March 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes April 14th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Gap is ~600k between PS4 and XB1 LTD.
Welfare
Member
He's expecting a 100k+ gap this month I think.
Somewhere in that range.
BruceLeeRoy
Banned
It had a game? Good month for them
XxRampage07xX
Member
This graph is really nice and well done.For those who want a reference to use -
One physical game, yes. That's been pretty normal for the Wii U. If Nintendo isn't putting out a game that month, there often isn't a game that month. There's digital stuff, of course, though, so it's not a barren wasteland, if you're willing to use the eShop.
shinobi602
Member
Prototype Viktor
Member
Placeholder
[3DS] 205K
[PS4] 424K
[WIU] 71K
[XB1] 109K
[3DS] 205K
[PS4] 424K
[WIU] 71K
[XB1] 109K
Mikey Jr.
Member
I had to double check that because I honestly didn't believe it.
I mean, my God. I expected some big game hunter shovelware shit or something. Wow. 1 game for the entirety of March. What a disaster.
Same as last month. (Kirby) It's quite depressing.
Prototype Viktor
Member
How they managed to get witcher 3 promotion when xbone forced their hand in delaying the game the 1st time by not launching in their home country
"One game has the power to change everything," Mr. Iwata said, smiling often during the meeting with reporters
There was some commotion around Xbone launch because Poland was not on a Tier 1 list of supported countries, but game was not delayed because of that. Game was never intended to be launched that early. CDPR first targeted W3 for late 2014, and then moved it to Feb and then to May.
As for promotion deals, they are often signed long before game starts its marketing cycle. MS probably got it because CDPRed worked with X360 before Xbone.
Man-is-Obsolete
Member
Wow, halo bundle and $50 less and still getting handily beat every month by PS4. But we should totally be worried about what we will play exclusively in November guys. Honestly I think Sony has found a winning strategy. Keep their WWS titles out of the holidays to fill the slate for the rest of the year and give each breathing room to shine. They made huge mistakes in the past with releasing titles in the holiday just for the sake of it and they get buried a lot of the time. Now they have found success with Bloodborne, Infamous, Last of Us, and the Order cracked the top ten at least (something it wouldn't have if it were a packed holiday slate) in months outside of holidays.
freefornow
Member
[3DS] 269K
[PS4] 363K
[WIU] 89k
[XB1] 267K
[PS4] 363K
[WIU] 89k
[XB1] 267K
Thanks again! Nothing to say about 3DS and games like Evolve and The Order?
They are indeed again repeating what they did last year.
Their holiday season [at least at this point] looks to be bare for exclusives, but they will attract a lot of customers because their console simply plays multiplatform games better. We will get lot of those this year - W3, Division, AC Victory, Battlefront, Siege, pCARS...]
And again like last year, PS4 has one big multiplatform game in May [W3 vs WD last year], bonus big multiplatform game in early summer [Arkham], one notable exclusive game in the summer [Until Dawn vs TLOUR last year] and one big multiplatform game after summer drought is done in ~1st week of September [MGS V vs Destiny last year].
I'm not fearing for PS4 sales this year. It has good and healthy catalogue of both big and small games [Rime, Soma, Rapture, Wild, Hellblade, GalakZ, No Man's Sky...] and customers view console as very desirable. As a bonus, we can maybe expect $50 pricedrop after Gamescom, probably in time of MGSV if 1GB GDDR5 chips arrive in time and are cheaper than current ram setup. Personally, I think permanent $50 pricedrop will arrive in Q1 2016.
I'll PM the details just in case
Welfare
Member
Witcher 3 is Xbox marketing.
Megadragon15
Member
[3DS] 280K
[PS4] 345K
[WIU] 75K
[XB1] 240K
[PS4] 345K
[WIU] 75K
[XB1] 240K
Sangetsu-II
Member
Sangetsu-II
Member
Won't stop it from selling better on PS4 IMO.
Yes, but game will still sell a lot of PS4 consoles. My post was more oriented to showcase the amount of notable PS4 releases in the remainder of year.
Also, I think that MS did not make as good job marketing W3 as "Xbox game" as Sony did with Watch Dogs in 2013 and 2014.
Yeah, but MS has deep pockets. They have tendency of throwing incredible amount of free pack-in games to new console owners. They could add free W3 to every new console sold from mid-May to September.
However, since PS4 is widening the gap to Xbone with each passing month, worldwide sales of W3 will be firmly in PS4's camp.
Gotdatmoney
Member
First time, let's see how this goes
[3DS] 260k
[PS4] 365k
[WIU] 83k
[XB1] 280k
[3DS] 260k
[PS4] 365k
[WIU] 83k
[XB1] 280k
Sangetsu-II
Member
True but NPD doesn't track bundle-in games so it will still sell better on PS4 no?
MS will probably release some kind of better sales description in their NPD press release. And if the game sells better on PS4, I expect some masterful PR spin.
Welfare
Member
Actually they could bring back that "buy an Xbox One and you get 1 free game" week deal they had during Destiny and they could heavily market Witcher 3 for people to use that "1 game" deal for.
Since there will be Xbone W3 bundle, there is no point in using that. But, that tactic will probably be useful [in US and UK at least] in the week of MGS V release.
Also, we still need to wait a bit an see if MGS V will have same 720p vs 1080p difference as GZ [probably there because of Fox Engine architecture and its need for big framebuffer], and will how will audience react to such resolution difference in late 2015.
Welfare
Member
Will there be a bundle?
They sure are leaving it late to announce this bundle.
W3 was always shown on MS conferences. Chances of Xbone bundle are [IMO] extremely high. If they don't secure one, then the perception of W3 being "MS game" will fall down even further. They don't need that, especially with these PS4 sales.
MS will probably release some kind of better sales description in their NPD press release. And if the game sells better on PS4, I expect some masterful PR spin.
Something about percentage of Xbone adopters that month that "also picked up" W3.
Well, Xbone has some Witcher 3 cards.
Welfare
Member
I don't see there being a Witcher 3 bundle alongside the AC and MCC bundle.
Bishcheckers, is the AC bundle almost gone? I could see a W3 bundle if the only other bundle available was Halo.
Chobel
Member
Why the heck would MS do that? In Destiny's case it made sense, a big popular game marketed for the competition. The Witcher won't be that popular, not even close, and MS already has the marketing deal.
Welfare
Member
Why not?
Witcher 3 will probably be the only time MS can edge out more consoles than Sony in a month before October.
I dnot know if witcher will do anything. Its an rpg and dont those sell better on ps4?
Welfare
Member
Marketing and deals can sway that.
Coulomb_Barrier
Member
CD Projekt Red are very averse to the usual exclusive marketing partnerships the likes of EA, Ubi and Activision pull their pants down for. So I don't think there will be a W3 Xbone bundle.
Chobel
Member
A Witcher bundle is better option and one week promo won't change much. And have I said that The Witcher franchise is not that popular in consoles?
Well, take into account how Witcher 2 sold on X360 and did Witcher 2 pushed X360 sale.
