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MMA |OT3| When you lose you're a can, when you win you're unstoppable.

Heel

Member
The UFC is using a ref cam on Saturday.

Megaton!

iz3H9PWG9ysJ8.jpg
 
Didn't BJ fight and lose to GSP while he held the LW title? I don't think Anderson should worry about losing the belt if he loses to Jones. Jones won't fight at 185 to hold 2 titles. If Anderson wins he gets LHW title, if Jones wins he retains. It would pretty much be a fight where Anderson keeps his title win of lose.
 

bone_and_sinew

breaking down barriers in gratuitous nudity
None of the top pros want to fight eachother.
And the joes will fight whoever Joe Silva puts in front of them.
 
Speaking of Poster Boy, this card is the fucking truth.

UFC ON FUEL TV 5 - STRUVE VS. MIOCIC

I'm interested in nearly every single fight. Please hold up.

Sadollah and Pickett are two of my favorite fighters. Sass has been intriguing. Wiman always brings it. Ludwig is always tough. And I'm hoping to see Corassani's head bashed in. And Struve/Miocic is interesting. I dont think Miocic is ready for Struve yet but we'll see. All around solid card for sure.
 

sazabirules

Unconfirmed Member
Sadollah and Pickett are two of my favorite fighters. Sass has been intriguing. Wiman always brings it. Ludwig is always tough. And I'm hoping to see Corassani's head bashed in. And Struve/Miocic is interesting. I dont think Miocic is ready for Struve yet but we'll see. All around solid card for sure.

I remember a long time ago reading your posts about Pickett and that's why I started paying attention to him.
 

dream

Member
So for this week's essay, I did an analysis of the top 75 sports entertainers, as per Google's rankings, and would like to share my insights with all my friends. I'm not going to paste all 75 (the top 10 are, in descending order, John Cena, PBF, Pacquiao, Dwayne Johnson, Brock Lesnar, Muhammad Ali, Gina Carano, Anderson Silva, Mike Tyson, and the Hulkster), but here are some thoughts I had on the shootfighters in the list:

A few things became clear here. One is that when it comes to boxing, there really are only two stars. The hope is Canelo Alvarez becomes the third star and the next big thing. This shows that right now he has not caught on to a great degree with the public, which isn’t to say he won’t, if he’s promoted at the top level. But some people you can see here catching on early. The other is that the legendary names of boxing, Ali, Tyson and even George Foreman, are all bigger stars than all but Mayweather and Pacquiao. Those three and Hulk Hogan are still bigger stars to the public than most of the people in their industries, although nostalgic figures can’t draw on a weekly basis. Really, when it comes to wrestling and MMA, being brand oriented, the secondary brand has a very limited upside no matter what they do and the primary brand can screw up and is going to maintain a level of popularity. Think the NFL and Arena Football. It doesn’t matter who has the most exciting game, one isn’t doing a rating and selling out buildings and the other is. You can hurt the primary brand and help the secondary, but comparing the two and determining by that the primary brand must be doing everything right because it’s ahead of the secondary brand, even if the primary brand is losing market share, shows nothing.

The other thing is to look at movement here. Brock Lesnar’s increase has to do with his WWE return and the Overeem match (which did take place at the end of 2011 but because of the day we figured in, there is a lag of a week or two in these numbers) after being out of action the previous year except for a season of Ultimate Fighter that wasn’t anything special. Carano’s increase is not fight related, obviously. But she’s become a bigger mainstream star based on movie roles. Granted, one starring role in a movie that flopped hardly makes one a movie star, but she has a unique charisma, and that’s why, without any real acting ability and a first movie that flopped, she’s getting regular work in major movies. But it shows her unique appeal.

Chael Sonnen has made himself into a bigger star this year as his second fight with Anderson Silva was considerably bigger than the first, even if less memorable.

The dropping of Georges St. Pierre shows something that I’ve noticed. Legendary boxing figures maintain their status decades after their prime. Legendary pro wrestlers do to a lesser degree. MMA fighters are all about the here and now. There is really no enduring interest. It’s notable that really nobody cares that much about Chuck Liddell and Randy Couture in the mainstream, and they were the top stars only five years ago. GSP was out of action this year due to a knee injury and nobody talks about him. When he fights, he’ll be right back up and he will draw because an inactive MMA fighter that high is impressive. I should point out that in boxing, only certain fighters maintain that aura.

Oscar de La Hoya was still boxing’s biggest drawing card five years ago. and he’s not on this list, nor is Sugar Ray Leonard, who was boxing’s biggest drawing card in a period more recent than Ali and Foreman.

It seems to indicate that for all the money Mayweather and Pacquiao are drawing today, it is not a lock they are not going to be remembered after their retirement at anywhere near the level of a Tyson, Foreman or an Ali. I’d strongly bet against it because when those guys had their big fight, the world did stand still. Even De La Hoya vs. Mayweather, which was the biggest fight of the past decade, did not have that. The last fight I think that really had it was the Tyson vs. Holyfield series and maybe Tyson vs. Lewis, but even though that did big numbers, people deep down knew Tyson wasn’t for real anymore whereas with Holyfield people still thought he was.

Hogan and El Santo can be put in that category as well. It may have to do with less availability of sports and less media fragmentation, combined with people being larger than life at a different level.

Ronda Rousey is the first name to pop on this list that has never been there before. It’s pretty much a sign that if put in the right position to draw, she’s going to be a big deal. But she can easily be a flash in the pan, particularly if she doesn’t get by Sarah Kaufman. If she does get by her and fights Cris Cyborg, she’ll be a significantly bigger deal, and if she beats Cyborg, will likely jump from there. Keep in mind she is not at the level Carano was pre-Cyborg, although having an Olympic medal in an Olympic year gives her a sports credibility that would be beneficial to a media push.

Miguel Cotto’s number is inflated by being linked with Mayweather in the biggest PPV event of the year. He’s a better example of the Juan Manuel Marquez syndrome, or Victor Ortiz. The opponent in the big money PPV match is going to get a ton of interest and attention, but when he loses, much of it is going to go away.

Rashad Evans is there because of his part in the Jon Jones match and the build to that match. Evans to me is not a drawing card on his own. He’s the catalyst in the sense he can make an existing drawing card do even bigger because he’s good at promoting fights and he is a name. But he’s not super popular. He’s kind of hated, but not super hated either. A Rashad Evans fight with Phil Davis isn’t a big deal, but if he can maneuver his way into a fight with Anderson Silva, it will likely be somewhat of a big deal. You can say the same with Sonnen, in that take him away from Anderson Silva and he’s never going to do record business (unless he can get in the title picture with a different champion). But Sonnen has a chance to be a genuine media star and fixture on television in some form.

...

The standing of Junior Dos Santos and Cain Velasquez seems to show that even as the two top heavyweights, they haven’t caught on at the level of lighter weight champions. Velasquez was hurt badly by the nature of the loss to Dos Santos, although if he was to win a rematch, he’d do a lot better. But his natural shyness and lack of charisma does hurt him outside the Mexican-American community. He is very strong with that group and if he wins the title back will be even stronger. While UFC has gained greatly in that demo in recent years, it is nowhere near as entrenched as boxing or pro wrestling (even if Showtime’s Hispanic numbers for MMA at one point were ahead of boxing).

Obviously the entire division lost a ton when Lesnar was no longer in the title picture. For all of the headaches and bad pub, the one who caught on the quickest with the public was Alistair Overeem. Granted, he was in with Lesnar, but his main event with no title at stake was far bigger than the last heavyweight title match, where Dos Santos defended against Mir, who is a genuine star.

Mir as world champion would have been a really big deal, but the reality is that while he’s got his obvious talents, he just isn’t quite at that level as a fighter in the sense the top tier guys like Velasquez, Dos Santos, Werdum, Cormier and Overeem are likely to beat him almost every time.

I don’t think the “white American heavyweight champion” thing in this sport means anything, like the days in boxing where they’d try and manufacture people to fill that role. Mir can talk with the best of them, has a great look, and more important, he can make you like him and he can make you hate him just being himself. Personally, I think Dos Santos should be very good at making people like him but it hasn’t caught on the way you would think he would have. He’s a heavyweight KO artist who usually entertains, and knocked a guy out to win the title in one minute in the most-watched fight in history. But he’s another one of those guys who you can list all the attributes on paper on why he’s a superstar to the public, and in this country, he just isn’t, past the fact he’s got the heavyweight title.

Overeem has the potential, and it is the physique that’s a big part of it, but also the style and the attitude. In the Countdown stuff with Lesnar, you could like him or hate him, but he came across like something really special. But he’s a lightning rod. That failed steroid test will hover over him the rest of his career. It won’t hurt his drawing power, but it will lead to controversy in the sport if he wins the world title. And it will always be whispered loudly if not talked about outright.

...

On the flip side, Ben Henderson, Jose Aldo, Dominick Cruz are all still struggling to break through, and Dolph Ziggler may be a big deal to the hardcore base, but he’s still much like Daniel Bryan was a year ago, in that he’s not a big star past that group. And Alberto Del Rio remains someone who fits all the categories they want to push–Latin star, good looking, speaks well in two languages, looks like a star, great entrance, and yet, with all that, Del Rio has never been a draw and is not over close to his level of push. That’s always been an issue, and it’s like that in all forms of entertainment and even athletics, that people who fit into every category and should be over, as compared to people who shouldn’t for all the same reasons, when put out before the public, it doesn’t always work out that way. There are frameworks and hunches, but there are guys who click with multiple reasons why they shouldn’t. And there are guys who have all the qualities of being can’t miss, but the public just doesn’t care for them past the surface level of cheering and booing because they are pushed guys set out in front of them, but they just don’t care that much about them. Del Rio has had a constant huge push since he arrived, and people see him as a star because he’s in the position of being a star. But he hasn’t clicked anywhere near the level of his push.

...

The Carlos Condit name is a surprise and perhaps a fluke of the system in the sense his match with Nick Diaz did well, largely due to Diaz, but he did win and it did put focus on him and his fight with GSP is going to do well. In that sense, he’s in the same boat Jake Shields was last year, in that the spotlight of being in the right fight garners interest. If Condit loses, I don’t see him sustaining. Of course, if he does beat GSP, that alone may either make him a draw, or at least put him in a position to draw bigger against a Diaz or GSP level star.

The other notable thing is boxing and UFC this year are lacking stars on the upswing. Sonnen is up, but at his age, he’s not the new young star. The hope is for Jon Jones to be that and he’s shown enough in the name recognition and drawing power that you’ve got something. At his age and with his ability, if he stays grounded, there may be potential for him because as a general rule, fighters if they keep winning elevate their drawing power. Their actual drawing power peak usually is a few years after their athletic peak. So Jones could have seven or ten more years and possibly, with his obvious flaws and faults that will keep him from truly connecting 100% (and let’s face it, it’s not like Mayweather isn’t filled with them and he’s currently the top draw of all), he may have a leg up on eventually being that legendary figure for his time.

But the combination of the nature of their changed television deal and seeming decline in overall interest except for the big fights, has made it rough. People like Rory MacDonald and Renan Barao are rising stars, but are not being made. A few years ago, it was UFC making the new stars and leaving WWE behind. Right now the opposite is happening. WWE is making new stars, boxing hasn’t in years and UFC is struggling to do so. And ultimately, in all three business, the consistent ability to make new stars is the key to sustaining the business.

Another issue in UFC is that the more like boxing they become, you can argue, the tougher they make it for themselves. The reality is, that with the exception of a fading Urijah Faber, and Nate Diaz (more because his aura as a star is enhanced by his brother and they become grouped together), UFC has no real stars who compete in divisions lighter than welterweight. It’s something that everyone knows and something nobody wants to say. It’s not impossible, because B.J. Penn was a huge draw as a lightweight and Faber was a big draw as a featherweight and both were major stars at their peak.

The problem is lightweight was log jammed with uncharismatic Gray Maynard and Frankie Edgar. And for a number of reasons, Jose Aldo Jr. and Renan Barao could be the worst thing for their respective divisions in the U.S. market as Brazilians that nobody particularly likes or dislikes, who can’t speak the language, can’t promote, don’t have the charisma of Anderson Silva (who himself struggles to draw with the wrong opponent) and may be so dominant that people just don’t care. I don’t see any featherweight fight in the near future doing a thing if it’s on top. Barao vs. Cruz won’t be a big fight, and if Barao wins that fight, Barao will have a hard time drawing as long as he’s champion. Cruz will do better because he does come across well on television, but there is no indication Cruz has any potential to be a draw either.

Again, it would be easy to simplify this into UFC fans don’t want to see smaller guys. And because of the nature of UFC of trying to have fairly equal rosters of every weight division, we do get a lot of bantamweight, featherweight and soon to by flyweight (and please don’t even think about adding a 115 pound weight class any time soon) matches that will go to decisions with a bunch of guys nobody cares about. Now, as far as being prelims, there’s nothing wrong with them unless they change the dynamic of the promotion. And they have to some degree.

It’s not inherent that people won’t support them, because Faber and Penn show that not to be the case. But even in their case, both Faber and Penn had a ton of charisma. Getting over the smaller champions is an uphill battle that can work, but only with the right guy, and the problem is, UFC has not had that guy of late. Ben Henderson is a question. He’s got more than Edgar naturally when it comes to star power, and in his favor, he’s got a resume of some great fights. Right now I see him as a guy who could be a non-liability as champion if he can keep the title, but right now he is not there yet with the public. He’s also in the deepest division when it comes to talent. Diaz as champion can be a star. So could Donald Cerrone and Clay Guida had the potential to be bigger than any of them except he’s not the level of fighter who can be more than a cult favorite non-contender (like a Roy Nelson), and after a while, in UFC which is so results oriented, that can wear out. And Guida obviously has some repairing to do right now.
 

dream

Member
And some other miscellany, mostly for Natch...

Some updated business notes. UFC 147 looks to have done closer to 140,000 buys, which would be the lowest of any PPV since 2005. That’s the Vitor Belfort vs. Rich Franklin show from Belo Horizonte, Brazil. UFC 148 was more than 900,000 but latest estimates have it short of 1 million. We don’t have an update on UFC 149, but the first number we heard was 235,000. Nobody expects UFC 150 with Frankie Edgar vs. Ben Henderson in Denver to do anything special, but they are hoping Jon Jones vs. Dan Henderson can pop a big number. Everyone seems to be more optimistic about Toronto on 9/22 than I am. I see it as a really good show that lacks a main event. November and December if they don’t end up with somebody major getting hurt could both be big ones.


The official gate for UFC 148 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena was 15,104 in the actual MGM Grand Garden Arena, I don’t know how they put that many in because they usually sell out at just over 14,000) in the building which was 13,606 tickets sold and 1,498 comps. They actually had it set up for 15,168 people with 64 unsold tickets. The gate was $6,901,655 in the arena, the second largest in UFC history (behind April 30, 2011 at Rogers Centre in Toronto) and largest ever in the United States. While there were closed-circuit locations all over Las Vegas, there was only basically on site location, which you really have to include in totals, the numbers are 16,849 people, 15,099 paid and $6,976,305, the second largest attendance for a UFC event in Las Vegas behind UFC 100 (but a record number actually inside the arena) and easily the largest gate for MMA ever in the United States. UFC 100 had more official closed-circuit locations on the strip so total attendance was 17,702 (10,831 in the Mandalay Bay Events Center and 6,831 on closed circuit), and the combined gate was $5,441,290. The on site closed circuit for UFC 148 was a sellout with 1,745, of which 1,493 were paid, and $74,650. The record is based on the highest ticket prices ever for a UFC show, but they did sell the tickets (a lot went to casinos but the vast majority went to fans, and when boxing does the giant gates they are mostly casino buys as opposed to fan buys).


Velasquez has been pushing to get a date confirmed for his match with Dos Santos, as the Dos Santos camp has still not agreed to one which is why there still haven’t been a confirmation of when the fight will take place.


Roy Nelson started the build for the TUF season by challenging Shane Carwin to not wait for December (when they are scheduled to fight, likely either on FOX on 12/8 or on PPV on 12/29), but to fight at UFC 151 (which would be 9/1) and asking if that’s enough time to cycle off. They went back-and-forth on Twitter, and then both ended up deleting their posts. Nelson made a long list of people he was going to bring in to help teach his team, and included the names Victor Conte, King Mo and Kurt Angle. Conte served time as part of the BALCO scandal where they came up with PED programs that couldn’t be detected and had huge name clients including Marion Jones and Barry Bonds. Conte ended up being convicted, but is now coaching fighters and does media as the expert in trying to close the loopholes in MMA commission drug testing and is affiliated with VADA. Carwin made a remark that at least his coaches aren’t convicted criminals. He then said that UFC wouldn’t allow Conte, Mo or Angle to be brought in. I don’t know how serious he was about this but it was covered as if he was serious and was told he couldn’t have them. Angle and Mo would be viable as wrestling coaches but Mo is going to pushed as the top star on Bellator, and Conte is a controversial figure who often criticizes UFC and the commissions regarding drug testing.


And speaking of PEDs, both B.J. Penn and Rory MacDonald have agreed, on their own, at Penn’s prodding, to be the first fighters to undergo VADA drug testing before a UFC fight. The VADA testing consists of regular unannounced both urine and blood testing of the fighters in the final eight weeks before the fight. It’s essentially Olympic standard testing. There are still plenty of things you can do to beat it, most notably GH. But there have been a few boxing matches this year and they caught guys that the athletic commission testing didn’t catch. One boxer was 3.77-to-1 (so fell under the 6-1 level) on his T/E in Nevada, but VADA’s better and more expensive testing for synthetic testosterone nailed him. Penn had at first suggested this, then balked when he realized that if MacDonald tested positive, the fight on 9/22 in Toronto would be off. But he’s since agreed to terms. If either man fails, the results will immediately be sent to the Ontario commission and one would think the fight would be off and the person testing positive would be suspended for nine months to a year.

Thank you BJ :)


Nobody has said anything but there have been a number of hints that Bellator in 2013 on Spike would move to Thursday night at 10 p.m. right after Impact. My feeling is it’s the best time possible, because it gets them away from Friday night where they buck UFC and Smackdown, and Saturday night where they have to go head-to-head with UFC major shows and HBO and PPV boxing. Spike’s consideration of making Impact live on Thursday permanent is part of it, because Spike owns Bellator and thus wants to give it a fresh live lead-in. It also makes the most sense given Bellator did not do well on Friday night, and Saturday night it would too frequently go head-to-head against major UFC events. Another hint is that Bellator is looking at doing more shows on the West Coast in 2013. What led to the rumors getting stronger this week is Bellator is moving its offices to Los Angeles, which is said to be so they can create more connections to get their fighters on television. When Bjorn Rebney has been directly asked, the reaction is always that they are looking at a lot of different options. Bellator hasn’t run the West Coast because of the feeling that 8 p.m. Eastern on Friday is 5 p.m. on the West Coast, plus they start more than an hour earlier for the web site fights and the feeling that becomes difficult to get bookings. Bellator runs a lot at casinos that buy the shows, and it’s hard for a West Coast place to buy a 4 p.m. Friday show. If it goes after Impact, it goes live at 10 p.m. Eastern, which if it runs in that time slot, makes West Coast shows preferable to East Coast shows. There have been rumors of this ever since Impact was announced as moving up an hour, but nobody from Spike or Bellator has been willing to say anything concrete about the time slot when the move is made in early January.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
Thanks for the wall of text. Nothing too new or interesting this week. I do think it's funny Canelo Alvarez is considered #3 in the sport of boxing - that shows how weak on a name level the sport continues to be. Mayweather is out of jail, and I wonder how long he and Pacquaio keep up their career.

Alavarez and Chavez Jr are pretty big among the Hispanic pop and can be big there, but MMA is really close to swallowing the sport whole.
 

industrian

will gently cradle you as time slowly ticks away.
Holy shit, Olympic boxing is hilarious. One guy just stormed out for getting DQ'd. Following that, some Irishman won his fight by default because his opponent no-showed. The commentators are bitching about the inconsistent officiating. This fucking rules.

I'm amazed at when amateur fighters no-show bouts. Especially at the fucking Olympics of all places.

In a recent amateur Taiwan Muay Thai Championships, one of my training buddies lost a decision on the first day and came as a spectator the next day. The guy who beat him no-showed, leading the organisers to go into the crowd to ask my buddy to take his place. It was mindblowing.
 

GungHo

Single-handedly caused Exxon-Mobil to sue FOX, start World War 3
Erick Silva still needs a nickname.

Dale

In a recent amateur Taiwan Muay Thai Championships, one of my training buddies lost a decision on the first day and came as a spectator the next day. The guy who beat him no-showed, leading the organisers to go into the crowd to ask my buddy to take his place. It was mindblowing.
So... did he? Don't be leaving us with blue balls in the Community. That may work with the plebes in regular OT, but we have standards.
 
Thanks for the wall of text. Nothing too new or interesting this week. I do think it's funny Canelo Alvarez is considered #3 in the sport of boxing - that shows how weak on a name level the sport continues to be. Mayweather is out of jail, and I wonder how long he and Pacquaio keep up their career.

Alavarez and Chavez Jr are pretty big among the Hispanic pop and can be big there, but MMA is really close to swallowing the sport whole.

Dude Canelo is like 12 years old and makes vets look silly.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
Dude Canelo is like 12 years old and makes vets look silly.

A brisk jog makes some of the vets he beat look silly.

I don't see the guy hitting the Pacquaio or Mayweather level of fame quite frankly. The Hispanic population will back him huge along with Chavez, just don't see either of them hitting big time PPV numbers in the states on their own.
 

Gr1mLock

Passing metallic gas
Was going to post this, but I wanted to save MMA thread the insanity. You know, since the guy is basically responsible for poly being banned three months.

I find it funny he associates himself with martial arts, but posts a thread on GAF that his friend was raped and does nothing about it.

This will be in the itinerary for the fox card.
 

TheNatural

My Member!
Wait, what did he do to get poly banned?

It was a post months ago where he made a thread saying 'GAF my friend is being raped by someone she knows." He posted an extremely sketchy story that he added and changed details on over the course of the thread.

Of course, when people like poly pointed out what doesn't add up and didn't sound like rape pointing the obvious ridiculous holes in his story, and so on, it went into the usual moderator nitpicking categorization of 'victim blaming' - even though the asshole OP is sitting on a fucking forum and doing nothing about his friend who is supposedly being raped. And of course, reporting on a potential serious crime on a message board, the mods do nothing about locking the thread or banning the OP for putting the board in such a precarious situation by posting details of a serious crime and no one doing anything. If what he said was true, he did nothing, and the board is there as an audience and that girl ends up abducted or something, guess where the hellstorm is going to fall?

So poly was banned three months, others were banned as well, and it just became one of the typical GAF bait threads where someone posts something extremely sketchy, and if anyone points out how fucking nonsensical the post is, that the moderators take that as victim blaming and ban anyone who questions it. Meanwhile, the OP did nothing, the thread was never locked and just burned out, and it fell into antiquity. Glad once again, all involved had their priorities in totally the right place.
 
I'm listening to the Stern show right now and they're playing Baba O'Rilley. I feel like bald men should be screaming.

Swanson vs Oliveira at 152. That's gonna be a hell of a slobberknocker.
 

ShaneB

Member
michaeljordanlaughing.gif

See i dont know shit about football. So my ass dont talk about football. Why do people love to revel in their ignorance.

Best advice a teacher of mine gave me... stick with what you know, and stay far the fuck away from what you don't know.
 

Boogie

Member
And some other miscellany, mostly for Natch...

Some updated business notes. UFC 147 looks to have done closer to 140,000 buys, which would be the lowest of any PPV since 2005.


wow. 140k buys for UFC 147.

I'm sure that Dana's pretty happy with that number, right natch?
 
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