I will keep the hope alive.
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Wkd BO 1209-1116 - Moana a Party pupuper, keeps top spot warm for Disney fam
- Thread starter xaosslug
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I will keep the hope alive.
Mojo's numbers are not up to date, but Disney has made $2.605B domestic so far this year, including Friday's box office.
To be the first studio in history to crack $3B in one year, they will need another $395M from Rogue One, Moana, and to a much lesser extent, Doctor Strange by Dec 31st. There are 15 days left in the year (including today) for this to occur in.
As a point of comparison, Tangled made $40M and Thor 2 made $3M in the same time frame. Moana and Doc Strange are both playing stronger than those. $50M combined is probably a lowball for what they will make by Dec 31st.
Anyone think that Rogue One will fail to hit at least $415M by the end of its third Saturday? TFA was at $720M by that third Saturday if you need a comparison point.
To be the first studio in history to crack $3B in one year, they will need another $395M from Rogue One, Moana, and to a much lesser extent, Doctor Strange by Dec 31st. There are 15 days left in the year (including today) for this to occur in.
As a point of comparison, Tangled made $40M and Thor 2 made $3M in the same time frame. Moana and Doc Strange are both playing stronger than those. $50M combined is probably a lowball for what they will make by Dec 31st.
Anyone think that Rogue One will fail to hit at least $415M by the end of its third Saturday? TFA was at $720M by that third Saturday if you need a comparison point.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Sure seems like they're gonna crack that $3B then.
Unless like, a massive weather or natural disaster hits, or Trump does something particularly fucked up, in which case box-office wont' be much of a worry anymore
Unless like, a massive weather or natural disaster hits, or Trump does something particularly fucked up, in which case box-office wont' be much of a worry anymore
Haha. I sort of wonder if Trump will lead to a weakening of the US Dollar in the next couple of years (and therefore a boost in overseas grosses)
List of Studios that have broken $2B domestic in a calendar year
Disney 2016 - $2.605B and counting
Universal 2015 - $2.445B
Disney 2015 - $2.280B
Warner Bros 2009 - $2.106B
Freeza Under The Shower
Member
how does that US domestic list compare with China's gross list? (US gross per studio versus China gross per studio)
MHWilliams
Member
Looking forward to hearing the new schedule post that meeting.
I think an Old Republic movie would be swell. I would like a higher-fantasy Star Wars take done properly. A world of Jedi would be great.
Nah. Kennedy will make sure the budgets stay in line. As your budget balloons, it forces the film to perform higher to retain margins.
I'm not really sure what you are asking, but here's the Top 50 of 2016 in China as of last weekend. Hopefully that is of some use.
Code:
Rank Movie Title Distributor Gross Release
1 The Mermaid (2016) n/a $526,848,189 2/8
2 Zootopia n/a $235,591,257 3/4
3 Warcraft HuaXia $220,841,090 6/8
4 Captain America: Civil War Disney $190,429,000 5/6
5 The Monkey King 2 in 3D n/a $185,402,420 2/8
6 From Vegas to Macau 3 n/a $172,104,369 2/8
7 Operation MeKong n/a $171,399,117 9/30
8 Kung Fu Panda 3 n/a $154,304,371 1/29
9 Time Raiders HuaXia $150,486,525 8/5
10 The Jungle Book (2016) Disney $150,140,000 4/15
11 Skiptrace n/a $133,164,034 7/21
12 Star Wars: The Force Awakens n/a $124,159,138 1/9
13 Ip Man 3 n/a $124,101,198 3/4
14 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $120,765,095 6/3
15 Finding Mr. Right 2 CL $119,464,631 4/29
16 I Belonged to You n/a $117,654,752 9/29
17 Doctor Strange Disney $109,194,913 11/4
18 Cold War 2 n/a $102,197,265 7/8
19 Now You See Me 2 Leomus $97,115,220 6/24
20 Batman v Superman n/a $95,769,365 3/25
21 Line Walker HuaXia $90,871,908 8/11
22 Big Fish & Begonia (Da Hai) Beijing Enlight $85,023,628 7/8
23 Fantastic Beasts WB $82,421,975 11/25
24 The Angry Birds Movie Sony $75,872,971 5/20
25 Independence Day: Resurgence Fox $75,359,650 6/24
26 Your Name (Kimi no na wa.) n/a $71,153,677 12/2
27 Jason Bourne UPI $66,904,818 8/23
28 Ice Age: Collision Course Fox $66,059,140 8/23
29 Star Trek Beyond PPI $65,170,090 9/2
30 I Am Not Madame Bovary n/a $60,771,555 11/18
31 TMNT: Out of the Shadows PPI $58,933,101 7/2
32 Alice Through the Looking Glass Disney $58,780,778 5/27
33 The Revenant n/a $58,684,119 3/18
34 The Secret Life of Pets UPI $58,307,653 8/2
35 Chongqing Hot Pot n/a $57,098,935 4/1
36 Legend of Ravaging Dynasties n/a $56,211,456 9/29
37 Beginning of the Great Revival n/a $54,612,874 11/4
38 A Chinese Odyssey: Part Three n/a $52,619,096 9/14
39 London Has Fallen n/a $52,302,200 4/8
40 Never Gone HuaXia $50,484,341 7/8
41 My Beloved Bodyguard n/a $49,371,457 4/1
42 The Legend of Tarzan China Film $46,152,613 7/19
43 Boonie Bears III n/a $44,544,110 1/16
44 League of Gods HuaXia $42,682,491 7/29
45 Love O2O HuaXia $41,356,090 8/12
46 Mission Milano n/a $38,369,249 10/1
47 CTHD: Sword of Destiny n/a $38,262,712 2/19
48 Finding Dory Disney $38,052,302 6/17
49 Gods of Egypt n/a $35,598,525 3/11
50 Bounty Hunters n/a $31,911,723 7/1More info if you want it: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/china/yearly/
Dash_Riprock
Member
MHWilliams
Member
Reboot is way off the table. Bobby was right about the timetable on that. 15-20 years. 10 at the very least.
Lifejumper
Member
TFA was your semi-reboot.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Ava DuVernay directing the Obi-Wan movie.
Back on the topic of Box Office, Rth is saying that Saturday is looking like $45M. It's still early, but if that is in the right ballpark, it would mean an increase of around 10% from Friday without the previews. That's more or less what TFA saw.
Assuming a drop of around 25% on Sunday, we would be looking at about $150M even for the weekend. Rogue One probably isn't going to get TFA's crazy Sunday hold (-11%).
Assuming a drop of around 25% on Sunday, we would be looking at about $150M even for the weekend. Rogue One probably isn't going to get TFA's crazy Sunday hold (-11%).
MHWilliams
Member
I think she'd want to avoid them.
Disney/Marvel/Lucasfilm will probably pick up Dan Trachtenberg, since Abrams already knows him. Barry Jenkins, Jennifer Kent, Ana Lily Amirpour, Meera Menon, maybe Edward Zwick. I'd throw money at Chad Stahelski and Lexi Alexander for straight up action films.
Denis Villeneuve, if Blade Runner 2049 turns out well.
Nah no reboot is happening right now. Still too many generations invested in the OT. Give at the very least 10 years from now.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Now we see what the legs look like.
I think his $700M overseas is optimistic. This film is out everywhere except China and South Korea.
The Force Awakens made $281M overseas in its first weekend. The only extra territory playing for it vs Rogue One was South Korea (which opened to less than $7M). So we're looking at a 50% drop across the board.
The Force Awakens ended up with just over $1B overseas outside of China. Even assuming China increases a bit to $150M, Rogue One is going to need better holds than TFA had to hit $700M overseas (and TFA had pretty good holds).
"Hi everyone. I think we should keep doing what we're doing"
"Agreed"
-end meeting-
Americans sure love their starwar.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
She does not.
That seems to be the biggest take away. 50% drop overseas, but only 37.5% domestically. Even with that ridiculous $57M thursday that came close to doubling Rogue One's previews.
Disney is predicting a strong Sunday hold though, so it's possible that the actuals will be down a bit.
HomerSimpson-Man
Member
lol, it works.
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