Super Tuesday 2016 |OT| The Final Incursion is a double Incursion (Mar 5-15 contests)

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I was shocked how quick and easy it was. Pretty much the same as regular voting with shorter lines and a single extra form. It was great.
That's not really an extra form, it's required for all elections, you'll fill out the same one in August or November. Just in November it won't have a spot for picking a primary ballot, instead you'll get a more reasonable size section to write your information.

In past primary elections, you didn't even need to pick a ballot, both primaries were on one and you just voted in the one you wanted. Problem was, too many people thought this meant they could vote in both and whined about their ballot being invalidated. There's also actually now a third ballot, if your location, such as mine did, has a referendum or such but you don't want to vote in either primary.

Now if only I can convince my precinct that it NEEDS A FUCKING TABLE rather than just the dumb little clipboards for that form...
 
The Democratic Party seriously needs to start panicing about their nominees. People keep saying Sanders is not electable but its clear Clinton's favorability ratings will kill her in the general.

Low turnout and polling boosting her performance VS her actual performance. Shes just not a good campaigner. Sanders is not excellent either but at least he has a message and his gaffes only highlight Clinton's weak result.

i thought trump had the worst favorability ratings out of any candidate. plus the demographics just aren't there for republicans.
 
That's not really an extra form, it's required for all elections, you'll fill out the same one in August or November. Just in November it won't have a spot for picking a primary ballot, instead you'll get a more reasonable size section to write your information.

In past primary elections, you didn't even need to pick a ballot, both primaries were on one and you just voted in the one you wanted. Problem was, too many people thought this meant they could vote in both and whined about their ballot being invalidated.

Now if only I can convince my precinct that it NEEDS A FUCKING TABLE rather than just the dumb little clipboards for that form...

Who will we enslave to make the table, benji? WHO WILL WE ENSLAVE TO MAKE THE TABLE
 
i thought trump had the worst favorability ratings out of any candidate. plus the demographics just aren't there for republicans.

He does, by far. Almost all of the candidates this cycle are underwater (save Bernie), but his unfavorables aren't even close to anyone else's.
 
Its very interesting how the african american group and everyone else have been polar opposites in regards to trustworthiness and relatability when it comes to Hillary. I wonder why that is.

Frankly, I think black voters tend to be a lot more aware of the Republican smear machine at work than the general electorate. Especially when it comes to the Clintons.
 
I hope the Democratic primary stays relevant until June. Being a Californian resident, it will be really depressing come primary season if our vote doesn't make a difference...
 
Trump got beat badly by Cruz in western Michigan, especially in Ottawa where he only got 19%. Trump dominated in eastern parts especially St Clair 49%, Macomb 48%, and Wayne 41%. Plus he won most of the rural counties in the state as well. Mississippi counts as the 6th of 8 states needed for the nomination(In addition to the needed delegates) Idaho will give Cruz 4.

Nice win by Bernie there. What a shocker since he was down double digits in the polls?
 
He does, by far. Almost all of the candidates this cycle are underwater (save Bernie), but his unfavorables aren't even close to anyone else's.

Yep. Trump is rejected by a very large part of his own party. At least Sanders and Clinton are interchangeable. Like 90% of the people voting for one will vote for the other if they are the nominee.
 
Trump got beat badly by Cruz in western Michigan, especially in Ottawa where he only got 19%. Trump dominated in eastern parts especially St Clair 49%, Macomb 48%, and Wayne 41%. Plus he won most of the rural counties in the state as well.

Nice win by Bernie there. What a shocker since he was down double digits in the polls?

I think the Flint democratic debate really swung a lot of people, too. Bernie had a big gaffe with the "Excuse me, I'm talking" line, but overall he was very strong in showing how much of a corporatist Clinton really is, and how he differentiates from that.
 
26.6% of Hawaii reporting, 46.6% for Trump.

I'm really surprised about this, especially since it is caucuses. He currently has roughly the same lead over Cruz in Hawaii as Cruz does over him in Idaho. Of course, there's lots of Hawaii left to report and it is fewer delegates. But I think 3/4 states for Trump would be a very successful night and a great way to build momentum heading into next week's massive votes. At the very least, it quiets the "Trump is fading" narrative.
 
I'm really surprised about this, especially since it is caucuses. He currently has roughly the same lead over Cruz as Cruz doesover him in Idaho. Of course, there's lots of Hawaii left to report and it is fewer delegates. But I think 3/4 states for Trump would be a very successful night and a great way to build momentum heading into next week's massive votes. At the very least, it quiets the "Trump is fading" narrative.
Did Hawaiians caucus as Mississippi and Michigan were getting called? If so, that may have influenced the Hawaii result.
 
I'm really surprised about this, especially since it is caucuses. He currently has roughly the same lead over Cruz in Hawaii as Cruz does over him in Idaho. Of course, there's lots of Hawaii left to report and it is fewer delegates. But I think 3/4 states for Trump would be a very successful night and a great way to build momentum heading into next week's massive votes. At the very least, it quiets the "Trump is fading" narrative.

Yeah I'm surprised as well. Apparently he has a big hotel on the island and is a national figure? That's what the guy on CNN said anyway.

33% in and Trump holding 46%.

Trump will come very close to getting 50% of the delegates on offer today.
 
I'm pretty sure Hawaii's "vote tally" is the same as the Democrat's Iowa silliness of "state delegate equivalents." Each number doesn't necessary have a vote total attached and we'll probably never see the actual raw numbers.
 
The rounding rules for delegate allocation in Hawaii favor the winner and would likely screw over the 4th place finisher. There's still hope to shut out Rubio for the night if Kasich can place 3rd.
 
That's not really an extra form, it's required for all elections, you'll fill out the same one in August or November. Just in November it won't have a spot for picking a primary ballot, instead you'll get a more reasonable size section to write your information.

In past primary elections, you didn't even need to pick a ballot, both primaries were on one and you just voted in the one you wanted. Problem was, too many people thought this meant they could vote in both and whined about their ballot being invalidated. There's also actually now a third ballot, if your location, such as mine did, has a referendum or such but you don't want to vote in either primary.

Now if only I can convince my precinct that it NEEDS A FUCKING TABLE rather than just the dumb little clipboards for that form...

I've voted in every election since I registered in 08 and I somehow have forgotten that form. Shows how much I payed attention.

This is my first primary and it was definitely an interesting experience. I mainly just went because the lines weren't long and the polling place is literally down the street from me, so if I skipped out I would've ended up feeling like I neglected my civic duty with no excuse. Luckily my precinct had not one table, but 3 for barely any people so space was plenty.
 
Lol Rubio is fighting for his life to stay in third. I think Trump will take Hawaii

"This isn't 3rd place! No, the momentum is barely getting in swing! We're gonna win in Florida! And we're gonna win in California! And we're gonna win in Ohio and we're going to take it to the white house RHEEEE!"
 
I'm pretty sure Hawaii's "vote tally" is the same as the Democrat's Iowa silliness of "state delegate equivalents." Each number doesn't necessary have a vote total attached and we'll probably never see the actual raw numbers.
No, Republican caucuses are just vote counts. They moved away from the gathering in a room thing. The only difference from a primary for Republicans is that the voting timeframe is shorter.
 
"This isn't 3rd place! No, the momentum is barely getting in swing! We're gonna win in Florida! And we're gonna win in California! And we're gonna win in Ohio and we're going to take it to the white house RHEEEE!"
"The American people are finally realizing that a con man cannot be trusted"
 
I dismissed Kasich initially, but he is basically doing as well as Rubio today. I think he might be better as of late.

Despite doing worse than rubio in Hawaii(probably) and Idaho his results in the other two states plus the delegates he won in Michigan indicates to me that he did a lot better than rubio today.He's going to win like 6X more delegates than rubio today most likely.
 
Despite doing worse than rubio in Hawaii(probably) and Idaho his results in the other two states plus the delegates he won in Michigan indicates to me that he did a lot better than rubio today.He's going to win like 6X more delegates than rubio today most likely.

Rubio hasn't won a single delegate yet. He got nothing out of Idaho.
 
No, Republican caucuses are just vote counts. They moved away from the gathering in a room thing. The only difference from a primary for Republicans is that the voting timeframe is shorter.

So they just gather in a room, call for a vote, and raise hands?
 
Michigan's loss for Clinton isn't that is a serious dent in her campaign. It's why she lost that should cause her panic. Independent voters in Michigan were motivated enough to go out and vote against Hillary such that Bernie had 70% of the independent vote in the primary.

Many of the future primaries are closed, so independents can't vote in them.
 
Michigan's loss for Clinton isn't that is a serious dent in her campaign. It's why she lost that should cause her panic. Independent voters in Michigan were motivated enough to go out and vote against Hillary such that Bernie had 70% of the independent vote in the primary.

I mean, it's hard to draw any conclusions from that. For one thing, you didn't specify how much of the vote was independent. But for another, independent voters are notoriously not independent. In a general election setting, they're basically Republicans. So it's not immediately clear what it would mean to win independents by a bunch in an open Democratic primary. It might suggest that a lot of GOP voters tactically voted for you, for example.
 
So they just gather in a room, call for a vote, and raise hands?

I honestly don't understand the purpose of this but I guess.

Here is the process:
http://gophawaii.com/?tribe_events=presidential-caucus-primary-election

Tuesday, March 8, 2016, the Republican Party of Hawaii will hold Presidential Caucus voting at multiple locations statewide. Polling places will be open from 6pm to 8pm and will be different than the normal precinct voting locations. Locations will be posted no later than 60 days prior to the caucus.

Over 10,000 Hawaii Republican voters took part in the 2012 Caucuses.

Any Hawaii eligible voter may register to vote, sign a Republican Party card, and vote in the caucus. Unregistered voters with ID wishing to vote may register, and join the party, on the day of and at the place of the caucus election.

Your vote determines the proportional allocation of Delegates to the Republican National Convention to the candidates.

Volunteers are sought to assist in opening and staffing the polls all over the State. To volunteer to help, e-mail info@gophawaii.com or call 808-593-8180.

Caucus rules are contained within the Hawaii Republican Party Rules, Sections 214-216.

http://gophawaii.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/The-Rules-of-the-Hawaii-Republican-Party-5-18-13.pdf
All voting at Republican Presidential caucuses shall be by secret ballot. Each voter shall vote for only one Presidential candidate.

The Hawaii Republican caucus is just voting with restricted hours.
 
Trump is on pace to win 10 delegates from Hawaii, which would be a majority.

4th place finisher (Kasich for now) would receive 0.
C'MON KASICH BEAT RUBIO

So tonight -- Trumps actual result/His 538 goal:

Hawaii: 10/7
Idaho: 12/10
Michigan: 25/25
Mississippi: 25/17

Trump gets 72 delegates tonight. He needed 59. 22% over his target for the night.
 
C'MON KASICH BEAT RUBIO

So tonight -- Trumps actual result/His 538 goal:

Hawaii: 10/7
Idaho: 12/10
Michigan: 25/25
Mississippi: 25/17

Trump gets 72 delegates tonight. He needed 59. 22% over his target for the night.

Don't forget about the 2 delegates Rubio would get if these results hold up!
 
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