PhoenixDark said:
That's a perfect analysis of the situation imo. With the Gamecube, Nintendo seemed to have a rather lax and somewhat arrogant attitude towards releasing games. They didn't seem to realize that gamers weren't going to constantly sit around and wait for Nintendo to release stuff when Sony and MS were releasing solid software on a very steady basis. Even now they have this problem: name me one great Gamecube game that's coming out between now and Zelda's release. You can't.
The problem with Game Cube is that Nintendo built themselves up saying they learned their mistakes with the Nintendo 64. They got better third party support but most of them were quickly ported to the PS2. Nintendo should set up stronger exclusitivity deals. Another problem with Nintendo was that at least with the Nintendo 64, Nintendo's software was great enough to where gamers could overlook no third party support. Nintendo's first party offerings were their worst ever (compared with NES, SNES, and N64) and sales show that. GC has sold around the same amount as the N64 yet their software doesn't even come close to hitting N64 software sales levels.
On many occasions Reggie and many other Nintendo people have said that the Revolution is going to need a very strong launch as well as solid software throughout the rest of the 8-12 months after the launch. Hopefully they'll make good on this promise. The Revolution could have a monster launch (easily the best ever in fact) if we do indeed get a new Super Mario, SSBM, and MP3 as Nintendo has suggested many times.
Nintendo is going to need to support their own console in order to further help developers understand the system. They did a terrible job at this with the DS, and the launch suffered in the end. Even 3-4 months after the DS' launch there still wasn't one amazing AAA title out for the DS. Nintendo made up for this later in the year starting with Nintendogs and ending (Dec. 5th) with Animal Crossing, but this will not work with the Revolution. They are going to need more than one killer game to combat the 360 and especially the PS3. If the Revolution launches around Nov. 06, it'll have to compete with MGS4 and possibly GTA or Halo 3. Luigi's Mansion just won't cut it this time around.
The Revolution needs to me more than just how to play games. Nintendo needs to make a Revolution in terms of how they run their business. They need to realize that gamers for the most part, have moved on from Mario, Zelda, and the like. They can return to these games but now its about the Maddens, the GTAs, the Halos, and hell, even the Gran Turismos. Nintendo can't throw out a half baked Mario title and expect gamers to line up. Some will but it won't be as much as Nintendo is used to.
Sony and Microsoft are at the top of their game. No matter what Nintendo says, they are in competition. If gamers see all three consoles and see Revolution as the least desired, gamers won't be buying it. Revolution is really a wild card. I see it either doing much better than Game Cube or much worse.
If we see Mario Sunshine Revolution with the FLUUD controlled by the Revolution controller and a bunch of mini-game titles at launch, plus some piss poor third party port jobs, Nintendo's in trouble. I doubt they'll make this mistake with the Revolution
You'd think that. Lets hope so. I hope Nintendo doesn't launch SSB3 and MP3 and then hope gamers play the virtual console for several months until Mario Revolution comes out. If they do that, they are toast. The virtual console should be a nice feature, not a crutch for them to have long delays. I'm not saying they will do this but if they're thinking about it, its a bad mistake.
Their release list should be like this:
At launch: Smash Brothers 3, Metroid Prime 3, and a new IP that takes full advantage of the controller.
~3 months: Mario Revolution, maybe a mini game IP (possibly Brain Training or Nintendogs) Pilotwangs :lol should be released around this time or around 6 months into its release.
~6 months: New F-Zero, Wave Race, or some kind of old franchise that not huge but has been around for some time and it should be online. Plus maybe a new IP.
~12 months: Mario Kart Revolution or a new Zelda (unlikely but still, its possible). Kirby or something substantial from a second party (Fire Emblem maybe or Earthbound) A new IP thrown in there.
You get the idea. Lots of big releases. Their big releases are still great games but are the traditional ones that focus more on fun than innovation. The new IPs will take full advantage of the Revolution's controller. Third party games will supplement this but like I said before, Nintendo has to step up to convince consumers and developers alike on the Revolution.