Kind of hope Revenant beats TFA this weekend. Haven't seen it but a lot of people are saying it's a good movie. If that's true it deserves to be #1 for a weekend in my mind. TFA will be close regardless.
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Wkd Box Office 0101-0316 - Hate flows through BO as TFA eyes all-time DOM record
- Thread starter xaosslug
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Kind of hope Revenant beats TFA this weekend. Haven't seen it but a lot of people are saying it's a good movie. If that's true it deserves to be #1 for a weekend in my mind. TFA will be close regardless.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
More like middle of page.
Heh I went with over a billion. Still no clue if that's going to be right at this point. I think better chances it won't but it can still happen.
BronsonLee
Member
You think you're better than me, 100pp'er!?
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
The only IMAX dailies I've ever seen for a major releases were for the The Dark Knight Rises @ http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/4780-imax-vs-non-imax-breakdown-for-the-dark-knight-rises/
In that case, there wasn't a huge difference in the daily minutia of percentages, but I can't say for sure that the same would apply in January. Though it may still suggest that IMAX doesn't have that huge an impact in the dailies for a film. Also worth considering is that Avatar didn't have worse Monday declines when it lost IMAX and some 3D screens to Alice in Wonderland.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
More efficient at least.
Nothing was decided, Chuck. Nothing!
Bobby Roberts
Banned
That 2nd weekend of January is definitely gonna bite Star Wars in the ass, then.
3rd weekend seems to generally see a rebound, though. If it continues to drop equal to (or more than) this weekend's drop next weekend, then yeah, that billion domestic lookin pretty wishful.
3rd weekend seems to generally see a rebound, though. If it continues to drop equal to (or more than) this weekend's drop next weekend, then yeah, that billion domestic lookin pretty wishful.
QuantumZebra
Member
I suppose so. Avatar did have a pretty big drop that week though. Looking at the dailies, it looks like people rushed out to see the film in IMAX that last week, because it increased every day from Mon to Thurs (The only time that happened in its entire run). I wonder if we will see that next week for Star Wars.
BronsonLee
Member
I'm rooting for Star Wars to get a billion, only for James Cameron to run in, claim that they actually lost money one weekend due to inflation, and then throw a boat at JJ Abrams
Here lemme make another worthless filler reply just to pad the gap more.
Going through the TFA prediction thread again, and very few people predicting $1 billion domestic, even the people predicting crazy WW numbers. The ones who did were like this:
On the other hand, this guy was on point:
Bold prediction here now:
Funny exchange:
Very true:
On the other hand, this guy was on point:
Bold prediction here now:
Funny exchange:
Very true:
BronsonLee
Member
You gotta pick up the slack for me!
My best contribution to a TFA prediction thread was getting yelled at for saying that screenings at like 3 AM were stupid as hell
Why are you no fun
$45 million would make it much shakier, but not impossible. It would need to make $185 million the rest of the way versus $320 million for Avatar and $100 million for JW.
The Saturday-to-Saturday drop tomorrow should give us a better idea on future weekend drops.
I just got back from it. Amazing movie. Really happy it's having a strong OW.
First domestic film to pass $100M: The Sound of Music
First domestic film to pass $200M: Jaws
First domestic film to pass $300M: Star Wars
First domestic film to pass $400M: Star Wars -> 20 years after its initial release (Titanic for first run)
First domestic film to pass $500M: Titanic
First domestic film to pass $600M: Titanic
First domestic film to pass $700M: Avatar
First domestic film to pass $800M: Star Wars:The Force Awakens (Tomorrow)
You can probably guess the eventual $900M film.
Not a ton of variety in that list!
First domestic film to pass $200M: Jaws
First domestic film to pass $300M: Star Wars
First domestic film to pass $400M: Star Wars -> 20 years after its initial release (Titanic for first run)
First domestic film to pass $500M: Titanic
First domestic film to pass $600M: Titanic
First domestic film to pass $700M: Avatar
First domestic film to pass $800M: Star Wars:The Force Awakens (Tomorrow)
You can probably guess the eventual $900M film.
Not a ton of variety in that list!
Just watched it, thought it was really good. Doesn't deserve to take down Star Wars imo, but I hope it does well. Leo deserves the Oscar. He fucking killed it (though I thought he was better in Wolf of Wall Street, and that didn't do the trick...)
Also Tom Hardy was good but if he wins best supporting over Sly ima be pissed.
BronsonLee
Member
It's either this or Ride Along 2, motherfucker, pick your poison!
I would actually have watched a 3AM screening on opening day if we could have gotten tickets for the IMAX 3D screening. It was all sold out. 3 AM on a Wednesday night. Sold out. People are crazy.
BronsonLee
Member
I would actually have watched a 3AM screening on opening day if we could have gotten tickets for the IMAX 3D screening. It was all sold out. 3 AM on a Wednesday night. Sold out. People are crazy.
This was at like, 3AM Monday morning
People are on the yayo if they think those are good times to watch movies
And goddamnit IMAX 3D can go twist, grrrrrrr
ryutaro's mama
Member
ryutaro's mama
Member
Is 13 Hours opening in IMAX?
That's an interesting point. If there are non-exclusive but available IMAX screens, I imagine those would go to SW for MLK Jr. weekend.
It's not on the IMAX website at all, so doesn't look like it.
Good ol' Sound of Music, taking on the box office and Nazis before Space Nazis were even a thing.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Neither of them are probably beating Rylance for Bridge of Spies, it looks like.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
Shit. Thought ET did $400m initial, or before Star Wars, but was wrong.
Like, it missed $400m after the 1985 releases by a few hundred thousand.
Heh reading through that thread I notice some of the loudest detractors in that thread are some of the loudest in this thread. Instead of admitting they were wrong, they now explain why they were right to be wrong. Humble pie is good for you people. Keeps you modest.
So this is going to take Jupiter Ascending's place this year as the most obvious bomb early in the year, only to be challenged later in the Summer and Fall by late comers like Tomorrowland and Pan right?
BronsonLee
Member
I predict that this will in no way annoy the shit out of people for being rude
I can't believe I pegged Jupiter so obviously and then fell right into the fucking Tomorrowland trap
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
LMFAOO
You really need to work on your predictions bro. Lol but seriously some people were kind of rude in that thread honestly. But I digress.
Take the white Egyptians from Exodus, Make them men who transform into gods via super suits, and throw in some shitty CGI. That's a decent approximation of Gods of Egypt.
SO aliens? Ancient Astronauts? Time travelers? Atlantians?
I'm going to watch the trailer and see if this looks as bad as I'm imagining right now.
BronsonLee
Member
No, you don't digress, you basically rolled in and did some passive aggressive ish and we don't play that
Name names, and explain why they should eat humble pie for not predicting that the damn movie was going to do a billion domestic. That's some dumb shit.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Mixed with Australian & British accents too!
BronsonLee
Member
Is Lionsgate just going to blow all their Hunger Games money on these bad calls
You know that popular videogame God of War? Instead of adapting that and letting Sony in on royalties, let's make our own version but with what fans of the series have been asking for all these years.... GODS OF EGYPT.
I'm not sure if I ever posted this thought on GAF, but after I watched the trailer way back, I was telling people how it was basically how I would imagine a Hollywood blockbuster directed by Tsui Hark if he ever managed to break into the industry there. Not sure if anyone here will get the comparison.
fastford58
Member
Holy balls. Some of the cgi looks so shitty in the trailer. Also, the movie in general looks like ass. I'm not sure who thought this subject matter would hold mass appeal.
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