Timeline murky. At some point MH370 "turns back" westward across the Malay Peninsula, then turns northwest into the Straits of Malacca, and continues flying until it leaves military primary radar coverage. Aircraft movement during this period is considered deliberate.
02.40am - "Contact lost" reported to Malaysian airlines.
***06:30am - Scheduled landing in Beijing, MH370 nowhere to be found.
08:11am - Satellite "pings" MH370. Location impossible to pinpoint. Vague window of "a northern corridor stretching approximately from the border of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to southern Thailand, or a southern corridor stretching from Indonesia to the southern Indian Ocean"

Thanks. This thing has been hard to follow.
 

chaosblade

Unconfirmed Member
Why would there be weapons (nuclear or otherwise) in abandoned bases?

I don't think he means nuclear weapons at those bases. Get the nukes through alternative means (Pakistan, North Korea) and now they have a 777 they can use to transport it and blow up _____.

That said, it's incredibly unlikely because this plane will attract a ton of attention if it's ever seen in the air, anybody who has gone through this much effort to sneak a wanted plane to some abandoned airport in Asia is going to realize that. And it's not getting close to any major cities or anything withing being seen on military radars first.
 

Prez

Member
Wasn't it being said in the beginning that the plane only had 4 hours of fuel left after the transponder was shut off? Why is it now twice the amount of time?
 

Falk

that puzzling face
Wasn't it being said in the beginning that the plane only had 4 hours of fuel left after the transponder was shut off? Why is it now twice the amount of time?

That was never said. What was originally reported was that the engine was subsequently sending automated pings for 4 hours (thus implying 4 hours more of flight). This was denied by Rolls Royce (confirmed) and the sites running the story then corrected it to say satellite pings for at least 4 hours after transponder was shut off (which may be related to the latest verified information, though this one goes up till 8:11AM or ~7 hours)

The airplane presumably had 8 hours of fuel, so it could have flown for 1 more hour beyond that point of last detection, at 8:11
 

Oersted

Member
Wasn't it being said in the beginning that the plane only had 4 hours of fuel left after the transponder was shut off? Why is it now twice the amount of time?

It was always around 7 hours. Thats one of the few things which didn't change.
 

crozier

Member
How would anybody know that it's "this plane" up in the air, though? If they use the exact same transponder (without altering it) there's the Mode S Code, I guess...but does the FAA even look at that thing over the course of a normal day? Is it compared to a database of similar codes? Hell, they could even paint "United" over "Malaysian Airlines" easy enough if they wanted to pass visual muster.

The nukes themselves aren't hard to get for the initiated:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0c4f4NJSB_4&feature=youtu.be&t=4m22s
 

MIMIC

Banned
Cheers for the amendments gents.

12:41am - MH370 leaves Kuala Lumpur for Beijing.
01:07am - ACARS shut off: likely deliberate.
01:21am - Transponder shut off: likely deliberate.
01:22am - MH370 disappears from Subang Air Traffic Control.
***01:22am+ - Timeline murky. At some point MH370 "turns back" westward across the Malay Peninsula, then turns northwest into the Straits of Malacca, and continues flying until it leaves military primary radar coverage. Aircraft movement during this period is considered deliberate.
02.40am - "Contact lost" reported to Malaysian airlines.
***06:30am - Scheduled landing in Beijing, MH370 nowhere to be found.
08:11am - Satellite "pings" MH370. Location impossible to pinpoint. Vague window of "a northern corridor stretching approximately from the border of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to southern Thailand, or a southern corridor stretching from Indonesia to the southern Indian Ocean"

The "red lines", right?

Why is the area so massive?

Fake edit (WSJ):

The automated message would have revealed the plane's distance from the satellite at 8.11 a.m., but not its precise location, said Mikael Robertsson, co-founder of Flightradar24, a website that uses satellite data to track commercial flights.
Ohhhhh.....
 

Prez

Member
That was never said. What was originally reported was that the engine was subsequently sending automated pings for 4 hours (thus implying 4 hours more of flight). This was denied by Rolls Royce (confirmed) and the sites running the story then corrected it to say satellite pings for at least 4 hours after transponder was shut off (which may be related to the latest verified information, though this one goes up till 8:11AM or ~7 hours)

The airplane presumably had 8 hours of fuel, so it could have flown for 1 more hour beyond that point of last detection, at 8:11

Oh alright, I got that mixed up. I read about the plane flying for another 4 hours before it presumably crashed and people were saying it must have crashed after running out of fuel. Pretty confusing.
 

Lonely1

Unconfirmed Member
014wvWC.png


here's a really shitty (so please don't quote it) mspaint showing the distinction. Any myriad possibilities could have taken place that results in the position of the plane being along the circular red line at exactly 8:11AM. It literally could have doubled back and been at the top of the southern line, in Indonesia, for example. So saying it's a 'flight path' is misleading as that would imply it's at the endpoint furthest away.

Again why do people even assume the plane would have followed either corridor after being hijacked and having changed course more than once?


Is based on the distance to the satellite:

zq5ZEug.jpg
 

Pungza

Member
Map with most recent info

jJ5el2x.jpg

Its odd that from what we are told, that no other satellites picked up the planes presence. The northern last point covers a lot of land, and no countries air radars picked it up? And to the south, Austrailia's radars didn't register the aircraft? Yet a satellite thousands of miles away in the ocean did
 

crozier

Member
Its odd that from what we are told, that no other satellites picked up the planes presence. The northern last point covers a lot of land, and no countries air radars picked it up? And to the south, Austrailia's radars didn't register the aircraft? Yet a satellite thousands of miles away in the ocean did
The satellite was in constant communication with one of the engines, sending flight data to engineers for monitoring. It wasn't simply picked up.
 
Well, if they have the time and list of possible locations it could be at that time, couldn't they go back to the spy satellites and see if they've got photos of the plane?
 

EatChildren

Currently polling second in Australia's federal election (first in the Gold Coast), this feral may one day be your Bogan King.
Yeah, remember, the satellite isn't saying "this is the flight path" or "it's anywhere in this space". The satellite just provides data of how far away the aircraft is from the satellite's location. At 08:11am MH370 was pinged at X distance, and so that map shows the possible spread of locations, not necessarily how it got there. Unless the data is busted at 08:11am MH370 was somewhere along those red lines.
 

crozier

Member
Yeah, remember, the satellite isn't saying "this is the flight path" or "it's anywhere in this space". The satellite just provides data of how far away the aircraft is from the satellite's location. At 08:11am MH370 was pinged at X distance, and so that map shows the possible spread of locations, not necessarily how it got there. Unless the data is busted at 08:11am MH370 was somewhere along those red lines.
The satellite doesn't even explicitly provide distance info, does it? Isn't it literally engineers going, "Ok, the ping between the satellite and engine took this long, so it's this far away..."
 

KHarvey16

Member
Keep in mind there's probably some kind of interval these pings were sent at, so it could be up to however long the interval is away from that red line.
 

Lonely1

Unconfirmed Member
The satellite doesn't even explicitly provide distance info, does it? Isn't it literally engineers going, "Ok, the ping between the satellite and engine took this long, so it's this far away..."

Yes, they calculated the distance (to the satellite) that way. Had they had two satellites, they could fine the exact location via trilateration.
 

TrueGrime

Member
Not to get too much off topic but still relevant, this site.. http://www.airdisaster.com/ ..lends a very good perspective into the world of aviation mishaps and safety. There's pictures, reports, and most interestingly (sometimes eerily) audio released sometimes moments before a mishap occurs. Good info all around.
 

Falk

that puzzling face
Not to get too much off topic but still relevant, this site.. http://www.airdisaster.com/ ..lends a very good perspective into the world of aviation mishaps and safety. There's pictures, reports, and most interestingly (sometimes eerily) audio released sometimes moments before a mishap occurs. Good info all around.

Jesus is it possible for any site to be more ad/popup-riddled

(No adblock on secondary machines go me)
 
I'm reading it's a kidnapping or sorts. How reliable is this piece of news? If it is hijacked, then there's a chance the passengers are alive.
 

MThanded

I Was There! Official L Receiver 2/12/2016
I'm reading it's a kidnapping or sorts. How reliable is this piece of news? If it is hijacked, then there's a chance the passengers are alive.
Until there is confirmation of a crash anything is a possibility. However, we have no clue specifically what happened with this plane. Any article claiming to know exactly what happened is FUD.
 

Linkhero1

Member
I'm reading it's a kidnapping or sorts. How reliable is this piece of news? If it is hijacked, then there's a chance the passengers are alive.

We don't have confirmation of such reports at the moment. If it's hijacked and didn't crash anywhere then yeah there might be chance that they're alive, but it's just conjecture at this point.
 
I'm reading it's a kidnapping or sorts. How reliable is this piece of news? If it is hijacked, then there's a chance the passengers are alive.

Kidnapping doesn't really make sense. There's far more practical ways to abduct people if one were so inclined. Besides, those are mostly poor Chinese people who couldn't even pool a decent ransom.
 
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