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Media Create Sales: Nov 16-22, 2009
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Die Squirrel Die
Member
IIRC the previous DQ remakes did ~1.5million give or take. I wonder if VI will do more than that (DQIX bringing in the less hardcore DQ fans), about the same, or less (DQIX satisfying the DQ itch for most).
Grampasso said:Mmmh... I doubt it could have a bigger opening week... could it? Based on M-create numbers NSMB DS sold 899k on release...1M+ on first week @_@ I just don't buy that. And I bet for shorter legs =)
I could certainly be wrong and the comgnet site isn't infallible or anything..but I don't see why people think its impossible for it to do better 1st week.
Dragona Akehi
Retired
schuelma said:
They already did two years ago.
Here is a battle that famitsu doesn't want to end
Famitsu data:
Difference ~ 1000 with this week's rounded numbers
Famitsu data:
Code:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| | [GBC] Pokemon G/S |[GBA] Pokemon FR/LG|[NDS] Pokemon HG/SS| difference |
| | (Sunday 21/11/99) |(Thursday 29/01/04)|(Saturday 12/09/09)| |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Week| Weekly | LTD | Weekly | LTD | Weekly | LTD | HG/SS-G/S |HG/SS-FR/LG|
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
| 1 |1.425.768|1.425.768| 955.337| 955.337|1.408.980|1.408.980| -16.788| 453.643|
| 2 | 438.280|1.864.049| 286.626|1.241.963| 492.385|1.901.365| 37.316| 659.402|
| 3 | 453.500|2.317.549| 161.550|1.403.513| 166.244|2.067.609| -249.940| 664.096|
| 4 | 301.003|2.618.551| 92.626|1.496.139| 269.978|2.337.587| -280.964| 841.448|
| 5 | 436.828|3.055.379| 82.546|1.578.685| 182.699|2.520.286| -535.093| 941.601|
| 6 | 573.247|3.628.627| 61.591|1.640.276| 151.242|2.671.528| -957.099| 1.031.252|
| 7 | 477.507|4.106.134| 54.069|1.694.345| 99.701|2.771.229| -1.334.905| 1.076.884|
| 8 | 258.734|4.364.868| 49.576|1.743.921| 68.843|2.840.072| -1.524.796| 1.096.151|
| 9 | 145.778|4.510.646| 56.359|1.800.280| 55.637|2.895.709| -1.614.937| 1.095.429|
| 10 | 144.733|4.655.379| 51.076|1.851.356| 48.877|2.944.586| -1.710.793| 1.093.230|
| 11 | 120.138|4.775.517| 30.037|1.881.393| 40.000|2.985.000| -1.790.517| 1.103.607|
| 12 | 98.055|4.873.571| 26.907|1.908.300| | | | |
| 13 | 76.713|4.950.284| 29.698|1.937.998| | | | |
| 14 | 50.421|5.000.705| 43.406|1.981.404| | | | |
| 15 | 48.587|5.049.292| 51.127|2.032.531| | | | |
| 16 | 47.512|5.096.804| 15.027|2.047.558| | | | |
| 17 | 43.827|5.140.631| 14.350|2.061.908| | | | |
| 18 | 34.957|5.175.589| 16.099|2.078.007| | | | |
| 19 | 33.367|5.208.956| 16.029|2.094.036| | | | |
| 20 | 29.743|5.238.698| 13.400|2.107.436| | | | |
| 21 | 21.582|5.260.280| 14.723|2.122.159| | | | |
| 22 | 15.788|5.276.068| 14.578|2.136.737| | | | |
| 23 | 14.204|5.290.272| 14.843|2.151.580| | | | |
| 24 | -| -| 13.614|2.165.194| | | | |
| 25 | -|5.332.897| 17.140|2.182.334| | | | |
| 26 | 9.987|5.342.884| 15.380|2.197.714| | | | |
| 27 | 7.308|5.350.193| 10.931|2.208.645| | | | |
| 28 | 7.879|5.358.072| 12.497|2.221.142| | | | |
| 29 | 7.597|5.365.669| 17.086|2.238.228| | | | |
| 30 | 7.040|5.372.709| 12.141|2.250.369| | | | |
| 31 | 7.722|5.380.430| 10.014|2.260.383| | | | |
| 32 | 7.657|5.388.087| 8.862|2.269.245| | | | |
| 33 | 7.575|5.395.662| 7.316|2.276.561| | | | |
| 34 | 6.449|5.402.111| 6.917|2.283.478| | | | |
| 35 | 7.120|5.409.231| 7.400|2.290.878| | | | |
| 36 | 8.127|5.417.358| 5.792|2.296.670| | | | |
| 37 | 8.796|5.426.154| 4.717|2.301.387| | | | |
| 38 | -| -| 5.240|2.306.627| | | | |
| 39 | -| -| 3.780|2.310.407| | | | |
| 40 | 10.588|5.451.223| 4.849|2.315.256| | | | |
| 41 | 5.995|5.457.218| 4.095|2.319.351| | | | |
| 42 | 7.940|5.465.158| 3.799|2.323.150| | | | |
| 43 | 3.646|5.468.804| 2.971|2.326.121| | | | |
| 44 | 4.704|5.473.508| 3.820|2.329.941| | | | |
| 45 | 5.002|5.478.510| -| -| | | | |
| 46 | -| -| -| -| | | | |
| 47 | -| -| -| -| | | | |
| 48 | -| -| 25.511|2.377.713| | | | |
| 49 | -| -| -| -| | | | |
| 50 | 4.012|5.495.447| -| -| | | | |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
|Year| YTD | LTD | YTD | LTD | YTD | LTD | HG/SS-G/S |HG/SS-FR/LG|
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
| 1 |3.628.627|3.628.627|2.377.713|2.377.713|2.985.000|2.985.000| -643.627| 607.287|
| 2 |2.383.096|6.011.723| 202.800|2.580.513| | | | |
| 3 | 76.421|6.088.144| 141.728|2.722.241| | | | |
| 4 | -| -| 161.429|2.883.670| | | | |
| 5 | -| -| 102.232|2.985.902| | | | |
|----|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|-----------|-----------|
| LTD| -|6.088.144| -|2.985.902| -|2.985.000| -3.103.144| -902|
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Difference ~ 1000 with this week's rounded numbers
PS3 remaining games this year
10/12/09
xx . [PS3] Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Square Enix)
xx . [PS3] Cross Edge (CH Selection) (Compile Heart)
17/12/09
xx . [PS3] Final Fantasy XIII (Square Enix)
xx . [PS3] Daikoukai Jidai Online: El Oriente (Koei)
xx . [PS3] Dynasty Warriors: Gundam 2 (Gundam 30th Anniversary Collection) (Namco Bandai)
10/12/09
xx . [PS3] Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 (Square Enix)
xx . [PS3] Cross Edge (CH Selection) (Compile Heart)
17/12/09
xx . [PS3] Final Fantasy XIII (Square Enix)
xx . [PS3] Daikoukai Jidai Online: El Oriente (Koei)
xx . [PS3] Dynasty Warriors: Gundam 2 (Gundam 30th Anniversary Collection) (Namco Bandai)
Chris1964 said:
Why? It's not like the PS2 versions of IV and V sold 2 million. I expect it to sell in the same range as all the others -- 1.2-1.6 million.
As far as big third party games for go next year for the PSP and the DS (as in, games with the potential or likelihood to move more than or close to a million units), there's MH3, Birth by Sleep, maybe FF13 Agito, against DQ6, Ninokuni, and Layton 5.
Chris1964 said:
I think these are the big 4 for the epic week , PSP2 is the only "new" game , hope it sell better than the remake or the port or the carbon clone.
and if Gundam Vs. Gundam Next did fine ( I think it will ) AM2 better port Border Break to PSP.
they should re-release this next year instead , maybe closer to EoE release to warm up fans for RGG4.
AniHawk said:
Firstly
A: Sony delayed Killzone 2 so Insomniac could have the fall season with R2.
B: WHat did you expect in regards to Ratchet and Clank? A SP only game (at $60) targeted at family audiences on the PS3 is not going to drive sales, while an action adventure game targeted at a mature audience is. Not to mention, Uncharted needs it since it is a fairly new IP, unlinke Ratchet which has had a game every year.
distantmantra
Member
Totobeni said:
Don't encourage them. Border Break better be on a console.
slaughterking
Member
Wonder how this one will do. Yggdra was quite popular, but I'm not sure if people are willing to pay a premium price for a former low-budget mobile game.
Kurosaki Ichigo
Member
No need to rush the next predictions, I'm more concerned about Famitsu leak missing twice (first day sales last week and the weekly leak, although sinobi did have the latter). Would be total ass to lose them in the most exciting period of the year. Hopefully tomorrow we'll see a huge influx of Famitsu leaked materials
Chris1964 said:
Yeah, boring week + big releases = excitement!
Kurosaki Ichigo said:No need to rush the next predictions, I'm more concerned about Famitsu leak missing twice (first day sales last week and the weekly leak, although sinobi did have the latter). Would be total ass to lose them in the most exciting period of the year. Hopefully tomorrow we'll see a huge influx of Famitsu leaked materials
ethelred said:
I think DQ VI will be >1.5 million, but <2 million. And for the battle of third party games, maybe RE PSP (if it's 2010) could help PSP too. And (big) if there's not MHP3 for PSP and (bigger) if DQ X is 2010, Wii even could be nº1 for the year. (yes, I know you were talking about PSP & NDS, but is a thought that crossed my mind reading your post)
Layton Kyouju to Majin no Fue Hit Japanese stores
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6356
Mushihimesama Futari Ver 1.5 for the X360
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6354
this week releases
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6352
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6356
Mushihimesama Futari Ver 1.5 for the X360
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6354
this week releases
http://www.true-gaming.net/home/?p=6352
Kurosaki Ichigo said:No need to rush the next predictions, I'm more concerned about Famitsu leak missing twice (first day sales last week and the weekly leak, although sinobi did have the latter). Would be total ass to lose them in the most exciting period of the year. Hopefully tomorrow we'll see a huge influx of Famitsu leaked materials
Yeah the lack of famitsu leaks is disturbing with the weeks ahead.
Would you mind adding a December hardware prediction for PS3/Wii? There seems to be a ton of interest in that particular battle. I can keep the predictions myself, but since you already have the software going and do such a good job I thought I would ask you first.
There's a pretty neat summary of the Comgnet preorder numbers in post #698 at 2ch in the gaming thread where the Famitsu leak should eventually get posted.
http://dubai.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/ghard/1259243939/
Columns are NSMB DS, NSMB Wii, Mario Kart Wii, Super Mario Galaxy, Mario Party DS, and Mario Party 8, in that order. The rows are preorder points leading up to the game's release with the last two rows being first day numbers followed by first week numbers. Basically, NSMB Wii is almost the same as the next two games combined at this point. They don't list Brawl numbers, though, and I'd expect that one to have had pretty high preorder numbers, too.
http://dubai.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/ghard/1259243939/
Columns are NSMB DS, NSMB Wii, Mario Kart Wii, Super Mario Galaxy, Mario Party DS, and Mario Party 8, in that order. The rows are preorder points leading up to the game's release with the last two rows being first day numbers followed by first week numbers. Basically, NSMB Wii is almost the same as the next two games combined at this point. They don't list Brawl numbers, though, and I'd expect that one to have had pretty high preorder numbers, too.
Spiegel said:You are crazy donny
The game has no chance to sell >5k in the first week
This is the first BEST re-release, and the game hasn't been available new in stores for possibly a year, based on when Famitsu stopped tracking its sales. Combined with NSMB Wii being released and the audiences for that and Dragon Quest probably having a lot of overlap, it could lead to a higher first week for the BEST release than a typical one.
Just random thoughts.
donny2112 said:
Yeah Road linked to a site with all the comgnet numbers from the last 4-5 years giving lot of good data points.
NSMB Wii is ahead of NSMB DS at the same point by over 200 right now. It already has almost triple the pre orders of Galaxy's total and almost a hundred more than Mario Kart's total.
Brawl had a total of 1217 preorders, which NSMB Wii probably won't meet..of course I would argue Brawl is a game that would naturally be much more front loaded and overrepresented on comgnet (Smash appeared on the comgnet rankings more than a year before release- NSMB Wii only started showing up like 5 weeks ago)
Let's not get things out of perspective, Nintendo is the only one out of the 3 running a successful business out of Japan with home consoles. The other two are eating into money.schuelma said:
This YTD watch, with them being on par, hides the huge difference in the success of each of the two business operations. One is pretty successful, one is an abysmal failure.
Dragona Akehi
Retired
Is there anything wrong with Taiko 2 that would cause it to sell so poorly?