Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


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It means no contract for acquisition will exist between the two.

I don't think that is true. This is a merger agreement. The terms state that after today ABK can terminate the deal and collect $3 billion. If they decide they want to continue working towards the deal then that is completely up to them. I don't think they have to start over just because they didn't make this date set in the merger agreement.
 
My point about xbox's future takes into account their purchase of Bethesda\Zenimax. It shouldn't take more than that.

You're imposing your expectation for the narrative here. Nobody sane is expecting them to suddenly outsell PS5 or eat away large chunk of the marketshare, since there are also numerous other outside elements beyond MS's control. No reason to conform to your expectation to set up your narrative really.
 
It doesn't though. There is no end date on the deal as far as I can see, just points where the compensation for walking away changes.
The deal was due to be completed by the end of today (Tuesday, July 18).
Now Microsoft and Activision Blizzard are talking about extending the current contract

Once the above date passes the current contract would have expired. They can create a new contract or walk away.

But make no mistake the current contract expires in a bit over an hour.
 
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Once the above date passes the current contract would have expired. They can create a new contract or walk away.

But make no mistake the current contract expires in a bit over an hour.
Show me in the contract where it says that it ends today. It doesn't. Why would you refer to an article when the contract itself is publicly available?
 
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Once the above date passes the current contract would have expired. They can create a new contract or walk away.

Today's date isn't an expiration date. These are the conditions that must be met for MS and/or ABK to terminate the merger. The deal not being consummated by then end of today meats one of the conditions. That does not mean the agreement is automatically cancelled. Notice the words "may be terminated". Not "will be terminated".

Here is the relevant text from the agreement.

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You're imposing your expectation for the narrative here. Nobody sane is expecting them to suddenly outsell PS5 or eat away large chunk of the marketshare, since there are also numerous other outside elements beyond MS's control. No reason to conform to your expectation to set up your narrative really.
The fearmongering (whether someone truly believed that or faked it for sake of fan warrior battle point) that COD would disappear and MS would blitzkrieg the industry taking over is the dumbest thing ever.

And besides, MS and Sony now have a binding 10 year deal on COD. Which this entire debacle focused on. So now that is solved on PS for another decade, why the fear now?

And unless it was clarified, it might not even be a flat 10 year deal. They already have an existing 2 years left. So it might actually be 12 years if the new deal is an extension and not a replacement. I dont remember seeing any articles saying the deal stops at 2033.

So it might even be to 2035 which is around the time PS7 would be coming out.

OK, so if there's proof MS will forever stop making COD games in the year 2035 and beyond where it leads to unfair Xbox dominance, then fine. Bookmark this post and 12 years from now you can say MS is wrong for stopping making COD for PS7.
 

Once the above date passes the current contract would have expired. They can create a new contract or walk away.

But make no mistake the current contract expires in a bit over an hour.


The article says:

The deal was due to be completed by the end of today (Tuesday, July 18). If it is not, Microsoft is expected to pay a $3 billion fee to Activision Blizzard and renegotiate the terms and price of the acquisition.


This is patently false, the $3 billion is a break-up fee if either party decides to walk away from the deal, it's not something MS has to pay just because the 18th of July passes.

 
Today's date isn't an expiration date. These are the conditions that must be met for MS and/or ABK to terminate the merger. The deal not being consummated by then end of today meats one of the conditions. That does not mean the agreement is automatically cancelled. Notice the words "may be terminated". Not "will be terminated".

Here is the relevant text from the agreement.

GuF6HMV.png


7WYWT93.png


I think you're misunderstanding, it just means the current contract has expired, not that they have to start over. Extension is possible. But the deadline is end of today for the current contract prior to receiving an extension.
 
I think you're misunderstanding, it just means the current contract has expired, not that they have to start over. Extension is possible. But the deadline is end of today for the current contract prior to receiving an extension.

I understand the words that I posted very clearly. Nothing in what I posted says this deal "expires" after today.
 
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You're imposing your expectation for the narrative here. Nobody sane is expecting them to suddenly outsell PS5 or eat away large chunk of the marketshare, since there are also numerous other outside elements beyond MS's control. No reason to conform to your expectation to set up your narrative really.

I never said the bolded. You all are implying that extra piece. The last generation it was 67%-33% (PlayStation 4 and Xbox One). The market share for Xbox Series can't be the same this time around. And it better not be worse than that. It'll be embarrassing if it's worse than that 2 to 1-margin. If MS can get it down to 60%-40% in the console space, that would be an outstanding job for them.

Not sure how that's some crazy expectation.
 
The fearmongering (whether someone truly believed that or faked it for sake of fan warrior battle point) that COD would disappear and MS would blitzkrieg the industry taking over is the dumbest thing ever.

I mean, in 2019 Matt Booty literally said he wanted to "Spend Sony Out of Business" in an internal email.

So, with all due respect, I wouldn't consider it "fear mongering" for fans of the others in the industry to be concerned about their futures as XBOX buys massive publishers at alarming rates at which unseen in modern gaming history.
 
I never said the bolded. You all are implying that extra piece. The last generation it was 67%-33% (PlayStation 4 and Xbox One). The market share for Xbox Series can't be the same this time around. And it better not be worse than that. It'll be embarrassing if it's worse than that 2 to 1-margin. If MS can get it down to 60%-40% in the console space, that would be an outstanding job for them.

Not sure how that's some crazy expectation.
If that's the case and PS is still way ahead of Xbox even with activision then what's the big deal? And sony has another 10 years of COD, so what else does Activision have that is so powerful under MS control it's going to unfairly beat PS?
 
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But did you understand mine?

Once the contract expires either party are free to walk away at anytime, OR their will be no lawfully binding document holding them together.

Does that make sense?
1 hour to go!

You are just phrasing it wrong though. In one hour, Microsoft or ABK will be free to terminate the merger agreement. That's what it says.
 
I mean, in 2019 Matt Booty literally said he wanted to "Spend Sony Out of Business" in an internal email.

So, with all due respect, I wouldn't consider it "fear mongering" for fans of the others in the industry to be concerned about their futures as XBOX buys massive publishers at alarming rates at which unseen in modern gaming history.
And that goes in every boardroom.

Every business meeting with sales, marketing and finance people discussing business strategy we all do the same. We literally have Nielsen product ranking charts on screen, discuss which competing SKUs to go after and do pricing, promotion and tactics to get those competing products so low they either quit or the sales guy tells the buyer to do it for us and take their products off the shelf. And it happens.

And the best result is knocking off enough products the competitor literally shuts down their brand and product lines entirely. We've done it to people. They've done it to us.
 
Because the current contract would have expired.

No, because what I'm saying is what the termination clause says. It says nothing about any contract "expiring". You are using your own words and not what is in the agreement.

I'm not going to try to explain it any further. Read the merger agreement.
 
No, because what I'm saying is what the termination clause says. It says nothing about any contract "expiring". You are using your own words and not what is in the agreement.

I'm not going to try to explain it any further. Read the merger agreement.
Why would they need to extend the contract then, if not for it expiring?
 

22 House Republicans Call on FTC to Drop Opposition to Xbox's Activision Blizzard Merger


"we'RE gOnNA TakE thE FIGHt tO BIG TeCH!!", bunch of pussies, they're all part of the same uniparty anyway. Every one of them should get their asses primaried.
 
If that's the case and PS is still way ahead of Xbox even with activision then what's the big deal? And sony has another 10 years of COD, so what else does Activision have that is so powerful under MS control it's going to unfairly beat PS?

Who is saying unfairly beat PS? I said if I'm Microsoft execs I'd be expecting the last 3 years of purchases to make the Xbox brand clearly better than it was. And in turn that should help Xbox win back some market share (40% Xbox Series to 60% PS5) and increase Gamepass numbers to 40 million by the end of this generation.

You don't spend $80 Billion to stand in place.
 
I mean, in 2019 Matt Booty literally said he wanted to "Spend Sony Out of Business" in an internal email.

So, with all due respect, I wouldn't consider it "fear mongering" for fans of the others in the industry to be concerned about their futures as XBOX buys massive publishers at alarming rates at which unseen in modern gaming history.
100%... What you're seeing now is BS spin after the balloon burst of it not being taken off of PlayStation. The 10 year deal keeps Microsoft from using it as leverage as well. That's not what people were hoping for.
 
Who is saying unfairly beat PS? I said if I'm Microsoft execs I'd be expecting the last 3 years of purchases to make the Xbox brand clearly better than it was. And in turn that should help Xbox win back some market share (40% Xbox Series to 60% PS5) and increase Gamepass numbers to 40 million by the end of this generation.

You don't spend $80 Billion to stand in place.

I think the GP numbers are gonna be at or above 40 million just by the virtue of Live Gold being turned into Game Pass Core in a few weeks. So that part won't be a problem without needing to account for new sub sign ups in lieu of Starfield and/or Activision.
 
Imagine a video from Bobby at midnight saying we are walking away it's been a journey and then does the Vince McMahon walk away from the camera
 
Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes to go.
 
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Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes.
I'm always up late so this is just icing on the cake lol
 
Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes.
Nah, that's 3am here.
 
100%... What you're seeing now is BS spin after the balloon burst of it not being taken off of PlayStation. The 10 year deal keeps Microsoft from using it as leverage as well. That's not what people were hoping for.
What spin? A lot of gamers said cod will still be on Ps. It is. And it's now a 10 year deal.

So why would any PS gamer now be mad? You got Cod for another decade. It's not like anyone cared about any other franchise. It was about cod. You got it.

As I said before, if MS cuts the cord a decade from now and that unjustly hurt ps gamers go ahead. But right now there's nothing to substantiate that. And even the ftc and CMA dont think so either as the deal is being green lit by them. So even they don't see any issue or they would had blocked it.

As crazy as it seems, There's a bigger chance of activision canceling the deal due to timing than the feds.
 
Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes.
If Bobby terminates that contract, then Activision will get dozens of sexual harrasment lawssuit.
This deal has been shielding the company from bad press.
All the good returns that the company did will evaporate.
 
Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes to go.
Good to see you finally caught up.
 
Any of you guys waiting up till midnight to see if Phil Spencer and Bobby Kotick are going to turn into a couple of pumpkins are going to be waiting a while.

The merger agreement says the option for terminating the agreement begins at 11:59 PM Pacific Time.

Current Pacific Time is 8:20 PM. You've got about 3 hours and 40 minutes to go.
It's 11:32 here in Ottawa. I am going to bed.

But I am expecting some sort of announcement to extend the deal or close it with CMA conditional approval on successful negotiation talk.

Not having officially announcing extention of agreement is -

- Not fair for the shareholders
- MS is risking Activision walking away. While it's highly unlikely, there could be another offer on the table for higher bid from another company like Tencent or whatever. Which is not in MS favor Not to have a formal agreed on extention.

This is my 2 cents anyway. bargaining meetings usually goes for hours back and fourth and it could be something being done as speak even with the CMA. Who knows at this point. But zero sense Not to have an agreement or sort before 12midnight
 
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