Yes, I was comparing numbers for advancement out of the group.
Nate Silver:
Eng 85%
US 55%
Castrol:
Eng 90%
US 70%
I trust Nate Silver over Castrol, personally, just because I know little about Catrol aside from that they make car oil.
I just checked on my other favorite stat guy, Voros McCracken, who released new team rankings a few weeks ago:
England 4
USA 23
Slovenia 46
Algeria 75
EDIT
Voros:
Eng 90%
US 65%
Nate Silver:
Eng 85%
US 55%
Castrol:
Eng 90%
US 70%
I trust Nate Silver over Castrol, personally, just because I know little about Catrol aside from that they make car oil.
I just checked on my other favorite stat guy, Voros McCracken, who released new team rankings a few weeks ago:
England 4
USA 23
Slovenia 46
Algeria 75
EDIT
Voros:
Eng 90%
US 65%