New rifts emerge as Trump administration rejects free trade statement at G-20 meeting

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Unless Trump and his cabinet want to be dragged out of the Whitehouse and strung up I don't think any of these doomsday scenarios will come to pass.
 
market's also in a bubble, and it's going to pop sooner or later

Good thing the Trump administration doesn't believe in intervening when it does.

Unless Trump and his cabinet want to be dragged out of the Whitehouse and strung up I don't think any of these doomsday scenarios will come to pass.

You're giving a lot of credit to a group of people with no prior experience in government.
 
This is interesting because free trade has become divisive on the right and left.

Weren't many of the populist democrats opposed to free trade? At least in some form.
 
Good thing the Trump administration doesn't believe in intervening when it does.



You're giving a lot of credit to a group of people with no prior experience in government.

MAD applies to more than just nuclear weapons. Self preservation typically trumps stupidity
 
Loving this.
Don't commit to anything until you verify that the deal is going to work out for your country. That's pretty simple and logical and I'm glad America is taking this stance.
LMAO, wow. Embarrassingly naive and out of touch.
 
Why doesn't the stock market ever take any of this crazy shit into account? You would think something like this would make it sink like a stone.

Markets are really bad at pricing in tail risk. Right now they're functioning as though all the bad stuff Trump says is just talk and none of it will happen, so instead of being scared they're going nuts with anticipation for the coming tax cuts. There will probably be a pretty sizable crash whenever Trump actually pulls the trigger on one of these schemes or really fucks something up.
 
Between 3 and 5 million jobs lost overnight in the import/export businesses alone -- that's an extra 4% unemployment -- coupled with further job losses as demand craters when prices for most goods rise dramatically, plus further job losses as what factories we DO have that import supplies due to their lack of availability in the US can no longer profit without, again, dramatically raising their prices.

This whole this is a losing proposition.

I estimate 15% unemployment because of it, more than three times the number of unemployed. I'm looking for more data on these effects to get a better picture, but that's my immediate assessment. Rejecting free trade and imposing tariffs on anything at all will lead to a reaction from WTO member states, and the US ceases to be a superpower overnight.

That's all it is.

OK, now give me the bad news.


Oh..
 
Loving this.
Don't commit to anything until you verify that the deal is going to work out for your country. That's pretty simple and logical and I'm glad America is taking this stance.

Like clockwork.

I'm looking forward to how you're going to spin the inevitable tanking of our economy.
 
Loving this.
Don't commit to anything until you verify that the deal is going to work out for your country. That's pretty simple and logical and I'm glad America is taking this stance.

"Don't commit to free trade". lol
 
Gee, no way this could have global economic repercussions that could destroy our economy or anything...

It isn't all about America but about allies. How many times has Canada or UK or Germany gone to bat for the US for something. When the US wanted to push a certain deal or something, friends and allies followed suit. EU is on the precipice of massive discontent with the union, UK is leaving and populism is taking hold in other countries. The free trade agreement with Canada has had massive blowback in the EU. Countries like SK and Japan can benefit from free trade. The point is that the recession has just staved off to the point the west is slightly growing again or stable. If the world largest economy is vowing protectionism, isolationism and no free trade deals. It affects countries like Germany far more. The US is not reciprocating here. Also, the US hasn't declined because of free trade deals. It has declined because corporations play the government like a fiddle and lobby officials to pass things that benefit them aka Bill Clinton granting China Most favored nation status and entry into the WTO despite the fact many manufacturers add economists said in 98 it would mean the end of US manufacturing. Oh well, still 4 years, let's see where this goes.
 
yay, let's persue isolationism in a global economy and watch as everyone shrugs and eventually recalibrates going around the US as a trade partner
 
It isn't all about America but about allies. How many times has Canada or UK or Germany gone to bat for the US for something. When the US wanted to push a certain deal or something, friends and allies followed suit. EU is on the precipice of massive discontent with the union, UK is leaving and populism is taking hold in other countries. The free trade agreement with Canada has had massive blowback in the EU. Countries like SK and Japan can benefit from free trade. The point is that the recession has just staved off to the point the west is slightly growing again or stable. If the world largest economy is vowing protectionism, isolationism and no free trade deals. It affects countries like Germany far more. The US is not reciprocating here. Also, the US hasn't declined because of free trade deals. It has declined because corporations play the government like a fiddle and lobby officials to pass things that benefit them aka Bill Clinton granting China Most favored nation status and entry into the WTO despite the fact many manufacturers add economists said in 98 it would mean the end of US manufacturing. Oh well, still 4 years, let's see where this goes.

What the fuck I'm reading here?

I thought most of NeoGAF was against free trade...

Not all free trade deals are equal.
 
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Don't commit to anything until you verify that the deal is going to work out for your country. That's pretty simple and logical and I'm glad America is taking this stance.

Oh sure, not committing to free trade, diversity and making progress against climate change is surely good.

They could have worked out years ago that committing to all that is "working out for their country". They just don't want to or don't care.
 
These fascist are protectionists solely on the fact that they are racist shits.

This attitude is why tech companies can fire thousands of Americans, lie "we can't fill these jobs" then import thousands to come work for less than half as much on HB-2's.

Just because racists are anti globalism, doesn't mean that globalism is some great thing economically especially for the U.S.

Sadly Trump and company are too stupid to realize there is a massive middle ground between an insane agreement like the TPP and being so protectionist that you are going to kamikaze your own economy.

Most "free trade" deals are just a mechanism to exploit cheap labor and rob working people of their efforts.

No you don't understand, if you don't want someone to come replace you for .50 cents on the dollar (probably less than that) you're literally Hitler/KKK grand master wizard.

The point is that the recession has just staved off to the point the west is slightly growing again or stable. .

This is only true for the rich and big corporations.

For the 16 people left in the middle class in the U.S., and small businesses as a whole? NOPE

Welcome to why so many people who thought Trump was a dirtbag voted for him anyways.

In their mind the choices were

A. Clinton who they viewed as scum who wants to continue shit that they won't benefit from.

B. Trump who is scum and will likely make things worse, but has a chance to accidentally 1% chance fix some shit that a GOP or DNC pres would never want to/try to fix.

When your choices are 0% hope of change vs. 1% hope of change + the president is going to say horrible shit...well they choose the lottery ticket and I don't blame them.

Millions of these people voted for Obama voted for Trump, or stay away from the polls. Gaf likes to act like these people voted for Obama twice then decided to become massive racists. Yup that makes sense!
 
I thought most of NeoGAF was against free trade...

Anyone against free trade is either applying the negatives to free trade when in reality the regulatory bodies that ensure equitable circumstances arising from said free trade were scalped and defunded over a decades-long campaign that started with Reagan.

Because of free trade, we've been able to continually grow, enjoy cheap goods that were not normally manufactured here, anyway, the parts of which would need to be imported, or the supplies with which to make those parts would need to be imported. Because of free trade or nominally, cheap trade, competition has driven quality for most things upward and prices for many of them downward.

Free trade is not to blame, here. Rather, the need to deconstruct regulatory bodies, the inherent pursuit of profit in a capitalistic system, and inability to afford domestic goods, caused the king's share of negatives that have arisen from it.

Fix those and free trade is great.

Simply put, wages haven't kept with inflation, poorly run businesses based on short term profit over long-term sustainability has caused a massive increase in inequality, felt at every level, and removal of the teeth of organizations like the SEC, DOL, the defunding of the IRS...it's just a shit show.

Despite all of this, the US still exports a lot. Sure, they import more, but just because we stop importing or exporting doesn't mean that suddenly there will still be demand for those products. The fundamental conceit of a protectionist policies is that they assume it's as simple as that. It isn't. It isn't anywhere close.

People will simply buy less, necessitating that we make less, and our economy will contract. Bigly.

There are a lot of problems in the US, and the majority of them center around how businesses are run. We need strong regulatory bodies with teeth to bite into them and not let go.
 
Loving this.
Don't commit to anything until you verify that the deal is going to work out for your country. That's pretty simple and logical and I'm glad America is taking this stance.

Why would they want to pay a 20% tarif trading with the US when they can make more money trading elsewhere? Like for example: China.
 
It's kind of incredible to see a US administration so actively fighting free trade. That seems so obviously orthogonal with GOP standard policy.
 
Most "free trade" deals are just a mechanism to exploit cheap labor and rob working people of their efforts.
That's true if you talk about trade deals between countries with a great disparity in wealth (mexico and the US for example) but there are also trade deals between countries with similiar wealth were you don't see the mass migration of cheap labor (EU and South Korea deal for example)
 
It's kind of incredible to see a US administration so actively fighting free trade. That seems so obviously orthogonal with GOP standard policy.

I'm pretty sure they're only saying publicly they're against free trade, while still conducting beneficial deals under the table.

Sort of in the same way everyone is screaming that it's time for more goods to be made in America, but everyone is still having things made in China when they look at the bill for manufacturing once they start looking at their own product or budget. Or how conservative values are the most important thing, but then you go to a hotel with an underage boy.
 
They really hate climate change for some reason. It's irrational at this point.

It's aliens. I'm convinced it's aliens. Trump has made contact and the aliens need more carbon in the atmosphere so they can breathe and begin the invasion.
 
Why doesn't the stock market ever take any of this crazy shit into account? You would think something like this would make it sink like a stone.
The people who know how the markets work want to make as possible in the big short that is going to follow this artificial high.

They will make a few trillion and regular people who are about to retire are going to get royally fucked.

Business as usual for America.
 
I hate Trump, but free trade is a disaster. I have to admit Trump's break with the bipartisan Washington consensus could lead to better outcomes under a less monstrous administration.
 
I see a lot of them shrinking back into their shells, like a hermit crab that popped out just to yell the n-word but forgot he was in church.
I have met Trumpers who actually like everything he is doing. Even the lies and the bullshit.

I don't get it...
 
Jesus Christ this administration couldn't be any worse if the Always Sunny guys were running it. It's a fucking burning wreck and Trump can't stop pissing gasoline onto it on a daily basis
 
They really hate climate change for some reason. It's irrational at this point.

Whoever was the first guest on Real Time this week (Sheldon someone) explained this pretty well - it's down to Citizens United giving the fossil fuel industry unlimited lobbying influence and basically forcing any climate-conscious republican representatives to shut up for fear of being primaried.
 
China must be cackling with glee

If Trumps administration continues on this path the world will turn away from the US and towards China as the leader in manufacturing and addressing climate change
 
These idiots don't even understand that a big reason this country is even in such a position of power is due to free trade and trade agreements cultivated over decades.

Infuriating.

It's because most americans are taught since birth that the reason why America is number one is because of a little something called american exceptionalism. Now half the country grows out of it and realizes that's not how it works but republican voters keep believing that shit right until they die. That's how you got Trump.

America doesn't need no trade agreements or good relationships with foreign countries to stay rich and great and powerful. Americans are smarter than everyone and all other countries are just leeches that suck the blood out of the almighty US of A.
 
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