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Canadian General Election (OT) - #elxn42: October 19, 2015

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You must really like hockey. lol


I think history has shown that Dion was better than Iggy at least.

Don't care for hockey at all, actually. I just really liked how thoughtful both Dion and Dryden seemed. They weren't riveting speakers, but they articulated policies and visions for Canada that spoke to me.
 
I grew up with a very "orthodox" conservative worldview, but have drifted "leftward" over the past 7 years, starting in my mid-20s-ish.

I call it the Reverse Churchill. ;)

The saying about people getting more conservative as they get older is really just an illusion. It's the world that moves on and them that stay the same. Go back in time to a hippie commune and start talking about gay marriage or trans rights and I bet you get a bunch of "wtf no that's disgusting" from many of them. These things weren't even on their horizon yet.

I think history has shown that Dion was better than Iggy at least.

Ignatieff is my favourite Liberal leader of the last 20 years. :P For all the reasons Harper tore him down, no less.
 
Blame the price of oil, not Harper. It's like saying that the Liberals under Chretien/Martin were awesome, when they were just riding the wave. Same thing for Clinton in the US.

The economic stalwarts like the Conservatives want people to believe they are, somehow were not responsible for properly preparing for a crisis in a major sector of the economy. The fact that oil is so volatile somehow absolves them of blame, instead of being responsible and making sure the economy doesn't take a dump just because one variable has changed.

And Martin by all accounts was a fantastic finance minister.
 
Is it possible at this point that the CPC decline enough that the NDP stay as official opposition after election night. The NDP and CPC seem to be getting closer to each in some of the polls lately which is making me ponder this.
 
Is it possible at this point that the CPC decline enough that the NDP stay as official opposition after election night. The NDP and CPC seem to be getting closer to each in some of the polls lately which is making me ponder this.

A lot of things become possible the further the cpc get from their 2011 numbers. This seems like a long shot, though.

But in Alberta the PCs did come in second in popular vote and third in seats.
 
The saying about people getting more conservative as they get older is really just an illusion. It's the world that moves on and them that stay the same. Go back in time to a hippie commune and start talking about gay marriage or trans rights and I bet you get a bunch of "wtf no that's disgusting" from many of them. These things weren't even on their horizon yet.

Hmm, you're probably right.


Ignatieff is my favourite Liberal leader of the last 20 years. :P For all the reasons Harper tore him down, no less.

Same, I was a big Iggy fan at the time.

But at the same time, after the fact, I can't blame the Conservative attack ads. Just visiting? Well, he took a face-saving gig at UofT and then, after an appropriate amount of time, buggered off back to Harvard full-time, validating the attacks in retrospect. Not cool, in my book.

Nope, Ontario lol.

Tsc, tsc. lol
 
A lot of things become possible the further the cpc get from their 2011 numbers. This seems like a long shot, though.

But in Alberta the PCs did come in second in popular vote and third in seats.

I don't think the ndp need to be near the CPC in terms of popular support to beat them in seat count this election as long as the cpc bleeds seats in some of their strongholds like BC and Ontario and the NDP recover a bit in some of their strongholds like Quebec while everyone else stays low in that province besides the Liberals.With the ndp current numbers they are hanging near 80 seats. If the CPC drops to 27%-28% overall the CPC will lose 10 to 20 seats off their current potential seat count easily. If they drop enough or the NDP goes up to like 26%-27% I think they may give the CPC a run for their money depending on how low the CPC popular vote is.
 
Anyone else here in Ottawa centre? I'm voting npd. Have done so for the last three elections. This is boradbents old stomping grounds so I don't really see it going any other way.
 
The article I linked referenced actual market dynamics (i.e., what investors are thinking/acting upon). Your article is based on circumstancial evidence at best.





Blame the price of oil, not Harper. It's like saying that the Liberals under Chretien/Martin were awesome, when they were just riding the wave. Same thing for Clinton in the US.

Wouldn't it be completely fair to blame the government for having such a huge portion of their economy based on oil with the assumption that oil would always trade high?
 
Same, I was a big Iggy fan at the time.

But at the same time, after the fact, I can't blame the Conservative attack ads in retrospect. Just visiting? Well, he took a face-saving gig at UofT and then, after an appropriate amount of time, buggered off back to Harvard full-time, validating the attacks in retrospect. Not cool, in my book.

While true, I also can't really blame him for doing so. The vitriol against him, even from his own party, reached a kind of ridiculous pitch in the end and aftermath of the election. I remember on election night he also didn't immediately resign, saying he'd stay on as a caretaker leader, but the next morning it was clear he'd been forced out by the party. Could have avoided the Rae debacle if they'd taken him up on it.
 
...I know.

Technically, I guess, it was a combination of him and Dryden, making me the only person in history to ever find either of those men inspiring.
I was a Dion delegate at that convention, actually (it was quite an experience overall). He didn't end up working out as leader, for a combination of reasons that included his own errors, much of the LPC itself undermining him (not that that worked out well for Ignatieff), and Harper's relentless negative advertising; but he is one of the sharpest and most civic-minded people in Parliament, and I hope Trudeau has the good sense to make use of him in government. He was one of the brightest lights in the Chretien Cabinet, and of those, one of only two still around (the other being Ralph).

I was skimming the LPC caucus and the candidate list for who's left with ministerial experience; between it being nine years since the last Liberal government, Martin's purge of Chretien loyalists in 2004, and the 2011 wipeout, there aren't many left:

1. Ralph Goodale (1993-2006)
2. Stephane Dion (1996-2003, 2004-2006)
3. Lawrence MacAulay (1994-2002)
4. Wayne Easter (2002-2003)
5. John McCallum (2002-2006)
6. Geoff Regan (2003-2006)
7. Judy Sgro (2003-2005)
8. Scott Brison (2004-2006)

Also, Bob Nault (who was an MP from 1988 until retirement in 2004, and Minister of Indian Affairs from 1999 to 2003) is running again in Kenora, so if he wins (which is a question mark) he'd also be available.

I would expect any Trudeau Cabinet would include Goodale (pretty much mandatory, since he's almost certainly the only MP they're going to get from Saskatchewan), Dion and Brison. Easter could be PEI's minister, though I personally think that would be Sean Casey. MacAulay and Sgro got dumped from cabinet in the lifespan of their governments (albeit for seriously overblown reasons), and I wouldn't expect to see them back. I doubt Trudeau is going to have two Nova Scotians in Cabinet, so Regan is probably not getting in. I don't know about McCallum.

Edit: I forgot Carolyn Bennett -- potential Health Minister, there.
 
While true, I also can't really blame him for doing so. The vitriol against him, even from his own party, reached a kind of ridiculous pitch in the end and aftermath of the election. I remember on election night he also didn't immediately resign, saying he'd stay on as a caretaker leader, but the next morning it was clear he'd been forced out by the party. Could have avoided the Rae debacle if they'd taken him up on it.

Also true.

Maybe it's just that as a UofT grad, I felt it a double-snub that he felt UofT wasn't good enough for his permanent academic gig, haha.
 
While true, I also can't really blame him for doing so. The vitriol against him, even from his own party, reached a kind of ridiculous pitch in the end and aftermath of the election. I remember on election night he also didn't immediately resign, saying he'd stay on as a caretaker leader, but the next morning it was clear he'd been forced out by the party. Could have avoided the Rae debacle if they'd taken him up on it.
I don't think it really made sense for the party to have a caretaker leader who didn't have a seat in the House of Commons.
 
You'd have to appoint a parliamentary leader anyway, so what would Ignatieff be doing?

I don't think there's any obligation to have a named leader in parliament for any party but the one forming government. Especially for the third party. Who was 'leading' the NDP in parliament before Layton won his seat after a year and a half of being leader?

They'd have a whip and all that either way.
 
I don't think there's any obligation to have a named leader in parliament for any party but the one forming government. Especially for the third party. Who was 'leading' the NDP in parliament before Layton won his seat after a year and a half of being leader?
There was a parliamentary leader for the NDP in that period; I don't know who it was (Blaikie, maybe), but at the time it would have been noted. It's just expected that parties in the Commons will have a parliamentary leader. The Bloc had one when they elected that guy who didn't have a seat in the inter-Duceppe period.

So where is the poll from mainstreet technologies that supposed to show a Liberal majority?
They said it would be released "later this week". They're the final numbers, so I guess they're saving it for closer to the end.
 
There was a parliamentary leader for the NDP in that period; I don't know who it was (Blaikie, maybe), but at the time it would have been noted. It's just expected that parties in the Commons will have a parliamentary leader. The Bloc had one when they elected that guy who didn't have a seat in the inter-Duceppe period.

Fair enough. The answer is still it wouldn't have made any difference. Make it Rae and you still avoid the stupid waffling about if he was going to break the conditions of his interim leadership.

Or just anyone with no actual aspiration to leadership.

The rush would have made sense of they'd stayed official opposition, but they didn't.
 
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Probably not related and old but this is lol.
 
Good news everyone! Ezra L. and the gang have crowdfunded a new studio and will cover election night live. Bring a swimsuit cause we might drown in tears.

They still need a little bit more money though:

In fact, we're so encouraged by your enthusiasm that I've added just one more piece of equipment on The Rebel wish list...

This new technology costs about $5000 and will let us host a LIVE call-in talk show.

But one with a difference:

Instead of just phoning in to talk to me, you'll get to do it via Skype! You'll be on TV, too.

This would be the first show of its kind in Canada. Take that, CBC and CRTC!

We don't need the CBC's $1-billion in annual taxpayer funding. The Rebel is doing it better, and it's all because of you.

Inspiring! Take that CBC!
 
I don't know who to vote for probably NDP. Feel guilty cause admittedly I haven't been following election due to school hell
 
Speaking of election night. This is going to be a fucking party for 70% of the country. This is going to be like everyone's hockey team all winning at once.
 
I watched SunTV coverage of both of the last Ontario provincial elections because nothing is more fun than watching peoples' whole world crashing down around them.

This would've been a glorious one to watch with them. RIP Sun News Network.
 
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