After 6 months I have finally concluded that online ranking matches aren't for me, and here's why.
I'm in the blue ranks, I've been in the blue ranks since about November/Decemberish, I have never made it to master with any character, and my win/loss percentage stays around 50%. Which to me, is pretty decent, now. When I play online ranked, the people I play against, whether they are Disciple, Master, or Grand Master, they usually have a match count over 1,000, usually with a 55% percent win/loss rate. These people obviously have lots of experience. It impresses me when these players play so unpredictably, and they can also punish moves that I never thought people would likely punish. I get a lot of equal matches, but most of the time, I get people who spam 10 hit combos, into bounds, over and over again.
Or people who come right out of the gate spamming lows. Bryan is my worse nightmare. Playing against Bryan scares me because I keep anticipating his low sweeping kick launch. It's the cheapest move out there, and I notice when the opponent does it, I tap d/b, but I don't hold it. I know what's coming, but I am too nervous to block then punish. When playing against Law/Feng/Lili/Asuka/Jun, get this, I try to punish attacks before they even land! It's like, I see them coming, and I know what the end of the string looks like, but I try to punish it too fast and it fucks me up. I have tried to back off and just turtle, but when I do that, the opponent runs up and grabs me. Or if I'm winning 2-0, people online just start grabbing over and over. So it's basically half me, and half everyone else. I think this is the only game I've played in my life where I've actually had a love/hate relationship.
In February, I was playing online against a solo True Ogre, after winning 5 matches, and losing 7, so I was pretty satisfied with that streak. Dude's health was very low, but he had rage. I was trying to tag out to Miguel, and as soon as I tagged, he did his chop kick and it caught me on the raw tag. I got so angry that I took the game disc, put it in it's case, went outside at 3AM, and stomped the game into pieces outside my front door. Probably the most embarrassing gaming related incident I've ever had. It amazes me that this game can evoke so many emotions out of me, from respect for a player, excitement out of punishing launch punishing moves. Anticipating attacks and blocking. Getting grabbed over and over, spamming lows, everything. The learning curve in the blue ranks is huge! I'm fighting other Mentors, sweating heavily and winning, and as soon as I start fighting Masters and Grand Masters the skill in these players goes up so high! I can usually get like one win in and 3 losses. So for now, I've decided just to stick to Player Matches indefinitely.