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NFL 2015 CC |OT| - A Fraud's Penultimate Step

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Dragon

Banned
The running back could steal TDs from the qb if you are focused just on stats. TDs may then not reflect the qb's performance.

Why is it so hard to just watch a game and come to your own conclusions?

Most people can't watch all the games. If you're saying watch just one game, well that's a horrible sample size.

I think TD/INT and YPA are pretty good. I think QBR and just QB Rating are not very good at all.
 
The running back could steal TDs from the qb if you are focused just on stats. TDs may then not reflect the qb's performance.

Why is it so hard to just watch a game and come to your own conclusions?

Include the Running back then.

TDs is what all other stats are trying to achieve. In an absolute sense, Who's is better? Alex Smith's 20 TD's or Carson Palmer's 35? Even if the RB "stole" 10 touchdowns from each, we can definitively say Carson was superior.

TD to INT ratio

A TD is 6 points for your team. an INT isn't necessarily 6 points for the opposing team. They are not equal.
 
Most people can't watch all the games. If you're saying watch just one game, well that's a horrible sample size.

I think TD/INT and YPA are pretty good. I think QBR and just QB Rating are not very good at all.

True, but most stats need context, YPA might be the one that needs the least. Everything else including TD/INT you need to break down the plays to get a good idea of what they actually represent.
 

Line_HTX

Member
The most important stat? Probably completion percentage under pressure like hurries and hits.

Hard knockdowns should be important though.
 
Include the Running back then.

TDs is what all other stats are trying to achieve. In an absolute sense, Who's is better? Alex Smith's 20 TD's or Carson Palmer's 35? Even if the RB "stole" 10 touchdowns from each, we can definitively say Carson was superior.

Points scored per offensive drive should then be your benchmark.

I'm still going with handsomeness.
 
Points scored per offensive drive should then be your benchmark.

I'm still going with handsomeness.

While I agree it's a little messy.

I think a cleaner way to do it would be TD's/Game.

Carson Palmer's 35 TDs = 2.19 TDs per game.

Alex Smith's 20 TDs = 1.25 TDs per game.

They're not treating them equally, they're measuring the ratio against other QBs, where an INT is the same thing.



Right, but not all Interceptions are the same.

Ben, Arians and Luck subscribe to the theory that an int on a long Pass = punt and can result in few or even zero points for the other team. Conversely, some interceptions go the distance for 6. A QB may have less interceptions, but more of those interceptions directly resulted in points.
 

bionic77

Member
Include the Running back then.

TDs is what all other stats are trying to achieve. In an absolute sense, Who's is better? Alex Smith's 20 TD's or Carson Palmer's 35? Even if the RB "stole" 10 touchdowns from each, we can definitively say Carson was superior.



A TD is 6 points for your team. an INT isn't necessarily 6 points for the opposing team. They are not equal.
I agree that TDs are the most important stat and generally if you want to see how good a qb is just look at overall points scored, first downs and yards for a team.

Otherwise game to game you need to actually watch the game. Pass protection, drops, field position, quality of the opposing defense, etc, are not reflected in most stats.
 
While I agree it's a little messy.

I think a cleaner way to do it would be TD's/Game.

Carsom Palmer's 35 TDs = 2.19 TDs per game.

Alex Smith's 20 TDs = 1.25 TDs per game.


Right, but not all Interceptions are the same.

Ben Arians and Luck subscribe to the theory that an int on a long Pass = punt and result in few or zero points for the other team. Conversely, some interceptions go the distance for 6.

I think TDs per offensive drive then. Sure it still includes the variable of field position, of which I don't know if that differs significantly per team, but you eliminate the kicker his performance and the amount of turnovers your defense forces.
 

Fox318

Member
NFLTradeRumors.co ‏@nfltrade_rumors 3m3 minutes ago
Sam Bradford Was Reportedly Looking For $25M Per Year From #Eagles http://bit.ly/1PhoAsB
#NFL
730klwi.jpg
 
I think TDs per offensive drive then. Sure it still includes the variable of field position, of which I don't know if that differs significantly per team, but you eliminate the kicker his performance and the amount of turnovers your defense forces.

What about dump offs to RB/TEs/ Screens that go for TDs? You can't evaluate a QB with just stats, any stats, doesn't matter. Watch the film or read break downs if you can't watch that much film, if you really want to get a good idea of how good a QB is, that's the only way.
 

Dragon

Banned
Right, but not all Interceptions are the same.

Ben, Arians and Luck subscribe to the theory that an int on a long Pass = punt and can result in few or even zero points for the other team. Conversely, some interceptions go the distance for 6. A QB may have less interceptions, but more of those interceptions directly resulted in points.

Not all touchdowns are the same either. You throw a screen to Antonio Brown and he runs 65 yards for a touchdown should that be interpreted differently than a play action to Gronk at the goal line?
 

BigAT

Member
The running back could steal TDs from the qb if you are focused just on stats. TDs may then not reflect the qb's performance.

Why is it so hard to just watch a game and come to your own conclusions?

But how many fantasy points do I get for that?
 

bionic77

Member
What about dump offs to RB/TEs/ Screens that go for TDs? You can't evaluate a QB with just stats, any stats, doesn't matter. Watch the film or read break downs if you can't watch that much film, if you really want to get a good idea of how good a QB is, that's the only way.
Yeah football is such a team game that stats are just not as important to me as they might be in other sports.

I mean what stat is there for the play call, the defense you are going against, or the most important one how good your coach is? Even though the Pats are cheats and everything they have done is unfortunately tainted in the eyes of all reasonable Americans, you can't deny that they have a hell of a good system in place for the qb. They do what they can to protect the qb and the offensive line and can keep racking up first downs with a steady diet of screens, dumpoffs and short passes over the middle.
 

Godslay

Banned

Teams are in a bad position and the market sucks.

The draft isn't going to get you a savior most likely if you need a QB, and FA isn't great either.

So that leaves us with project QBs shooting up the charts in the draft, and FA being paid more than they would have been worth a couple years ago.

I don't think Bradford will get $25M. With the market and cap increase? He could drive his value up more, same for other FA QBs that are decent. That's also why I think the $12M - $15M for Oz isn't outrageous either.
 
What about dump offs to RB/TEs/ Screens that go for TDs? You can't evaluate a QB with just stats, any stats, doesn't matter. Watch the film or read break downs if you can't watch that much film, if you really want to get a good idea of how good a QB is, that's the only way.

Well of course, nobody is arguing that, but we're discussing what the best stat would be without having to watch 256 games.

Winz are the best stat

Win Percentage and handsomeness.

Tom Brady wins both, GOAT
 
*Note to NFL GAF: when we buy a team keep Yankeehater away from the GM position at all costs.

The guy had one of if not the best seasons in franchise history, and that is with the WR's dropping a record # of passes, and the OL being unable to open any holes in the running game. Eagles are not going to get a better QB from anywhere else, plus they have a ton of cap space. Give Bradford a deal such that the cap hit is the biggest this year and try to have the numbers be more respectable going forward. At the press conference yesterday Pederson talked about wanting the team to compete this year, there is only one QB available who gives you any chance for that to be true.
 

MechDX

Member
The guy had one of if not the best seasons in franchise history, and that is with the WR's dropping a record # of passes, and the OL being unable to open any holes in the running game. Eagles are not going to get a better QB from anywhere else, plus they have a ton of cap space. Give Bradford a deal such that the cap hit is the biggest this year and try to have the numbers be more respectable going forward. At the press conference yesterday Pederson talked about wanting the team to compete this year, there is only one QB available who gives you any chance for that to be true.

You want to pay him more than Aaron Rodgers......think about it.

Can Bradford even hail Mary?
 

bionic77

Member
Well of course, nobody is arguing that, but we're discussing what the best stat would be without having to watch 256 games.



Win Percentage and handsomeness.

Tom Brady wins both, GOAT
Wins are invalidated due to rampant cheating.

And handsomeness is a subjective statistic that can only be measured by the rigidity of the penis, which can vary greatly from person to person (some of whom don't even have a penis and are thus disqualified from weighing in on this stat, but otherwise can be great people).
 

MRSA

Banned
Some games are worth it!

I say this as someone who knows literally nothing about the games coming out other than they have Fire Emblem on the cover. But that strategy has never failed me before!

Cannot wait for Fire Emblem. Which version you getting?
 
From Twitter

#Patriots LB Darius Fleming played vs #Chiefs with 22 stitches in his R leg. Cut himself kicking out a burning car window to save a woman

Damn
 
Wins are invalidated due to rampant cheating.

And handsomeness is a subjective statistic that can only be measured by the rigidity of the penis, which can vary greatly from person to person (some of whom don't even have a penis and are thus disqualified from weighing in on this stat, but otherwise can be great people).

What about you and your viagra abuse?

You want to pay him more than Aaron Rodgers......think about it.

Can Bradford even hail Mary?

Both can't win playoff games, so I guess there is that.
 
You want to pay him more than Aaron Rodgers......think about it.

Can Bradford even hail Mary?

Aaron Rodgers signed a 5 year, $110,000,000 contract with the Green Bay Packers, including a $33,250,000 signing bonus, $54,000,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $22,000,000.

So Bradford is asking for slightly more, but the Cap has gone up since then and the amount of revenue has also gone up. Bradford is also a FA which will drive his price up considerably. How much would Rodgers get if he was a FA this offseason?
 

Dega

Eeny Meenie Penis
Sorry ran into RG3 on the way and got distracted:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CZLT-BqUMAAuPMU.jpg:large[IMG]

Wonder if he really said that.[/QUOTE]


Not sure about the idea but he'd be better than what we have besides [I]maybe[/I] Savage and BoB could probably improve his play. Could still draft a qb anyway.
 

KingBroly

Banned
I wouldn't pay Bradford $15 million/year. He's not a proven QB on top of being injury prone. I'd barely call him a Top 15 QB at this point.
 
Not all touchdowns are the same either. You throw a screen to Antonio Brown and he runs 65 yards for a touchdown should that be interpreted differently than a play action to Gronk at the goal line?
While that is true, the end result of a TD is always 6 points. Also the likelihood of AB running 65 yards for a score on a regular basis is low. (Though i've always been irked at how much credit the QB receives for plays like those. Necessary evil I suppose,)
 

MechDX

Member
Not sure about the idea but he'd be better than what we have besides maybe Savage and BoB could probably improve his play. Could still draft a qb anyway.

The bastard already delayed our trip to San Diego to live with Bread and made me leave you waiting and you want him as your QB?

Just going to abandon Pip eh? Bread would not be pleased
 

bionic77

Member
Cannot wait for Fire Emblem. Which version you getting?
Probably all of them. Can you please advise me what I should do friend as I am in the dark on this game.

What about you and your viagra abuse?
Unlike Peyton Manning and 90% of the NFL I don't take any performance enhancing drugs.

Its all natural baby.

Its helps that I don't masturbate 5 times a day to anime porn like half of GAF.
 
Well of course, nobody is arguing that, but we're discussing what the best stat would be without having to watch 256 games.

My point is that there really isn't a stat you could use, you just can't.

Teams are in a bad position and the market sucks.

The draft isn't going to get you a savior most likely if you need a QB, and FA isn't great either.

So that leaves us with project QBs shooting up the charts in the draft, and FA being paid more than they would have been worth a couple years ago.

I don't think Bradford will get $25M. With the market and cap increase? He could drive his value up more, same for other FA QBs that are decent. That's also why I think the $12M - $15M for Oz isn't outrageous either.

Yes I know and someone who went 15 years without even a decent back up I understand the feeling of needing a QB but $25M for Bradford? Hell no, Tannehilll doesn't get that much and he has far more upside than Bradford. $18M would be the max for Bradford and that's with a big injury clause.

Yeah football is such a team game that stats are just not as important to me as they might be in other sports.

I mean what stat is there for the play call, the defense you are going against, or the most important one how good your coach is? Even though the Pats are cheats and everything they have done is unfortunately tainted in the eyes of all reasonable Americans, you can't deny that they have a hell of a good system in place for the qb. They do what they can to protect the qb and the offensive line and can keep racking up first downs with a steady diet of screens, dumpoffs and short passes over the middle.

Yup, you have to account for all 11 players plus coaches when breaking down a play/stats, it's just too much to narrow down into a single number for a single players on a football team.
 
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