Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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Nipo said:
Yea, Rubio is looking more like a sacrificial lamb right now. He keeps attacking Donald "I promise not to talk about your massive plastic surgeries" Trump even though it is hurting his numbers too. I don't know what the RNC leaders are even hoping for at this point. Kasichi/Rubio?
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I think Rubio's going to have think of dropping out of the race in the next week or two especially if he loses florida to Trump.
 
pretty happy with cruz doing well

i think he's the simplest candidate for hillary to face. bad image, policies are too conservative. rubio and kasich can potentially do damage, trump is so anarchic and disruptive he's a risk despite his huge unfavourables. cruz is a straightforward, predictable enemy that hillary beats 95 times out of 100.
 
OpinionatedCyborg said:
I've been using this for results: http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...ults-kansas-kentucky-louisiana-maine-nebraska

This for polls and rules: http://www.270towin.com/2016-republican-nomination/

And this to see who is/isn't on track, at least according to one group of people: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/
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Empty said:
pretty happy with cruz doing well

i think he's the simplest candidate for hillary to face. bad image, policies are too conservative. rubio and kasich can potentially do damage, trump is so anarchic and disruptive he's a risk despite his huge unfavourables. cruz is a straightforward, predictable enemy that hillary beats 95 times out of 100.
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This is my thinking
his policies may be similar to trumps but trump has charisma and is seemingly coated in hydrophobic spray, much more dangerous
 
The best Cruz could do is replicate Romney's 2012 states.

GOP has zero chance with him. At least Trump's a massive wildcard. Cruz appeals to nobody but right wing hardliners.
 
How much of today's results for Cruz can be contributed to Republican backlash against Trump?

CNN have been citing high voter turnout - and it all looks to be going Cruz's way.
 
Ecotic said:
Trump was definitely ahead in Louisiana polling. I'm not aware of any Kentucky polling.
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The Kentucky caucus is very recent, normally they hold a standard primary later in the season but Rand had it changed to benefit him. As a result no one knows what's going to happen there.
 
What happens if Rubio comes a distant third across the board? It's down to Cruz and Trump, and does the GOP really want Cruz enough to stop Trump?
 
Bernbaum said:
How much of today's results for Cruz can be contributed to Republican backlash against Trump?
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These are largely states or caucus systems already favourable to Cruz. If Trump does badly in Louisiana, that would be different, but we'll see.

Heh, Trump vs. Cruz: truly this is the darkest timeline for the GOP establishment.
 
B-Dubs said:
Trump does poorly in caucus states for whatever reason.
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Caucus goers tend to be those who are more involved in the political process, while Trump largely benefits from people who are less involved. Caucuses also require a lot more organizational skills for mobilizing supporters effectively, and Trump is pretty bad at that.
 
What time does the democrat results start coming in?
 
Polari said:
What happens if Rubio comes a distant third across the board? It's down to Cruz and Donald "Please don't feel so stupid or insecure" Trump, and does the GOP really want Cruz enough to stop Donald "Please don't feel so stupid or insecure" Trump?
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After tonight the delegate count will look something like this for the top three

Trump: 380+ delegates
Cruz: 300+ delegates
Rubio: 130+(most likely less than this looking at the results coming in right now).

Since it does not look like rubio will close the delegate gap between him and cruz anytime soon I think rubio will have to think of dropping out of the race soon.
 
KuwabaraTheMan said:
Too early to say. But if things remain the way they are right now, and he loses Ohio to Kasich and Florida to Rubio, then things start to get pretty hairy for him.
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Unless a miracle happens only Kasich has a decent chance of beating Trump in his home state still.
 
KuwabaraTheMan said:
Too early to say. But if things remain the way they are right now, and he loses Ohio to Kasich and Florida to Rubio, then things start to get pretty hairy for him.
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He's in a tight fight for Ohio, but Florida seems like a pretty safe get, particularly with Cruz dedicated to running interference for him with Rubio.
 
Trump will lose some caucuses but win majority of primaries. I though this was expected - RNC is going to line things up to give advantage to Cruz and the others in caucus contests. Trump lacks the organizational capacity or infrastructure for these contests. Unless most caucuses end up being won by Cruz it won't change the race that much.
 
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