You are right in the sense that a list of applications and such wouldn't be needed but even if every single compute task is done in the cloud, you still need a way to interface with it locally. It is still an OS because by definition an OS is the interface humans use to interact with computers and digital devices, regardless of where that processing is done.
It's a barebones OS (as in kernel, device drivers etc) in that it doesn't need to be "windows" anymore. A Chromebook, a browser, a single app or any other barebones thinclient OS that can display text, images and video would do the trick. I guess what I'm trying to get at is that the OS advantage actually
disappears when you no longer need applications, folders, icons, a windowing system, etc.
Yes, you can ask "tell me what NASDAQ is today" but if you want to see a trend you won't want it to just tell you "On the first quarter of 2023 it was, on the second quarter was, then went up to during the third quarter, then it took a dip". For this, you might actually want to look at a chart.
This is not really agentic though with or without a display. Even pretty stupid Alexa combined with an Echo Show can display this sort of thing. Agentic would not require you to even ask this question of it. Ask yourself why do you want to look at the NASDAQ? Agentic would do
that task for you. So "invest for me" would be the task that AGI and especially ASI would perform for you as an agent and likely outperform you on. As AI becomes more and more advanced the need for those steps where you have agency in a task disappear.
There are several scenarios (not just Q&A) that require information to be displayed for human consumption because that's the way we as humans work. What a very capable AI would save you from is having to open a browser, typing "
www.google.com" or whatever and then type the information you want to see. Even more so if the kind of data you are looking for might reside in different systems. So for example, you could ask it "give me a comparison of how my investments have performend year to date compared to NASDAQ". This would require you to pull information from your portfolio, put it in Excel or whatever and do the same with NASDAQ from another source (as right now you wouldn't normally find that precise comparison by default in your own investment porffolio at a glance).
I get that visual information is good in making the human understand but I'm not seeing how this would put Windows ahead. I'm saying this would be the end of local applications/programs that windows relies on to keep people needing windows, especially productivity applications. AI would only require a capability to display information to the human. any local "application/program/windowing system" we have currently is only there as a user interface for the
human to perform a task, who might not even be required to do the productivity tasks anymore. So for example why are you using excel to display this? Just ask for that "report" of whatever it is you're using excel to achieve. Hell you can even skip the report and let it be the boss of whatever that report was going to influence.
Now, while that stuff is a reality there are many steps in between that require Windows as it is right now and AI in the presentation we have today (LLM's/Agentic AI).
This is true, for now it is useful for tasks that AI is not smart enough to be completely agentic on but when AGI/ASI becomes a reality windows could very well disappear. There would be no reason for humans to operate an "operating system" UI or applications, folders, settings, etc at all.
It's not for everyone, that's for sure. For example I prefer reading than listening because I can read faster so I would still want to see my E-Mail list but there are people that probably prefer to listen to their E-Mails.
I hate dealing with emails in general. If you have an agent who does that for you you might not need to read or listen to them at all.