SANDERS CAMPAIGN: BIRDS CAN READ, NOT INTERSECTIONAL
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PoliGAF 2016 |OT7| Notorious R.B.G. Plans NZ Tour
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SANDERS CAMPAIGN: BIRDS CAN READ, NOT INTERSECTIONAL
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The Autumn Wind
Trump having to spend time in Utah during the general? Beautiful.
Given Clinton and Trump aren't super popular, anyone think that Johnson and/or Stein could siphon votes away from both? They're both going to be in the ballot in all 50 states, right?
JesseEwiak
Member
If Stein starts to gain traction, Hillary SuperPAC's will let people know about her wacky stances on vaccines and if Johnson gains any traction, Republican SuperPAC's will let voters know he loves abortion and letting all the brown people in while Democratic SuperPAC's will let voters know he wants to cut spending by 40% and priviatize everything.
There's a candidate who's already running the third party campaign that's actually reasonably popular among American's - he just happens to be the Republican nominee.
User 463088
Banned
Leahy and Bernie took the same flight back to Washington.
Leahy went coach. Bernie went First Class.
LOLOLOLOL
Leahy went coach. Bernie went First Class.
LOLOLOLOL
User 85168
Banned
Bernie still has secret service protection. I'm gonna give him the benefit of the doubt that's why.
User 463088
Banned
Agreed.
I just love the optics.
Well, that and the total waste of money we have to spend on his ego to stay in the race.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Chances are, if a bird perches on something for more than a few minutes, it's likely pooped on it.
Small birds poop like every 5-10 minutes.
Small birds poop like every 5-10 minutes.
Johnson most likely. Stein not really. Johnson will probably get around 3% or more on election night while stein only gets 1% or less or whatever the green party typically gets in a presidential election.
T
thepotatoman
Unconfirmed Member
Turnout doesn't matter in 2016, but Democrats still need to do better at getting the base out to vote in midterms. Having Warren talk on behalf of Hillary and the party as VP throughout 2017 and 2018 will certainly help much better than a boring safe VP pick.
Abinash117
Member
Jill and Gary aren't popular either. Jill got like 500,000 votes and Gary got over a million in 2012; to dent Clinton and Trump they need a few millions more votes. Plus, I think they are getting high poll numbers from people that don't know who they even are.
Spoiled Milk
Banned
Can someone speak to the accuracy of this graphic?
They probably will, but it's a bad look for the GOP since 80%+ people want gun reform.
It will help us make attack ads for November, and then hopefully when we take the Senate back we can get some actual legislation passed.
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The Autumn Wind
There's no doubt they're going to fail. The reason for the filibuster was to force a vote so Republicans would once again have to vote against common sense regulations that an overwhelming majority of the country supports. This is about having ammo against them in November. (No pun intended.)
Is this referring to how apparent their biases are? Because Amicus is on a decently consistent schedule and mainly opinions, on a relatively narrow subject. Not sure why it belongs on that graph or why it belongs in that location.Can someone speak to the accuracy of this graphic?
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
A political scientist was arguing that early political ads are useful because they help poll numbers in the short-run, but these early ads have no other impact.... But, is a short-term poll boost helpful at all? The media will just publish stories about your lead dropping the week you stop running these ads. This isn't the primary when going from 10% to 15% for a week can be important.
Early ads seem useless other than for experimentation.
Early ads seem useless other than for experimentation.
Poli sci conclusions, in general, aren't so much "X doesn't matter" as they are "when both parties do X and one party is somewhat better than that margin doesn't matter."
If Trump isn't running any ads at all, that's different from one side getting outspent.
Aaron Strife
Banned
2011-2015 demonstrated if we want real, substantial legislative reforms we need the House too, unfortunately.
If the margin gets really close we might be able to force discharge positions on some things, but I doubt it.
What kills me is knowing if Romney had won the 2012 election, the Senate Democrats almost certainly would have been willing to pass some things. Dem President + GOP Congress is the toxic combination.
whyamihere
Banned
I CANNOT BELIEVE TRUMP HAS TO CAMPAIGN IN UTAH
Don't worry, two rallies right before they vote will sort it out.
User 463088
Banned
Jack The Nipper
Banned
I have been on a few planes recently in my life and boy first class would help a lot with anxiety (maybe)
hmmm... if only I can roll like that lol "fly"
What was the reason they weren't in first? I have been out of this thread too much the last two or three weeks, so busy on my work (ya know adam, kev) lol
hmmm... if only I can roll like that lol "fly"
What was the reason they weren't in first? I have been out of this thread too much the last two or three weeks, so busy on my work (ya know adam, kev) lol
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
I'm still in a "I'll believe it when I see it" state of mind with Trump and the general election. It all seems too good to be true.
It's awful that he's the candidate, and good all at the same time. His crushing defeat feels so inevitable, but I won't feel truly safe until I see what happens at the GOP convention. I want to believe that the electorate doesn't have such a short memory that they'll vote in Trump, but I thought Bush would lose in 2004, so I find myself second guessing my instincts.
The Trump adviser that sent the tweet celebrating Lewandowski's firing just resigned:
First on CNN: Trump adviser resigns after mocking Lewandowski on Twitter
First on CNN: Trump adviser resigns after mocking Lewandowski on Twitter
I forgot how fun these are to read.
Another one bites the dust.
Retromelon
Member
Ron Paul's shitty opinions re: abortions and the minimum wage ruined any chance of getting my vote. Just because he is the father of an actual good candidate doesn't mean I automatically like him. I was going to vote for Obama in '12 but woke up too late.
User 463088
Banned
If this is how Trump runs "his" businesses, it's no wonder they've gone bankrupt in his tiny, tiny child like hands.
So you were literally "not woke". lol
CNN: Clinton outspending Trump $117 million to $0 in ads
The presumptive GOP nominee is being massively outspent on television airwaves: Between Tuesday and Election Day, Trump has reserved zero dollars in television advertising, compared to $117 million from Hillary Clinton and her allies, according to data from the ad tracking firm Kantar Media/CMAG.
Trump, on the other hand, hasn't bought any television advertising since early May, when he spent a small amount for ads in Indiana and Nebraska. A super PAC supporting him did spend $1.7 million on an ad critical of Clinton this month. That buy was on national cable and didn't focus on the key states that typically decide the November election.
The difference in what viewers see is stark: In the first week of the general election, Clinton and her super PAC ran nearly 4,000 more spots on broadcast and national cable TV than Trump and his allies, according to the Kantar Media data.
...
Regardless of how much he invests in his own advertising, Trump can be expected to respond to Clinton's ads.
"Believe me folks, they're false ads," he recently told supporters in California. "They are so false. Ah, some of them aren't so false. Mostly."
Things that will probably not change the course of a war: Dogfights in the air
Things that may change the course of a war: Bombing planes on the runway
This is my favorite stuff to read. We talk about Trump needing to campaign in Utah, but what does that actually mean for him besides hold a couple of rallies? He has no marketing game, no ground game, no state infrastructure.
I think it was Jeet Heer or someone on Twitter who said, it's like political scientists rigged this election as a test of all of the things we thought we knew about how to run campaigns, and made a control group who did none of that to see what happens.
YAAAAAAAAAAAS. all the big players are in play.
GUNS
ISIS
FRAUD
SKEWED POLLS
Rip hillary
Officerrob
Banned
Lewandowski is doing a press tour and is basically not answering any questions
Early ads are useful for labeling your opponent and framing the narrative around them like you want it. Obama ran summer ads to help label Romney as an out of touch millionaire businessman before the general even really started. Those early ads are just reaching millions of voters for the first time, many never paying attention to the primaries or Trump's comments.
Cesare Borgia
Banned
User 463088
Banned
So, about "stay woke"...
My mom's Grindr friend (yes, this is a real thing. She messaged him because she liked his hat, he messaged her because her profile had the words "power top" in them....because "that's the kind of gay I'd be) taught her the expression "Stay woke."
But, she doesn't understand that you're supposed to use it ironically. So she's been telling me she hopes Hillary "stays woke" about Bernie. And she's quite proud of herself.....I don't have the heart to tell her.
She texted my nephew to make sure he was up for his interview with "You better stay woke" and he asked her "Woke about what?" and she told him to stop being a smart ass....
Macho Madness
Member
How Lewandowski was fired:
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligence...d-corey-lewandowski.html?mid=twitter-share-di
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligence...d-corey-lewandowski.html?mid=twitter-share-di
Officerrob
Banned
Lewandowski was just asked what was one of the campaign failures that lead to him being fired, he said losing IOWA!?!?!?
Besides, the FBI is going to indict and cuff her on the night of the convention, then Bernie will come out on a chariot carried by birds, he will win the nom, beat Trump by a bazillion points and the US will become a liberal, socialist utopia.
Abinash117
Member
This guy is a flipping idiot. How was that even an answer?If all of that is even true.
I guess now Trump is going to spend the rest of the summer trying to get the campaign together.
Probably.
H. A. Goodman
H. A. Goodman ‏@HAGOODMANAUTHOR
#BernieSandersForPOTUS2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tpt0qaX4Eo0 Attorney General Loretta Lynch ConfirmsDOJ Will Indict HRC If FBI Recommends Indictment
Indictment coming!!
H. A. Goodman ‏@HAGOODMANAUTHOR
#BernieSandersForPOTUS2016 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tpt0qaX4Eo0 Attorney General Loretta Lynch ConfirmsDOJ Will Indict HRC If FBI Recommends Indictment
Indictment coming!!
User 463088
Banned
New poll from CNBC
Queen 40
Small Hands 35
Neither 14
Other 2
Unsure 9
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16gen.htm
It's new in that it's a recent release, but was in the field a while ago
Queen 40
Small Hands 35
Neither 14
Other 2
Unsure 9
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh16gen.htm
It's new in that it's a recent release, but was in the field a while ago
So...Trump was not aware that they didn't have any staff anywhere? Is he paying attention? What was Lewandowski doing exactly? I thought Manafort had taken over, anyway. What has he been doing exactly? So many questions.
And also, it would seem that the VP pick has already accepted and has been set in stone?
And also, it would seem that the VP pick has already accepted and has been set in stone?
Box of Kittens
Banned
So, I like to use the term "unskewing" whenever anyone digs through the crosstabs of a poll looking for reasons to dismiss the toplines. However, this article is doing literally the exact thing that Dean Chambers was doing with Unskewed Polls. Like, you can't get more unskewed than this.
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