Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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So does the GOP have their own nuke they will set off today against Trump? Or does the GOP just go all in since Trump apparently has the green light to be a blatant racist and put him on the pedestal along with Reagan?

I'm guessing the latter.
 
So does the GOP have their own nuke they will set off today against Trump? Or does the GOP just go all in since Trump apparently has the green light to be a blatant racist and put him on the pedestal along with Reagan?

I'm guessing the latter.

They could always stuff some ballot boxes, but I doubt that would go over very well.
 
Assuming Clinton sweeps everything but VT today, at what point does it become unethical for Sanders to keep asking for donations just to 'stay in it until all 50 states are counted'?

He's getting a ton of money from donations right now, and people can do whatever they want with their money, but the demographics he's aiming for is very clearly the lower end of middle class (or those worse off). Is it right to keep asking for donations from people who may not be able to afford it for a campaign that has no reasonable chance of winning (assuming today goes hard for Clinton)

I'm a clear Clinton supporter, so I am likely looking at this from a different perspective than a Sanders supporter, but has nobody asked this question yet?

idk. It's a valid question, but perhaps he thinks getting people engaged about politics and out voting is worth the money? I think there does have to be a point where he shuts it down, sooner rather than later and maybe gives the money to charities.

If you donate to him, maybe you want to see him run as long as he can
 
My post was not about the likelihood of Bernie winning (he's not going to win). It was an objective, factual statement; today's data is not enough to conclude that there aren't enough delegates in the later states for it to be POSSIBLE (not the same as plausible) for him to win. And that is true regardless of him losing every state today or not.

I'm working on the assumption that Sanders (or Clinton) would not jeopardize their parties chances in the general election for a very improbable chance of winning the primary. At some point the odds of winning become so low it makes more sense to drop out then continuing to harm both of your chances in the general to the point that you could get a Pyrrhic victory.
 
So does the GOP have their own nuke they will set off today against Trump? Or does the GOP just go all in since Trump apparently has the green light to be a blatant racist and put him on the pedestal along with Reagan?

I'm guessing the latter.

Yea at this point the GOP helped create Trump and now they are looking at what has become of it. They can't do anything about it now. He'll get the nom unless something crazy happens
 
They could always stuff some ballot boxes, but I doubt that would go over very well.

Not gonna lie. After championing voter ID laws this would be hilarious if it came true.

Does anyone have a handy dandy chart for when polls close for each of the states?
 
I will be doing my part for Bernie in Oklahoma today. I wouldn't underestimate his chances here. Our minority population is more Hispanic than African-American, and he had a very successful rally in Tulsa about a week ago.
 
Thought this was funny

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I'm seeing a significant amount of interest in Omalley around numerous polling stations today. Don't count him out guys. I think we're in for a Tuesday surprise.
 
I'm working on the assumption that Sanders (or Clinton) would not jeopardize their parties chances in the general election for a very improbable chance of winning the primary. At some point the odds of winning become so low it makes more sense to drop out then continuing to harm both of your chances in the general to the point that you could get a Pyrrhic victory.

But this is a totally different (though still valid) argument that has nothing to do with my original point.

As to your point, it's not like the DNC primary process has to work this way. The party can decide however they please to select their candidate. If this is how the process works, both candidates are well within their right to take full advantage of it.

Don't forget that this general election will be longer than the last, so there will be plenty of time to unite the party.
 
It's funny to see Paul Ryan pretend like the Republican strategy for years hasn't been to prey on people's racism.
 
So does the GOP have their own nuke they will set off today against Trump? Or does the GOP just go all in since Trump apparently has the green light to be a blatant racist and put him on the pedestal along with Reagan?

I'm guessing the latter.

I think if/when Trump wins the nomination either the GOP will get in line behind him, or the leaders (are there really any for the GOP right now? The old guard is basically all gone) will leave him to his own devices in the General and focus their efforts on protecting their party down ticket.

People have been asking this question. It's a tough one to answer because I don't know how Sanders feels about it himself.

We've actually been discussing this issue since the last page.

Apologies, I jumped to the last page (at the time)
 
Trump-today

"There's nobody that's done so much for equality as I have. You take a look at Palm Beach Florida, I built the Mar a Lago club, totally open to everybody. A club that frankly set a new standard in clubs and a new standard in Palm Beach. And I've gotten great credit for it," Trump said. "That is totally open to everybody."
 
The best case scenario for Sanders tonight is winning VT, MN, CO, OK and MA. I don't know if he will win them all but, but I imagine regardless of the outcome he goes onto March 15. That's the next big test and he has the money to compete. If he fails there I think he should suspend his campaign, endorse Hillary Clinton and shift to general election mode. The party will need to be united to take down Trump.
 
I find it genuinely hilarious to hear the Republican establishment pretend like they haven't been the party of racists for years.
 
More fun

Trump-Got the endorsement of Brian France and @NASCAR yesterday in Georgia. Also, many of the sports great drivers. Thank you Nascar and Georgia!

more accurate NASCAR CEO Brian France, some drivers endorse Donald Trump for president
 
The best case scenario for Sanders tonight is winning VT, MN, CO, OK and MA. I don't know if he will win them all but, but I imagine regardless of the outcome he goes onto March 15. That's the next big test and he has the money to compete. If he fails there I think he should suspend his campaign, endorse Hillary Clinton and shift to general election mode. The party will need to be united to take down Trump.
He won't win them all. That isn't a prediction, it's a spoiler.
 
Not gonna lie. After championing voter ID laws this would be hilarious if it came true.

Does anyone have a handy dandy chart for when polls close for each of the states?

All times eastern
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We will likely have projections for all three 7PM states immediately.
 
I believe it's by congressional district and a proportional distribution with a 20% threshold. OP really should have had the info for each state since it's confusing as fuck.

I read words I'm not sure I understood what they meant. All I could gather was that Texas isn't a winner-takes-all state. I think,
 
Final incursion?

Maybe the propreantepenultimate one, at least on the GOP side. Cruz and Rubio aren't going anywhere anytime soon.

Delicious.
 
Final incursion?

Maybe the propreantepenultimate one, at least on the GOP side. Cruz and Rubio aren't going anywhere anytime soon.

Delicious.
I'll tell you where else they aren't going. On the ticket. They may stay in, but it'll be like the last few weeks of Christie and Bush staying in. Literally everyone else knew they were done.
 
I've realized I agree with John Oliver: A part of me likes Trump, but it's a part of me I hate. He can be funny and I enjoy how over the top he acts at times. He truly is an entertainer.
 
I'll tell you where else they aren't going. On the ticket. They may stay in, but it'll be like the last few weeks of Christie and Bush staying in. Literally everyone else knew they were done.
Yeah, but the difference is they're staying in at a time that will maximize their public embarrassment.

Texas will be close even with early voting, and (later on) Florida is going to be an absolute bloodbath for Rubio.

At least Jeb! and Christie had the good graces to avoid being Trumped in their home states.
 
I've realized I agree with John Oliver: A part of me likes Trump, but it's a part of me I hate. He can be funny and I enjoy how over the top he acts at times. He truly is an entertainer.

Yes. He's a very good entertainer. I just think he'd be a terrible president. As in, possibly the worst we've ever had.
 
I've realized I agree with John Oliver: A part of me likes Trump, but it's a part of me I hate. He can be funny and I enjoy how over the top he acts at times. He truly is an entertainer.

Oh a part of everyone like's Trump. If only for the entertainment factor. But at the end of the day I could never support him. Not that I'd want to. He's only an entertainer that's it.
 
idk. It's a valid question, but perhaps he thinks getting people engaged about politics and out voting is worth the money? I think there does have to be a point where he shuts it down, sooner rather than later and maybe gives the money to charities.

If you donate to him, maybe you want to see him run as long as he can

The post you responded to is Hilarious. No it is unethical for poor people to donate money for elections. Not only do the rich get a bigger microphone, they are the only ones who should be donating at all! Absolutely fascinating.

Do not go there....
The reality is Clinton puts the time to meet with Black leaders, Sanders doesn't.

It is an interesting discussion worth having no?

It is a discussion worth having... plenty of "Black leaders" support Sanders. They are just not as high profile. More State Senators and activists vs governors and DC congress people. I do think this difference is important. Clearly has more sway with the establishment.

We cannot project today that it will be mathematically impossible for him to catch up, even if he loses every state today.

Yes, but momentum requires a narrative. The narrative of a path to victory becomes weak if he gets sweeped today.

sounds about right.

The caucus states are the really important ones! Clinton winning MA would be a big blow to Sanders IMO.

Oh a part of everyone like's Trump. If only for the entertainment factor. But at the end of the day I could never support him. Not that I'd want to. He's only an entertainer that's it.

I like Trump sometimes. This happens when he talks about how DC politicians are corrupt, the system is broken, and he will actually work for the people. This happens when he goes against GOP talking points and says that Planned Parenthood actually does some good, how Bush did not keep us safe in 9/11, how the Iraq war was a disaster based on lies, how we cannot let people die on the street because they dont have insurance.

Then he says we must build a wall and ban muslims.
 
Winner-Take Most

you need to cross over 50% mark to Take All
Winner at 49% and under = proportional
but, if a candidate fails to reach 20%, you get nada (lol Marco)

Goddamn! The American electoral system is so fucking confusing! How can the average American keep tabs on all these rules that change state by state? My guess is they don't.
 
Already getting reports of shenanigans here in Alabama. People that are voting at Church of the Highlands aren't being given Democratic ballots and a place in Concord is only giving out Republican ballots regardless of what ballot people ask for.
 
Goddamn! The American electoral system is so fucking confusing! How can the average American keep tabs on all these rules that change state by state? My guess is they don't.
The electoral college is entirely winner take all. That's what's used for the general election. It's pretty simple to follow.

This is just primaries, where the parties get to do whatever they want so there's a lot of arbitrary rules.
 
Already getting reports of shenanigans here in Alabama. People that are voting at Church of the Highlands aren't being given Democratic ballots and a place in Concord is only giving out Republican ballots regardless of what ballot people ask for.

This doesn't bode well for Trump.
 
Already getting reports of shenanigans here in Alabama. People that are voting at Church of the Highlands aren't being given Democratic ballots and a place in Concord is only giving out Republican ballots regardless of what ballot people ask for.

This is good news for John McCain.
 
Goddamn! The American electoral system is so fucking confusing! How can the average American keep tabs on all these rules that change state by state? My guess is they don't.

Not to do confuse you more, but this isn't even the electoral system. It's the process the parties use to pick the presidential candidates.

Basically each state party is allocated delegates to go on to the national party convention and choose a candidate. Each state party chooses how to allocate them. The easiest way is winner take all or proportional by a state wide vote.
 
Already getting reports of shenanigans here in Alabama. People that are voting at Church of the Highlands aren't being given Democratic ballots and a place in Concord is only giving out Republican ballots regardless of what ballot people ask for.
Carson upset incoming
 
But this is a totally different (though still valid) argument that has nothing to do with my original point.

As to your point, it's not like the DNC primary process has to work this way. The party can decide however they please to select their candidate. If this is how the process works, both candidates are well within their right to take full advantage of it.

Don't forget that this general election will be longer than the last, so there will be plenty of time to unite the party.

You keep mentioning "viable candidate" and say you want Bernie to keep going til the last state, yet we will know he can't win before because there will come a point where the delegates left won't be enough to get him the nomination. How then will he a viable candidate and why waste people money and time to keep going to the last state
 
The electoral college is entirely winner take all. That's what's used for the general election. It's pretty simple to follow.

This is just primaries, where the parties get to do whatever they want so there's a lot of arbitrary rules.

As far as present day democracies even the American general election is more complicated than other countries' what with its electoral college and winner takes all by state mentality. Sure, compared to the primaries they're piss easy to understand, but they can be very confusing at first for an outsider where presidents get elected by a general and direct vote count and no electoral colleges that can be so unfair sometimes.

If the electoral college voted proportionally to the state's % for each candidate instead of a winner takes all it would already be a much better system. Imagine yourself being a democrat living in Mississippi... going to the ballot to cast your blue vote is as meaningless as abstaining since you know your state is giving all its college votes to the republicans.
 
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