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[B-Dubs]

Detroit needs to start reporting already!

 

[Jarmel]

Yeah, I was too bullish for Hillary after that Detroit vote started coming in.

Yea I think I was too.

 

[Bowdz]

Detroit needs to start reporting already!

The dream is dead. Michigan has been Berned.

 

[j_k_redtail]

Good (probable) win for Bernie, but the math is math.

We all need to be reminded of this sometimes.

 

[And_Gignac]

Jeeze, Genesee is still at 59/219



Flint too please.

Kent is at 15/250 and Bernie is killing it there. Bernie is trending up in Wayne. I dont think Clinton can overcome now. Bernie may go up to 4 points again.

 

[OrangeGrayBlue]

Just waiting for another Wayne County update to kill my hope of Bernie winning.

Bernie's lead extended to 20,000 again. Have faith

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Trump up 81/10 in Rankin County, we've finally found the most racist county in America.

 

[Jarmel]

How much is left in Wayne?

 

[Diablos]

Obviously I blame crossover dems!!!

Seems like lots of union voters are torn between trump and Bernie. That's really bad for Hillary and Dems in general. We need her to be strong in states like MI, OH and PA.

 

[Manmademan]

How much is left in Wayne?

half of it.

 

[Basileus777]

Trump up 81/10 in Rankin County, we've finally found the most racist county in America.

He only has 46% on NYT. Are you sure that's not an error?

 

[B-Dubs]

How much is left in Wayne?

500 precincts. So roughly half.

 

[eBay Huckster]

500 precincts.

which could be more than half of the vote, depending on how big the precincts are

 

[Jarmel]

half of it.

So roughly how much would that be numbers-wise?

 

[Kusagari]

It's interesting how Bernie is doing much better with the black vote in general in Michigan. He's still getting creamed but 30% is far different than sub 20%.

Wonder if we'll see similar results in non southern states like Ohio and Illinois.

 

[A Human Becoming]

Bernie's lead extended to 20,000 again. Have faith

49.3% in, 58.8-29.4 Clinton in Wayne County. Watch it!

EDIT: He survived a small update. Hurrah!

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

He only has 46% on NYT. Are you sure that's not an error?

Fucking 538 reporters:

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/707405649848700929

 

[Slayven]

So if Bernie wins MI, Hillary still grows the delegate lead?

Cause it looks like he ain't getting anything from Miss

 

[Basileus777]

It's interesting how Bernie is doing much better with the black vote in general in Michigan. He's still getting creamed but 30% is far different than sub 20%.

Wonder if we'll see similar results in non southern states like Ohio and Illinois.

I mean 90% is an absurd margin that you can't expect to hold up for Hillary everywhere.

 

[Frank the Great]

How was the polling so wrong in Michigan? Geez.

 

[User 85168]

Drumpf up 81/10 in Rankin County, we've finally found the most racist county in America.

It was an error but got fixed.

 

[Plinko]

So if Bernie wins MI, Hillary still grows the delegate lead?

Cause it looks like he ain't getting anything from Miss

He would only end up with about 4 more.

 

[ezrarh]

You guys are either brave or crazy to put money on individual primary states. I made good money betting on Obama but man, I don't think I could handle this primary stuff.

 

[Kusagari]

I mean 90% is an absurd margin that you can't expect to hold up for Hillary everywhere.

He's been getting destroyed by similar margins in every southern state though.

 

[Manmademan]

So roughly how much would that be numbers-wise?

nobody knows. the percentage is by precinct, not raw numbers. and the not-detroit parts of wayne county (grosse pointe, etc) reported in early.

you're basically waiting for the 50% of precincts remaining that are detroit to come in, and turnout could make those numbers look like anything. it's going to be a pro hillary area though.

 

[VendettaRed07]

So if Bernie wins MI, Hillary still grows the delegate lead?

Cause it looks like he ain't getting anything from Miss

Basically. If Bernie wins by only like 2% or so he'll still have lost the night with around 10+ net delegates

 

[And_Gignac]

It's interesting how Bernie is doing much better with the black vote in general in Michigan. He's still getting creamed but 30% is far different than sub 20%.

Wonder if we'll see similar results in non southern states like Ohio and Illinois.

Something similar to what happened with Hispanics in Texas vs Hispanics in Colorado. Minorities can have shades of ideology, people.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Decision Desk HQ with the early MI Hillary call. Will either look like they are genius or look completely stupid

 

[Y2Kev]

So if Bernie wins MI, Hillary still grows the delegate lead?

Cause it looks like he ain't getting anything from Miss

Yeah, but that's pretty demoralizing. 7% of Dems in the Republican primary is material and somewhat upsetting as a dem. Strategic voting is for losers.

 

[Cesare Borgia]

It's interesting how Bernie is doing much better with the black vote in general in Michigan. He's still getting creamed but 30% is far different than sub 20%.

Wonder if we'll see similar results in non southern states like Ohio and Illinois.

Southern demographics aren't the same as northern and eastern demographics, regardless of race. The vote is more rural in the south, southern church organizations have more of an impact, etc. More urban voters in Michigan than Mississippi.

 

[benjipwns]

Can we get Detroit new voting machines or something

It's because of the way reporting is done. Precincts have to balance, every ballot used (either properly voted for, damaged, spoiled, etc.) has to be accounted for and so on.

A nearby township in 2014 their five precincts (all of about 3000 total votes in each) reported they were balanced at:
1 - 8:30pm
2 - 9pm
3 - 3:30am
4 - 9:30pm
5 - 9pm

The commissioners can't sign off on the vote totals for their district until each precinct is balanced, only THEN do the commissioners count the votes. They went over to the "third" precinct and seized the ballots to balance them themselves rather than continue to wait on the incompetent precinct.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Anyone have any predictions about Idaho?

 

[PBY]

looks like Cruz pulling ahead of Kasich

OH gonna be a clusterfuck

 

[BoboBrazil]

DWS is on Fox News getting wrecked. Why go on and insult the republican party???

 

[OrangeGrayBlue]

Bernie got 87% of 18-24 year olds and Hillary got 69% of 65+ voters. It's incredible how drastic the generational divide is.

 

[Basileus777]

Fucking 538 reporters:
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/707405649848700929

Maybe he was looking at old data with only a few precincts reporting in that county?

Decision Desk HQ with the early MI Hillary call. Will either look like they are genius or look completely stupid

There's a reason no one else called it that early, it's going to be close and there's not enough information even now to be sure.

 

[Diablos]

Yeah, but that's pretty demoralizing. 7% of Dems in the Republican primary is material and somewhat upsetting as a dem. Strategic voting is for losers.

Is it strategic voting or are some Dems going for Trump?

 

[cartoon_soldier]

I don't see how Clinton wins this, 71% in now.

 

[ItWasMeantToBe19]

Bernie got 87% of 18-24 year olds and Hillary got 69% of 65+ voters. It's incredible how drastic the generational divide is.

Nice.

 

[Y2Kev]

Wow it's tied in Flint county area!

 

[Yoda]

Decision Desk HQ with the early MI Hillary call. Will either look like they are genius or look completely stupid

No it looks stupid regardless, if it's right, its blind luck. There is no way they made that call w/the exit polls.

 

[B-Dubs]

Wow it's tied in Flint county area!

68/219 reporting there

 

[Coriolanus]

DWS is on Fox News getting wrecked. Why go on and insult the republican party???

You kinda answered your own question there.

 

[A Human Becoming]

Bernie got 87% of 18-24 year olds and Hillary got 69% of 65+ voters. It's incredible how drastic the generational divide is.

I think someone else was right when they said younger people are not afraid of socialism. Does free college play a part? Sure, but how much I can't say. Would need pollz.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

I think someone else was right when they said younger people are not afraid of socialism. Does free college play a part? Sure, but how much I can't say. Would need pollz.

They are also not earning enough money to see the tax bills from Socialism

 

[Oltsu]

gogo bernie train

 

[rodvik]

my vote counts! i love democracy!

Roque voter?

 

[danm999]

I think someone else was right when they said younger people are not afraid of socialism. Does free college play a part? Sure, but how much I can't say. Would need pollz.

It makes sense. A lot of them were born as/after the Cold war ended.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Detroit still at 0% reporting as of half an hour ago

 

[damisa]

They are also not earning enough money to see the tax bills from Socialism

Yup. It's easy to be pro-big government when you don't have to pay for any of it.