Ted Cruz dropping out per Campaign Manager

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I'm so relieved Cruz is out. I used to think Santorium was the worst person running for president last election. Then we saw evil in it's purest form.
 

SeanR1221

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C1E21MG.gif


Someone put Teds face on Vince
 

Grief51

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Bookmakers say Clinton has a 75 % of winning the election and Trump has 25 %. Sounds about right imo. That means Hillary is still most likely going to be the next president, but Trump, right now at least, is not without a fighting chance.
Especially since there has been at least one head-to-head poll in which he was winning.

As always the General Election will be decided by the debates and Independents. 6 months is a long long time in politics lots of crazy things can happen.
 

Valhelm

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I'm legit scared. Because I feel when the majority of people get in the booth and have the names in front of them, they'll go Trump.

Correct. However, the reality of the electoral map means that it's going to be difficult for Trump to win a majority of the votes in every key state.
 
Bookmakers say Clinton has a 75 % of winning the election and Trump has 25 %. Sounds about right imo. That means Hillary is still most likely going to be the next president, but Trump, right now at least, is not without a fighting chance.
Especially since there has been at least one head-to-head poll in which he was winning.

As always the General Election will be decided by the debates and Independents. 6 months is a long long time in politics lots of crazy things can happen.
What was the bookmakers chance at the beginning of the primary elections for Trump to win the nomination?
 

Boney

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Bookmakers say Clinton has a 75 % of winning the election and Trump has 25 %. Sounds about right imo. That means Hillary is still most likely going to be the next president, but Trump, right now at least, is not without a fighting chance.
Especially since there has been at least one head-to-head poll in which he was winning.

As always the General Election will be decided by the debates and Independents. 6 months is a long long time in politics lots of crazy things can happen.
Trump can't debate for m shit though.
 
It's funny how things can change in just a few weeks. When Cruz won Wisconsin, the media was proclaiming Trump all but dead and that we were definitely going to have a contested convention. What's strange is that nothing really unpredictable happened since then. After Wisconsin, everyone expected Trump to sweep the northeast. Maybe Trump slightly over-performed but it wasn't really surprising. Yet, the media narrative completely changed as if something dramatically unexpected had happened and Trump surged with huge momentum into Indiana.

Indiana was the first real competitive state since Wisconsin. Yes Cruz lost in dramatic fashion, but if you went by the media hyperbole in early April, this would have just been a bump in the road on the way to a contested convention.

The real lesson here is that the media is a pure momentum machine and they can't see two weeks ahead of their own nose.
 
Team Clinton needs to be as good as Team Obama at defining the opponent now and never letting up.

Trump has done a pretty good job defining himself. All you need to do is play clips of pretty much anything he's said on the campaign trail and his favorables tank with anyone thats not a hardcore racist.
 

etrain911

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Good, he honestly scared me more than Trump. Trump may be an idiot, but Cruz has repeatedly used his knowledge of the political system to his advantage time and time again and I have no doubt he would have done so as president.
 
http://nyti.ms/1Ux8FaL

This piece is absolutely brutal. My God, I feel a bit bad for reading it, but I agree with every word. Glad to see Cruz out, though I am very afraid of a Trump presidency. It would be much better if Kasich ended up with the nomination. I know many of you just want a democrat in the White House, but I think realisitically, we have to ask that if Trump even stands a chance of being in there, wouldn't we really have ANYONE but him (and Cruz)?
 

watershed

Banned
Trump has done a pretty good job defining himself. All you need to do is play clips of pretty much anything he's said on the campaign trail and his favorables tank with anyone thats not a hardcore racist.
At the same time, no one actually working in this election should treat it like a cakewalk and no one should think about not voting or donating because they assume a dem win is already in the bag. That kind of complacency can hurt in November.
 
I'm glad Cruz is gone. That guy scared me.
I'm legit scared. Because I feel when the majority of people get in the booth and have the names in front of them, they'll go Trump.
I don't think you realize how much people dislike Donald Trump, even among Republicans. He may seem popular in the media and online but meme magic doesn't win elections.
 
I still can't believe Trump bullied his way to the top.

I know this would never happen but it would amazing if Hillary named Michelle Obama as her running mate.
 

Fracas

#fuckonami
So now a brokered convention cannot happen? I haven't kept up with this stuff in like a month. Trump is now the nominee no matter what now, right?
 

Maximus.

Member
So what was the point of announcing his choice for VP, seeing as he now has quit after a week? I guess trying to get those last minute votes?
 

riotous

Banned
So what was the point of announcing his choice for VP, seeing as he now has quit after a week? I guess trying to get those last minute votes?

His only shot was a contested convention with Trump getting well under 1200 pledged delegates.

Essentially his only shot was to win Indiana and use that momentum to put a huge dent in the rest of the primary results.

But yeah I think the VP thing was some weird failed attempt at momentum that turned into the viral video of the year award candidate.
 
It's funny how things can change in just a few weeks. When Cruz won Wisconsin, the media was proclaiming Trump all but dead and that we were definitely going to have a contested convention. What's strange is that nothing really unpredictable happened since then. After Wisconsin, everyone expected Trump to sweep the northeast. Maybe Trump slightly over-performed but it wasn't really surprising. Yet, the media narrative completely changed as if something dramatically unexpected had happened and Trump surged with huge momentum into Indiana.

Indiana was the first real competitive state since Wisconsin. Yes Cruz lost in dramatic fashion, but if you went by the media hyperbole in early April, this would have just been a bump in the road on the way to a contested convention.

The real lesson here is that the media is a pure momentum machine and they can't see two weeks ahead of their own nose.
To be fair, Trump was expected to sweep the northeast, but not with the huge margins he got. Kasich was supposed to be able to pull a few delegates in Maryland and Cruz to capture some delegates in Pennsylvania.
 
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