kryptikjoker
Member
From my POV, possible scum options at this point. First I'll make the assumption Castamere/Splinter's role is true.
If CCS Tells the truth, and we assume he is not scum, the possiblities are:
Bronx-Man
Kryptikjoker
Ty4on
If I assume there is three scum left, that would be the scum team from my point of view. If there are two scum, one person would be dropped off.
If CCS is telling tales, then the possibilites are:
Bronx-man
CCS
acohrs
Kryptikjoker
Ty4on
Sawneeks
The lower list of scum candidates seem more likely to me, than the upper one. I also feel very wary about how CCS has acted today, as I've noted in my posts above.
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Where did everyone disappear off to?
Could Burb make a comment on his reads after Bronx made a Town PR claim? His silence is deafening after the fact. And his read is contradictory to everyone's read of Bronx as town.
I'm not sure what to feel if there are actually just two scum left...
It feels like we've all sort of agreed that Kryptik is scum too. He's been a scum read for a while with me starting with this.
It's an easy trap to fall in for a scum player (cough cough >_<) to plop a town read like that on a townie. It can be hard to constantly hide the fact you know the alignment.
Plopping Burb and Kryptik into Quantum's post:
We kinda see the pattern Crab was talking about. There's a tendency to scum read mates if we're right about Burb and Kryptik, but that's not that weird. Scum cautious of their reads can be hypersensitive to scum tells from their mates because they're biased. It's obv. not confirmed he spread out mates.
We see nothing but townies in the unknown category. Again with the biased nature of scum reads this isn't that weird IMO. They're both very negative reads tho if presumed scum team is correct.
This links Burb and Kryptik a little bit to me. Burb is showing suspicion of Kryptik, but ultimately voting for and asking people about Evillisk.
The thing though that bothers me is that they maybe seem a little too bussy for a 3-person scum team. Perhaps some panic at the heat Quantum got. It's weird, it's happened in two scum games where a mate of mine makes a joke or says something true that's interpreted as a slip and something just snaps for scum team. The heat they're getting is frustrating them because it's technically wrong. Judging from Quantum's flip I'm 95% certain it was just a joke so they might've been really wanting the lynch to avoid Quantum.
The negative feeling on D1 can explain the bussing. It's a natural response for pressured scum to bus. "Obviously town are going to think I've put all townies in my scum reads", but most people who've been scum know that feeling. Kryptik might have been the sacrificial lamb (this will IMO be turned upside down if Burb flips anything but poisoner) to save Quantum and Burb.
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Kryptik has also bothered me because something doesn't quite click with him on a scum team with Saw and Burb. It's not impossible, just a bit weird. He is a new scum, but why go all out to attack your mate? And the attack feels newbie scum, but not newbie scum who's scared to damage their team.
You analyzed who I chose as "unknown" on my day 1 read list, but didn't analyze who I put on my "Scum" or "Borderline Scum" list: QB and Burbeting. QB was revealed as scum, and as Tracker. Burbeting is still an unknown, but we know there are several roles out there: one shot vig (claimed by LoC/Splinter), jailer (Bronx), and at least a poisoner. Other roles revealed were developer (Crab), masons (Haly, Coppanuva), and power consumer (combine42). Is there a doctor in the house?