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[kmag]

Amber Rudd isn't at the event and won't talk to the media

does she know something?

As I said earlier. Labour feel really confident in Hastings. The positive noises of the tellers was the talk of the Labour bothy all day

 

[Monty Mole]

LibDempress
We are getting a lot of calls so just to be clear: No Coalition. No deals.
https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473

LibDems playing the long game waiting for post-Brexit to say we told you so.

 

[TiredofWinning]

(@jessicaelgot)

Another Labour MP texts: "I don't believe it. There is no way we have gained 34 seats. Look at the swing against us in Sunderland."

.

 

[War Peaceman]

I love how no matter what side you're on the BBC is always seen as bias to the other.

This is often true. However, even people like Peter Oborne have pointed some highly questionable behaviour in their reporting of Corbyn.

 

[Beefy]

As a londoner working in the financial services. Leadsom knows her stuff (financially). VERY different to May.

She is also a nutter though

 

[Auraela]

Yea hastings is full of vote labour messages all in town centre

 

[ElectronicOldMen]

Lol. They have a strong conservative bias.

Their bias tends to swing slightly towards whoever's in power, but they (mostly Laura Kuenssburg, their political editor) haaaaaaate Corbyn.

 

[Empty]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

labour vote shares in those two seats:

63% est in newcastle central - 65 in reality
56% est in sunderland & houghton - 59.5 in reality

 

[milanbaros]

This exit poll has got it very wrong imo.

 

[Lucky_Se7enty]

after the hassle with the polling in 2015, im pretty sure they are much more accurate now

 

[itsbenoclock]

Will never understand the Welsh voting Conservative

 

[kaizoku]

Still worried, tories strength always surprises me, despite labour being SO STRONG on social media and even now in exit polls tories always find a way to smash it.

 

[JonnyDBrit]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

Would much prefer that version.

 

[And_Gignac]

.

Blairite spotted! /jk

 

[avaya]

As a londoner working in the financial services. Leadsom knows her stuff (financially). VERY different to May.

You are actually joking? Leadsom is a fucking clown. She just worked in the city and had friends in the city but not actually in finance, she doesn't know shit.

Leadsom is a genuine mental.

 

[PJV3]

She is also a nutter though

I was going to say, on every other subject she's away with the fairies.

 

[naweednrahman]

She is also a nutter though

She sticks to her guns. Very well informed. Whether you agree or not, she is more decisive than May.

 

[gngf123]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

Yes please. Oh god I would be happy with this result.

 

[RocknRola]

So, how's this going guys? Will things remain (more or less) as they currently are or will there be any significant change?

 

[whyamihere]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

(tories 302, labour 269)

labour 269

269

69

Nice.

 

[Deleted member 231381]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

That's what I was noticing. People are assuming all constituencies will move the same way as the national average. That's not the case. Two constituencies, both in the North, both non-marginals, are not going to look like the key Midlands marginals we're interested in.

 

[DjRalford]

lol
Boris is now 2/1 to be the next leader of the conservatives

 

[Monty Mole]

I think Andrea leadsom should've been the conservatives leader from the get go.

I think labour are being pessimistic so they don't look silly. But I believe the hype!!!!!!

Leadsom was nothing more than a good presenter. Michael Barrymore was a good presenter.

 

[Lagamorph]

She sticks to her guns. Very well informed. Whether you agree or not, she is more decisive than May.

Of course she is. She has Children after all so she's automatically more qualified at everything.

 

[War Peaceman]

She sticks to her guns. Very well informed. Whether you agree or not, she is more decisive than May.

THATS NOT A GOOD THING

 

[Talents]

Just got back from work at like 11:30, who's winning then?

 

[empyrean]

Just got back from work at like 11:30, who's winning then?

Labour. 2-0 😂

 

[cyberheater]

lol
Boris is now 2/1 to be the next leader of the conservatives

Why not. Him and Trump can compare and contrast hair styles.

 

[offshore]

The real shame about Amber Rudd - if she loses her seat - is how she became so utterly subservient to Theresa May in the aftermath of the Brexit result.

 

[Protome]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

I'd love that. Yougov and Survation are already vindicated by at least being way closer to the exit polls than the other polls were, if Yougov nails the final result that'd be magical.

Spoiler

Also I don't want to see SNP collapse that much

 

[tomtom94]

after the hassle with the polling in 2015, im pretty sure they are much more accurate now

The political climate is very different from two years ago though - the main two parties are back to having something like 80% of the total vote. That's where the discrepancies might creep in.

 

[PJV3]

lol
Boris is now 2/1 to be the next leader of the conservatives

Gove sweating.

 

[chromatic9]

I love how no matter what side you're on the BBC is always seen as bias to the other.

BBC are like Digital Foundry in that regard.

 

[oti]

Oh what Juncker must be thinking right now.

 

[Uzzy]

Just got back from work at like 11:30, who's winning then?

Labour are 2-0 up. That's a PM and Chancellor, and all female too. Very progressive.

 

[31GhostsIV]

My constituency - Wells - has no visible exit poll (that I can find) but turnout is high - possibly 85%....

 

[War Peaceman]

She sticks to her guns. Very well informed. Whether you agree or not, she is more decisive than May.

THATS NOT A GOOD THING

She lied repeatedly about her job in finance

 

[CCS]

Was down in Hastings recently, could definitely see it flipping.

 

[CarlisleDavid1979]

USA Trump.

UK Boris.

Fucking fuck me.gif

 

[Auraela]

Exit poll doesnt have hastings going to labour. This is interesting

 

[SuperBowser]

lol
Boris is now 2/1 to be the next leader of the conservatives

From one car crash to the next to the multi car pile up. Boris will be a disaster under a permanent spotlight.

 

[Jibbed]

lol
Boris is now 2/1 to be the next leader of the conservatives

Do they want to lose even more seats? Because that's how you lose more seats.

 

[Spaced Harrier]

Ok 50 Quid on Corbyn as next PM at 5/1

Coalition of Chaos: Assemble!

Let's do this.

Do you hate money?

Very true...



but our friend Spaced Harrier has just burned his own money lol.

Could've bought some food from ALL the fast food joints mentioned earlier and still had a bit left over for some cans of Tennents Super.

better off spending that on a decent bag of beak

I bet £75 on May. £90 back or Torres out. Either way I can’t lose.

Jeez. I just put a fiver on and think that was a waste of money

Come on you beauty Corbyn. You can do it.

 

[Stead Fast]

I'm waiting for my third drink!

 

[Peter Ian Staker]

BBC are like Digital Foundry in that regard.

How the fuck can you argue with framerate graphs?

 

[darkinstinct]

This exit poll has got it very wrong imo.

It's an exit poll, it doesn't take into consideration postal ballots.

 

[Talents]

Labour are 2-0 up. That's a PM and Chancellor, and all female too. Very progressive.

Labour. 2-0 😂

Sweet. When will the final results be through? Like 4am?

 

[Cairnsay]

Key question:

Does Amber Rudd do Strictly, or I'm a Celeb?

 

[whyamihere]

Exit poll doesnt have hastings going to labour. This is interesting

It's not going to be a uniform swing, like Crab said.

 

[Dougald]

the swings in sunderland and newcastle match the yougov model estimate for those two seats which has a hung parliament overall too (tories 302, labour 269)

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

labour vote shares in those two seats:

63% est in newcastle central - 65 in reality
56% est in sunderland & houghton - 59.5 in reality

This model actually has Reading East leaning towards Labour. My brother in law has been hitting the pavement delivering leaflets for them there for weeks, he would be over the moon.

I would be surprised to see it switch though.