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The UK votes to leave the European Union |OUT2| Mayday, Mayday, I've lost an ARM

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MilkyJoe

Member
england-countryside_02140225.jpg

Such full
Much capacity reached
Amaze immigration

Capacity of what?

Public resources. Are you suggesting they g live in the fields?
 

Zaph

Member
Don't be a bell.

I didn't vote out, but you don't have to be a right winger to know the word "capacity"

I've lived my entire live in the most densely populated city in the country. One of the most expensive in the world. Property prices are insane. I earn pretty good money, but still struggle to save for my own home.

Even with that all said, I'd have to be a complete bell-end to put a gun to the head of our economy for those reasons alone. Overreaction doesn't even begin to describe it.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Public resources. Are you suggesting they g live in the fields?

We don't have a set amount of public resources, though. Not enough schools? Build more. Not enough homes? Build more. The only limitations are financial ones... but on average, EU immigrants paid more in tax than non-EU immigrants, which means that they should actually be able to support more schools-per-person than residents. That means the problem is a political one - it's failure to properly invest infrastructure.
 

Zaph

Member
Public resources. Are you suggesting they g live in the fields?

Did the EU give us more proverbial mouths to feed? Yes. But that same union also put significantly more food on the table.

Blame our government(s) for failing to use some of the increased revenue to expand housing, social security, and prepare better for the unavoidable globalisation of the economy which severely impacted the working class.
 

MilkyJoe

Member

What's that got to do with waiting 2 months for a dental appointment?

Well there is at least room for housing, schools, hospitals, fire departments, kindergartens, garden centres, grocery stores, train stations, bus depots, home depots, IKEA, Starbucks, the Bill, etc...

We don't have a set amount of public resources, though. Not enough schools? Build more. Not enough homes? Build more. The only limitations are financial ones... but on average, EU immigrants paid more in tax than non-EU immigrants, which means that they should actually be able to support more schools-per-person than residents. That means the problem is a political one - it's failure to properly invest infrastructure.

So we cement over the whole country and build more houses, superstores, schools?

If you think destroying the countryside is valid solution then I really don't know what to say... Jesus wept...
 
I thought you wanted out of EU. Now you want still a bit in?

No lol, I really don't understand the confusion here. The referendum asked a simple question and got a simple answer. We're leaving.

LeavING! In the future! The question wasn't "Should we leave before the end of the year?" or "Should we leave in the next two years?", it was just "Should we leave?".

Look, maybe this is a better way of putting it. My wife and I currently rent a one bedroom flat. We've both decided to move into a bigger place. We didn't need a referendum because there's only two of us, but needless to say a decision was made by some mechanism.

Now, we haven't given our landlord notice because we haven't found a new place yet! And if you want to start sticking your oar in and saying "Why haven't you left yet huh? I thought you wanted to leave?", well I just have to say calm down. It's obvious why we haven't given notice yet, and similarly obvious why we haven't invoked Art. 50 yet.
 
So we cement over the whole country and build more houses, superstores, schools?

If you think destroying the countryside is valid solution then I really don't know what to say... Jesus wept...

Yes that is exactly what I am proposing, there literally is no middle ground there!
[/s]

No lol, I really don't understand the confusion here. The referendum asked a simple question and got a simple answer. We're leaving.

LeavING! In the future! The question wasn't "Should we leave before the end of the year?" or "Should we leave in the next two years?", it was just "Should we leave?".

Tory PM in 2054: "Look we let the people decide and as a country decided it was the right thing to leave the EU, I firmly stand behind this decision and respect the will of the people even if I voted remain. Nevertheless I promise to work my entire tenure on getting us the best deals but rest assured I will not press the button till we've squeezed their balls dry. Remember the question wasn't "Should we leave before the end of the year?" or "Should we leave in the next two years?", it was just "Should we leave?". And we will do so when we are ready! Britannia Waves the Rules!"
 
That 42% "Don't Know" for Tim Farron.

Lib Dems cannot into relevance.

That's entirely expected. Ashdown and Kennedy had their own big personalities to fall on to get the media's attention (Kennedy being Chat Show Charlie, Ashdown being ex-SBS) whereas Campbell, Clegg and now Farron are a bit more normal. Clegg polled similarly in 08 and 09 - it was the reason why Cleggmania was a thing. Being allowed to be the solo centrist voice against the Tories and Brown, plus him being an erudite and intelligent speaker, plus him being the unknown underdog, plus the TV thing being all new and shiny.

Farron's a good egg, plus he is much more aligned to the Lib Dem bases and membership. I think a lot of those don't knows would like him if the same lightning struck twice and he got the same opportunity Clegg got in 2010.

It helps that he's from the sort of area that the Brexit vote was used as a call to help from. Preston lad, parent was a single working class mum, worked his socks off to get to where he is now, and he represents Kendal and the surrounding Lake District, an area that relies on tourism, but is not exactly on the priority list for government investment.

Of course the real challenge is putting together a platform to gain relevance, and then win seats in a GE. That is the real issue for us in the LDs, not that our leader is unknown.
 
What's that got to do with waiting 2 months for a dental appointment?

It means that the money to cover any level of immigration is there if the government is willing to spend it.

If anything, it also means that we should probably stop wasting so much money on lazy fucking natives.
 
Yes that is exactly what I am proposing, there literally is no middle ground there!
[/s]

To be fair, you're not making it that easy to work out what you're proposing with your "le epic meme" posts and a picture of the British countryside.

Tory PM in 2054: "Look we let the people decide and as a country decided it was the right thing to leave the EU, I firmly stand behind this decision and respect the will of the people even if I voted remain. Nevertheless I promise to work my entire tenure on getting us the best deals but rest assured I will not press the button till we've squeezed their balls dry. Remember the question wasn't "Should we leave before the end of the year?" or "Should we leave in the next two years?", it was just "Should we leave?". And we will do so when we are ready! Britannia Waves the Rules!"

Crikey, I really think this referendum result has made you lose the plot a bit.
 

mclem

Member
No lol, I really don't understand the confusion here. The referendum asked a simple question and got a simple answer. We're leaving.

LeavING! In the future! The question wasn't "Should we leave before the end of the year?" or "Should we leave in the next two years?", it was just "Should we leave?".

Look, maybe this is a better way of putting it. My wife and I currently rent a one bedroom flat. We've both decided to move into a bigger place. We didn't need a referendum because there's only two of us, but needless to say a decision was made by some mechanism.

Now, we haven't given our landlord notice because we haven't found a new place yet! And if you want to start sticking your oar in and saying "Why haven't you left yet huh? I thought you wanted to leave?", well I just have to say calm down. It's obvious why we haven't given notice yet, and similarly obvious why we haven't invoked Art. 50 yet.

So what's actually different from what we had beforehand? We could have chosen to invoke Article 50 at any time convenient to us before the referendum, but now instead we're... choosing to invoke Article 50 at any time convenient to us?

I suppose that there's a difference that we're actively looking for a convenient such time, though. But that doesn't necessarily guarantee we'll find one. Lots of the Leave rhetoric was about starting the process ASAP; unless May sets a date immediately today (certainly a possibility), that won't happen.

Of course, the more we delay it, the more we drift away from the state of public opinion at the point the decision was made. Should a government in 2020 feel that they are bound by the results of a referendum from 2016?
 

twobear

sputum-flecked apoplexy
So we cement over the whole country and build more houses, superstores, schools?

If you think destroying the countryside is valid solution then I really don't know what to say... Jesus wept...

If we cement over the entire country we'd have (cramped) space to house about a billion people.

More realistically, 2% of the country was designated as 'urban' in 2012. If you're saying there's no comfortable level between 2% and 100% to build much-needed infrastructure and housing then...I dunno what else to say really?
 

MilkyJoe

Member
It means that the money to cover any level of immigration is there if the government is willing to spend it.

If anything, it also means that we should probably stop wasting so much money on lazy fucking natives.

Unfortunately both counts will never happen.
 

Arksy

Member
Well if people in this thread are right, then there should be ample housing once half of the workforce is relocated overseas.
 
So what's actually different from what we had beforehand? We could have chosen to invoke Article 50 at any time convenient to us before the referendum, but now instead we're... choosing to invoke Article 50 at any time convenient to us?

I suppose that there's a difference that we're actively looking for a convenient such time, though. But that doesn't necessarily guarantee we'll find one. Lots of the Leave rhetoric was about starting the process ASAP.

Of course, the more we delay it, the more we drift away from the state of public opinion at the point the decision was made. Should a government in 2020 feel that they are bound by the results of a referendum from 2016?

What's different is that the British people have expressed their desire, by a margin of 52% to 48%, to leave the EU. I don't think it would have been very sensible to invoke Art. 50 before that happened!

As for the questions of future govts being bound by previous referendum results - absolutely not! They can campaign in the GE on whatever platform they like. They're not bound by previous governments' decisions if they win after all are they?
 

mclem

Member
What's different is that the British people have expressed their desire, by a margin of 52% to 48%, to leave the EU. I don't think it would have been very sensible to invoke Art. 50 before that happened!

Is it sensible to invoke Article 50 at a point in time at which there is a margin more in favour of remaining?
 

MilkyJoe

Member
If we cement over the entire country we'd have (cramped) space to house about a billion people.

More realistically, 2% of the country was designated as 'urban' in 2012. If you're saying there's no comfortable level between 2% and 100% to build much-needed infrastructure and housing then...I dunno what else to say really?

Most people live where the work is and most work is in established cities

Well I hope people with that attitude are equally hostile to expecting mothers.

Do kids move out of home aged 1 day now?
 

mclem

Member
No.

Of course, determining that would require another referendum.

Exactly. So "At some point in the future" comes with an awful lot of inconvenience and inaccuracy. That's a reason why a lot of the rhetoric was around an immediate triggering of Article 50 - because as time passes, the referendum's relevance to now degrades.

(Said inconvenience and inaccuracy is also built into Article 50, of course - the two-year gap can have a similar effect)
 
Don't be a bell.

I didn't vote out, but you don't have to be a right winger to know the word "capacity"



I'm guessing they have no idea who he is.

Except EU migration isn't even that much of a problem. They contribute, work, pay their taxes. And free movement is necessary if you want the single market (Switzerland tried to cap it for some job sectors and the EU put their foot down). Immigration is a convenient scapegoat for government not investing properly into services and housing. The UK hoping to limit free movement is not possible unless the EU decides to cave into Swiss demands for a job sector cap. At best, a job sector cap is what the UK will receive.
 
Did the EU give us more proverbial mouths to feed? Yes. But that same union also put significantly more food on the table.

Blame our government(s) for failing to use some of the increased revenue to expand housing, social security, and prepare better for the unavoidable globalisation of the economy which severely impacted the working class.

The sad thing is that perhaps the goverment would have focused on funding more infrastructure once we were out of the deficit. Was Obsborne aiming for surplus next year after austerity ending? Now we've completely scuppered our chances because we'll be in another long recession.
 
Lucrative banking jobs and all of the associated value add that generates in other sectors, and foreign direct investment are set to relocate depending on the form of exit. And a freeze on new hiring.

It's not suddenly going to make the Conservative government invest in affordable housing.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
So we cement over the whole country and build more houses, superstores, schools?

If you think destroying the countryside is valid solution then I really don't know what to say... Jesus wept...

there are 66,000 hectares of brownfield site in the UK (ie: not countryside). If you put four houses per hectare, that's enough for 264,000 houses, and assuming an average family of 4 people, enough for over a million people.

Even re: greenfield, only 10.6% of England has development on it or is enclosed by development (lots of areas classified as urban are parks and the like), 4.1% of Wales, 3.9% of NI, and 1.9% of Scotland (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-18623096).

We have astonishing amounts of room and resources for immigrants, we just have a shit government that won't invest in the north.
 

Uzzy

Member
The sad thing is that perhaps the goverment would have focused on funding more infrastructure once we were out of the deficit. Was Obsborne aiming for surplus next year after austerity ending? Now we've completely scuppered our chances because we'll be in another long recession.

Oh my sweet summer child. Osborne's aim for a surplus has been repeatedly pushed back, with the most recent targeted date being 2021 iirc. Anyway, they were never going to achieve a surplus.

And had they somehow magically created a surplus, they'd just cut taxes. Osborne might talk big about a Northern Powerhouse and government investment in the north, but he sure as hell won't put our money where his mouth is.
 

kmag

Member
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Consensus forecast for UK economy in 2017 of roughly 0.5%

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Credit Suisse economics team forecasting a contraction of 1% next year citing 5 main reasons

And it cites five reasons why:

Companies have no Brexit contingency plans. Around half of Britain’s FTSE 350 companies didn’t have a plan for a Leave campaign victory.

Exports to the EU are going to be “discriminated against”. The Services sector could be singled out, particularly the financial industry.

People are going to stop investing in Britain. Foreign Direct Investment could easily half, as overseas investors shy away from the UK.

Companies have stockpiled goods. GDP data shows that firms built up their inventories in the first quarter of 2016; a recession will make it harder to sell those goods.

“The UK consumer was not prepared for a shock”. Household savings are low, so people may cut back on their spending drastically once the economy slows.

Bear in mind this is all before the actual impact of leaving (i.e unfavourable trading conditions with our main customer hits). Most companies are preceding under the watchful assumption that EEA membership is the fallback. I don't think that's going to fly politically myself so the forecasts may get worse as the political reality becomes apparent.
 

KingSnake

The Birthday Skeleton
Companies have no Brexit contingency plans. Around half of Britain’s FTSE 350 companies didn’t have a plan for a Leave campaign victory.

This seems strange. Could half of FTSE 350 be that isolated (no export, no import of raw materials/components, no foreign employees)? Or just reckless?
 
there are 66,000 hectares of brownfield site in the UK (ie: not countryside). If you put four houses per hectare, that's enough for 264,000 houses, and assuming an average family of 4 people, enough for over a million people.

That....doesn't sound like that much though? Net migration to the UK was 333,000 last year, so that's gone in like three years.
 
Don't know about the rest of the country but in the Manchester area we're having lots of little grass verge areas being sold at auction by councils so they can squeeze a shoe box of a house on instead of expanding elsewhere it seems.

It's actually quite sad. At the end of a row of houses you often have a tiny bit of grass and a tree but these little areas once considered not adequate for housing are being sold off. We've already seen lots of weird looking houses being squeezed in the oddest of places.

Thing is no new roads can be built, no new schools. Streets are losing any character they once had.

Also another situation is arising where a row of houses built for one family or couple in the 1960s are now being split into flats, so these already small homes now have downstairs as one flat and upstairs is the second flat. It's a shame the country can't expand properly.
 

MilkyJoe

Member
there are 66,000 hectares of brownfield site in the UK (ie: not countryside). If you put four houses per hectare, that's enough for 264,000 houses, and assuming an average family of 4 people, enough for over a million people.

Even re: greenfield, only 10.6% of England has development on it or is enclosed by development (lots of areas classified as urban are parks and the like), 4.1% of Wales, 3.9% of NI, and 1.9% of Scotland (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-18623096).

We have astonishing amounts of room and resources for immigrants, we just have a shit government that won't invest in the north.

But people will not move to the remote places as there is no work. And you are right. The south needs to be left be and the North and Midlands needs investing. Take Boris Island, WTF does London need another airport for? Chuck it in the Midlands and join it to London with a high speed rail link if needs be and encourage a financial district up yonder. Things will be better for everyone that way.
 
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