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Brexit | OT3 | A Feast for Crows

Jackpot

Banned
DMAiADDXUAAJjJf.jpg

https://twitter.com/ian_a_jones/status/918772092027498496/photo/1

Why so low?
 

Mr. Sam

Member
May should sack him.

She's not got the nerve to sack anyone, for fear that it'll bring the entire house of cards down.

She'll only go and fucking sack her chancellor immediately after he announces his budget now, won't she?
 

TimmmV

Member
It's kind of amazing how perfectly split this is. No wonder we can't decide on a government.

also who are those 5% that voted remain but look at it NOW and want to leave?

Yeah, surely there cant be 5% of remainers who look at whats going on now and think "I was wrong, everything happening now is all great!"

My only guess is that maybe its short sighted Labour voters happy that the Tories are all stabbing each other in the back?
 

tuxfool

Banned
Yeah, surely there cant be 5% of remainers who look at whats going on now and think "I was wrong, everything happening now is all great!"

My only guess is that maybe its short sighted Labour voters happy that the Tories are all stabbing each other in the back?

Eh, there is that guy that posts here from time to time that thinks the leave vote will lead the UK into a socialist utopia.
 

TimmmV

Member
Eh, there is that guy that posts here from time to time that thinks the leave vote will lead the UK into a socialist utopia.

Assuming we are thinking of the same guy, iirc he started off saying hes a socialist before reverting to the "too many coming in" type logic upon being probed on his beliefs by people on here (as is usually the case)

My friend pointed out that this 5% is probably made up of people buying into the "EU are just punishing us now!" logic, think he probably has a point
 

jelly

Member
It doesn't help when Junker is so blunt and offers the perfect sound bite to get the foaming leavers riled up. I get what he is saying and he isn't being mean but just the headline is enough for loads of people to stick with screw the EU, take back control! even though, it's a load of nonsense. There is nobody sensible with enough support in Britain that can crush Brexit.

Hammond is just playing party politics to confuse the leavers, get out..wait yeah, screw the EU, rule Britannia!

Brexit is an embarrassment and Labour dealing with it is another version of awful.
 

TrutaS

Member
I have to say I'm surprised at how half of the studied sample is so stubborn they can't admit they made a mistake.

I think things have gone so bad, that you can easily blame the government for not being capable of getting a good deal, and therefore you've changed your mind without feeling ashamed.

edit: I also dislike the positioning of the question made by Yougov. The UK hasn't left yet, therefore it can't be wrong to have left. It makes it sound definitive, as if it couldn't be stopped. But maybe I'm reading it wrong.
 
It doesn't help when Junker is so blunt and offers the perfect sound bite to get the foaming leavers riled up. I get what he is saying and he isn't be mean but just the headline is enough for loads of people to stick with screw the EU, take back control!

Hammond is just playing party politics to confuse the leavers, get out..wait yeah, screw the EU, rule Britannia!

Brexit is an embarrassment and Labour dealing with it is another version of awful.
You have to remember that Juncker isn't primarily talking to UK citizens. They aren't his concern and there is also very little that they can do at this point.

I wonder how many people are lying in that survey, that is if they can see that Brexit is a bad idea now then they are more likely to say they voted remain.
 

liquidtmd

Banned
You have to remember that Juncker isn't primarily talking to UK citizens. They aren't his concern and there is also very little that they can do at this point.

I wonder how many people are lying in that survey, that is if they can see that Brexit is a bad idea now then they are more likely to say they voted remain.

It's gonna get to a stage when you go into a pub, or work, no one is gonna say they voted Leave.

It's already happening to me now. I've been to parts that were notable Leave areas and I can't find fucking one person that says they did.

And I'm an easy going outwardly non judgemental guy
 

tuxfool

Banned
edit: I also dislike the positioning of the question made by Yougov. The UK hasn't left yet, therefore it can't be wrong to have left. It makes it sound definitive, as if it couldn't be stopped. But maybe I'm reading it wrong.

The context is in how the situation is panning out currently. Everything looks like a mess, because it is a mess and will be a mess. No doubt it would skew even more once shit really starts hitting the fan.

Or alternatively the Old People that make up most of the Conservative constituency start dying off.
 
Yeah, surely there cant be 5% of remainers who look at whats going on now and think "I was wrong, everything happening now is all great!"

My only guess is that maybe its short sighted Labour voters happy that the Tories are all stabbing each other in the back?

On the C4 debate recently, there was one guy in the audience who had voted Remain but changed his mind because of how he perceived the EU were acting during the negotiations.
 

Kabouter

Member
On the C4 debate recently, there was one guy in the audience who had voted Remain but changed his mind because of how he perceived the EU were acting during the negotiations.

Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.
 

jelly

Member
Can't wait to see the politicians squirm if they let Brexit pass. Will of the people could be the most hated excuse of all time. Wasn't me gov, the people voted, we just made sure you all got fucked.
 

PJV3

Member
Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.

The way these clowns are carrying on it will only be a minority, it's pretty clear that the Tory party is coming first over everything else.
 

jelly

Member
Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.

No doubt they'll try and many will lap it up. Hopefully most use their brain.
 
The politicians could have gone for an EEA/EFTA solution (or at least tried) which would have been the least worst choice, but they've condemned themselves by choosing the stupidest way and then going about it in such a cack-handed fashion.
 

Principate

Saint Titanfall
Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.

They'll try to but there's no way the conservatives are coming out of this unscathed. May decision to have an election has ensured that. Which is why they'll try to lay all the blame on her but I don't think that will work as the rest of the party really isn't acting much better.

Much like Tony's Blair tenure left a large impact on Labour, this will leave a large impact on the Tories for at least a generation.

All those students are going to grow up and they sure as fuck are going to remember.
 

D4Danger

Unconfirmed Member
Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.

That's certainly the perception here sometimes but it's only because the EU are negotiating in their interests which people still seem confused about.

The way the EU does business isn't a secret and people knew going in one of the ways they would try and control the process was with sequencing. It probably feels frustrating when you see the UK say good things and the EU always being so negative and the truth is probably somewhere boringly in the middle.

for all my pessimism I still feel like a deal with be done and most people will just shrug because it's all a bit crap. There's too many people involved and too much disruption on both sides for someone to do something really stupid.
 

Mivey

Member
The politicians could have gone for an EEA/EFTA solution (or at least tried) which would have been the least worst choice, but they've condemned themselves by choosing the stupidest way and then going about it in such a cack-handed fashion.
To be fair, the UK could still try to opt for a EEA solution years after Brexit. The EU gets more money, and access to a large market, so I don't see them denying it. Assuming there is a no deal "solution" after 2019, it will likely lead to big economic shock that would likely sober most people up from their nationalistic fervor. One would hope, at least.
 

Plum

Member
So I decided to have a gander at the BBC comments section on the Philip Hammond calls EU 'the enemy' article. Lots of "he was right tho no need to apologise," and "The EU just want to take all our money!" but this gem got me laughing:

They have never been anything but.
Germany took us to war twice. Italy and Spain allied or allowed their citizens to join Hitlers forces.
The French collaborated with both the Germans and the Japanese in Asia in WW2., caused the Vietnam War and supplied Argentina with arms before and during the Falkland conflict.
With "Friends" like these who needs enemies or expects any kind of fair deal?
 
Think eventually a lot of people are going to end up believing the EU was a bad actor that caused an undesirable post-Brexit situation despite the best intentions of the British government. The same media that pushed for Brexit will ensure it.

Who cares what the british people think about whos fault brexit is? We will see in 50 years if UK is prospering or not. At that point it will be irrelevant what the press says
 

tuxfool

Banned
Who cares what the british people think about whos fault brexit is? We will see in 50 years if UK is prospering or not. At that point it will be irrelevant what the press says

True. Given that Brexiters are absolutely convinced of the might of the British, it stands to reason that they believe that might makes right. Continuing down that line of thought, they shouldn't give a shit then if the mighty topple the weak.

Of course all that would be true, if they also weren't massive hypocrites.
 
So I decided to have a gander at the BBC comments section on the Philip Hammond calls EU 'the enemy' article. Lots of "he was right tho no need to apologise," and "The EU just want to take all our money!" but this gem got me laughing:
In that case I guess we caused mass genocide in the Americas, fought and lost a war of independence and spent hundreds of years suppressing other cultures.

Who needs friends like the British?
 

Plum

Member
In that case I guess we caused mass genocide in the Americas, fought and lost a war of independence and spent hundreds of years suppressing other cultures.

Who needs friends like the British?

What the fuck, man. Lets not start punishing people for the sins of their fathers, here. Everyone deserves a fresh start!
 

Xando

Member
So it seems the europeans are gonna offer a take it or leave it offer when they talk transition.

Offer apparently is keep all the obligations without having a seat at the table.

One factor behind the EU’s tough stance is the belief that a full “standstill” transition, which would effectively give the UK all the obligations of EU membership without a seat at the table, could be agreed in principle relatively quickly, even perhaps in December.

“There won’t be much to negotiate,” said one senior EU official. “They can take it or leave it.

https://www.ft.com/content/bb39b0da-affa-11e7-beba-5521c713abf4


Also thought this was interesting:
Mr Barnier privately floated the option of opening transition talks with Britain last week, arguing that it may be the only way to provide the incentives for a deal on Britain’s Brexit bill. It won support from countries like Sweden and Ireland, but was rejected by Germany and France.
 

Lagamorph

Member
MPs move to block May from signing ‘no deal’ Brexit

A powerful cross-party group of MPs is drawing up plans that would make it impossible for Theresa May to allow Britain to crash out of the EU without a deal in 2019. The move comes amid new warnings that a “cliff-edge” Brexit would be catastrophic for the economy.

One critical aim of the group – which includes the former Tory chancellor Kenneth Clarke and several Conservative ex-ministers, together with prominent Labour, SNP, Liberal Democrat and Green MPs – is to give parliament the ability to veto, or prevent by other legal means, a “bad deal” or “no deal” outcome.

The 10 Democratic Unionist party MPs, upon whose votes May relies for a Commons majority, have made it clear to government whips that they would not accept a “no deal” outcome because it would mean a return to a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic. If May were to try to push such an approach, the deal with the DUP that keeps her in power could fall.
 

Lagamorph

Member
So let’s say they block a bad deal or no deal.

Time runs out-> Britain leaves with no deal anyway.

Are thesee people just mocking their constituents at this point?

I think the idea is more that if no suitable deal can be reached then the EU withdrawal should be cancelled altogether.
 
What the grim reality of a ‘bad-tempered’ Brexit means

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/oct/15/grim-reality-of-bad-tempered-brexit

In evidence to the Treasury select committee on Wednesday, chancellor Philip Hammond declared that the possible “no deal” outcome could come about in one of two ways. The first would be quite friendly. But the other would involve a “bad-tempered breakdown”.

“If it is [that we move to] a World Trade Organisation regime with no deal, there are then two further potential levels that you have to consider. One is no deal – WTO – but a friendly agreement that we are not going to reach a deal, but we will work together to cooperate to make things run as smoothly as possible,” Hammond said.

“But, bluntly, we also have to consider the possibility of a bad-tempered breakdown in negotiations where we have non-cooperation, and, worst-case scenario, even a situation where people are not necessarily acting in their own economic self-interest. So we need to prepare for a wide range of scenarios.”

I wonder who Hammond is talking about.
 

Uzzy

Member
I think the idea is more that if no suitable deal can be reached then the EU withdrawal should be cancelled altogether.

Or go back and negotiate something else at the very least. If the EU are offering the Norway option, then that shouldn't take much time to negotiate, and could possibly get sorted in early 2019, in an extreme situation.
 

Xando

Member
I think the idea is more that if no suitable deal can be reached then the EU withdrawal should be cancelled altogether.

It remains to be seen if cancelling the withdrawal is possible. Also i doubt they'd get a majority to get it through parliament.

Or go back and negotiate something else at the very least. If the EU are offering the Norway option, then that shouldn't take much time to negotiate, and could possibly get sorted in early 2019, in an extreme situation.
I agree but this would mean complete capitulation by the UK. Would that even be feasable with 30-40% of the population being leavers?
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Or go back and negotiate something else at the very least. If the EU are offering the Norway option, then that shouldn't take much time to negotiate, and could possibly get sorted in early 2019, in an extreme situation.

No, it would still take a very long time. You can't just be like 'oh, we'll take the Norway option then'. That's not in the EU's power to give, since it stems from EFTA-EU treaties. To access this option, the UK would have to join EFTA, which would have to be renegotiated with consent from Norway, Iceland, and Liechtenstein. Imagine you're one of those countries - they're all tiny - and suddenly the UK demands to be in your club. You'd want heavy restrictions put on what the UK can and cannot demand, because e.g. Norway won't want to have its trade policy completely dictated by the UK. The UK is literally over ten times bigger than all the other members put together.
 
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