Yeah, I got that.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
Wkd BO 1028-3016 - Audiences over Dr. Langdon, want Dr. Strange ($86m intl. open)
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
- Status
Yeah, I got that.
Roland_Gunner
Member
Its worth remembering a lot of these films have very fiddly accounting. For instance, much of Tarzan was shot and edited at the WB lot in London and it was partially financed by third parties. So its entirely possible that the Tarzan film 'paid' WB $20M or whatever for the access to facilities. Thats an expense for the movie but revenue for the studio.
In between? I don't really know what the specific studio cut is in South Korea. There was an article from the Wall Street Journal a couple of years ago that looked at expected earnings through one decade of release in various countries for every dollar earned at the box office in that territory.
In the US, $1 in box office was expected to translate to $1.75 over 10 years ($0.50 or so from the theatrical cut, $0.4 from home video, $0.6 from TV deals, $0.25 from digital).
In China, $1 boxoffice was expected to translate to $0.27 for the studio in 10 years ($0.25 box office cut, $0.02 everything else).
UK was expected to return $1.30 per $1 box office. Japan $0.83, Russia $0.65, South Korea $0.55
Things might have changed some in the past two years (we are in the middle of a transition in how people consume movies at home), but I think the article is broadly applicable.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/for-hollywood-not-all-box-office-dollars-are-equal-1409241925
Calm waterfall
Banned
Madea is a sure fire hit every single time.
Knowing the ending i expected the movie to end in one of those sitcom freeze frames where everyone is laughing at a corny joke
Amazing post as always. This is the stuff I love.
Gentleman Jack
Member
Perry sure makes it look easy. You'd think someone else would at least try to get into that lane more than once a year...
It's probably not easy to get distribution for a wide release unless you are established. Tyler Perry can do whatever he wants.
Thunder Monkey
Banned
It'd be hilarious if Dr Strange turns out to be the biggest comic book property.
All it needed was a good movie and the property zooms past Supes, Bats, Spider, Iron.
All it needed was a good movie and the property zooms past Supes, Bats, Spider, Iron.
Produced by Jerry Bruckheimer? Have they stopped giving him work outside of POTC?
Doctor Strange's run will be interesting to watch.
EU/Australian numbers seem to be running at about 1/2 of Civil War's opening on average. Taiwan's opening was bigger than Civil War, and the other Asian Territories seem to be closer to that range than they are to the solo Marvel films. Mexico on the other hand is way under what Civil War did in May.
Civil War made ~$550M overseas minus China. Civil War also had terrible legs worldwide.
I am going to guess around $350M overseas for Doctor Strange right now, not counting China.
EDIT: Taiwan not Thailand.
EU/Australian numbers seem to be running at about 1/2 of Civil War's opening on average. Taiwan's opening was bigger than Civil War, and the other Asian Territories seem to be closer to that range than they are to the solo Marvel films. Mexico on the other hand is way under what Civil War did in May.
Civil War made ~$550M overseas minus China. Civil War also had terrible legs worldwide.
I am going to guess around $350M overseas for Doctor Strange right now, not counting China.
EDIT: Taiwan not Thailand.
I had it better than Ant-Man overall (closer to 600M). Looks like it could go higher.
Smokey_Run
Member
It'll be on TNT one weekend per month for months on end.
Ant-Man did 519M. I didn't think this would do worse.
I don't think that Chinese presales are all that great at the moment, but WOM might start to kick in now that the film is out in Taiwan and Hong Kong.
I have no idea where China will land. Maybe $75M on the lower end and $125M on the crazy high end?
Even at the low end, Strange seems to be in a pretty good position for $600M. If the domestic take is at least $200M and China is in the middle of my range, it could end up somewhere between Thor 2 and Cap 2.
LFMartins86
Member
Yeah, he should be recording his lines for Arrested Development S5 any day now...
I actually wasn't too sure on that as this film seemed very different than the rest. I'm probably looking forward to it more because of that.
Diprosalic
Banned
funny, mine was full of college aged girls.
GraveRobberX
Platinum Trophy: Learned to Shit While Upright Again.
I'm guessing Fiction bought out her theater for Dr. Strange for the next weekend, all shows
She's gonna carry that movie to 600+ million I guarantee it!
She's gonna carry that movie to 600+ million I guarantee it!
Seems about right barring US numbers. Overseas numbers may end up in the same range as Guardians, Thor 2, and Winter Soldier. It will depend on legs and China.
Dash_Riprock
Member
They took FAR too long to make Inferno, and Angels & Demons for that matter.
There should have been two sequels (replace Inferno with The Lost Symbol) made before 2010. Da Vinci Code would still have been fresh and they would've made bank on that alone.
Marketing department needs to be fired then.
There should have been two sequels (replace Inferno with The Lost Symbol) made before 2010. Da Vinci Code would still have been fresh and they would've made bank on that alone.
Marketing department needs to be fired then.
Most people probably don't even know it's a sequel. I didn't until a couple days ago.
alfredofroylan
Member
We need more british actors playing Marvel characters.
biggersmaller
Banned
If it beats the openings of SS or BvS then it'll definitely mean war.
It'll make for a more active thread at least. We haven't had a substantial release for awhile
PhoncipleBone
Banned
I think Fantastic Beasts will top Strange in final worldwide. That Potterverse thirst.
I think fantastic beasts is gonna get mauled critically.
But this will still happen
Makes sense when 6/10 is basically the cut off for a fresh review.
Jack Reacher got a lot of 5/10 (Rotten) scores and Ghostbusters got a lot of 6/10 (Fresh) scores. Movies that ride that 5-6 line can go either way, that's how the Tomatometer works.
andthebeatgoeson
Junior Member
Got to see Medea doing well
CaviarMeths
Member
Haven't seen Reacher 2, but if it's "not as good as the first," then it's pretty easy to see why a majority of critics didn't enjoy it. The first was a silly story driven by an uninteresting character with passable action scenes.
The first film was bland. Felt like a generic action flick. It was worth a one time watch for Cruise as he always elevates a film.
friskykillface
Banned
what if Medea beats Dr Strange?
CaviarMeths
Member
Yeah, it's very... standard.
And I had trouble keeping a straight face as all these other characters stand around and tell me "Jack Reacher is this really awesome guy who nobody knows how to find, but he just shows up when you say his name 3 times to beat up all the bad guys, solve all the cases, hang out with the hottest women, and drive all the coolest cars. And then he doesn't care about the law or being a hero because he's just that damn awesome." I like my blatant male wish-fulfillment fantasies to be a little more subtle.
Saw Madea yesterday. The crowd was laughing the entire time. Not small laughs either, deep laughs. If you ever want to know why it's so popular, watch it in a theater.
I liked it a lot and I don't usually like Madea movies. I just go because my sister likes them. This one was my favorite of the ones i've seen because it didn't have many serious or singing parts that always bogs down the movies and makes them boring for me.
I liked it a lot and I don't usually like Madea movies. I just go because my sister likes them. This one was my favorite of the ones i've seen because it didn't have many serious or singing parts that always bogs down the movies and makes them boring for me.
With that international take, I wouldn't say so. The series seems to have far more of an international appeal now, although I rather have seen the Lost Symbol adapted first.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
http://deadline.com/2016/10/doctor-...tional-box-office-weekend-results-1201844444/
Strange only 1% above Thor 2 overseas opening for similar territories.
Strange only 1% above Thor 2 overseas opening for similar territories.
CaviarMeths
Member
Similar domestic and overseas totals to Thor 2 are probably pretty reasonable projections at this point. Unexpectedly strong reviews could cause it to break past the high end of that $75m domestic opening weekend prediction.
- Status
Similar threads
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked
- Locked