balladofwindfishes said:
there's a huge vocal backlash against the GOP.
It would be a very odd election if the GOP was so unpopular, yet actually gained seats anywhere The GOP is even unpopular right now in areas usually held by the GOP.
That sort of stuff just does not happen in American history.
The GOP might lose a few seats, but nowhere near enough to lose the House majority and they're going to make gains in the Senate if anything. Best case scenario is the Senate goes back to around 50/50 but that's not really desirable either. Gridlock++
gcubed said:
you are such an inconsistent poster that solely uses stats to peddle only your bullshit that its humorous to watch you
I'm not inconsistent, I'm not peddling bullshit, and I don't solely use stats. If all you can do is sling what are largely personal insults my way, please don't address me.
RustyNails said:
Read the link again. There are quite a few Republican contenders:
But all of them are trailing Casey Jr by double digits. There are no serious GOP candidates for PA Senate because there are no serious GOP candidates left at all. But you want to peddle your doom and gloom fear mongering nonsense based on nothing but grumblings in your tummy.
It's a Senate election that hasn't even warmed up yet. The lead will tighten once the GOP sinks money, rhetoric and advertising behind their candidate. It'll be a much closer race than you are thinking. Trust me, you don't need someone like Pat Toomey to have a decent shot at taking Casey's seat.
balladofwindfishes said:
I have to wonder if it'll actually work again.
If the economy is still bad, it will have been glaringly obvious tax decreases didn't work, and the GOP will have absolutely no prior political policies they enacted while in the house to show that helped at all. Blaming Obama will prove not effective, as Obama remains a widely popular president, even through the worst of times.
They'll have to rely their entire campaign on rhetoric and propaganda, and I'm just not sure how long they can effectively do that as their main demographics slowly dwindle and become much more regional.
If you look at the decreasing religiousness in the country and the growth of atheism and agnosticism, plus our growing number of Democrat voting immigrants in strictly conservative states, it might not be as easy to disillusion the voters as the GOP did last year.
If unemployment is still the same as or above what it was when Obama took office, history suggests he's most likely not getting re-elected.
Their main demographics are dwindling but not so rapidly that it's going to be a profound difference between 2008 and 2012. Maybe in another 10 years, sure.
The growth of non-religious and immigrant voters again is something to take note of, but they're not going to make any significant gains in four years time, certainly not to the point where it's going to be seriously offsetting or surpassing GOP voters. No way. That's going to take time, a lot of time.
balladofwindfishes said:
Just give up... I mean, come on, it just doesn't seem worth it for the GOP to fight this losing battle that's going to have a profound effect on their legislative future and their upcoming election.
They're likely hoping to let the stupid "SUPER CONGRESS" form.