Actually, why DID 538 shift a few states over to Trump? There's no new polling in Florida, from what I can tell. Are they just adjusting weights over time or something?
He is so much better here than he was when they stumped together two weeks ago.
"Thank you for choosing us." That was a pretty powerful moment.
Kaine is killing it. Wow.
I wish he was in the primary. Would have made it a lot more interesting and killed the never ending Bernie dynamic.
Actually, why DID 538 shift a few states over to Trump? There's no new polling in Florida, from what I can tell. Are they just adjusting weights over time or something?
Dem clicks tho son
Sup, Retro.
Well hopefully my last ban will remain as my last ban.
I've come to the conclusion that I'll just have to censor/filter myself to some degree on this forum. I'm not happy about it, but that's the way it is.
Oh, and btw, you're wrong about Mario Kart 8
The last Ohio poll was over a week ago (Hillary +4), yet they flipped Ohio today
Entirely due to national polls, which is weird because "Our model is mostly based on state polls, but national polls inform various steps of its calculations, such as the trend line adjustment, house effects adjustment and demographic regression."
He knew he was the front runner for VP if Hillary won.
He almost got picked over Biden for Obama in 08. He was choice #2
wait...that MK8 thread was made by him?
holy shit worse taste than Adam alert
I don't think I understand. So because the national polls are getting closer, they adjust the state polls closer?
They use national polls in some of the calculations because they're the only source of some of the factors listed.I don't think I understand. So because the national polls are getting closer, they adjust the state polls closer?
Turning "You're fired!" against Trump.
He's gonna lose his mind.
Who gives a shit!I like Kaine now.
The liveblogging Times reporters are actually complaining that he is too casual, unpresidential, and about his fashion choices. Wow.
I was so fucking shocked when I saw that retro was the author of that thread!
I suppose we all are entitled to at least one objectively terrible opinion!
What I want to know is why is it such a surprise to us all that Kaine appears to be *far*, *far*, stronger as a VP candidate than we were dreading beforehand? He was descibred as vanilla, white bread, boring, safe - which he is. But he's clearly a hell of a lot better as a communicator than people were thinking, and has a really good track record in numerous areas.
Why were we worried about this? Right now he's looking like a really, really strong pick?
Seems like it's wrapping up. It's really good!I'm pretty sad I'm missing this. I was playing Just Cause 3 until a few minutes ago. Anyone know what time it ends so I can find it and watch it then? Can go get some coffee in the mean time.
I like Kaine now.
The liveblogging Times reporters are actually complaining that he is too casual, unpresidential, and about his fashion choices. Wow.
Maggie HabermanReporter
1:57 PM ET
Invalid Date
We all knocked Trump for speaking too long and too self-interestedly last weekend at the Pence rollout. This speech by Kaine is too long.
Damn, Kaine might be so good that it hurts Clinton in comparison.
Hillary has that "We fucking nailed this pick look on her face"