I'm surprised the Patriots are a 9.5 point favorite over the Bills on the road. I think it'll be closer than that, assuming Manuel is fully healthy. I don't expect a big game from Stevie Johnson against Talib, but Manuel should be able to spread the ball around and get some deep shots to Goodwin and Graham. If they can get Spiller the ball in space against the linebackers, he'll be a threat to score every time he gets a touch.