I am aware of it, Twisted Metal except with cities
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Wkd BO 1209-1116 - Moana a Party pupuper, keeps top spot warm for Disney fam
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I am aware of it, Twisted Metal except with cities
Razgriz-Specter
Member
After Rogue One im a bit worried for it as it certainly won't have a 3rd act that can just decimate any negative of the movie.
Saucycarpdog
Member
I could see them greenlighting a Yoda and a Bobba Fett spinoff if the Han Solo movie succeeds.
I just don't know what they're going to do after episode 9. It would be too early to start a new trilogy but at the same time I doubt they'd be happy with just spin-offs.
Personally, I'd like an Old Republic film.
I just don't know what they're going to do after episode 9. It would be too early to start a new trilogy but at the same time I doubt they'd be happy with just spin-offs.
Personally, I'd like an Old Republic film.
Disney was saying $120-130M. Everyone else in the industry was saying $130-150M.
Mojo had the film at $166M, but their writers aren't much more informed than we are. Boxoffice.com said $155M.
EDIT: So Rogue One will basically land on the high end of the estimates, or just past them.
Lifejumper
Member
Have you seen the directors previous work?
Im expecting a funny smaller scale movie. I dont even expect the empire to be the main antagonist.
Its gonna surprise alot of people imo.
Kaneda Shotaro
Member
Rumored new trilogy (not connected to the Skywalkers) to give some time for the 7-9 characters to get older for 10-12. I'm thinking a trilogy set in the old republic would work.
Cool. So that's great.
They could try to force Cameron's hand but I don' think they will. They need the movie for it's Avatar Land (Star Wars Land doesn't need the help). It's going to be interesting as hell! When Avatar ever comes out.
As most of you know, boxoffice.com has a weekly long term forecast column, where they update their long term predictions of wide releases coming out in the next two months. We reach the mid-Feb point of that forecast with yesterday's update, so they have some more interesting films to talk about.
Initial Long Term Forecasts:
The Lego Batman Movie - $56M opening weeekend - $210M DOM total
Fifty Shades Darker - $41M OW - $83M total
John Wick: Chapter 2 - $20M opening - $45M total
Batman seems like a crazy lowball. Their reasoning (that people can see real Batman films released the year before and the fall after) doesn't really seem compelling to me. WB has also been going all out on the marketing for Lego Batman, so I can't see it opening like a mid-range animated film. The Lego Movie opened to $69M.
Hopefully Fifty Shades Darker wasn't too expensive!
The first John Wick opened to $14M and ended up with $43M. Action films often have decent legs in Feb, so I could see a total of $50M if the sequel opens to $20M.
Initial Long Term Forecasts:
The Lego Batman Movie - $56M opening weeekend - $210M DOM total
Fifty Shades Darker - $41M OW - $83M total
John Wick: Chapter 2 - $20M opening - $45M total
Batman seems like a crazy lowball. Their reasoning (that people can see real Batman films released the year before and the fall after) doesn't really seem compelling to me. WB has also been going all out on the marketing for Lego Batman, so I can't see it opening like a mid-range animated film. The Lego Movie opened to $69M.
Hopefully Fifty Shades Darker wasn't too expensive!
The first John Wick opened to $14M and ended up with $43M. Action films often have decent legs in Feb, so I could see a total of $50M if the sequel opens to $20M.
I'd think Wick grosses more. It blow up on vid and has a huge following.
demosthenes
Member
KOTOR please Zeus.
Can't wait for the Darth Vader horror film.
I agree. John Wick became huge after its theatrical run. I expect the second one to dramatically outperform the first (as long as it's similarly good).
Saucycarpdog
Member
Agreed.
Darth Nihilus would be such a great villian. And since they got rid of the expanded universe, they could take him in any direction.
Friday Studio Estimates:
1) Rogue One - $71.1M
2) Moana - $3.0M (-28%) - $153M total
3) Office Christmas Party - $2.6M (-60%) - $26M total
4) Collateral Beauty - $2.4M (at least Will Smith had Suicide Squad to console him)
5) Fantastic Beasts - $1.4M (-51%) - $204M total
6) La La Land - $1.4M (from 200 venues)
7) Manchester by the Sea - $1.3M - $11M total
8) Arrival - $825k - $86M total
9) Doctor Strange - $570k (-53%) - $225M total
10) Nocturnal Animals - $425k - $8M total
1) Rogue One - $71.1M
2) Moana - $3.0M (-28%) - $153M total
3) Office Christmas Party - $2.6M (-60%) - $26M total
4) Collateral Beauty - $2.4M (at least Will Smith had Suicide Squad to console him)
5) Fantastic Beasts - $1.4M (-51%) - $204M total
6) La La Land - $1.4M (from 200 venues)
7) Manchester by the Sea - $1.3M - $11M total
8) Arrival - $825k - $86M total
9) Doctor Strange - $570k (-53%) - $225M total
10) Nocturnal Animals - $425k - $8M total
Does RO include the 29m from Thursday?
Yes. Excellent od #. ow should be around $155-160m.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
It's a relatively new thing, mostly having to due with the practice of killing off midnight screenings on a large scale and turning them into Thursday night previews.
They count it as previews because there are no shows before 7pm, and typically the films run on fewer screens in the big 10-30 screen multiplexes.
The fewer screens thing may be less true for Star Wars.
It's still 1.5 days now for blockbuster opening Fridays.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Maybe, but the Rogue One marketing machine only really started to spin up heavily in the last 4-6 weeks, and has delivered pretty well.
Plus I think it'll make a difference when the movie ends up being sold way more as "The Han & Lando Movie" which it's probably gonna be.
It's probably gonna be like this weird blend of Silverado and Guardians of the Galaxy (I know, I know) but with Star Wars all over it. I can imagine that seeming really, really appealing if they frame it right.
Man If that Hand and Lando movie does damn good with them. Like you said earlier. Lucasfilm can do whatever they fucking want. Hell they could make an animated Jawa movie and have it do numbers. I kid, but you never know.
Lucas Film can already do whatever they want. The Force Awakens and Rogue One are looking like they will at least approach $1.5B domestic combined, and will end up somewhere over $3B worldwide.
Even using 55% as the domestic share (we know it was higher from trade articles last year), and figuring China at $250M between the films, that's around or over $1.4B for Disney's box office cut on $450-500M of production costs. Basically $1B in profit before we even look at other revenue streams. Merch tie ins and toys alone more than make up for whatever marketing cost.
Even using 55% as the domestic share (we know it was higher from trade articles last year), and figuring China at $250M between the films, that's around or over $1.4B for Disney's box office cut on $450-500M of production costs. Basically $1B in profit before we even look at other revenue streams. Merch tie ins and toys alone more than make up for whatever marketing cost.
Anyone else see Episode IX getting an insane budget; like $300m and them just letting Trevorrow go nuts?
I don't know how much independence Trevorrow will get on something like that. Probably less than he had on Jurassic World.
Completely agree. The marketing will focus on space action and the comedic tone, and audiences will flock.
One big benefit of releasing a film each year is the ability to re-use and adapt sets and structures they've already built. They're spending big on each film but still reducing costs in the long run...or so I remember reading about last year, think it was an interview with Bob Iger somewhere, I'll try find it. It's a well-oiled money making juggernaut. It'll be interesting to see how much this factors into episode IX considering they'll have a few films out by that stage.
I know it's just Disney lining their pockets, but that is a really smart business strategy. And less wasteful too. It lets them focus on the elements that need to be kept tight like the screenplay and securing premium talent.
ryutaro's mama
Member
I mean, you make in the vibe of Minions/Despicable Me and it's time to print money. Story is full of sight gags and humor as they try to recover Droids for sale across Tatooine.
It writes itself.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Bet the Han Solo film has the moment when Han wins the Falcon from Lando. Seems like an easy bet to make.
Escape Goat
Member
why does she look like she should be singing country music
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Just think of the merchandise tie ins then.
Maybe if she made that album, it would have survived in theaters.
That has to happen imo. It's the best way to tie in their relationship in ESB
Get Lord and Miller to make it and that sounds great. I'd probably go see it.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Last thing I want is a greatest hits tour for Solo. If they show the bet for the Falcon, cool but if the movie becomes an exercise in visually defining his key mentions from the OT...eh...
Hopefully someone thinks the same and gets a Dredd sequel going.
Dredd pretty much disappeared. Wick seemed to become more of an actual cult little movie. Not really comparable.
I really think that is more what it will be. Lucasfilm is smart enough to not do it as typical super hero origin sort of movie. Here is how Han got his vest!!! And so on. I expect something more along the lines of the Brian Daley Han Solo material. I believe Pablo Hidaldo even compared the script to them at one point?
It's that or you're getting a trilogy.
LFMartins86
Member
What? There's definitely a cult following for Dredd. There were a couple of organised campaigns to buy or rent the movie on a specific day and that made it go to top of the charts of various services.
John Wick had it's sequel greenlighted soon after the movie was released and actually hadn't time to disappear.
It's true that you can't compare the two but Dress definitely has a cult following.
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