Are Breitbart and Trump on opposite sides of the AHCA?
Pigeon, I know you and I disagree a lot about foreign policy, but American atrocities during war and peacetime aren't a conspiracy theory.
The United States drops three bombs an hour to preserve our hegemony over the Middle East. US-backed rebels have massacred hundreds of civilians during the war against Assad. In Yemen, we're blasting the country apart at the Saudi's behest, just to keep Iran from getting a friend in the region. Our blockade and bombardment is now creating famine conditions.
Perhaps worst of all, this violence isn't even effective. Bombarding Middle Eastern populations with munitions does not make them love America. Nor does it scare them into complying with Western domination. Instead, the ongoing American intervention leads to radicalism. American aggression isn't just brutal, it's wholly unnecessary.
Yup. So either Bannon doesn't actually have say over there anymore...or Bannon doesn't like the AHCA, which is possible too (probably wants full repeal).
Any more details on this? Is it something that Republicans can run into the ground in 2020 if she runs, like they did with emails and Benghazi with Hillary?
No, he didn't. Politics is cyclical and Bernie's been running in a safe lily-white seat for decades. Technomancer posted a great response to this BS a page back.The old playbook doesn't work. Who cares what the right thinks anymore.
Bernie brought up some good points.
Noah Berlatsky‏Verified account @nberlat 12h12 hours ago
so, I really don't see how this analysis is especially accurate, nor how it's likely to be helpful.
the assumption is that GOP is right-wing extremist party, therefore the opposition should always win, or should win easily.
that's not how politics works. In a two party system (which is what we've got, adn will have until major election rule changes)
the out party always has a really good chance of winning. Out party also has major structural advantages in off year elections.
2nd, the claim that right wing extremists don't have strong appeal to many americans is pretty clearly and objectively false.
racism and attacking marginal people has a powerful constituency. pretending that isn't the case is dangerous.
Democrats often suck on left issues. But assuming that your own priorities match those of the electorate in some sort of sweeping way
is not a recipe for making wise political decisions in the short, middle, or long term.
left policies *can* be popular. But it's dumb to assume they always *are*, and that people lose *because* not pursuing left policies.
the big, horrible, stupid, ugly mistake Dems have made? not going all in on voting rights.
you know who is a dem and makes that mistake too? Sanders.
The old playbook doesn't work. Who cares what the right thinks anymore.
Bernie brought up some good points.
Now I'm not an expert on Middle Eastern foreign policy and I don't pretend that I have proper answers, but isn't this all kind of cyclical? We're turning Yemen into a crater because of Iran, who we're opposed to because of what we did there before for geopolitical reasons and our alliance with Saudi Arabia. We're fighting ISIS because of invading Iraq. I understand the argument that it's the United State's job to intervene because we have the hegemonic power to try and create stability and save lives but what productive goals have we accomplished? The Gulf War was pretty successful and Kuwait's actually pretty democratic as far as Middle Eastern Muslim states go (Freedom House gives it a Partly Free with a score of 36, placing it two points below Turkey) so there's that. We've been pretty successful at destroying ISIS, which is obviously good, but what's our plan after that?So this is a much better argument than your previous "liberals are dumb and only I am the real left" post. I appreciate that it has citations to review. Thanks! This is much improved from the LaRouche level of discourse.
I generally agree, and I think I've said here before, that our bombing of the Middle East is wrong and should stop. I don't think the particular examples you've provided are that moving, though, so let's dig into them a bit.
For example, when you say three bombs an hour, you neglect to mention that most of those bombs in Iraq and Syria, against ISIS. Do you think that America should stop bombing ISIS? Should we no longer be attempting to fight ISIS, or to help others fight ISIS? What, specifically, do you believe our policy should be with regards to ISIS, and with regards to the local forces, often specifically created with the support of the United States, that wish to eliminate ISIS? This is a serious question. It is necessary to have an answer to it if you wish to have a coherent position on foreign policy!
Your next citation is about Syria. Obviously, crimes against humanity are terrible. But, again, what specific policy do you think is appropriate in Syria? The United States got involved because Bashir al-Assad is a war criminal who viciously oppressed democratic protestors during the Arab Spring and used chemical weapons on his own people. Some of the rebels against him -- but not all -- are also religious extremists, mainly because Assad cynically manipulated the conflict to bring religious zealots into the fray. Many of the rebels are also pro-democracy and pro-civil rights, which we ostensibly support. In addition, of course, ISIS is present and killing everybody. And these are only the aggressive belligerents! The Kurds are also fighting to defend themselves. So let's be clear -- what do you believe America should do in Syria? Who should we support? Should we do nothing? It is easy to criticize the events in Syria -- it's so easy that I am pretty confident the same people would be criticizing them regardless of the choices the United States made. It is harder to clearly state what you believe our priorities and choices should be.
To be clear, I'm happy to agree that our general drone strike policy has been neither productive or moral, and I would generally support ending it, with the codicil that I am not fully informed on the topic (for example, I do think the support, or not, of the local government is relevant). But this post helps display my frustration in discussing this issue. Rolling ISIS, Syria, and the preexisting Al-Qaeda-targeted strikes into one ball is facile and reduces understanding rather than increases it.
What seats have the Democrats lost because of "purity tests"?Bernie is also part of the problem. We have lost so, so many seats because of "purity" tests and getting rid of viable moderates in competitive districts for the sake of a false sense of "purity"
The playbook of 10-20 years hasn't even been the same. It's like he thinks every state can run like he can and be competitive, it's just not reasonable in the slightest and if we listen to him democrats WILL lose every time.
Reminds me of all the articles in 2006 declaring the GOP dead
Or the ones in 2004 declaring the Democrats dead
Thankfully for the Democrats there will never be another candidate like Hillary Clinton, singularly unique in that the right-wing media machine had been inventing lies about her for more than a quarter-century when she ran for President. I bet Dems could run a genuinely shadier candidate like Booker and they wouldn't catch the same amount of flak.
Especially due to the mainstream media's peculiar bias against Clinton.
It was a one-off problem basically.
The only problem, as the main thread in OT pointed out, was that despite having a vibrant progressive platform, Clinton's main message was "I'm not Trump, oh my god, how terrible is this guy?"
That's the main point where the Dems try to emulate the GOP: fear of the competition doesn't drive Dem voters. We need to be inspired, not whipped by fear of the Other.
Exactly. This is why I think one way or another it passes. This watered down joke of a bill paves the way for their tax agenda. And everyone in the GOP is foaming at the mouth over passing that.
As for GOP Senators not backing the bill, they do this shit all the time. Doesn't matter if it's confirming a nominee or legislation. They always come around after they put on a show. I think it's a head fake to persuade opponents to not be as vigilant in opposing someone or something.
Now I'm not an expert on Middle Eastern foreign policy and I don't pretend that I have proper answers, but isn't this all kind of cyclical? We're turning Yemen into a crater because of Iran, who we're opposed to because of what we did there before for geopolitical reasons and our alliance with Saudi Arabia. We're fighting ISIS because of invading Iraq. I understand the argument that it's the United State's job to intervene because we have the hegemonic power to try and create stability and save lives but what productive goals have we accomplished? The Gulf War was pretty successful and Kuwait's actually pretty democratic as far as Middle Eastern Muslim states go (Freedom House gives it a Partly Free with a score of 36, placing it two points below Turkey) so there's that. We've been pretty successful at destroying ISIS, which is obviously good, but what's our plan after that?
What seats have the Democrats lost because of "purity tests"?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKEKocLmWVM&t=9m0sSo this is a much better argument than your previous "liberals are dumb and only I am the real left" post. I appreciate that it has citations to review. Thanks! This is much improved from the LaRouche level of discourse.
I generally agree, and I think I've said here before, that our bombing of the Middle East is wrong and should stop. I don't think the particular examples you've provided are that moving, though, so let's dig into them a bit.
For example, when you say three bombs an hour, you neglect to mention that most of those bombs in Iraq and Syria, against ISIS. Do you think that America should stop bombing ISIS? Should we no longer be attempting to fight ISIS, or to help others fight ISIS? What, specifically, do you believe our policy should be with regards to ISIS, and with regards to the local forces, often specifically created with the support of the United States, that wish to eliminate ISIS? This is a serious question. It is necessary to have an answer to it if you wish to have a coherent position on foreign policy!
Your next citation is about Syria. Obviously, crimes against humanity are terrible. But, again, what specific policy do you think is appropriate in Syria? The United States got involved because Bashir al-Assad is a war criminal who viciously oppressed democratic protestors during the Arab Spring and used chemical weapons on his own people. Some of the rebels against him -- but not all -- are also religious extremists, mainly because Assad cynically manipulated the conflict to bring religious zealots into the fray. Many of the rebels are also pro-democracy and pro-civil rights, which we ostensibly support. In addition, of course, ISIS is present and killing everybody. And these are only the aggressive belligerents! The Kurds are also fighting to defend themselves. So let's be clear -- what do you believe America should do in Syria? Who should we support? Should we do nothing? It is easy to criticize the events in Syria -- it's so easy that I am pretty confident the same people would be criticizing them regardless of the choices the United States made. It is harder to clearly state what you believe our priorities and choices should be.
To be clear, I'm happy to agree that our general drone strike policy has been neither productive or moral, and I would generally support ending it, with the codicil that I am not fully informed on the topic (for example, I do think the support, or not, of the local government is relevant). But this post helps display my frustration in discussing this issue. Rolling ISIS, Syria, and the preexisting Al-Qaeda-targeted strikes into one ball is facile and reduces understanding rather than increases it.
Roger Stone, Trump confidant, acknowledges innocuous Twitter conversation with Democratic National Committee hackers
Why do you assume those races would've been won by people who lost primaries? McGinty was also a moderate and lost to Toomey by a larger margin than Sestak. 2010 was a Republican wave that wiped out the Blue Dogs, being moderate didn't seem to save them.Off the top of my head without googling, we lost the senate seat in 2010 in Pennsylvania where the republican turned democrat then we primaried him for a liberal and handily lost an easy seat, michigans governor race in 2010 where we went with a Lansing mayor over any of the moderates for sake for being "pure" liberal, made all the seats that could have been won lost. Those were battles democrats could of won instead of the purity tests that took place. I could actually find more examples, but at present I don't want to do anymore research as I'm relaxing on my day off work.
Washington Times are trash and aren't even close to a reliable source of information.
Why do you assume those races would've been won by people who lost primaries? McGinty was also a moderate and lost to Toomey by a larger margin than Sestak. 2010 was a Republican wave that wiped out the Blue Dogs, being moderate didn't seem to save them.
Actually it looks like I was wrong, McGinty did like 0.4 points better than Sestak.
Roger Stone is trash and isn't even close to a reliable source of information.
I literally used the word "Innocuous" in an email at work today.
FUCK!!!!!!
Just looking at the raw numbers but I'm not seeing anywhere she outperformed Clinton in raw vote totals other than the northwest counties around Scranton.She has a bad candidate but she actually didn't end up doing too poorly. Seems like there were a decent amount of Trump/McGinty voters. If she could've captured a few more Clinton voters in the burbs, she would've won.
Apparently Schwarzenegger is thinking about running for US Senate in 2018 as an Independent(according to a news broadcast).
Hrmm. Id be for it. He seems to piss of Trump well enough.
Apparently Schwarzenegger is thinking about running for US Senate in 2018 as an Independent(according to a news broadcast).
Hrmm. Id be for it. He seems to piss of Trump well enough.
In Cali?
Apparently Schwarzenegger is thinking about running for US Senate in 2018 as an Independent(according to a news broadcast).
Hrmm. Id be for it. He seems to piss of Trump well enough.
I thought he ruined California? Why would anybody vote for him aside from his celebrity appeal?Apparently Schwarzenegger is thinking about running for US Senate in 2018 as an Independent(according to a news broadcast).
Hrmm. Id be for it. He seems to piss of Trump well enough.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKEKocLmWVM&t=9m0s
If our drone strike policy might not be moral, it might be worth wondering if the stated goal for the Syrian conflict to "get rid of a war criminal", may have other motives that aren't moral. I also think it's kind of weird to speak of something like white privilege or ignorance but at the same time say you're not fully informed on the topic of drone strikes. American privilege?
So this is a much better argument than your previous "liberals are dumb and only I am the real left" post. I appreciate that it has citations to review. Thanks! This is much improved from the LaRouche level of discourse.
I generally agree, and I think I've said here before, that our bombing of the Middle East is wrong and should stop. I don't think the particular examples you've provided are that moving, though, so let's dig into them a bit.
For example, when you say three bombs an hour, you neglect to mention that most of those bombs in Iraq and Syria, against ISIS. Do you think that America should stop bombing ISIS? Should we no longer be attempting to fight ISIS, or to help others fight ISIS? What, specifically, do you believe our policy should be with regards to ISIS, and with regards to the local forces, often specifically created with the support of the United States, that wish to eliminate ISIS? This is a serious question. It is necessary to have an answer to it if you wish to have a coherent position on foreign policy!
Your next citation is about Syria. Obviously, crimes against humanity are terrible. But, again, what specific policy do you think is appropriate in Syria? The United States got involved because Bashir al-Assad is a war criminal who viciously oppressed democratic protestors during the Arab Spring and used chemical weapons on his own people. Some of the rebels against him -- but not all -- are also religious extremists, mainly because Assad cynically manipulated the conflict to bring religious zealots into the fray. Many of the rebels are also pro-democracy and pro-civil rights, which we ostensibly support. In addition, of course, ISIS is present and killing everybody. And these are only the aggressive belligerents! The Kurds are also fighting to defend themselves. So let's be clear -- what do you believe America should do in Syria? Who should we support? Should we do nothing? It is easy to criticize the events in Syria -- it's so easy that I am pretty confident the same people would be criticizing them regardless of the choices the United States made. It is harder to clearly state what you believe our priorities and choices should be.
To be clear, I'm happy to agree that our general drone strike policy has been neither productive or moral, and I would generally support ending it, with the codicil that I am not fully informed on the topic (for example, I do think the support, or not, of the local government is relevant). But this post helps display my frustration in discussing this issue. Rolling ISIS, Syria, and the preexisting Al-Qaeda-targeted strikes into one ball is facile and reduces understanding rather than increases it.
The bolded here doesn't actually matter at all. If I donate a billion dollars to medical research at Boston College, but my real motive instead of helping people is to get the school to get me a signed Doug Flutie jersey and football, does it really matter?
If our leaders are trying to kill a brutal dictator who has every right to be held in the same regard as Hitler or Stalin, but they're doing it because they want trade deals or something with Saudi Arabia, I don't really care.
You can certainly make isolationist arguments, but much like a libertarian making an argument against health care, you have to own the fact that you're saying "we know there are militants butchering you and your government is gassing you, but I'm ideologically opposed to getting involved."
Motives can affect the outcomes and strategies and outcomes can include serious unintended consequences that may be worse than the previous situation.The bolded here doesn't actually matter at all. If I donate a billion dollars to medical research at Boston College, but my real motive instead of helping people is to get the school to get me a signed Doug Flutie jersey and football, does it really matter?
If our leaders are trying to kill a brutal dictator who has every right to be held in the same regard as Hitler or Stalin, but they're doing it because they want trade deals or something with Saudi Arabia, I don't really care.
You can certainly make isolationist arguments, but much like a libertarian making an argument against health care, you have to own the fact that you're saying "we know there are militants butchering you and your government is gassing, but I'm ideologically opposed to getting involved."
I saw the title to a Washington Post opinion piece that kinda irked me:
What is the absolute worst aspect of the Trump presidency? The institutionalization of dishonesty.
I think we may have reached the point where people need to step back, and look at what ICE is doing under Trump, or the signalling Sessions is doing about enforcement of civil rights laws for racist police departments, or the people that will literally die if he signs the healthcare bill.
I know it's easy for political junkies to get lost in stuff like Trump's fake/real news with employment numbers, but there's some really sad stuff to real life people happening right now that isn't about Trump's statements. You could say that trump's dishonesty is enabling those things, but the press hasn't even given enough attention to that stuff for Trump to have to lie about it.
Why do you assume those races would've been won by people who lost primaries? McGinty was also a moderate and lost to Toomey by a larger margin than Sestak. 2010 was a Republican wave that wiped out the Blue Dogs, being moderate didn't seem to save them.
Actually it looks like I was wrong, McGinty did like 0.4 points better than Sestak.
I understand how American elections work. My question is why do you think Sestak caused the loss by being too extreme? McGinty was much more moderate and barely performed better than he did. Moreover, why is it the moral burden of the left to always vote for centrist candidates, but the centrists have no obligation to vote for more left candidates?Single member district in winner take all electoral system. Moderate>either extreme. Pennsylvannia was the incumbent losing to a "true liberal" democrat who got his ass kicked in the general.
It's not a binary proposition of isolationism or turning turning the Middle East into a crater.
I wish this would happen in the US. We're so polarized, Trump could literally shoot one of his own supporters at a rally and he'd maybe drop below 30.
Man, that 2010 Florida Senate race was a real fuck up, huh.
The point of this CIA conspiracy is not to make sense.
The point is to muddy the waters as much possible. To muddy the waters so much that, to the passerby who's not following all this crap daily, NOTHING makes sense and so it all must be bullshit.
While voting for Arnold is stupid and no one should do it, having a jungle primary prevents this sort of thing.Yea having Arnold run as an independent in California sounds like exactly the same situation.
The analogy isn't that great because donating to cancer research doesn't have many serious downsides, even if it amounts to little in the way new medicine or whatever.The bolded here doesn't actually matter at all. If I donate a billion dollars to medical research at Boston College, but my real motive instead of helping people is to get the school to get me a signed Doug Flutie jersey and football, does it really matter?
Like I said above killing the brutal dictator could have downsides that that are very negative and uncontrollable, unlike cancer research. For example civil war, proxy war, terrorism, economic destruction etc...If our leaders are trying to kill a brutal dictator who has every right to be held in the same regard as Hitler or Stalin, but they're doing it because they want trade deals or something with Saudi Arabia, I don't really care.
That's fine, after all there's atrocities all over the world that that the US isn't going to bother with.You can certainly make isolationist arguments, but much like a libertarian making an argument against health care, you have to own the fact that you're saying "we know there are militants butchering you and your government is gassing you, but I'm ideologically opposed to getting involved."