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Wkd BO 0901-0317 - Labor Day WEAKend box office has nothing as Bodyguard 3peats
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I got the JPEG
(it's a PNG)
(it's a PNG)
BronsonLee
Member
The day is mine!
it's my 2015 GOTY, but Firewatch was my 2016 one so you know, I'm weird
I got the JPEG
(it's a PNG)
I'm fucking cackling at this
...the day is no longer mine.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
BronsonLee
Member
oh no.
I haven't played Firewatch yet either.
The 2-3 hours that I get to myself in the evenings after everyone goes to bed are always a struggle to pick between watching a movie/tv show, reading, or playing a game from my too large backlog.
Which of course means that I spend half of my evenings choosing none of those things and instead alternate between playing crappy mobile games and posting here.
EDIT: The Bronson-bot would just take over full time in the event of Bronson's demise, so he will appear to outlive us all online.
The 2-3 hours that I get to myself in the evenings after everyone goes to bed are always a struggle to pick between watching a movie/tv show, reading, or playing a game from my too large backlog.
Which of course means that I spend half of my evenings choosing none of those things and instead alternate between playing crappy mobile games and posting here.
EDIT: The Bronson-bot would just take over full time in the event of Bronson's demise, so he will appear to outlive us all online.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Firewatch was fucking great. I love the shit out of that game.
Soundtrack is great too.
Soundtrack is great too.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
You know we love ya, Vinny.
Besides, you want to put the hurt in me just go after Fury Road.
Damn
Also, damn good pic, Bronson.
broncobuster
Banned
It's a pretty great Telltale-style game about a high school art student with time powers. Some people can't get past how the teens talk, which does go overboard in the first episode but even then is diet Juno.
The important thing is BronsonLee is right in this instance. We'll do him a solid and put him in the special thanks for Tron 3, to be directed by Adam Wingard, with an 8-bit cover of Head Over Heels over the credits.
Wait, Firewatch as the 2016 GOTY? Nah, son. Tron 3 is cancelled.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
😉
BronsonLee
Member
1st you are dead to me, and B: I am actually immortal
NOW we're cookin'!
Execution wise, Firewatch is as pitch perfect as it gets story wise. I know people get really salty about the ending but I dug it a lot
I've never been a groomsman before, so it was pretty cool. Long ass day though, I'm beat.
Diet Juno is fair, though nothing goes as full doofus as that fucking hamburger phone
And how did you support me and turn on me in the same damn post
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Being part of a wedding party is exhausting. I was best man for a friend about 16 years ago and shit was exhausting.
But my wedding day in 2008 was more exhausting. My wife and I were dragging before the reception even began.
But my wedding day in 2008 was more exhausting. My wife and I were dragging before the reception even began.
OrangeAtlas
Member
Firewatch stars Rich Sommer, who's played the jerk boyfriend in like every Netflix show.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
I barely have the time for a slapdash photoshop there's no way I'm gonna be able to—
(horks back two rails the size of Thor's dick)
...ghghhhheeeaaaaahhhhHHHHH GET ME RLM ON THE PHONE I HAVE AN IDEA WHAT DO YOU MEAN I'M HOLDING MY PHONE SHUT UP CHILL OUT HOLD ON WAIT
(coughs)
'sup.
BronsonLee
Member
BOBBY NO
Obviously, I would play myself. Bobby would be played by Michael Fassbender. Swiss would be played by Idris Elba.
Bronco would be CGI.
The day was basically:
9:30 AM calltime, change into tux, 2 hours of photos
Drive to reception, take bus to church
1 hour for ceremony, 2 more hours of photos
Reception starts, 4 hours of that, leave
I am drained
Which is funny because in Firewatch he upgraded to jerk husband
Obviously, I would play myself. Bobby would be played by Michael Fassbender. Swiss would be played by Idris Elba.
Bronco would be CGI.
The day was basically:
9:30 AM calltime, change into tux, 2 hours of photos
Drive to reception, take bus to church
1 hour for ceremony, 2 more hours of photos
Reception starts, 4 hours of that, leave
I am drained
Which is funny because in Firewatch he upgraded to jerk husband
broncobuster
Banned
I'm more for Life is Strange than I am against Firewatch.
It's an uneasy alliance. Like that scene in Star Wars 9 where Rey and Kylo put aside their difference to face the greater evil of space trade and tax negotiations. I'm Rey in this analogy, btw.
(Dios mio we need a new comic book movie to keep this thread focused. It isn't doing it!)
Did you have a big wedding?
I hated wedding planning, but the actual event was pretty good. 8 years ago in a few days.
My dad just turned 60, but when he was a bit younger, he was extremely strong for his size (which wasn't small. 6'3", 230 lbs). My reception was at a venue that closed at 12pm, so we had an after party out our hotel. My dad got drunk, and beat me, my brother and my cousin at an arm wrestle simultaneously with all of us using two hands. He almost broke the table doing it, but it makes for a good family story.
broncobuster
Banned
It's interesting how the R-rated movies to break out are low-ish budget, where it seems the PG-13 movies tend to be $100M+ movies.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Medium sized wedding. My wife and I wanted to just go to the courthouse and be done with it, but we knew our families would kill us.
The big part of the exhaustion stemmed from the crammed schedule. We booked the place when we lived in NC, but about 9 months before the wedding my wife was laid off. A few months later, she got a job in CT so we moved there, but the wedding venue and everything in NC was already paid for.
We were in CT for three months before having to go back for the wedding. I had vacation time so I could go a few days before and finalize everything, but since my wife was at a new company she had no vacation time. So that Friday she flew back to NC, we went and got the license, then had the rehearsal dinner. That Saturday was the wedding, then the reception. Then we had to fly back to CT Sunday morning so she could get back to work on Monday.
It was an exhausting weekend.
hodayathink
Member
Never been an official part of a wedding party (my best friend almost made me her maid of honor, but we both thought that would just be too weird seeing as I'm a guy, among other things), but I've DJed three weddings for friends (and one as a paid favor to a friend), so I've seen the amount of work getting put in behind the scenes on the day of.
In movie talk, I have to figure out 2 movies to take my niece to see before October 16th (Groupon for cheap movie theater tickets expires then). Wanted to do Wonder Woman last week, but it didn't expand to that theater (we took her to see it in July, but it was a late show and she fell asleep). Probably gonna end up watching Ninjago and MLP, but was hoping something (anything) else might be coming out.
Because studios are, and will probably always be, risk averse, and won't green light huge budget R-rated movies unless they feel like they have a guaranteed hit on their hands. Or basically, anything with that budget and an R rating was already a project with high expectations on it.
In movie talk, I have to figure out 2 movies to take my niece to see before October 16th (Groupon for cheap movie theater tickets expires then). Wanted to do Wonder Woman last week, but it didn't expand to that theater (we took her to see it in July, but it was a late show and she fell asleep). Probably gonna end up watching Ninjago and MLP, but was hoping something (anything) else might be coming out.
Because studios are, and will probably always be, risk averse, and won't green light huge budget R-rated movies unless they feel like they have a guaranteed hit on their hands. Or basically, anything with that budget and an R rating was already a project with high expectations on it.
R-Rated films have to break out on a lowish budget, because there have only been two $100M+ R-rated films since the start of 2015. Four if you want to round Alien Covenant and Logan up to $100M.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Does the Groupon work on Fathom Events stuff? Because ET is in theaters next weekend. Nausicaa is this month too.
Then October 15th is Princess Bride.
delete this, nephew
hodayathink
Member
It's a dinner theater place, and as far as I can tell they don't do fathom events. Might use my Moviepass for those, though, if it's allowed.
Edit: I did see the Ghibli thing at the local theater that does do Fathom, and Spirited Away is playing right after my birthday, but I don't know if she's going to like it (I love it, so I'll probably go see it anyway).
broncobuster
Banned
True, but I meant along the lines of not as many lower budget PG-13 movies breaking out and having huge opening weekends.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
That's how I read it.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
What the fuck!
Seems like a $120M opening is in the cards then. Yesterday I was speculating that IT may sell more tickets than Thor: Ragnorok, now I think it can flat out top its domestic gross.
Sibersk Esto
Banned
I'm surprised we haven't seen some indie movie about a good clown fighting against an evil demon clown for besmirching the reputation of clowns in the pop culture.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
okay wait hold on
MHWilliams
Member
Seemingly, Paramount.
Young Adult adaptations were pretty good at that for awhile. The Fault in our Stars opened to $48M on a $12M budget. The first Twilight was $37M film that opened to just shy of $70M. The Twilight films in general were pretty cheap (<$70M) until the 4th one. The first Hunger Games was under $80M.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
So if it's a 44-45mil Saturday, we're looking at somewhere around 120-125 for the Opening Weekend, right?
What kinda multipliers should we be looking at here?
I think this is going to have better legs than your typical horror film (even the PG-13) ones, but probably not Wonder Woman or Spidey type legs, either.
If this movie gets near 130 for an OW, how possible is it this thing cracks $300 domestic
What kinda multipliers should we be looking at here?
I think this is going to have better legs than your typical horror film (even the PG-13) ones, but probably not Wonder Woman or Spidey type legs, either.
If this movie gets near 130 for an OW, how possible is it this thing cracks $300 domestic
Obliterator
Member
Yeah I'm not sure IT will have super impressive legs. Likely very good ones for the genre, but for Horror that won't take all that much. Still an insanely impressive performance
Edit - Then again there isn't anything substantial releasing that you would think would affect it anytime soon. That will help its legs for sure
Edit - Then again there isn't anything substantial releasing that you would think would affect it anytime soon. That will help its legs for sure
hodayathink
Member
Kingsman would arguably be going for the same demo.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I can definitely see a 3 multiplier or better here. Horror films can have great legs, and so far it seems like IT has really good WOM.
If IT can get to $360M or more, maybe even challenge Passion of the Christ for biggest R-rated film, that's not a level Thor will be able to reach easily. Especially with Justice League two weeks away from Thor.
Obliterator
Member
Yeah but idk how well Kingsman is gonna do honestly. It feels like it has zero hype / momentum but maybe I'm just missing it. Which is strange because after the performance of the first I would think a sequel would do pretty well. But every time I've been to the movies and the trailer plays the audience feels very flat towards it
Bobby Roberts
Banned
360 seems kinda out there, but damn your ice-cold logic, especially w/r/t Thor's scheduling.
Hmmmm.
Obliterator
Member
Big thing for Thor is the combo of how well it is received in comparison to Justice League. They are both so close to one another that if Justice League pulls off being good its could certainly impact Thor legs. That's like, the exact same demo they are both trying to hit.
Thor one would assume will be good, everything we've seen points towards it, but if it somehow ends up just ok with Justice League being good yeah, it'll be interesting to see how much JL affects it.
Thor one would assume will be good, everything we've seen points towards it, but if it somehow ends up just ok with Justice League being good yeah, it'll be interesting to see how much JL affects it.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I'm just getting ragNOrok buried in your subconscious, friend.
Realistically, we have no good comparisons for IT, but here's what you get going down BOM's list of R-Rated horror films from the past decade with the largest opening weekends.
Listed are the opening weekend multiplier for each film, and the total that said multiplier would give from a $125M opening.
Code:
Title OW Multiplier Total Gross adjusted to a $125M opening
The Devil Inside 1.58x $197M
Friday the 13th 1.60x $200M
NM on Elm Street 1.92x $239M
Paranormal Activity 3 1.98x $248M
Annabelle 2.27x $283M
The Conjuring 2 2.54x $317M
Annabelle Creation 2.85x $357M
The Conjuring 3.28x $410M
Get Out 5.26x $657MObliterator
Member
IT gonna hit that Get Out Legs and just put up 600+ million like its nothing
In seriousness I think somewhere around a 2.5 multiplier is the most realistic
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I always forget The Devil Inside managed to be even more frontloaded than Friday the 13th, a movie which opened on the 13th, had Valentine's Day on Saturday, and a holiday weekend to boot.
I do remember seeing the movie at midnight, and a number of people giving the screen the middle finger in reaction to the ending.
I do remember seeing the movie at midnight, and a number of people giving the screen the middle finger in reaction to the ending.
No friend of mine spells this badly.
It's time to reel in the excitement, I think.
If IT cross 350M, I'll happily sport a clown avatar (of your choice) for a month. I'm thinking 250M is where it'll end up.