Smiles and Cries
Member
verplant said:
wait if the last number on the top 50 software is about 6,000 and the PS3 sold about 12,000
where is the damn PS3 software sales?
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Media Create Sales 4/23 - 4/29
- Thread starter Cheesemeister
- Start date
wait if the last number on the top 50 software is about 6,000 and the PS3 sold about 12,000
where is the damn PS3 software sales?
super funk
Member
Smiles and Cries said:
I think we can safely assume that every PS3 game sold 5,999 units.
_Alkaline_
Member
Wow Yoshi is still doing nicely.
Smiles and Cries
Member
super funk said:
So what are you saying... half the people who purchased the hardware had no money left to get software?
j/k
edit: Zelda TP sales must suck
_Alkaline_
Member
Smiles and Cries said:So what are you saying... half the people who purchased the hardware had no money left to get software?
j/k
edit: Zelda TP sales must suck
I'm pretty sure Zelda had about 4000 units this week, making it (I think) 444,000 LTD in Japan.
Smiles and Cries
Member
Alkaliine said:
inching along... hope it can double that for Golden Week
Cheesemeister
Member
verplant said:
The numbers were posted with the translated titles on the last page, and have been added to the OP. Thanks for the heads-up!
rikitikitik
Member
Shouldn't it be 0? You're giving the SDF too much hope.AniHawk said:
super funk
Member
AniHawk said:
That reminds me of a pitchers ERA when he gives up a run but records no outs.:lol
_Alkaline_
Member
Innotech said:
I guess Nintendo have to choose. WW sold better in Japan, but TP sold better everywhere else. In the end, and given how easily the Wii is beating its competitors in Japan, I think it's a better option to go with the TP style (or something similar to it) for the next Wii Zelda, so it'll do better in USA and Europe where Wii is dominating less.
My Chemical Mouse
Banned
Sadly these threads have become a complete joke, with actual numbers overshadowed by the usual lolNinwins nonsense.
Dragona Akehi
Retired
My Chemical Mouse said:
Already off your ban? Christ that was quick.
super funk
Member
My Chemical Mouse said:
Youre right. A good poster like you deserves better.
http://www.ps3forums.com/register.php
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
This Week Sales:
Since 11/27/07:
22 Total Weeks of Next Gen sales.
12 Total Weeks of post-holiday sales.
360 - Following the trend: 2-4k. Next Gen Avg = 8,229. Post Holiday Avg = 4,507.
Wii - Established Trend: 63-78k. Next Gen Avg = 103,204. Post Holiday Avg = 72,220.
PS3 - Almost 360's trend: 8-18k. Next Gen Avg = 39,165. Post Holiday Avg = 20,884.
Results, Analysis, & Expectations
● The 360's sales are insignificant. They will not hit 1 million units before its successor is announced. 2k-5k per week for the foreseeable future.
● The PS3's sales are insignificant. Sony will not break 35% market share this generation. 8-15k for the foreseeable future.
● The Wii's sales were expected, even if a bit overshadowed by the DS' triumph. Expect it to return to earth a little, but a little buoyed coming off of a big week. 65-85k for the summer.
GOLDEN WEEK: Expectations for 04/30-05/07
360 - 8k*
Wii - 98k*
PS3 - 15k*
* = within 8k estimation success the previous week!
This Week's Market Share:
LTD Market Share Week-to-Week
Significant Notes:
● The Wii has had a 1 million unit lead on the PS3 for 9 weeks. (currently 1,408,855 lead)
● The Wii sold 8.0x the PS3 this week, and has 2.64x LTD.
● The Wii is around ~11 weeks from breaking 3 million.
● The PS3 is around ~10 weeks from breaking 1 million.
● The PS3 has never. once. outsold. the Wii.
● The Wii seriously has 103k weekly average (22 weeks). The PS3? 39k.
● This is the 4th continuous week that the Wii has sold more than the previous week.
● This is the 1st week in the last 9 that the PS3 sold more than the previous week.
If sales repeated this week's results indefinitely, barring all other factors:
● The Wii will have a 2 million unit lead by JULY 2007. Seriously.
● The Wii will have a 3 million unit lead by NOVEMBER 2007.
Additional thoughts
1. 118k home consoles sold this week in Japan (102K were Wii units).
2. If you're developing for the PS3, you're going multi-platform. If not, Sony is paying you the difference.
3. I have officially moved up my "the PS3 has until this date to figure-it-the-****-out" to January 2008. And it won't.
4. It's...pretty much over. Expect more exclusives to jump ship.
5. The biggest holiday of the year, and Sony makes no attempt at righting their ship and trying to win these important early battles. It's as if they don't even care about Japan. Or they've already given up. Shameful. They have brought shame on what was once a glorious empire.
Seriously...they offer an American Football game as their marquis Golden Week title? It's almost like they want the PS3 to fail.
Since 11/27/07:
22 Total Weeks of Next Gen sales.
12 Total Weeks of post-holiday sales.
360 - Following the trend: 2-4k. Next Gen Avg = 8,229. Post Holiday Avg = 4,507.
Wii - Established Trend: 63-78k. Next Gen Avg = 103,204. Post Holiday Avg = 72,220.
PS3 - Almost 360's trend: 8-18k. Next Gen Avg = 39,165. Post Holiday Avg = 20,884.
Results, Analysis, & Expectations
● The 360's sales are insignificant. They will not hit 1 million units before its successor is announced. 2k-5k per week for the foreseeable future.
● The PS3's sales are insignificant. Sony will not break 35% market share this generation. 8-15k for the foreseeable future.
● The Wii's sales were expected, even if a bit overshadowed by the DS' triumph. Expect it to return to earth a little, but a little buoyed coming off of a big week. 65-85k for the summer.
GOLDEN WEEK: Expectations for 04/30-05/07
360 - 8k*
Wii - 98k*
PS3 - 15k*
* = within 8k estimation success the previous week!
This Week's Market Share:
LTD Market Share Week-to-Week
Code:
Date____ 360 Wii PS3
11/27-12/03: 25% 49% 26%
12/04-12/10: 24% 49% 27%
12/11-12/17: 21% 50% 29%
12/18-12/24: 17% 57% 26%
12/25-12/31: 16% 56% 28%
01/01-01/07: 15% 58% 27%
01/08-01/14: 14% 59% 27%
01/15-01/21: 14% 60% 26%
01/22-01/28: 13% 60% 26%
01/29-02/04: 13% 61% 26%
02/05-02/11: 13% 61% 26%
02/12-02/18: 13% 62% 26%
02/19-02/25: 12% 62% 25%
03/26-03/04: 12% 62% 26%
03/05-03/11: 12% 62% 26%
03/12-03/18: 11% 62% 26%
03/19-03/25: 11% 63% 26%
03/26-04/01: 11% 63% 26%
04/02-04/08: 11% 63% 26%
04/09-04/15: 11% 64% 26%
04/16-04/22: 10% 64% 25%
04/23-04/29: 10% 65% 25%Significant Notes:
● The Wii has had a 1 million unit lead on the PS3 for 9 weeks. (currently 1,408,855 lead)
● The Wii sold 8.0x the PS3 this week, and has 2.64x LTD.
● The Wii is around ~11 weeks from breaking 3 million.
● The PS3 is around ~10 weeks from breaking 1 million.
● The PS3 has never. once. outsold. the Wii.
● The Wii seriously has 103k weekly average (22 weeks). The PS3? 39k.
● This is the 4th continuous week that the Wii has sold more than the previous week.
● This is the 1st week in the last 9 that the PS3 sold more than the previous week.
If sales repeated this week's results indefinitely, barring all other factors:
● The Wii will have a 2 million unit lead by JULY 2007. Seriously.
● The Wii will have a 3 million unit lead by NOVEMBER 2007.
Additional thoughts
1. 118k home consoles sold this week in Japan (102K were Wii units).
2. If you're developing for the PS3, you're going multi-platform. If not, Sony is paying you the difference.
3. I have officially moved up my "the PS3 has until this date to figure-it-the-****-out" to January 2008. And it won't.
4. It's...pretty much over. Expect more exclusives to jump ship.
5. The biggest holiday of the year, and Sony makes no attempt at righting their ship and trying to win these important early battles. It's as if they don't even care about Japan. Or they've already given up. Shameful. They have brought shame on what was once a glorious empire.
Seriously...they offer an American Football game as their marquis Golden Week title? It's almost like they want the PS3 to fail.
Hollywood_mIRC
Banned
Does Nintendo sell a Player's Choice line of DS games in Japan? To me, this seems Nintendo's next step to really drive sales to ridiculous amounts. Brian Age type games have been out a while, and while they seem to be selling okay enough, they could always start that Player's Choice line and really start to drive sells if they wanted. Then again, they're making enough now, but they definately could do that to put even more software into people hands and consider it an investment in getting more people hooked.
Xisiqomelir
Member
My Chemical Mouse said:
I am eager to hear you speak of the actual numbers.
EDIT: Panther is awesome. Paging: Sardonic and
_Alkaline_
Member
Should hardware sales increase or decrease this wed/thurs?
My Chemical Mouse
Banned
PantherLotus said:
Awesome post, would be so much better if you tried to hide your bias atleast a little bit though.
Dragona Akehi
Retired
Link said:
SHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH YOU'LL SPOIL THE SURPRISE
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
My Chemical Mouse said:
Is it so obvious that I wanted Sony to win?
chibcicylist
Banned
PantherLotus said:
Smooches.
Much love!
Hollywood_mIRC
Banned
LOL .. Sony and their fans = humbled. They don't even have their mouthpiece Kutagari to turn to anymore.
Cheesemeister
Member
My Chemical Mouse said:
I don't know what you're talking about.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
PantherLotus said:
Just wanted to restate this:
Don't you (that shmuck that's about to get banned) or anyone else be fooled by my avatar or my love of Zelda and Mario (or Metroid or Smash or Pikmin). I absolutely wanted the PS3 to succeed. I thought gaming had reached a critical mass under Sony leadership that Nintendo could have only once dreamed of--and that makes it better for everyone, regardless of what Nintendo traditionalists would have you believe.
As it stands, it appears that Nintendo has taken a page from Sony's make-it-mainstream handbook -- and Sony has replaced it with Nintendo's old adage of "let's please our base and move out from there."
Also--
And did I really screw up my next week's projections? I thought this thread was the Golden Week thread and the one for next....oh wait. Lemme edit. I think I get it now. Gimme a sec.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
Modified expectations. with about a 5k boost from this week across the board. I wouldn't be surprised if the Wii went down to 90-ish or up to 110ish, though. My dartboard that I've been throwing at has been amazingly accurate, lately.
ghostlyjoe
Member
My Chemical Mouse said:
The Indians won today. Cliff Lee with a brilliant performance. Please don't disgrace the Wahoo. Thanks.
PantherLotus said:
I see you scaled your predictions up from what they were originally. I think Golden Week will actually be a bit lower, but not by much.
Also, I think it's kinda useless to say you predicted sales for the 360 within 8k, when you could be off by nearly 100% and still be less than 8k off.
Otherwise, awesome charts & analysis as always. I'm not quite ready to call PS3 dead yet, I give it one more week.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
justchris said:
Well you definitely saw through my ruse on that one!
I mean...I could predict ZERO and be ****ing closer, no?? But really, my standard for measuring myself has been predicting the Wii sales, and I haven't done too badly at all.Any schmuck on earth can see that the 360 is going to sell 5k or less from now until forever, and the way things are going, PS3 might have already seen its highest sales in one week...that it will ever have. I hope I'm wrong.