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The South Carolina Primary & Nevada Caucuses |Feb 20, 23, 27| Continuing The Calm

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hawk2025 said:
His wealth is, IIRC, around 40% lower than if he had simply invested in the S&P and done fuck all.

He doesn't get brownie points for making investment decisions with returns below the market rate.
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It's weird, isn't it? He could've become even richer if he had invested it in something safe, but he kept investing in garbage.
 
Holy fucking shit.

Trump at fucking FORTY ONE PERCENT with fucking Cruz and Rubio fighting for scraps.

I bet if Cruz wasn't in the race it'd be 50%+ for Trump.
 
Christine said:
It's pretty much done now. The concrete might still be wet but Trump v Clinton '16 is what's written on the slab.
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I suppose it would have to be Cruz that would have to drop out like tonight for there to be a Rubio v Trump shot as Cruz probably has even less shot as Trump of competing in the general.

But Cruz obviously isn't going to drop. At least not until after March 1st or potentially even March 15th.

Meaning yeah, Trump will have the nomination.
 
BreezyLimbo said:
It's weird, isn't it? He could've become even richer if he had invested it in something safe, but he kept investing in garbage.
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Really shows you the power of capital. Even if you suck at it, just by virtue of starting with a lot, you'll still end up with far more than you need day to day.
 
I don't really understand Rubio's path to victory. Yes, he may be the only establishment guy left (Kasich doesn't really count), but if he keeps on losing to Trump and only nominally tying Cruz then he still has no path to victory. He needed to do better in Nevada and South Carolina.

We are not at the point in the race where 3rd place cuts it anymore. If you want to be on the path for nomination then you have to start making things happen. Rubio's head is stuck in the sand if he thinks that Nevada doesn't matter. Just like Super Tuesday won't matter as well, if he doesn't get his head in the game.
 
I don't know if this has been discussed yet, but 85% of the Nevada Republican electorate is white. Only 1% black, 8% Latino, and 4% Asian. This is not the race makeup at all of the state, it's more like 75% white, 7% black,4% Asian, and 14% Latino. The Republicans are doing a terrible job bringing people together. I just can't see how they win elections with these kind of numbers.
 
ezrarh said:
Really shows you the power of capital. Even if you suck at it, just by virtue of starting with a lot, you'll still end up with far more than you need day to day.
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If Salty Bet has taught me anything, the rich will keep getting richer even betting on upsets. Unless you all-in on Broli and Soujiro and they lose. Oh god I lost half a million salty bucks nooo
 
I can't think of an election where I've actually hated both candidates.

Man, if I don't vote, I don't get a Voted sticker, and I don't get my free Chick-fil-a sandwich on Election Day.

Mannnnnn
 
Miletius said:
I don't really understand Rubio's path to victory. Yes, he may be the only establishment guy left (Kasich doesn't really count), but if he keeps on losing to Trump and only nominally tying Cruz then he still has no path to victory. He needed to do better in Nevada and South Carolina.

We are not at the point in the race where 3rd place cuts it anymore. If you want to be on the path for nomination then you have to start making things happen. Rubio's head is stuck in the sand if he thinks that Nevada doesn't matter. Just like Super Tuesday won't matter as well, if he doesn't get his head in the game.
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His only path to victory is if this turns into a one on one race with Trump. The problem is that won't happen until it is likely too late. And Trump is actually really strong in the winner take all blue states that are held at the end of the schedule.
 
Relax people... I know it's easy to get freaked out about this, but this is about courting conservative voters right now. This shit won't play in the general.

All the terrible things he's said and done over the past year can be brought back up and revolt everyone else who is smart enough not to vote for him.
 
It going to so much fun when the rest of candidates have to go full insane if they want to win the primary. I doubt anyone is going to win by looking like a moderate and "establishment".
 
Maybe Trump isn't winning, he's just losing the least. It's slim pickings on the republican side. So maybe he's just the last man standing out of an unimpressive lot.
 
HylianTom said:
I saw this tweet from a reporter a few hours ago and immediately thought of the time where PoliGAF discussed the "endorsements=antiendorsements" phenomenon for this GOP cycle..
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Yeah, but FiveThirtyEight shows Rubio clearly winning the endorsement primary. That's more important than minor things like "polls" or "actual votes."
 
Trump tonight

untitled-1l0l0r.gif
 
XenodudeX said:
And we will win

And we will win

And we will win

And we will win

And we will win

And we will win
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I know great people, fantastic people here in neveda, in fact a few of my friends are here now, I have great hotels, fantastic hotels ive built here, so much jobs ive created. It's wonderful fantastic, the polls say Im winning all over the place



(trump is unstoppable i dont see anyone stopping him)
 
You know almost all of Carson's supporters and a good portion of Ted's supporters would support Trump as their second choice.

It'll come down to Rubio vs. Trump and Rubio is going to get utterly humiliated by Trump. It'll be like watching Bane beat the shit out of Batman in Dark Knight Rises, just brutal.
 
MiketheBSG said:
I don't know if this has been discussed yet, but 85% of the Nevada Republican electorate is white. Only 1% black, 8% Latino, and 4% Asian. This is not the race makeup at all of the state, it's more like 75% white, 7% black,4% Asian, and 14% Latino. The Republicans are doing a terrible job bringing people together. I just can't see how they win elections with these kind of numbers.
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They don't. It's been shown time and again if the minority population goes out to vote, Republicans generally don't stand a chance. Hence why Repubs made Voter ID laws, which specifically target minorities who vote Democrat.
 
Well, Ben Carson is certainly not dropping out. I think he will stay in until April now. I think he will be in until Trump has it completely locked in.
 
Basileus777 said:
His only path to victory is if this turns into a one on one race with Trump. The problem is that won't happen until it is likely too late. And Trump is actually really strong in the winner take all blue states that are held at the end of the schedule.
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Cruz will never drop out until it's much too late, so he's going to lose then. I foresee Cruz folding at the earliest out MO, just like Santorum '12. Over half the country has a caucus or primary between now and then.

If his campaign honestly thinks that they can 'ride it out' then they've got another thing coming to them.
 
gutter_trash said:
can the lame stream media stop for the love of God peddling the false Rubio narrative please?


Trump killed it tonight and decisively
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If it's any consolation, virtually every late night show, daily show, comedy show, had poked fun at the media for that.
 
Trouble said:
How the fuck is Trump pulling the Evangelical numbers like that? Is it just because Cruz is so slimy and unlikeable? Most surprising thing to me.
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I've heard from more than a few people that call Cruz a phony because he didn't even give a single dollar to his church for years. All the lies eventually seep through the cracks.
 
James93 said:
Either cruz or rubio are going to have to drop out if they want a hope in hell to beat trump.
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I think Trump would pick up more of Cruz's voters than Rubio, and if Rubio drops out I'm not sure his voters would necessarily go over to Cruz. A good chunk will probably just stay home.
 
Dragmire said:
Maybe Trump isn't winning, he's just losing the least. It's slim pickings on the republican side. So maybe he's just the last man standing out of an unimpressive lot.
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This was actually the strongest field Republicans have had in ages. Everyone who could have run, did. Except the losers from last time, Romney and Ryan.
 
WayneMorse said:
Cruz doesn't give a rats ass about anyone but himself and Rubio doesn't want to give up probably his only shot at getting the nomination.
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Thats the problem. Neither has a chance of beating Trump unless one drops.

Polari said:
I think Trump would pick up more of Cruz's voters than Rubio, and if Rubio drops out I'm not sure his voters would necessarily go over to Cruz. A good chunk will probably just stay home.
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I'm not sure how voters will go, but as it stands trumps going to have a walk in the park to the general unless someone drops
 
It's amazing how much Trump is dominating tonight, and it's also great seeing Cruz in a likely third place.

Here is Karl Rove trying to downplay this Trump win yet again. It's beyond pathetic at this point, lol.
 
Ecotic said:
This was actually the strongest field Republicans have had in ages. Everyone who could have run, did. Except the losers from last time, Romney and Ryan.
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That argument would be a bit more believable if so many of them didn't drop out so quickly.
 
Jim Heath ‏@JimHeathTV 1m1 minute ago
Trump wins Latino GOP voters in NV with 44%. Rubio 29%, Cruz 18%. Trump is winning everywhere with everyone. #NVcaucus

america
 
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