• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Box Office 07•29-31•16 - Bad to the Bourne, Trek continues to give 'er all she's got

Status
Not open for further replies.
Huge Saturday drop, but WB still has to be insanely pleased with SS, no?

If it lands around 125, that's what they've predicted for a long time now so they'd be pretty stoked.

I wonder if the T-Mobile tickets for Friday count towards the box office? That could be a swing of a few million, make the drop off look worse.

Edit: Dash shut up you nerd *shoulder checks Dash into locker, high fives jock teammate*
 
Huge Saturday drop, but WB still has to be insanely pleased with SS, no?

The movie was a lock for $150 million. Not only might it miss that by as much as $20-30 million, suffering a massive drop in its first weekend means the legs on this movie will be nonexistent and its gonna plummet on its 2nd weekend. How is that something to be pleased with? The DCEU is supposed to bring in massive profit for WB, not just barely break even.
 

BumRush

Member
If it lands around 125, that's what they've predicted for a long time now so they'd be pretty stoked.

I wonder if the T-Mobile tickets for Friday count towards the box office? That could be a swing of a few million, make the drop off look worse.

I'd assume that T-Mobile bought them, even if it's at a discount.

The movie was a lock for $150 million. Not only might it miss that by as much as $20-30 million, suffering a massive drop in its first weekend means the legs on this movie will be nonexistent and its gonna plummet on its 2nd weekend. How is that something to be pleased with? The DCEU is supposed to bring in massive profit for WB, not just barely break even.

There is literally no way WB's internal projections were anywhere close to $150M. And even if it drops like a rock, it's making money.
 
Warner's tracking was for 125-130.

You do have a point with the T-Mobile thing, considering how many customers use it, that could be like a 5 mil swing?
 

jey_16

Banned
could be worse for WB, at least they have some franchises making money....look how bad Sony and Paramount are doing this year and Universal isn't exactly setting the world on fire again. Fox are doing ok for the moment

not everyone has $15b to spend acquiring studios when you have a couple of bad years like Disney did
 
Really, the DCEU may be a creative trainwreck, but I don't think they're in any kind of financial trouble like Sony, Paramount, or Lionsgate. They're putting out consistently profitable movies for the most part. Even Tarzan was on track to be the flop of the summer, but it's looking now like it will scrape by with a narrow win.
 
Really, the DCEU may be a creative trainwreck, but I don't think they're in any kind of financial trouble like Sony, Paramount, or Lionsgate. They're putting out consistently profitable movies for the most part. Even Tarzan was on track to be the flop of the summer, but it's looking now like it will scrape by with a narrow win.

Tarzan isn't even gonna break even. People say its doing well cause its not the John Carter-level flop everyone thought it would be. But yes, compared to Paramount and especially Sony, WB is doing fine.
 
Tarzan isn't even gonna break even. People say its doing well cause its not the John Carter-level flop everyone thought it would be. But yes, compared to Paramount and especially Sony, WB is doing fine.

...LOL when I quickly looked up the gross I was looking at the 1999 Disney version at $448m.

Well, it's not a disaster anyway. Should eventually be profitable with video sales and streaming.
 

wachie

Member
The movie was a lock for $150 million. Not only might it miss that by as much as $20-30 million, suffering a massive drop in its first weekend means the legs on this movie will be nonexistent and its gonna plummet on its 2nd weekend. How is that something to be pleased with? The DCEU is supposed to bring in massive profit for WB, not just barely break even.
Babes, Civil War was tracking close to 200M too and missed that mark by almost 30M.
 

milanbaros

Member?
...LOL when I quickly looked up the gross I was looking at the 1999 Disney version at $448m.

Well, it's not a disaster anyway. Should eventually be profitable with video sales and streaming.

It definitely is a disaster. They would be in a better position if they didn't make it.

Beating expectations that it'll be the flop of the year doesn't translate to success.
 

pestul

Member
Holy shit @ the drop for Saturday. I did not see that coming at all. I figured there would be enough spill-over audience enthusiasm for at least 2 1/2days. Sunday will probably be terrible.

It looks like we might have our first $200-300M domestic film of 2016 guys.
 
That's high based on last night's drop, no?

It is, but depends on how accurate the person was. WB is estimating 38.8 million for Saturday. 20% drop on Sunday (Which is probably unrealistic, I would expect the drop on Sunday to be bigger).

I would think it'll be 131 million or so for the actual when it comes in tomorrow. It's entirely possible that the Box Office insider underestimated things a little bit for Sat when he made his last update or west coast came through.
 

pestul

Member
Yeah, I guess it's only a little over what it will make. Depending on the Sunday drop, I think it will end between $125-135M. It then needs a decent multiplier (>2.3) to get to $300M.
 

CREMSteve

Member
Completely anecdotal, but wife and I went to Bourne last night (Calgary) and the 6:30 show was sold out, so we had to go to the 7:30 showing. Our theater was also packed full, not an empty seat in the house from what I could tell. I expect it did quite nicely this weekend.
 

dabig2

Member
It is, but depends on how accurate the person was. WB is estimating 38.8 million for Saturday. 20% drop on Sunday (Which is probably unrealistic, I would expect the drop on Sunday to be bigger).

I would think it'll be 131 million or so for the actual when it comes in tomorrow. It's entirely possible that the Box Office insider underestimated things a little bit for Sat when he made his last update or west coast came through.

Wasn't BvS overestimated by a couple million as well? A 20% drop Sunday when Saturday was so rough does seem a bit optimistic.
 

gamz

Member
That's a lot of money. Interested in the international appeal.

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya 5m5 minutes ago
$132M intl debut for #SuicideSquad putting global launch at $267.1M. Stellar $11.3M in Brazil going against start of #Olympics.
 

DeathyBoy

Banned
Really, the DCEU may be a creative trainwreck, but I don't think they're in any kind of financial trouble like Sony, Paramount, or Lionsgate. They're putting out consistently profitable movies for the most part. Even Tarzan was on track to be the flop of the summer, but it's looking now like it will scrape by with a narrow win.

BvS should've topped a billion, but any other studio would kill for 800 million.

It's surreal that an SS film making 130 million first weekend is seen as disappointing.
 

3N16MA

Banned
Alice, Turtles, Trek, Bourne, ID4, how many more franchises will 2016 try to kill?

I did not count the Divergent series as it was never a real franchise and we all knew it would die.
 

bob_arctor

Tough_Smooth
That's the point. Projections based on first day were 150m, and it will probably miss that by 20m. That's a steep drop after just one day.

So the 135 million will also take Sunday into account? Dunno how this stuff is tallied to be honest. I know Thursday is counted.
 

3N16MA

Banned
So the 135 million will also take Sunday into account? Dunno how this stuff is tallied to be honest. I know Thursday is counted.

It takes Thursday previews all the way to Sunday. Sunday is a very close estimate to the actual total. Actual numbers are released on Monday.
 

Burt

Member
People don't want "traditional" Star Trek.

I wish Paramount would understand this.

People don't know what they want until they go back and try to justify it after the fact. What Paramount really needs to understand is where their marketing campaign fucked up (read: everywhere). and hopefully Suicide Squad's performance despite garbage reviews highlights that fact.
 

DeathyBoy

Banned
Alice, Turtles, Trek, Bourne, ID4, how many more franchises will 2016 try to kill?

I did not count the Divergent series as it was never a real franchise and we all knew it would die.

They need to put Trek on cryofreeze until Abrams can come back and make a sequel to STID called "The Wrath of John Harrison,"
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom