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MLB Offseason '13-'14 |OT| Where the best fans live

CygnusXS

will gain confidence one day
I want to sarcastically wish the Astros a merry 90 loss season, but that would actually be a 21 win improvement and a great accomplishment.
 
Happy New Years and enjoy lots of Ketchup, Mustard and Relish!!!

ifkU45T2MYlYv.gif
 

CygnusXS

will gain confidence one day
http://www.baseballnation.com/2013/12/9/5191112/shin-soo-choo-rumors-projections#202930849

1. Trade Ian Krol, Luis Castillo, James McCann, Blaine Hardy, Ben Guez, Justin Miller & Corey Knebel to the Jays for Jose Bautista & re-sign Bautista to a 10-year, $202M deal. 2. Trade Jose Iglesias, Jose Alvarez, Jose Valdez, Francisco Martinez, Hernan Perez, Argenis Diaz, Dixon Machado & Eugenio Suarez & to the Dodgers for Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez & $10M, & re-sign Ramirez to a 7-year, $140M deal. (The Dodgers eat $96M of the $128M left on Kemp’s contract.) 
3. Trade Nick Castellanos, Devon Travis, Rick Porcello & Casey Crosby to the Marlins for Giancarlo Stanton, Jose Fernandez & Steve Cishek.
4. Trade Tyler Collins, Jose Ortega, Andy Dirks & Don Kelly to the White Sox for Chris Sale. 

5. Trade Melvin Mercedes, Phil Coke, Daniel Fields & Al Alburquerque to the Baltimore Orioles for Matt Wieters. 6. Trade Austin Jackson, Victor Martinez & Jonathan Crawford to the Pittsburgh Pirates for Mark Melancon. 7. Trade Jordan Lennerton, Jake Thompson, Steven Moya & Tyler Stohr to the Braves for Dan Uggla. 8. Sign Francisco Rodriguez to a 2-year, $12M deal.
9. Sign Brennan Boesch to a 1-year, $1.3M deal.
10. Sign Jesse Crain to a 2-year, $7M deal. 11. Sign Matt Thornton to a 1-year, $3M deal.
12. Sign Placido Polanco to a 2-year, $3.2M deal.
13. Re-sign Max Scherzer to a 6-year, $138M deal.

14. Re-sign Miguel Cabrera to a 7-year, $210M deal.
The 2014 Tigers lineup (with predictions for the 2014 season)

1. Matt Kemp CF – .324 AVG., 37 HR, 117 RBI, 48 SB

2. Hanley Ramirez SS – .331 AVG., 31 HR, 111 RBI, 31 SB
3. Giancarlo Stanton DH – .316 AVG., 46 HR, 139 RBI, 9 SB

4. Miguel Cabrera 1B – .364 AVG., 64 HR, 164 RBI, 4 SB

5. Jose Bautista RF – .306 AVG., 51 HR, 143 RBI, 11 SB
6. Dan Uggla 2B – .306 AVG., 36 HR, 106 RBI, 6 SB
7. Matt Wieters C – .275 AVG., 25 HR, 95 RBI, 2 SB
8. Torii Hunter LF – .317 AVG., 20 HR, 92 RBI, 8 SB 

9. Ian Kinsler 3B – .286 AVG., 21 HR, 93 RBI, 23 SB
Bench:
Placido Polanco – IF – .262 AVG., 2 HR, 32 RBI, 2 SB 
Brennan Boesch – OF – .251 AVG., 6 HR, 33 RBI, 1 SB 

Steve Lombardozzi – UT – .246 AVG., 3 HR, 26 RBI, 3 SB

Alex Avila – C – .235 AVG., 8 HR, 45 RBI, 2 SB
The 2014 Tigers rotation (w/ predictions for the 2014 season)
1. Max Scherzer – 25-5, 1.97 ERA, 319 K, 257 IP
2. Jose Fernandez – 22-6, 2.32 ERA, 252 K, 232.2 IP

3. Justin Verlander – 21-7, 2.63 ERA, 239 K, 221.1 IP

4. Chris Sale – 19-8, 2.87 ERA, 227 K, 219.1 IP
5. Anibal Sanchez – 17-8, 2.95 ERA, 215 K, 212.2 IP
Bullpen:
Drew Smyly – MR – 1-2, 1.88 ERA, 74 K, 4 SV
Matt Thornton – MR – 1-3, 2.97 ERA, 49 K, 1 SV 

Jesse Crain – LR – 1-1, 2.35 ERA, 65 K, 2 SV
Mark Melancon – LR – 1-2, 2.73 ERA, 56 K, 1 SV

Steve Cishek – SU – 3-2, 1.86 ERA, 86 K, 6 SV
Francisco Rodriguez – SU – 3-1, 1.72 ERA, 92 K, 8 SV 

Closer: Joe Nathan – 3-0, 1.26 ERA, 103 K, 51 SV
My 2014 MLB predicted standings: AL Central: 

z-Detroit – 117-45

Cleveland – 89-73 

Kansas City – 88-74 

Chicago – 78-84 

Minnesota – 77-85
AL West:

x-Texas – 96-66 

y-Los Angeles – 92-70 

Oakland – 91-71 

Seattle – 87-75 

Houston – 51-111
AL East:
x-Boston – 98-64 

y-New York – 94-68 

Tampa Bay – 90-72

Baltimore- 83-79 

Toronto – 69-93
NL Central:

x-Cincinnati – 98-64 

y-St. Louis – 94-68 

Pittsburgh – 91-71 

Milwaukee – 76-86 

Chicago – 75-87
NL West: 

x-San Francisco – 96-66 

y-Los Angeles – 92-70 

Arizona – 90-72 

Colorado – 86-76 

San Diego – 72-90
NL East:
z-Washington – 100-62 

Philadelphia – 89-73 

Atlanta – 85-77

New York – 73-89 

Miami – 66-96
2014 MLB Playoffs: 

AL Wild Card Game: NYY beats LAA, 4-2; NL Wild Card Game: STL beats LAD, 3-2 ALDS: DET beats NYY, 3-0; BOS beats TEX, 3-2
NLDS: WAS beats STL, 3-1; CIN beats SFG, 3-2
ALCS: DET defeats BOS, 4-1; NLCS: WAS beats CIN, 4-2
WS: DET beats WAS, 4-2
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera (DET) – .364 AVG., 54 HR, 164 RBI, 4 SB 

NL MVP: Joey Votto (CIN) – .337 AVG., 37 HR, 128 RBI, 7 SB 

AL CYA: Max Scherzer (DET) – 25-5, 1.97 ERA, 319 K, 257 IP 

NL CYA: Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – 22-6, 2.38 ERA, 255 K, 229.2 IP 

AL ROTY: Xander Bogaerts (BOS) – .314 AVG., 23 HR, 87 RBI, 8 SB 

NL ROTY: Oscar Taveras (STL) – .320 AVG., 25 HR, 92 RBI, 12 SB

AL MOTY: Brad Ausmus (DET) – 117-45
NL MOTY: Matt Williams (WAS) – 100-62 

 

jello44

Chie is the worst waifu
So.. with the small improvements that the Astros have made... this guy thinks they will finish the same record?

ok.gif

(Now, I'm not saying they won't finish in last, but I think they'll miss the 100+ loss mark at least)
 
So.. with the small improvements that the Astros have made... this guy thinks they will finish the same record?

ok.gif

(Now, I'm not saying they won't finish in last, but I think they'll miss the 100+ loss mark at least)

He also thinks the Jays would trade Bautista for a couple of middling prospects, relievers and an old second baseman. I'm thinking you should probably not take the rest of the guy's predictions as being based in reality.
 

Opiate

Member
Why would you predict the Reds to win 8 more games in 2014 than 2013? They lost Choo and have no notable upgrades to compensate for that ~3-4 WAR deficit. Even if we predict banner / turnaround years for some of the Reds' players, that would need to be a huge jump in performance.
 

BFIB

Member
Why would you predict the Reds to win 8 more games in 2014 than 2013? They lost Choo and have no notable upgrades to compensate for that ~3-4 WAR deficit. Even if we predict banner / turnaround years for some of the Reds' players, that would need to be a huge jump in performance.

I think those 8 wins are based on a manager that actually manages.
 

Friggz

Member
Why would you predict the Reds to win 8 more games in 2014 than 2013? They lost Choo and have no notable upgrades to compensate for that ~3-4 WAR deficit. Even if we predict banner / turnaround years for some of the Reds' players, that would need to be a huge jump in performance.

not terribly far fetched, even last year their actual record was 3 games short of their pythag record. they can get a full year of starts from Cingrani and Cueto, and im still waiting for jay bruce to have 900 ops season. they might be able to make up that 8 win difference.
 

Opiate

Member
not terribly far fetched, even last year their actual record was 3 games short of their pythag record. they can get a full year of starts from Cingrani and Cueto, and im still waiting for jay bruce to have 900 ops season. they might be able to make up that 8 win difference.

Keep mind that's 8 wins if we assume Hamilton is as valuable as Choo was last year. Which doesn't seem at all likely.

If we assume a 3 WAR drop off (which I think is realistic), then that's 11 wins to make up.
 

CygnusXS

will gain confidence one day
I was like WTF, and then I clicked the link and saw Grant Brisbee wrote it.

Its a humor piece people.
Grant wrote the article, not the comment. I do think there's a good chance the comment is a joke, but what makes it amazing is the complexity of it.
 

Friggz

Member
Keep mind that's 8 wins if we assume Hamilton is as valuable as Choo was last year. Which doesn't seem at all likely.

If we assume a 3 WAR drop off (which I think is realistic), then that's 11 wins to make up.

hamilton can be a 4 win player on defense and base running alone. he probably wont reach the offensive standards of choo next year (or ever) whatever he adds can be a plus.
 

Opiate

Member
hamilton can be a 4 win player on defense and base running alone. he probably wont reach the offensive standards of choo next year (or ever) whatever he adds can be a plus.

Assuming that Hamilton will be a 4-5 WAR player right off the bat is extremely optimistic.
 

jello44

Chie is the worst waifu
He also thinks the Jays would trade Bautista for a couple of middling prospects, relievers and an old second baseman. I'm thinking you should probably not take the rest of the guy's predictions as being based in reality.

Oh god, I didn't even realize it was some guy's comment on a SBN blog. I thought it was someone's article.

Not that I am taking it seriously, of course.

It was me. [Austin]

AWWW SON OF A BITCH
 
Keep mind that's 8 wins if we assume Hamilton is as valuable as Choo was last year. Which doesn't seem at all likely.

If we assume a 3 WAR drop off (which I think is realistic), then that's 11 wins to make up.
I like the 2014 Cards' chances at winning the division but I doubt they will reach 97 wins again next season so the gap likely won't be that large. STL/PIT/CIN probably all take a step back or three in terms of win totals.
 
You know there are two teams in Texas, right?

hell, when I got a job at Microsoft I thought I would have a team to root for in the American league. Then Bud Selig happened and I went....shit, I can't root for the home team at all now because they play in the same division as my 'Stros. But at least I can go see a game or two now.
 
General question re: salary strategies. If you were in the market for a big time bat, similar to a Cano this offseason, similar resume and age, would you prefer to give him a 10 year deal with a $25 million AAV, or a 5 year deal with an AAV closer to $40 million. If you were the GM which would you choose? Assume you are on a fairly big market team with cash to spend.
 
General question re: salary strategies. If you were in the market for a big time bat, similar to a Cano this offseason, similar resume and age, would you prefer to give him a 10 year deal with a $25 million AAV, or a 5 year deal with an AAV closer to $40 million. If you were the GM which would you choose? Assume you are on a fairly big market team with cash to spend.

Depends upon how close I thought my team was and if I thought removing flexibility for 4 years was worth having more in 5.

Considering the shortness of tenure most GMs have I wouldn't want to go so all in unless I was sure I was that close.
 

El_Chino

Member
General question re: salary strategies. If you were in the market for a big time bat, similar to a Cano this offseason, similar resume and age, would you prefer to give him a 10 year deal with a $25 million AAV, or a 5 year deal with an AAV closer to $40 million. If you were the GM which would you choose? Assume you are on a fairly big market team with cash to spend.
I've thought the same. I would do the $40 BUT it would just cause huge controversy and will be hugely frowned upon.
 
General question re: salary strategies. If you were in the market for a big time bat, similar to a Cano this offseason, similar resume and age, would you prefer to give him a 10 year deal with a $25 million AAV, or a 5 year deal with an AAV closer to $40 million. If you were the GM which would you choose? Assume you are on a fairly big market team with cash to spend.

5 year, 40 million fo sure. damn 10 year contracts.
 
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