https://www.theatlantic.com/politic...itutionists-want-to-have-it-both-ways/526578/
Would Garland have the balls to do it?
He has the brains not to.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politic...itutionists-want-to-have-it-both-ways/526578/
Would Garland have the balls to do it?
low. You don't get made minority/majority leader unless you're safe because nobody wants the optics of the party leader getting removed from office. the closest he ever came to losing was his 100,000 vote margin in the 2008 dem wave
Why do people even entertain the possibility that Garland would be nominated?
"the Constitution forbids an individual mandate, right there in Article Nowhere."https://www.theatlantic.com/politic...itutionists-want-to-have-it-both-ways/526578/
Would Garland have the balls to do it?
Well yeah, but, I mean...what are the realistic chances of unseating McConnell?
I don't think McConnell will ever lose, but Tom Daschle begs to differ about your point of leadership being safe.
Harry Reid came close to losing too, maybe if they didn't nominate Sharron Angle. It might just be a Democratic thing I guess.
David Frum calling for a select committee instead of a special prosecutor.
I disagree. I don't care about the truth, I just want an impeachment.
David Frum calling for a select committee instead of a special prosecutor.
I disagree. I don't care about the truth, I just want an impeachment.
Well yeah, but, I mean...what are the realistic chances of unseating McConnell?
David Frum calling for a select committee instead of a special prosecutor.
I disagree. I don't care about the truth, I just want an impeachment.
I think unseating McConnell is definitely possible (though obviously not likely by any means), given the politics of Kentucky (similar to WV in a lot of ways) - but it would require going beyond a wave election to an actual political realignment. Which is certainly on the table, given the Republican party just experienced a literal hostile takeover, how Trump is screwing his own base, and McConnell's consistent unpopularity.
But it shouldn't be a priority, especially with so many better 2020 targets.
Who's a big target in 2020 aside from Gardner?
And let's finally boot Susan Collins out too.
To add to the names mentioned above (Ernst, Tillis, Perdue, Collins), I'm hoping for a Mark Begich comeback bid in Alaska and for Steve Bullock in Montana. The timing works out perfectly for Bullock as he's term-limited, and Democrats do really well in Montana except for at the presidential level.Who's a big target in 2020 aside from Gardner?
IIRC Maine's Senate seats are governor-appointed in case of vacancies.She might save us the trouble. Rumor has it that she intends to run for Maine governor next year, and she has yet to confirm or deny. With the current political climate, I could definitely see a Democrat winning the special election.
Steve Beshear is three years younger than Mitch. Could do worse.Well yeah, but, I mean...what are the realistic chances of unseating McConnell?
Andy Beshear is even younger.Steve Beshear is three years younger than Mitch. Could do worse.
John Harwood‏Verified account @JohnJHarwood
NBC/WSJ on Trump job approval, whites by gender/education: non-college men 60%; non-college women 49%; college+ men 44%; college+ women 30%
John Harwood‏Verified account @JohnJHarwood
NBC/WSJ poll on Trump job approval, by age: 18-34, 26%; 35-49, 40%; 50-64, 44%; 65+, 49%
Dear fellow white men:
What is wrong with you?
Tbh those are all lower than I expected.
A special prosecutor can't impeach.
The route to impeachment is through public presentation of information that forces a political reaction. A select committee is potentially better than a special prosecutor for that. The problem is that the select committee can't be trusted if it's run by the Republicans.
Dear fellow white men:
What is wrong with you?
This one was more interesting to me:
That's a pretty sizeable voting bloc, no? Anyone know how big in comparison to the 50-64 range?
Also, only 52% of republicans support that AHCA bill. That's really, really low.
David Frum calling for a select committee instead of a special prosecutor.
I disagree. I don't care about the truth, I just want an impeachment.
I'm hoping he might win back the governorship in 2019.Andy Beshear is even younger.
https://mobile.twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/863828447604473888
Young people hate the bill that doesn't hurt youngs nearly as bad as other groups.
Huh.
NBC/WSJ poll on support for House GOP health bill, by age: 18-34, 10%; 35-49, 24%; 50-64%, 33%; 65+, 29%
Hmm. I don't think so. West Virginia doesn't throw out incumbents.If Dems got Justice to forego a second term and run against Capito they could probably get 2 Dems from WV again.
https://mobile.twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/863828447604473888
Young people hate the bill that doesn't hurt youngs nearly as bad as other groups.
Huh.
How is it that the group it fucks over the most likes it the most? ("Likes it the most" being relative, of course. Those numbers are still abysmal.)
Any other polls that deal with the special election?Gravis GA-6
Ossoff 47
Handel 45
Among voters who didn't vote in the primary, Ossoff leads 53-32.
AHCA favorabilty is 33-42.
Oh god we're gonna lose
Gravis sucks
I remember specifically from the exit polls, as worthless as they ended up being, that Trump's biggest base of support wasn't from the 65+ age group; it was from the 50-64 group.
Which isn't exactly good if the group most receptive to Trump has presumably quite a while left to live.
Well yeah, but, I mean...what are the realistic chances of unseating McConnell?
How is it that the group it fucks over the most likes it the most? ("Likes it the most" being relative, of course. Those numbers are still abysmal.)
At 3:07 a.m. on Friday morning, North Carolina Senate GOP leaders rushed through a budget amendment that stripped education funding for teaching assistants and STEM programs in districts led by Democrats, cut funding to provide fresh produce to food deserts, reallocated money that was supposed to go to an arts museum and a downtown revitalization project, and eliminated a position that works to secure federal aid for disaster relief.
It appears the amendment wasnt passed to achieve specific policy goals though, but rather as an act of political retribution after a prolonged and contentious budget negotiation in the states senate.
As Thursday night ticked into Friday morning, the two parties seemed deadlocked  every time Democrats would file an amendment to fund their initiatives, Republicans would reject it, and Democrats would introduce another amendment.
But at 1:00 a.m. on Friday morning, Senate Rules Chairman Bill Rabon called a recess and met with other GOP leaders behind closed doors. As reported by the News & Observer, Democrats passed the time with an impromptu dance party in the hall.
The dancing Democrats didnt see what was coming next, according to Colin Campbell,
The session finally resumed around 3 a.m., and Republican Sen. Brent Jackson introduced a new budget amendment that he explained would fund more pilot programs combating the opioid epidemic. He cited a great deal of discussion about the need for more opioid treatment funding.
Jackson didnt mention where the additional $1 million would come from: directly from education programs in Senate Democrats districts and other initiatives the minority party sought.
Well, he'll be 80 by then. Maybe he'll just retire.Well yeah, but, I mean...what are the realistic chances of unseating McConnell?
They might if Capito ends up signing off on a death sentence for hundreds of thousands of coal miners.Hmm. I don't think so. West Virginia doesn't throw out incumbents.
There's been a few internals from Ossoff and the DCCC showing him up by a few, Landmark showed Handel up by like two points. Looking like a pure tossup either way.Any other polls that deal with the special election?