im real bad at detecting sarcasm over the webs...but is this a joke?
I'm being sarcastic, yes. It highlights how value is perceived and how it is often incongruent with talent or performance.
im real bad at detecting sarcasm over the webs...but is this a joke?
Can anyone help me understand how Johnson got more votes than Pedro? I just can't see it.
I'm being sarcastic, yes. It highlights how value is perceived and how it is often incongruent with talent or performance.
I don't see the issue with Smoltz getting in before Mussina.
outside of mussina being just as good..if not better?
People don't play baseball to possibly have a chance at getting to the Hall of Fame. They play baseball because minor league/benchwarmers like Travis Ishikawa make 500k a year.
Well, I'll admit I don't know enough about admissions of cheating after people are already in the hall. If they there were up for the hall know and we knew, then I'd argue the same for them. We know about these guys now, and what many of them did and I don't think they should be in the hall of fame for it.
I think keeping them out could be a line in the sand for future users as well. I don't want the message to be that you can cheater and still get in if people think you were good enough without cheating. IT's why Pete Rose got the permaban. They wanted to make sure that people in the game knew if you gamble on games, it's fucking over for you forever.
Cal Ripken. Nolan Ryan.
Those are two people you'll never hear linked to PEDs, but whose careers I always msintained were suspiciously PED-like. PEDs don't just give you power, they let you recover faster. So you're throwing high heat into the late years like Ryan, yet Clemens gets pegged as suspect for doing the same. Cal's iron man record was also really unusual in the era of long disable lists. People think PEDs mean thick necks and big bats, but it doesn't. Some guys don't necessarily bulk up the same anyway. So all it became was a witch hunt to find scapegoats for the era so baseball could place all the blame on these select individuals and ignore the institutional failures that lead to it. Also to distract from the fact that we really don't know all the people using. We have no idea. So put a face on it, put a ban on them and bury heads in the sand.
I say since we don't know the extent of the abuse, vote guys on their merits. That means Big Mac gets in. And though he was never an amazing player like Bonds, he and Sosa were two guys who helped drive baseball back into the spotlight. Their HR race is remembered for both men, not one over the other. Then again, my entire baseball viewership was during the steroid era. That goes back into the 80s imo, which is when I started watching. PEACE.
Yes you can debate such but numbers are not the whole body of work of a player. In the end a lot of people believe he is first ballot and Mussina is not.
Self evidently that's the case, because Smoltz got in and Mussina didn't. What we're discussing is whether that's reasonable.
Some of us are arguing that perception is not always reasonable or accurate. Some people may play in the right market, or may never be the best player on their team (Smoltz can suffer from this, so too does Mussina) or never be part of a "dynasty" (Mussina actually misses this, as the Yankees late 90s dynasty essentially ended when he joined, and the Orioles before that were terrible).
It doesn't make us right, of course; we're just supporting our argument as best we can. We're asking you to do the same.
You'd have to be insane to stick with baseball just on the off chance you'll be one of the lucky few who makes it to the majors and earns a decent salary. The average minor leaguer makes something like $15-20k a year, and spends his whole season living either on a bus or in a crappy apartment. Anyone in it just for the money won't last long.
Barry Bones OBP'd over .600 one year. SIX FUCKING HUNDRED. He was on base 60% of the time for an entire year. I don't care if he injected bull semen directly into this eyeballs that alone is Hall worthy.
He had 232 walks. It's not that impressive to get walked more frequently because everyone knows your odds of hitting a home run are insane because you're on steroids. His walk rate prior to his 30's was never above 130. It nearly doubled his best walk rate from his 20s.
He had 232 walks. It's not that impressive to get walked more frequently because everyone knows your odds of hitting a home run are insane because you're on steroids. His walk rate prior to his 30's was never above 130. It nearly doubled his best walk rate from his 20s.
Wait you think minor league players are working out and trying to improve because they LOVE the game? My whole point is that saying they wont make the hall isn't a deterrent when millions of dollars is the alternative.
Yeah a .600 OBP is not impressive. Ok guy.
I agree, but he probably needed PEDs to become an inner circle HoFer, for what that's worth. Without PEDs, he was not going to be talked about in the same breath as Ruth or Mays. He was probably on a trajectory to be more like a Wade Boggs or Roberto Clemente level player, but we'll never know for sure.
Have you seen Bagwell's neck? It's mottled. Suspiciously mottled.
The A-Rod witch hunt is ludicrous. The amount of Yankee fans condemning him after singing his praises in 2009 is typical of the fan base.
Like Bonds and Clemens before him, people will get over it once he retires
We know that steroids notably increase regeneration and that both Clemens and Bonds took them. We know that they had unusually long careers with abnormal arcs, both (although particularly Bonds) having strange peaks in their late 30s when that is highly unusual because the body is beginning to break down.
In the sense that nothing can ever be proven with absolute certainty, sure, that's not proven.
I think the better question is whether keeping cheaters out is worthwhile when we already know so many cheaters have gotten in (e.g. spitballers, greeny users, etc.) Of course, the response to that would be that mistakes made in the past does not suggest we should continue to make mistakes in the future. It's a reasonable discussion to have.
And before this is mentioned: yes, at least a few other HoF players lasted in to their 40s the way both Clemens and Bonds did. However, I can't think of a single player whose career peak was at age 37, as it was for Bonds.
One could argue this is just a random fluke, but given that the specific thing steroids are proven to achieve is faster regeneration, it seems much more likely that the steroids assisted him in avoiding the natural aging curve. Bonds had a peak at "normal" ages (28-32) and then began to taper off in a normal fashion by 1999, only to have a massive resurgence unlike anything we've ever seen in his mid to late 30s.
Yep, that's possible. A lot of this is down to perception, and perception is inherently flawed.
Can anyone help me understand how Johnson got more votes than Pedro? I just can't see it.
Yes you can debate such but numbers are not the whole body of work of a player. In the end a lot of people believe he is first ballot and Mussina is not.
So apparently Bill Madden (NY beat writer) didn't vote for Piazza because "players he spoke to who played against Piazza said he used steroids".
He had 232 walks. It's not that impressive to get walked more frequently because everyone knows your odds of hitting a home run are insane because you're on steroids. His walk rate prior to his 30's was never above 130. It nearly doubled his best walk rate from his 20s.
Wait you think minor league players are working out and trying to improve because they LOVE the game? My whole point is that saying they wont make the hall isn't a deterrent when millions of dollars is the alternative.
When almost half your OBP is from walks which is atypically high cuz you're roids, yeah, it's not that impressive. He had 135 hits.
He kind of has a point, Bonds had 120 intentional walks that year because pitchers would rather put him on base than see him hulk smash their pitches 900 feet. Nobody else has ever had more than 45 intentional walks in a season.
yes. why else would they bother with shitty bus rides and nearly minimum wage?
He kind of has a point, Bonds had 120 intentional walks that year because pitchers would rather put him on base than see him hulk smash their pitches 900 feet. Nobody else has ever had more than 45 intentional walks in a season.
outside of mussina being just as good..if not better?
Okay, then just as a a thought experiment, let's subtract 80 of his plate appearances altogether. We'll ignore 80 of his intentional walks.
That'd bring his plate appearances down to 537. He had 135 hits. We'll give him 152 of his actual 232 walks. His OBP would then be... (135 + 152) / 537 = .534.
That's still an insane OBP. It would push that season down to the fifth-best OBP season of all time!
Edit: And I forgot to even add in the nine times he was hit by a pitch. So his OBP would have been .551, making that season the third highest of all time.
It's not as simple as that. In addition to drawing fewer intentional walks, his unintentional walk rate would have plummeted without steroids, as pitchers wouldn't have been so afraid to challenge him. Moreover, the fact that he saw so few hittable pitches allowed him to completely change his approach at the plate, which enabled his batting average to skyrocket as well -- he hit .362 that year, well above his career average of .298 -- as he seldom had to offer at close pitches and instead was able to sit on pitches that were mistakenly left over the heart of the plate. The intimidation factor caused by Bonds' rampant steroid use led to a major increase in all aspects of his offensive performance, not just his home run hitting.
Bat speed is a contributor to a players ability to make contact with a ball
Mechanics could impact if they're hitting grounders, pop ups, line drives, etc.
One could be aided by PEDs and one can't
WTF? So every other 35 year old player just forgot their mechanics after playing baseball all their life. Whereas Bonds just had such great mechanics.
I'm not saying Bonds was never a good hitter. But you first started with a statement that PEDs don't suddenly make you swing a bat better. You are wrong in that you think all it takes is a good swing. Do all players' mechanics get worse, and that's why they end up retiring instead of enjoying their best years ever?
I've got a list here, of Bonds' best seasonal numbers before age 35, compared to his best numbers after 35:
- batting average: .336 at age-28; .370 at age-37; 10% higher thanks to PEDs
- HR: 46 at age-28; 73 at age-36; 59% higher thanks to PEDs
- walks: 151 at age-31; 232 at age-39; 54% higher thanks to PEDs
- OBP: .461 at age-31; .609 at age-39; 32% higher thanks to PEDs
Smoltzie was a post-season monster. Numbers wise Mussina stacks up pretty well against a lot of pitchers in the hall but if you were comparing the two and you had to pick one for the Hall, pretty sure most everyone except yankees fans would choose Smoltz. Does Mussina get in? I don't know, but I dont think anyone will be surprised if he does.
moose wasnt exactly a bum in the playoffs, and its a shame that people put so much stock in a 200 inning sample spread across 14 or 15 years. Mussinas regular season numbers are just as good if not better than smoltz and he deserved to be elected ahead of him. doesnt matter at this point of course, whats done is done. but its not right. and looking at the people that vote makes it clear that a change is needed.
Unfortunately the hall looks at awards before anything else. Smoltz not only got a ring but also the cy young. Moose was always shafted.
but it's stupid when people act like Bonds is ONLY good because he took PEDs. PEDs don't magically make you a better player. You still have to put in the work.
By your logic every player who took PEDs should have a 50% increase in HR, walks, and obp irregardless of their physical ability.
moose certainly got the shaft in 2001. he was far and away the best pitcher in the AL and came in 5th in voting. lol @ wins and losses.
just go to baseball reference and check his numbers. far, far ahead of the players you mentioned.
he wasn't tapering off at all.
If he'd gotten Carl Everett out and finished off his perfect game in 2001, I wonder if his season -- and thus career -- gets viewed differently. Can't believe he came in fifth, without a single first place vote.
Right, because of the surge he had in his late 30s. He was on a normal career path that was tapering off in his mid 30s, then had an explosion of power that's literally unique in baseball history in his late 30s.
Oh yes he was. His WAR from age 29 to 33 is listed this way:
9.4
8.0
7.9
3.6
Totally normal aging curve there: a peak at 28/29 with a gradual decline afterwards in to his early 30s. That curve looks totally normal. The next three years look like this:
7.5
11.6
11.6
A sudden, dramatic ramp back upwards that made his age 37 season better than any season he had in his "prime" 27-32 years.
Maybe he's just a genetic freak who happened to reach his physical peak at age 37. I think it's more likely that he had significant help.
Please note that all of this is different from saying that Bonds wasn't a HoF caliber player without steroids (he was) or saying that others weren't juicing too. I'm only showing here that steroids clearly boosted his performance in the latter stages of his career.
It should be noted that he had injuries for a good portion of that 1999 season and missed like 40% of games that year, which is why his WAR dropped so much there.
2) Bonds played 102 games in 1999. If we extrapolate that over an expected 155 games a year (about what he had been averaging over his career), that equates to ~5.3 WAR, which is notably better than 3.6 but also still a notable decline from 7.9 (which was itself a notable decline from 9.4 two years prior).
I think we should let the PED guys in the Hall, although that will probably take some time. Let the guys from the 90's in the Hall, but severely punish and properly test the players now. Clean up the game.
Also, let Pete Rose in the Hall, and Shoeless Joe. Rose should still be banned from working with a club or for the MLB, but I think he belongs in the Hall of Fame.
Mussina wasn't much of a groundball type pitcher with the exception of his last season in 2008. His GB/FB ratio is roughly league average every other season. Besides, power pitchers who can limit BBs/HRs and eat innings will always be better pitchers than those who pitch to contact.Mussina wasn't a power pitcher though either. He was a groundball type of pitcher. He had several near 20-win seasons and a couple of near perfect games that he loss in the 9th inning - like the one against the RedSox. I think he was an under the radar gem for his time & now is the time for him to be recognized for a stellar career.
Please note that all of this is different from saying that Bonds wasn't a HoF caliber player without steroids (he was) or saying that others weren't juicing too. I'm only showing here that steroids clearly boosted his performance in the latter stages of his career.
So not only was Smoltz grossly underqualified for the hall as a player, he's also apparently a huge homophobe. Aren't voters supposed to take a player's moral character into consideration? That should have disqualified him right off the bat.
]So not only was Smoltz grossly underqualified for the hall as a player,[/B] he's also apparently a huge homophobe. Aren't voters supposed to take a player's moral character into consideration? That should have disqualified him right off the bat.
...Ty Cobb's in the Hall of Fame.
I'm not sure that justifies things. Saying mistakes were made in the past does not necessarily mean mistakes should be made in the future.
Unless you think neither is a mistake, which is also consistent.
How do you figure?