Geno Smith and the Jets
Pass Protection: 56 percent, first in NFL
One of the surprising stories that comes out of the Pass Protection statistic is that the Jets are first, meaning they are the best at protecting their quarterback. It's surprising because Smith has been pressured a lot -- sacked 30 times, third most in the league -- but sacks can be misleading when it comes to the performance of an offensive line, and it's that discrepancy that Pass Protection filters out.
The reason for the high volume of sacks is that Smith is showing a tendency a lot of rookies have: holding the ball. He holds the ball longer than all but three starting quarterbacks -- Terrelle Pryor, Michael Vick and Cam Newton -- each of whom is known for running the ball. But when you look at the average time a quarterback has before he is pressured, Smith gets the most time, at more than 2.6 seconds. So Smith is getting sacked not because his line is failing but because he can't pull the trigger on a throw. Is that his fault or the fault of receivers who can't get open? It is probably some of both, but the blame should definitely not fall on the line.
Smith is getting credit for the fact that the Jets have a chance at the playoffs this year. And there are signs that he could be a good quarterback -- his QBR when not pressured is a very good 84 -- but a lot more credit should be given to the guys giving him time to work with a clean pocket.
Nick Foles and his seven touchdowns
Pass Protection: 70 percent against the Raiders
Foles, a backup quarterback on a mediocre Philadelphia team, threw an NFL record-tying seven touchdowns against the Raiders last weekend. People started immediately talking about him replacing Vick as the starter, and he was the unofficial hero of the week at ESPN.
Here's what slipped under the radar: No one recognized that the Eagles offensive line dominated that game. It gave up two sacks, but the average time before Foles felt pressure in that game was 3.2 seconds, easily the best in the league that week, and his two sacks averaged 3.6 seconds after the snap, when quarterback pressure happens roughly 75 percent of the time. The Eagles offensive line ranks second for the season with 55 percent Pass Protection control, and there is no way that Foles puts up seven touchdowns without it going above and beyond that figure last weekend.
Russell Wilson and 'Chase Games'
For some of us, our favorite NFL games are when the defensive line is constantly getting after the quarterback, what I call "Chase Games." This year, Seahawks games provide nearly constant fun in this way.
Wilson gets chased all the time, in part because he holds the ball and in part because his Pass Protection provides control only 39 percent of the time, second worst in the NFL. The value of Wilson's mobility is that he can survive without a great offensive line. The Seahawks would probably lose an additional two games if Wilson were replaced by a quarterback with average mobility.
Last week against Tampa, the Seahawks protected Wilson just 8 percent of the time, the league low this season, which made for the best Chase Game of the year. The second-best Chase Game of the year was when the Seahawks faced Arizona in October. For the season, the Seahawks D's Pass Rush control of 60 percent is the best in the NFL and the Cardinals' Pass Protection control of 38 percent is the worst, so that game was just a lot of chaos in the backfield.
As we head into this weekend's games, it looks like there is potential for three Chase Games.
Houston and Arizona feature two of the best Pass Rush defenses against two of the worst Pass Protection offenses. Watch Case Keenum and Carson Palmer log miles like they're on a treadmill.
There is a Seattle game too. Wilson is going to run around even if Atlanta's Pass Rush control is only 46 percent. The top-rated Seahawks pass rush faces a Falcons offensive line that has gotten better but still ranks 24th in Pass Protection. If Matt Ryan still is missing the receivers he trusts (though Roddy White is expected to play), he'll likely end up spending more time in the pocket and risking more pressure.
Finally there's the "Monday Night Football" matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. No one knows for sure what the Incognito-Martin fuss is going to do to the Dolphins as a whole when they take the field, but having two top offensive linemen out of a unit that already ranks third-worst in Pass Protection can't be good. It is likely going to mean that Ryan Tannehill will have to show more of that "mobility for his size" that people talked about when he was drafted.