Marty Chinn
Member
ATSC 3 is a game changer allowing 4 times as many local Antenna TV channels. The assumption is that most TV channels will still be delivered as lower resolution 720P to 1080P rather than 4K. Sony already has a Network called Get TV in the US. I think Playstation Vue will eventually be a service for those few channels in addition to Antenna TV service.
In 2-4 years but starting with Vidipath Cable TV, I GUESS late this year, you have a Gateway box from cable and eventually for Antenna TV. The Gateway box is also a DVR that contains the tuners and serves IPTV to the home network as a DLNA server. Nasne sold only in Japan is a precursor to this and when it was released in 2012 one reviewer stated it showed the Sony future plans for Media in the home.
In 2-4 years Cable TV is transitioning to all IPTV from Cable modems and at that point we eliminate the Cable TV DVR in the home. DVR would be in the cloud or customer owned. TV delivery models are then:
1) ALL Cable TV served via a cable modem
2) Hybrid Antenna TV with Gateway DVR box and selected Cable TV or services like Playstation Vue
3) ALL Antenna TV
Option 2 should be very popular and all options have Internet served from a Cable Modem. Key here is that you need a Smart TV or STB (read XB1, PS4, PC or UHD Blu-ray player) with older 1080P TVs.
It doesn't matter what ATSC3 is capable of, there's still bandwidth limitations. There's a finite of bandwidth that the FCC is going to divide up among the various players. Even with 4 times the channel capacity, the amount of bandwidth needed to offer PlayStation Vue is just simply too much for Sony to hog all that spectrum. On top of that, Sony doesn't have the infrastructure to broadcast OTA. Sony offering PlayStation Vue OTA via ATSC3 is just simply not feasible and is not going to happen.
How expensive is the absolute cheapest UHD Blu Ray player you can find on the market today?
Sony announced at CES that it will release a UHD Blu Ray player which is obvious because their movies division is already putting out movies in the format. I expect this thing to come out at 300$ US. Do you think they will cannibalize their own product by releasing a console that is only 100 or 200$ more expensive than their stand-alone player?
Sony did the exact scenario you're describing with Blu ray and the PS3.