Famitsu:
Code:
01. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 1.749.737 1.749.737
02. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 233.429 1.983.166
04. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 85.703 2.068.868
06. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 47.152 2.116.020
05. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 37.582 2.153.602
07. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 25.033 2.178.635
12. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 16.861 2.195.496
16. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 10.558 2.206.054
22. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 8.027 2.214.080
21. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 5.769 2.219.849
27. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 5.422 2.225.271
__. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 3.271 2.228.542
27. [PS2] Final Fantasy X (Square) 3.707 2.232.249
These are the software sales until 14/10/01, three monts after the release of Final Fantasy X (19/07/01). Hardware until 01/07/01 (3 weeks before Final Fantasy X) was 4.249.938. Maybe Famitsu was undertracking but let's accept that this hardware number is the real and not the 4,7M.
Final Fantasy X (first week) to PS2 ratio (until 01/07/01) = 0,412
Final Fantasy X (after 3 months) to PS2 ratio (until 01/07/01) = 0,525
Final Fantasy XIII comes out at 17/12/09. We need the hardware until 3 weeks before FF XIII launch (29/11/09)
According to Media Create until 01/11/09 PS3 is at 3.737.764 and there 4 weeks left. Let's take the very optimistic scenario that PS3 sells 160.000 the next 4 weeks.
Hardware = 3.900.000
Assuming FF XIII follows the path of FF X it would sell:
Final Fantasy X (first week) = 0,412x3.900.000 = 1.606.800
Final Fantasy XIII (after 3 months) = 0,525x3.900.000 = 2.047.500
With the comparison Square-Enix made, taking always the best case scenario and assuming FF XIII follows exactly FF X, FF XIII can sell 2M but it needs a first week of 1,6M.
It's not going to happen. No one believes that, Square Enix, Enterbrain or Media Create.