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UK PoliGAF: General election thread of LibCon Coalitionage

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wave dial

Completely unable to understand satire
defel1111 said:
I can only imagine that its a gestural policy, I dont believe that the Tories seriously think that a £150 tax break will promote marriage. Actions speak louder than words so I guess the Tories want to show their support for marriage (and I think more importantly Gay Marriage) by actually making it part of their policy.
Just allowing gay marriage would increase marriage rates. This shows how little they are thinking about the budget--gay marriage would cost nothing.
 
J Tourettes said:
0.117 Islington North.

Oh snap. I did a bit of digging about our MP - annoyingly as he seems like a pretty upstanding guy with a lot of policies I like, and he was anti-war from the beginning. I'll still vote LibDem, though it doesn't sound like it matters either way!
 

defel

Member
Empty said:
That may well be true, but it seems weird for the party that has been obsessing over the deficit for the last year, warning of it's dangers and positioning itself as the party of fiscal responsibility to indulge in a pure giveaway like that.

I think the Tories have realised that they cant win the election if the main focus of their campaign is the "Age of Austerity". People keep saying "stop treating us like idots and be honest about the public finances" but at the same time any party who openly campaigns on such a negative message will lose the election. I pay less attention to small policy statements and "giveaways" and try to get a general idea of where each party will take us. I cant trust Labour at the moment, its so frustrating to see them come forth with all these policies in their manefesto when they've had 13 years to change them so my vote wont be "pro" anyone it will just be "anti" labour. The Tories are hoping to regain the seat from Labour in my constituency so Im leaning towards a tactical vote for the Tories.
 

Chinner

Banned
interesting article in the FT:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/fad850aa-40e7-11df-94c2-00144feabdc0.html

David Cameron is struggling to convince a group of his own party election candidates of the merits of key Conservative policies.
welps
Financial regulation, tax and climate change were the most controversial areas of policy for would-be Tory MPs, a Financial Times investigation has found, with a number of candidates unconvinced by the party’s direction.
ruh roh
Cracking down on banks, a less-than-rapid abolition of the 50p income tax band and strictly limiting carbon emissions were the most unpopular policies.
urghhhhh
Of those who answered the requests, only a handful unequivocally supported the idea that humans are causing climate change, while just five echoed the tough talk of George Osborne, shadow chancellor, on curbing bankers’ bonuses


so the tories have changed eh
 

jas0nuk

Member
Conservative voter, living in a "very safe" Labour seat. Voter power = 0.079

There is a local feeling, however, that it is time for a change. Our MP had to repay a substantial amount of his expenses and he's been there since 1997.

EDIT: The voter power site is using the old constituency boundaries. Make sure it's giving you the right constituency here
 

Empty

Member
sohois said:
Isn't it basically irrelevant so long as the whips are still so prevalent? All that really matters is the cabinet, since you almost never see MPs voting against the party.

Possibly, but Cameron will likely have to make concessions in other areas to appease the MP's who dislike those policies in order to keep the party unified. I think that is why their policy on joining a new bloc in the european parliament and robbing us of influence there is so rubbish, it is created to hold the party together rather than as a coherent and well though through strategy for international relations.
 

Mad_Ban

Member
jas0nuk said:
EDIT: The voter power site is using the old constituency boundaries. Make sure it's giving you the right constituency here
:O

According to the beeb I've been boundary affected and I'm now in Clwyd West, which has a Tory Majority of 177 over Labour. Oh yeah boiii my vote is worth a lot more. :D
 

War Peaceman

You're a big guy.
Hmmm. 0.044 for my constituency: http://www.voterpower.org.uk/maidstone-the-weald

I'm certain I read that there was an estimated 90%+ chance of the Tories staying in, which disappoints me. However we have actually been served well by them, in all fairness (barring the Kent TV fiasco): Widdecombe, despite her horrible beliefs was excellent for us and incredibly honest.

Their new candidate, Helen Grant, is similarly respectable - she does a lot of community work (lives in my village too) and campaigned heavily for the maternity ward in Maidstone hospital.

Therefore it doesn't disappoint me so much that she'll inevitably get in. I'd actually like to vote for her but ideologically the Tories are too distant from my own (Lots of well-funded public services paid for by high taxes) views.
 

Zenith

Banned
My vote strength is pretty high (0.544) but even if it was 0.000000 I would still vote for my candidate of choice instead of abstaining.
 

Varion

Member
Zenith said:
My vote strength is pretty high (0.544) but even if it was 0.000000 I would still vote for my candidate of choice instead of abstaining.
Pretty much. Got a postal vote anyway (away at university) and there's a postbox on the way to class, so I don't even have to do much. Might as well use my 0.008th of a vote wisely!
 

jas0nuk

Member
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article7094308.ece

LABOUR has become embroiled in a row about the use of personal data after sending cancer patients alarmist mailshots saying their lives could be at risk under a Conservative government.

Cards addressed to sufferers by name warn that a Labour guarantee to see a cancer specialist within two weeks would be scrapped by the Tories. Labour claims the Conservatives would also do away with the right to be treated within 18 weeks.

Just another reason why this disgusting, bitter, desperate party needs to be obliterated from British politics.
 
Nexus Zero said:
Oh snap. I did a bit of digging about our MP - annoyingly as he seems like a pretty upstanding guy with a lot of policies I like, and he was anti-war from the beginning. I'll still vote LibDem, though it doesn't sound like it matters either way!
He does seem pretty decent and he voted against the digital economy bill as well. It's not outside the realms of possibility that the Libdems could swing it but it would need an 11% swing.

Between the last elections he managed to lose 10%, so who knows?
 

jas0nuk

Member
avaya said:
Don;t worry once we get electoral reform the Tories will never win an election again.
LOL, so you support Labour's use of cancer patients' private details to send frightening letters to them?

Anyway, why would electoral reform prevent a party with 40% of the popular vote (more than any other party) winning an election?
 
avaya said:
Don;t worry once we get electoral reform the Tories will never win an election again.

:lol Well played, sir.

jas0nuk said:
I assume, then, that you support Labour's use of cancer patients' private details to send frightening letters to them?

I doubt anyone does. But compare that to the core stances of the Tories (which won't disappear anytime soon, however much David Cameron tries) and I know which party I'd rather label as the "disgusting, bitter, desperate" one that "needs to be obliterated from British politics".
 

Chinner

Banned
anyone got a letter about the NHS care records service? looks like it's basically putting your info in a centralised place so 'the right people' ( i assume thats doctors) can access it. records stuf about 'your prescriptions, allergies and bad reactions to medicines'. your permission has to be asked before they can access it.

and i dont reply by the 5th july then my consent is assumed.
 

Chinner

Banned
This annoys me:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emily_Benn

Please, just because you're related Tony Benn doesn't mean shit. Can't believe shes actually trying to become a MP despite still being a student. :lol . Another person who sees being a politican as being a career.

She also supported the Iraq war so she can fuck off.
 

Walshicus

Member
jas0nuk said:
Anyway, why would electoral reform prevent a party with 40% of the popular vote (more than any other party) winning an election?
Well 40% is a best case scenario and that still leaves the rest of the country voting for progressive parties. The people of the United Kingdom do not support Tory policies, but the FPP system returns Tory governments. Electoral reform will bring Lab/Lib coalition governments.
 
Sir Fragula said:
Well 40% is a best case scenario and that still leaves the rest of the country voting for progressive parties. The people of the United Kingdom do not support Tory policies, but the FPP system returns Tory governments. Electoral reform will bring Lab/Lib coalition governments.
Actually, our current electoral system has an inbuilt advantage to Labour. The Tories need more votes than Labour to win a seat.

People seem to forget that Labour won the last three elections on the platform of New Labour and explicitly shifted rightward in order to appeal to Middle England. Even in this election, I've noticed Labour is being very populist and right-wing on the issue of keeping DNA records of innocent people.

I think people sorely underestimate the political spectrum of the average UK voter - the electorate is far more right-wing than people realise. If (heaven forbid) we end up getting PR, I don't think it's guaranteed that there will be a permanent Lab/Lib coalition. Labour and Liberal Democrats came third and fourth respectively in the European parliament elections after the Conservatives and UKIP which gained a combined 44.2% of the vote. If that was the result of Westminster parliament, they could have hypothetically joined the odious BNP with their 6.2% and gained a majority. Is that the sort of electoral system people want? Because that is what we will get if Lib Dems forces Labour to drop AV in favour of PR in the event of a hung parliament.
 

Empty

Member
blazinglord said:
I think people sorely underestimate the political spectrum of the average UK voter - the electorate is far more right-wing than people realise. If (heaven forbid) we end up getting PR, I don't think it's guaranteed that there will be a permanent Lab/Lib coalition. Labour and Liberal Democrats came third and fourth respectively in the European parliament elections after the Conservatives and UKIP which gained a combined 44.2% of the vote. If that was the result of Westminster parliament, they could have hypothetically joined the odious BNP with their 6.2% and gained a majority. Is that the sort of electoral system people want? Because that is what we will get if Lib Dems forces Labour to drop AV in favour of PR in the event of a hung parliament.

European elections have poor turnouts and historically bring out poor results for Pro-EU parties, which happen to be Labour and the Lib Dems, so i'm not sure how good an example that is of the political leanings in this country, though i agree that the electorate is less left wing than adding the votes for the two biggest left wing parties would suggest; many labour voters read like the sun and are actually very conservative in many many ways, such as immigration or capital punishment, it's just they hate Thatcher or have other sources of long standing tribalism pushing them towards Labour, on top of the middle englanders labour grabbed when they decided to move to new labour.

As for your other point. If over 50% of the population in your hypothetical example voted for parties who would work on the same platform as BNP or even UKIP, then yes, we as a population deserve that piece of shit government and i don't have a problem with a system that allows that.
 

Varion

Member
J Tourettes said:
Anyone in this thread who is interested in seeing how their MP voted on the digital economy bill can find out here.
This one seems to be doing some of the consistuencies wrong as well, seen as the MP it's given me is from the constituency that other side gave before the BBC list corrected it.
 
Empty said:
European elections have poor turnouts and historically bring out poor results for Pro-EU parties, which happen to be Labour and the Lib Dems, so i'm not sure how good an example that is of the political leanings in this country, though i agree that the electorate is less left wing than adding the votes for the two biggest left wing parties would suggest; many labour voters read like the sun and are actually very conservative in many many ways, such as immigration or capital punishment, it's just they hate Thatcher or have other sources of long standing tribalism pushing them towards Labour.

As for your other point. If over 50% of the population in your hypothetical example voted for parties who would work on the same platform as BNP or even UKIP, then yes, we as a population deserve that piece of shit government and i don't have a problem with a system that allows that.
So 93.8% of the population must have a coalition government in which a minority partner will have disproportionate influence despite being inflicted on the country by only 6.2% of the population? Well, I think we shall just have to agree to disagree because I will always choose a system that while might not be entirely democratic, at least guarantees a government that is firmly within the mainstream.
 

RedShift

Member
My MP David Drew opposed #debill

Gooooo David Drew. He stood up and spoke about it in the debate as well. This has secured in my mind that I will vote for him. I may not be Labour's biggest fan but on a local level time and time again he's proven to be a reliable MP.
 

Empty

Member
blazinglord said:
So 93.8% of the population must have a coalition government in which a minority partner will have disproportionate influence despite being inflicted on the country by only 6.2% of the population? Well, I think we shall just have to agree to disagree because I will always choose a system that while might not be entirely democratic, at least guarantees a government that is firmly within the mainstream.

No, because the other two parties in coalition government would have to be very right wing to even consider allying with the BNP. If the Tories and UKIP suddenly did that now they would be out of elected politics for the next century. What i'm saying is that if over 50% of the population votes for hypothetical crazy parties who could find common ground and ally with the BNP then we deserve a hypothetical crazy government. As far as i'm concerned, STV guarantees mainstream governments as the parties still have a desire to exist beyond a four year election cycle so will by moderated on their choices of coalition deals by self-preservation.
 
Empty said:
No, because the other two parties in coalition government would have to be very right wing to even consider allying with the BNP. If the Tories and UKIP suddenly did that now they would be out of elected politics for the next century. What i'm saying is that if over 50% of the population votes for hypothetical crazy parties who could find common ground and ally with the BNP then we deserve a hypothetical crazy government. As far as i'm concerned, STV guarantees mainstream governments as the parties still have a desire to exist beyond a four year election cycle so will by moderated on their choices of coalition deals by self-preservation.
Well the example of Italy shows that it is not unheard of, when trust is at historic lows in MPs and mainstream parties, for the electorate to become more attuned to fringe parties. Nor is it unheard of for parties and politicians to sacrifice principles in return for power in the inevitable back-room deals that goes on in the aftermath of an election. As much as I admire your faith in the electorate's will to put the common greater good above self-interests, I have long given up on that idealism. PR will be a grave mistake in my view and I sincerely hope that it will not be introduced without serious consideration of the consequences.
 
blazinglord said:
PR will be a grave mistake in my view and I sincerely hope that it will not be introduced without serious consideration of the consequences.

Well until then, I will enjoy my 0.157 worth of a vote which the current system gives me. You know if you turn back the clock a hundred or so years then your argument is basically "Giving anyone without earnings over £xxxx/Women/people under 25/working class people the vote, basically extending the franchise at all is a BAD idea!" PR gives more people more power, it improves turnout and means that my vote (even in a safe seat or stronghold) still counts if I vote against the dominant party. So yeah, I like it.
 
Dark Machine said:
Well until then, I will enjoy my 0.157 worth of a vote which the current system gives me. You know if you turn back the clock a hundred or so years then your argument is basically "Giving anyone without earnings over £xxxx/Women/people under 25/working class people the vote, basically extending the franchise at all is a BAD idea!" PR gives more people more power, it improves turnout and means that my vote (even in a safe seat or stronghold) still counts if I vote against the dominant party. So yeah, I like it.
Well it's true, I'm not entirely unsympathetic to some restrictions on suffrage - I do not support lowing the voting age to 16 or extending suffrage to prisoners, both of which proposed by Labour.

Nor am I entirely convinced that the sudden introduction of PR will increase voters turnout. The current decline in voters turnout could well be due to relative contentment with the current system that has offered stability.

At the end of the day, what happens, happens. If it comes to the situation where we have a referendum on the introduction of PR - I will personally be voting no. But if a simple majority votes yes, then it will be the result I will accept (and support) despite my own feelings that the flaws of PR outweigh the positives.
 

Parl

Member
blazinglord said:
Personally I prefer the Tories' proposal to equalise the size of constituencies. That would be fair.
Except that smaller parties still get marginalised as a result. A party getting only 20% of the vote can expect far less than 20% of the seats in parliament. That's how FPTP works.
 

avaya

Member
jas0nuk said:
LOL, so you support Labour's use of cancer patients' private details to send frightening letters to them?

Anyway, why would electoral reform prevent a party with 40% of the popular vote (more than any other party) winning an election?

No I don't support that strategy, it's as vile as the Tories coming up with the usual bile about "Britain is broken" it's just getting worse nonsense which was totally refuted by the Economist a couple of weeks ago. You know the Economist, the well known socialst pamphlet.

Now, you being young and naive still believeing that "people know best" when it comes to spending their own money, that "buisness knows best" and "taxes are baaaad" is what is TRULY amusing. Harsh realities in store for you.

The reason that the Tories would never win is because they may have 40% (unlikely) of the vote but every resulting government would be a Lib-Lab coalition because this country is not centre-right. It is actually brazenly centre-left. In a PR system you will see Lib-Lab coalition dominate with Greens joining along. If we were to have 100% turnout the Conservative party, like most right wing party's across the planet would never win an election. No matter the system you have in place. Turnout is the achilles heel of the left.
 

Walshicus

Member
blazinglord said:
Personally I prefer the Tories' proposal to equalise the size of constituencies. That would be fair.
The size disparity of constituencies is the LEAST important problem with the voting system.

We need PR. I am a leftist. I vote for left wing policies. My concern is keeping the Tories [and the BNP and UKIP] out of government; and to do that I have to vote Labour even though the Liberal Democrats represent me better. If I vote Liberal Democrat my constuency will more likely turn Conservative. How is that supporting democracy?
 

Nicktendo86

Member
Wow my vote is worth 0.732 in Bethnal Green & Bow. That clown Galloway is fucking off to Limehouse so I wont get the satisfaction of voting him out but ah well.
 

avaya

Member
BBC said:
_47619019_median_waiting_times_466.gif



Professor Chris Ham, chief executive of the King's Fund, said the NHS was in much better shape than a decade ago.

"What we can say with confidence is that the NHS has moved out of intensive care and into active rehabilitation.

"It's on the road to real improvement to deliver world-class standards of care but it isn't there yet."

He said the next government would have to tackle the difficult challenge of building on the improvement and paying far greater attention to prevention of ill health, but with reduced investment.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/8611234.stm

b-b-b-b-b-b-b-but throwing the money at the NHS is not the answer. What absolute bollocks.

So many myths perpetuated as fact, it's disgusting. Public services ALWAYS benefit from better funding.
 
Sir Fragula said:
The size disparity of constituencies is the LEAST important problem with the voting system.

We need PR. I am a leftist. I vote for left wing policies. My concern is keeping the Tories [and the BNP and UKIP] out of government; and to do that I have to vote Labour even though the Liberal Democrats represent me better. If I vote Liberal Democrat my constuency will more likely turn Conservative. How is that supporting democracy?
All I'm saying is that there is no guarantee that fringe parties like the UKIP and BNP will be kept out of government under PR. Whereas under FPTP, it is virtually guaranteed that the BNP and the UKIP will never even gain a seat in Westminster parliament let alone form a government. If we have a referendum on PR then you must vote according to your conscience, but I'm urging you to not go into the booth thinking that PR will automatically install in a permanent left-wing coalition. If we get PR, the rules of the game changes completely and nobody can confidently predict the electoral makeup in ten years time.

I will add though, that Britain has done rather well under FPTP and it has in fact allowed parties to introduce leftist policies (Labour, the Liberals and the Whigs are examples of this). Fixing what is not broken by importing this continental model of voting may have unforeseen consequences that ends up not sitting well with centrist-minded voters. Perhaps I'll be proved wrong and it will be the best thing that could ever happen to Britain - we shall see.
 

Chinner

Banned
I'm not voting for PR cause I want a permanent left wing government, I'm voting PR so that our values of democracy are fully realised. If it allows the left, right or the loons to get in then obviously that is what the public wants.
 

avaya

Member
blazinglord said:
All I'm saying is that there is no guarantee that fringe parties like the UKIP and BNP will be kept out of government under PR. Whereas under FPTP, it is virtually guaranteed that the BNP and the UKIP will never even gain a seat in Westminster parliament let alone form a government. If we have a referendum on PR then you must vote according to your conscience, but I'm urging you to not go into the booth thinking that PR will automatically install in a permanent left-wing coalition. If we get PR, the rules of the game changes completely and nobody can confidently predict the electoral makeup in ten years time.

I will add though, that Britain has done rather well under FPTP and it has in fact allowed parties to introduce leftist policies (Labour, the Liberals and the Whigs are examples of this). Fixing what is not broken by importing this continental model of voting may have unforeseen consequences that ends up not sitting well with centrist-minded voters. Perhaps I'll be proved wrong and it will be the best thing that could ever happen to Britain - we shall see.

The BNP will never be in a position to win power or become part of a coalition government. It would be political suicide for any party to ally with them.

Fixing what is not broken? It is a broken system when the party that takes power more than likely had 60% of the electorate that turned out vote against it.

PR promotes turnout. PR leads to socialist governments and in the unlikely event of a right-wing government they tend to be populist instead since they would have no coalition if that weren't the case. Win-win.
 
Parl said:
Except that smaller parties still get marginalised as a result. A party getting only 20% of the vote can expect far less than 20% of the seats in parliament. That's how FPTP works.
If they democratise the Lords perhaps well get one of each.
 
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