As I understand it, half of the team (literally) is hurt. Jah, Grayson, Quinn all have bum ankles, and Justice is playing with a broken rib.
Catch-22 for Duke going into ACC Tourney. Go the distance and win it, and the whole team might be in the infirmary by the NCAAT or lose early and get rest, but end up in Kentucky's regional as a 2 seed.
Of course, clutch Duke shows up against good teams so maybe they would somehow overcome the massive size and depth advantage that UK has and...make that game close.
The odd thing is, I don't really fear good offensive teams and skilled teams, because UK's defense is that good when they focus on it. Which is why I don't buy the 'Duke, Gonzaga, Wisconsin have best chance to beat UK because they can shoot. Which is not to say they can't beat us, but those aren't the kind of teams that terrify me based on the historical precedents.
The teams that always fuck us up are teams that are quick, athletic and defense focused, hence fucking UCONN, and that WVU team that knocked out the Wall/Cousins team. That is how you beat Cal's teams historically though, you play a pressing trapping defense with athletic and quick players and don't let them run offense. I can't think of a big game UK has lost since he's been here where it was just because the opponent shot it too well.
I'm not sure who fits that category this year. I guess maybe Arizona, but I haven't been too impressed at all with their bigs when I have watched them. They have a lot of bodies but they are not intimidating.
UVA is clearly a defensive focused team, but they are a conservative scheme based grind it out defense, not the kind of hyper aggressive defense that I'm talking about here. Cal's teams have been perfectly comfortable playing grind it out basketball vs a set defense.
Villanova I haven't watched at all, but just looking at the roster I'm not sure they have to size to match up, they only have 1 player taller than 6'7" in their rotation.
Unrelated but interesting statistic I just noticed. Kentucky has 6 players with a higher BLK% than Okafor, if you count Poythress that is.