PantherLotus said:
That illustrates it very clearly. In 2007, PS3 managed to hold steady in Feb, but has been dropping like a rock this year. March looks grim (ignoring possible significant releases and stuff).
Had PS3 trended exactly like it did last year, despite lower total sales thus far, it'd be in a better situation. In other words, PS3 seems to be doing worse than it was doing last year, but that's only based on current trending. We'll have to see if PS3 magically rises to 2007 levels or higher within the following weeks.
PantherLotus said:
:lol
The same difference you seem to be taking so seriously.
7k per week * 8 weeks = 56k units. The difference between last year and this year. Not sure what you're not getting, other than you have a difference of opinion about what "extremely close" means.
I mean, what are you even debating here? Closeness? If you can't see it, you never will. The truth is smacking you in the face like a cosmic 2x4, and I'm swingin it. If it doesn't wake you up with some clarity, I'll just have to get a bigger stick.
Hmm, I think much of this disagreement has been down to misunderstandings of what the term "extremely close" has been used to measure.
The total sales for the year are close, with 2008 being in front, in fact. Of course, 57k sales is insignificant, so it's just a trivial point. What's more important is sales in the longer term, and the shape of the sales trends suggests lower future sales in the short term than in 2007.
For instance...
If Console A sold 100k, then 80k, then 60k, then 40k, you can be like "fuck yeah, 280k consoles in 4 weeks".
If Console B sells 40k, then 50k, then 60k, then 70k, you can be like "220k sales. Good, but it's worse than Console A".
However, Console B shows a growing console and A shows a falling console, which, to me, is a much more significant point than Console A's 60k better sales in those 4 weeks, just as PS3's 2008's declining sales trend is more significant to me than its 57k extra sales thus far this year. So if somebody makes a projection based on these 4 weeks of sales for Console A and B, and claims than Console A will sell better than B because of its 280k over 220k, it'd be very, very odd (well, maybe not odd for GAF). Projections can't really based on that. Projections are based on the trajectory and considerations that will affect that trajectory in the future.