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[naweednrahman]

I think Andrea leadsom should've been the conservatives leader from the get go.

I think labour are being pessimistic so they don't look silly. But I believe the hype!!!!!!

 

[Beefy]

Expecting about 339 for Cons and 240 for lab based on analysis of the early seat voting.

Bye May then

I think Andrea leadsom should've been the conservatives leader from the get go.

I think labour are being pessimistic so they don't look silly. But I believe the hype!!!!!!

Leadsom is awful

 

[DSN2K]

Exit polls are never accurate

They have been exact the last two elections

 

[gngf123]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

They see how the last one nearly destroyed their party and don't want another one I guess.

It's a shame, they could end up helping if it's a hung government.

 

[Red Arremer]

As an American, perhaps I have a bad read on the UKIP, but how are the Conservatives failing to capture all of that party's loss?

They thought they would get them for free, but some are flocking to Labour.

 

[Uzzy]

As an American, perhaps I have a bad read on the UKIP, but how are the Conservatives failing to capture all of that party's loss?

There's quite a few of them who were Labour voters who view voting Tory as worse than crossing the picket line. Others are probably kippers for life.

 

[ElectronicOldMen]

Damn reading this thread is like the Trump election night thread. Hope shattered.

The exit poll was basically as close to the best realistic scenario, probably still is. As close as can be to that is still a plus.

 

[kmag]

Roughly looking at things, this feels pretty close to the Yougov model.

 

[Hot Coldman]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

jenniferlawrenceOK.gif

 

[Tregard]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

This is just something parties say until it becomes clear a deal would get them into government, right?

 

[Monty Mole]

So if I'm to understand Boxer's take, it's that indyref2 will happen, but the exit polls for SNP suggest the result will be Remain in the UK.

They suggest nothing because too many factors will change before indyref2 happens, and as we've seen this election, things can change in days never mind years.

 

[Wes]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

Once bitten, twice shy.

 

[War Peaceman]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

I don't understand this. Yes, being in coalition fucked them, but what have they got to lose?

I don't understand why they still exist. Just join Labour. If coalition is not an option and you'll never win then why bother. Politics is pointless if you don't win.

Obviously the real reason they say this is because they won't be asked. They can't join tories because of brexit and the coalition. Cant join Labour because the numbers - unless vastly underrepresented - are too low to be plausible.

 

[Miles Quaritch]

Gulp

Keep those expectations in check folks.

 

[Izuna]

This is just something parties say until it becomes clear a deal would get them into government, right?

No, it's what we were sure about going in.

I don't understand this. Yes, being in coalition fucked them, but what have they got to lose?

I don't understand why they still exist. Just join Labour. If coalition is not an option and you'll never win then why bother. Politics is pointless if you don't win.

Not true at all. Labour and Lib Dems think very different on a very important aspect of current politics, Brexit

 

[J4g3r]

I think the exit poll is probably best case scenario. I have accepted Tories will win, but anything less than impressive has greatly damaged May.

Duck Chow Mein for dinner it is.

 

[Putyouinmyoven]

Copeland and Barrow back to Labour.

BBC sources. Youth turnout bigger.

u ferizzle g?

 

[kiyomi]

Neutral to liberal bias.

Eh. Would argue that they've treated Corbyn pretty piss-poor this election and their chief political editor Keunssberg is the biggest reason for that.

Definitely wouldn't say the BBC has that air of neutrality/liberal bias around them that they used to.

 

[nOoblet16]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

Well good for them. Perhaps they'll enjoy a Tory government and being irrelevant, more than doing a deal to get some power and get the Tories out.

What's the point of their existence if they aren't going to make a deal for a coalition, there was, is and going to be 0 chance they end up winning it on their own.

 

[Stead Fast]

Okay, here goes: I predict 329 for Conservatives, and 246 for Labour. Ass pull numbers, but this will trickle out to a Conservative majority.

 

[mo60]

Copeland and Barrow back to Labour.

BBC sources. Youth turnout bigger.

I had a feeling copeland was probably going to flip back looking at electoral calculus yesterdat. The tories won Copeland by like 7% in the feburary byelection when they were polling well above landslide territory nationally. If they started polling under 10% nationally copeland was probably going to swing back.

 

[Ravensmash]

This is just something parties say until it becomes clear a deal would get them into government, right?

Yes.

If Lib dems made gains and refused to assist in toppling the Tories then they'd be crucified far more than the coalition stuff.

They'd be fucking nonexistent.

 

[moggio]

As an American, perhaps I have a bad read on the UKIP, but how are the Conservatives failing to capture all of that party's loss?

Because the party's support is comprised largely of racist Tories and racist Labour voters.

 

[Meadows]

Sigh I'd like a LD Tory coalition, keep them sane

 

[And_Gignac]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

They still fail to understand why they got wrecked by their last alliance. Their voters are not, historically, Tories sympathizers.

 

[Uzzy]

Roughly looking at things, this feels pretty close to the Yougov model.

I only put my prediction in as a joke, I just copied a recent YouGov one. If it's right I expect a nice six pack of chip spice.

 

[Monty Mole]

You know the BBC has run out of things to talk about when they start to have conversations about how lovely the polling buildings are.

 

[kmag]

More SLAB news.

Apparently East Ren may go Labour. Also doing well in Rutherglen & Hamilton West, and Coatbridge & Chryston, apparently. The last two are bit more dubious.

 

[PJV3]

I don't understand this. Yes, being in coalition fucked them, but what have they got to lose?

I don't understand why they still exist. Just join Labour. If coalition is not an option and you'll never win then why bother. Politics is pointless if you don't win.

Give your votes on a case by case basis, get what you want without putting your name to the rest of it.

 

[Xieldos]

Don't think the SNP result changes much as far as IndyRef2 is concerned. I think a lot of SNP votes went back to Labour (perhaps allowing Tories to win in some areas). Interesting times ahead north and south of the border though, that's for sure.

 

[Lego Boss]

Home Sec at risk???

 

[oti]

Damn reading this thread is like the Trump election night thread. Hope shattered.

This is like when on Bake Off they have to bake something with ginger bread and at the beginning they're planning those intricate statues or buildings and you think this will be a disaster and at the end it looks amazing and you're really happy but then when they walk to the judges a ginger bread window breaks off which is a shame but you're still happy it looks as great as it does.

 

[D4Danger]

Amber Rudd isn't at the event and won't talk to the media

does she know something?

 

[Audioboxer]

Murdo Fraser is on BBC Scotland! Nuke the TV set! Burn the house down!

 

[Chinner]

Duck Chow Mein for dinner it is.

I'd eat myself if the I'm wrong.

 

[mo60]

Conservatives are nervous about Hastings and Rye right now according to BBC.

 

[Stead Fast]

You know the BBC has run out of things to talk about when they start to have conversations about how lovely the polling buildings are.

To be fair, it was lovely looking.

 

[whyamihere]

@britainelects
Labour going to 'squeak it' in Cambridge, so says the BBC.

Marginal Labour hold.

Was a 1.2% margin in 15.

 

[naweednrahman]

Bye May then




Leadsom is awful

As a londoner working in the financial services. Leadsom knows her stuff (financially). VERY different to May.

 

[Lagamorph]

Labour apparently quite confident in Hastings, whilst Amber Rudd has basically gone into hiding.

 

[Syder]

Amber Rudd isn't at the event and won't talk to the media

does she know something?

Like what?

 

[StayDead]

Sigh I'd like a LD Tory coalition, keep them sane

That would never happen with so few LD seats.

We need a Lab/Lib/SNP coallition or we're fucked.

 

[And_Gignac]

Neutral to liberal bias.

Lol. They have a strong conservative bias.

 

[D4Danger]

Like what?

she's lost?

 

[tomtom94]

Sigh I'd like a LD Tory coalition, keep them sane

Keep them sane, yes. Do their PR for them, no.

 

[kharma45]

Lol. They have a strong conservative bias.

I love how no matter what side you're on the BBC is always seen as bias to the other.

 

[Zoibie]

Copeland and Barrow back to Labour.

BBC sources. Youth turnout bigger.

!!!

Oh god that would just be the best. Gillian Troughton seems like a genuinely caring person, was gutted when she didn't win in February.

 

[slider]

Regional polling showed the Tories doing better in the north east than nationally. Don't come to any conclusions just yet.

https://twitter.com/brtnelexben/status/872940929187028992

Wonder how that correlates to the Brexit results. Someone smarter than me, work it out. I mean, I think the leave vote was exceptionally strong in the North East, right?

 

[Huw_Dawson]

Marginal Labour hold.

Was a 1.2% margin in 15.

Could easily see youth vote blocking Bermondsey/Cambridge - the question is, naturally, Leeds NW and Hallam.

 

[cyberheater]

Amber Rudd isn't at the event and won't talk to the media

does she know something?

She just lost her father so maybe she's finally having a chance to grieve.