Here's Entry #3 in my series of how I feel Smash "5" is looking and where the franchise is headed, character-wise...
This time, I'll be covering Xenoblade, Fire Emblem, and Mother! I guess Nintendo's "difficult to localize" RPG-set?
Previous Posts
Mario + Yoshi Series
Pokemon Series
Xenoblade Series
Well, for Shulk, I forgot if it was ever confirmed, but apparently he will be appearing in X in some form? Either way, I think he'll remain as the legacy character...or not. I guess Shulk might be cut since he's not a well-established series, and we don't know how well X will do, but either way, I don't see him getting cut for another Xenoblade Character. If Shulk does appear in X, I wonder if he'll have a new design they can use for Smash? I also hope they don't replace his voice if they go with a US cast this time...
Now, we don't know a lot about X's story, but one thing we do know is there doesn't seem to be a set main character...it's a custom made character, and unlike Robin, they don't seem to have any real default design, nor personality. I remember the character in the Treehouse Demo during E3 looked like Yu Narukumi, for example. "Custom Character" works for Animal Crossing, but I don't think a character like that would be a good fit to represent Xenoblade. Maybe one of the support characters will be interesting enough to use, but it's really a wait and see moment.
Finally, there's always the possibility they'll include someone else from the original Xenoblade. Dunban and Riki might be "out" since they appear in Shulk's Final Smash, but of course that could easily be changed. I actually think the reason they appear in the FS is because they're the most popular party members. Next up I'd say is Melia, and the "secret" character, in terms of interesting play-styles. Reyn has the memes on his side, but he doesn't seem like he'd make a great representative. And, uh, does anyone care about Sharla?
Mother
It's dead! Or, more appropriately, it seems like that one video-game series that is legitimately "finished". We'll probably never see a true Mother 4...perhaps there'll be a spiritual sequel one day, but never an actual Mother title. Re-releases (and a remake?) are always a possibility I guess.
Ness probably won't go anywhere, being an original Veteran.
Lucas is up in the air, at this point. It honestly feels like Nintendo is trying to hide Mother 3...completely removed in Smash 3DS besides Lucas (which doesn't mention Mother 3), no official English release, for whatever reason, Nintendo has decided to ignore it. And sadly, I think that'll extend to Lucas unless Mother 3 gets an official re-release, worldwide hopefully. But who knows, maybe he's going to be DLC?
The only other choice is Sakurai deciding to include Ninten (probably only Alt-level worthy, imo), or one of the other Earthbound party members, but I don't really see that. Mother just doesn't seem to be popular enough for that. I've seen some people suggest the humanoid Gigyas from Mother, but I don't see that ever happening.
Fire Emblem
It seems to actually have worldwide popularity, and I imagine we'll definitely see at least two games before Smash 5, not counting SMT x FE (if that ever comes out). Personally, I strongly believe the next main title will have Lucina as the star, and focus on an alternate future from Awakening and bring back the children as the stars...but that's just my idea. Perhaps we'll get a new 'verse.
In terms of veterans, Marth is definitely staying. He's fucking Marth!
Roy I think might have a chance as Smash 4 DLC, since I think cut veterans are the most likely choices for DLC, but with Lucina around will people want another Marth-clone? Hopefully they change him up more if he does return. If he's not Smash 4 DLC, I don't see him back for 5, unless the next Fire Emblem takes place in his universe and introduces a Chrom/Lucina for him.
Now Ike I think is the most likely to go next time around, especially as the Fire Emblem series grows. He's unique, sure, but he's from a relatively poorly received game, and I was honestly surprised he made it back for Brawl. He was one cut I really thought would happen.
Lucina I actually think will stay, and become more distinct. As I said before, I definitely think they'll go with using her for the next Lord in Fire Emblem and working off the "alternate universe" plot-line of Awakening. This could hopefully come with a more unique design, as well as a play-style, while still being somewhat akin to Marth.
Robin seems like they'll stay, as they're unique, although I feel like Fire Emblem will probably introduce another similar "My Unit" in a future game. In that case, the character might be roughly the same, with a different design. I can see Robin being cut, or sharing a spot with the new My Unit like the Koopalings and Alph. Either way, I think while "Robin" will be cut, the "Fire Emblem Mage/Swordsman My Unit" spot will stay, if that makes sense.
Now, onto newcomers!
The first one that comes to mind is, of course, the next Lord. Sure, Chrom didn't make it, but if the next Fire Emblem Lord is distinct enough, why not? I hope the next Lord offers something new for Sakurai to use, particularly I'd love an archer/spear lord for once.
The next one, is, well, an older Fire Emblem character. Fire Emblem is so big, I doubt we'll ever see an old Lord that isn't Marth or Roy get in. But if they perhaps ever make another remake of one of the older games and release it worldwide for once, perhaps an old character will get new blood and become popular enough to get in? But this is pretty unlikely, in my opinion.
The last choice is some break-out, non-Lord from a future Fire Emblem. But like Pokemon, there's so many Fire Emblem characters, picking one of the random ones would feel a bit odd. You gotta stick to the big ones, imo.