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[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

[U]The Mummy[/U]

Pre:  $2.3M
Fri:  $7.6M/$9.9M
Sat   $9.4M         +23.68%/-5.05%
Sun:  $6.6M         -29.79%

OW:  $25.9M
2nd: $10.2M         -60.62%
3rd:  $5.4M         -47.06%
4th:  $2.6M         -51.85%

DOM:   $68M
INT:  $320M
WW:   $388M

• I'm going way lower than tracking on The Mummy, which is hovering around $35-40M. Reviews are awful, presales still seem to be in the toilet, and Wonder Woman is easily still the top choice for audiences this week.. all of which giving me vibes akin to Fantastic Four '15 and Warcraft. Despite Universal marketing the hell out of it, there just does not seem to be any enthusiasm around the film. I don't expect legs to be good, either. Not as horrendous as FF or Warcraft, but it will shed theaters very quickly in the coming weeks.
• The initial international numbers are promising (including an opening day record in South Korea), so I would fully expect this to be another massive overseas performer relative to domestic for Tom Cruise. Don't be surprised if this has one of if not the highest international gross percentage this summer.

[U]The Top 10[/U]

1) Wonder Woman		         $51.6M   -50.02%
2) The Mummy		         $25.9M 		
3) Captain Underpants 	         $13.4M   -43.82%
4) Pirates of the Caribbean 5    $10.4M	  -52.92%
5) It Comes at Night	          $9.2M 		
6) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2  $5.6M   -43.09%
7) Baywatch		          $4.8M   -45.08%
8) Megan Leavey		          $2.8M 		
9) Everything, Everything         $1.8M   -45.47%
10) Alien: Covenant		  $1.6M   -61.17%

• Wonder Woman had lower weekdays than I expected, but that's not really a fault of the film, since they're still quite good. I still anticipate the film to drop right around 50%; Man of Steel increased 79% on its second Friday, and the openers this week aren't fit to lick the ass of Monsters U or World War Z.
• It Comes at Night is opening in roughly 500 more theaters than The Witch, but so far is absent from any presale charts. It doesn't appear it'll do much better than The Witch, then, but I am rooting for it.
• There is still no official theater count for Megan Leavy, so this is more of a shot in the dark than anything here. One trailer on youtube has nearly 10 million views, which is huge, but I'm skeptical whether audiences will actually show up. Honestly, I won't be surprised if it doubles my prediction.

 

[Slayven]

What does the link lead to?

Is unavailable for me

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvSXlmAUH88&feature=youtu.be




They broke it earlier

 

[DeathyBoy]

I don't think anyone is arguing that the success it had wasn't a surprise. Deathy said it was "luck," which it certainly was not.

Complete nonsense.

They made a beloved movie with amazing word of mouth. That wasn't "luck."

They didn't know it'd be beloved or have amazing word of mouth. So yes, luck.

 

[Freeza Under The Shower]

so, does this mean y'all are ready to embrace that 175 domestic on Homecoming now?

 

[Penguin]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvSXlmAUH88&feature=youtu.be




They broke it earlier

Thanks

Solid review

 

[kswiston]

so, does this mean y'all are ready to embrace that 175 domestic on Homecoming now?

Even Iron Man 2 adjusts to double that. I don't think the Iron Man cameo will lead to Civil War numbers, but you are predicting sub-Ant Man when every film he's appeared in has grossed $300M+ domestic.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

I'm not sure why the last couple pages of this thread have decided to take dumps all over Spider-Man: Homecoming, but the film is more likely to make $175M in 3 days than in total.

 

[duckroll]

What's the tracking for the new Bayformers masterpiece? Is it on track to crush everything this summer?

 

[NealMcCauley]

What does the link lead to?

Is unavailable for me

They took the original review down and reuploaded it: https://youtu.be/ZvSXlmAUH88

The dark universe logo talk is around 27 minutes in.

Oh, the movie isn't great if anyone's wondering. You know there's a problem if a sub 2 hour movie has 3 credited editors.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

What's the tracking for the new Bayformers masterpiece? Is it on track to crush everything this summer?

It's on track to have a runtime under 3 hours.

 

[Anth0ny]

What's the tracking for the new Bayformers masterpiece? Is it on track to crush everything this summer?

sub $200m domestic



$1.8b overseas where they don't get rotten tomatoes dictating what films are okay to watch

 

[kswiston]

I think that Transformers will fight GotG2 and perhaps Spider-Man Homecoming for second place worldwide this summer.


Domestic will be somewhere in the bottom half of the Top 10, I would say.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Thinking that Transformers does better domestically than the last one, but just barely.

 

[kswiston]

Thinking that Transformers does better domestically than the last one, but just barely.

I think that Transformers will continue to mirror the Pirates series. Maybe not quite as bad as $160M domestic, but I would be pretty surprised to see it pass Age of Extinction.

 

[overcast]

Wonder how much It Comes At Night cost to produce. Surely under 20 million.

Still praying for Baby Driver later this month.

 

[this_guy]

They didn't know it'd be beloved or have amazing word of mouth. So yes, luck.

So by this logic - a movie that turns out to be good is luck? Good movies tend to have good word of mouth. There's a correlation there so I wouldn't call that luck.

 

[kswiston]

[U]The Mummy[/U]

Pre:  $2.3M
Fri:  $7.6M/$9.9M
Sat   $9.4M         +23.68%/-5.05%
Sun:  $6.6M         -29.79%

OW:  $25.9M
2nd: $10.2M         -60.62%
3rd:  $5.4M         -47.06%
4th:  $2.6M         -51.85%

DOM:   $68M
INT:  $320M
WW:   $388M

• I'm going way lower than tracking on The Mummy, which is hovering around $35-40M. Reviews are awful, presales still seem to be in the toilet, and Wonder Woman is easily still the top choice for audiences this week.. all of which giving me vibes akin to Fantastic Four '15 and Warcraft. Despite Universal marketing the hell out of it, there just does not seem to be any enthusiasm around the film. I don't expect legs to be good, either. Not as horrendous as FF or Warcraft, but it will shed theaters very quickly in the coming weeks.
• The initial international numbers are promising (including an opening day record in South Korea), so I would fully expect this to be another massive overseas performer relative to domestic for Tom Cruise. Don't be surprised if this has one of if not the highest international gross percentage this summer.

[U]The Top 10[/U]

1) Wonder Woman		         $51.6M   -50.02%
2) The Mummy		         $25.9M 		
3) Captain Underpants 	         $13.4M   -43.82%
4) Pirates of the Caribbean 5    $10.4M	  -52.92%
5) It Comes at Night	          $9.2M 		
6) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2  $5.6M   -43.09%
7) Baywatch		          $4.8M   -45.08%
8) Megan Leavey		          $2.8M 		
9) Everything, Everything         $1.8M   -45.47%
10) Alien: Covenant		  $1.6M   -61.17%

• Wonder Woman had lower weekdays than I expected, but that's not really a fault of the film, since they're still quite good. I still anticipate the film to drop right around 50%; Man of Steel increased 79% on its second Friday, and the openers this week aren't fit to lick the ass of Monsters U or World War Z.
• It Comes at Night is opening in roughly 500 more theaters than The Witch, but so far is absent from any presale charts. It doesn't appear it'll do much better than The Witch, then, but I am rooting for it.
• There is still no official theater count for Megan Leavy, so this is more of a shot in the dark than anything here. One trailer on youtube has nearly 10 million views, which is huge, but I'm skeptical whether audiences will actually show up. Honestly, I won't be surprised if it doubles my prediction.

I could see WW coming in slightly lower, but all of these look reasonable. The Mummy is smelling like another Ghost in the Shell situation, just with a bit higher floor.

I will probably be seeing It Comes at Night. If not this weekend, then next Tuesday.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

The mummy was tremendously bad

 

[3N16MA]

The mummy was tremendously bad

The Cruise missile can only do so much.

Tom Cruise is one of the few actors that I will watch just about anything he is in even if the film doesn't look promising. However I will wait for Netflix.

 

[Boke1879]

The mummy was tremendously bad

Yea a few people I know saw it last night and said it was trash.

 

[ZeoVGM]

They didn't know it'd be beloved or have amazing word of mouth. So yes, luck.

... Again, that's not luck. This is a weird argument to make.

 

[LordOfLore]

'Professor Marston' releases October 27 through Annapurna Pictures.

 

[kswiston]

$9.19M Thursday for Wonder Woman.

Excellent hold. I guess basketball affected Wednesday a bit.

 

[ArmGunar]

$50M+ for the WE is definitely on the table !

 

[GAMEPROFF]

Yea a few people I know saw it last night and said it was trash.

Very good. So the general opinion is also bad.

 

[zero_suit]

$9.19M Thursday for Wonder Woman.

Excellent hold. I guess basketball affected Wednesday a bit.

Nice. What was your prediction again?

 

[kswiston]

Nice. What was your prediction again?

For the weekend? High 40s to low 50s.

For the sake of argument, I'll go with

Thurs: $9.2M
Fri: $14.7M (+60%)
Sat: $20.6M (+40%)
Sun: $15.5M (-25%)

2nd wkd Total = $50.8M (-51%)

 

[NealMcCauley]

$2.7M for Mummy. Deadline's putting the low end of tracking at $32M, but I'm gonna agree with Biggest-Geek-Ever that this is going to come in way under expectations.

 

[zero_suit]

$2.7M for Mummy. Deadline's putting the low end of tracking at $32M, but I'm gonna agree with Biggest-Geek-Ever that this is going to come in way under expectations.

Its RT score is in the 20s, right? I'm thinking high 20s OW.

 

[NealMcCauley]

Its RT score is in the 20s, right? I'm thinking high 20s OW.

I'm going with $25M though that may be a challenge depending on WOM. RT is hovering at 20% and the audience score is currently 51% (it actually dropped since I first checked this morning).

 

[Obliterator]

I'll predict $27m for Mummy this weekend.

Sticking with my $52m for WW

 

[Schlorgan]

The Mummy is smelling like another Ghost in the Shell situation, just with a bit higher floor.

But will it beat Ant Man?

 

[kswiston]

Almost $19M for The Mummy in its opening day in China. Apparently WOM is terrible though, so many think it will be a one week wonder.

 

[Toa TAK]

Almost $19M for The Mummy in its opening day in China. Apparently WOM is terrible though, so many think it will be a one week wonder.

No more Krutzman is the only silver lining here.

 

[GAMEPROFF]

So it at least already made it RT Score alone in China!

 

[DeathyBoy]

Saw WW again. Took folks. Both loved it. Billion confirmed... with 245 years of adjusting.

 

[kswiston]

$11.5-12.5M Friday for the Mummy according to early Deadline projections.

Deadline is saying $48.5-$51M for Wonder Woman this weekend but don't give an early Friday projection. Sort of funny that they were still clinging to a possible $60M second weekend about 4 hours ago.

 

[Bronx-Man]

Can you imagine if Wonder Woman and that Professor Marston movie came out in the same month? That'd be something.

 

[Freeza Under The Shower]

No more Krutzman is the only silver lining here.

and I'm loving that.

Also, for those you who missed the line, in the international trailer of Transformers they use 'It's true, all of it' so clearly Bay thinks he's making TFA now.

I also feel that the three hours rumor was on purpose to see if they needed to edit it down, which I'm assuming they're still doing now. Personally, I'm going to play devil's advocate here and say that a sensible (well, with a different director that would make sense) three hour cut is preferable to BvS theatrical cut. I mean, would people who watch these... things actually care about that? There are a few crazy people on this board too who will defend MoS and BvS, so I imagine it wouldn't matter much to people who are already committed. I suddenly do not envy anyone having to connect the dots on something like this.

 

[GAMEPROFF]

I was earlier today at the cinema, and there where about 20-30 tickets sold for the most important screening of the friday for the mummy.
About 340 left😂

 

[ollin]

No more Krutzman is the only silver lining here.

Looked at his Wiki page. Some of the worst movies I watched in theaters he co-wrote/directed, Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen, Star Trek Into Darkness, The Amazing Spider-Man 2, and now The Mummy.

 

[Beren the Empty-Handed]

I'll go with $38 million OW for Mummy. I could go lower, but I'm banking on enough people just going for the hell of it + Cruise. I think it'll fall right off a cliff immediately after this weekend.

Going to see Wonder Woman tomorrow! First DC film I'll see in theaters since Man of Steel. Shouldn't be hard to leave a better impression than that one.

 

[overcast]

Saw the opening showing of Wonder Woman. Jam packed.

Cheapest showing of the day too.

 

[Gentleman Jack]

The Mummy is smelling like another Ghost in the Shell situation, just with a bit higher floor.

Suck it, Ant-Man!

 

[Bronx-Man]

I guarantee you Universal is still gonna go forward with that Wolfman movie starring the Rock and say that one's the REAL intro to Dark Universe.

 

[Dash_Riprock]

Mummy's gonna pull a Ghost in the Shell/King Arthur and come in WAY below expectations.

I guarantee you Universal is still gonna go forward with that Wolfman movie starring the Rock and say that one's the REAL intro to Dark Universe.

Fourth time's the charm!

 

[kurahador]

I guarantee you Universal is still gonna go forward with that Wolfman movie starring the Rock and say that one's the REAL intro to Dark Universe.

I hope they go with Huge Jackman for Wolfman. Fits like poetry.

 

[broncobuster]

I haven't seen The Mummy or Dracula Untold, but what's stopping them from combining the two at this point? Bring in that Gaston money.

 

[Slayven]

I guarantee you Universal is still gonna go forward with that Wolfman movie starring the Rock and say that one's the REAL intro to Dark Universe.

How many times do you get a "Nah we was just playing, here is the real stuff" do'over?

 

[jon bones]

I haven't seen The Mummy or Dracula Untold, but what's stopping them from combining the two at this point? Bring in that Gaston money.

this is what i'm saying

lets just do it and be legends man